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Trainer profile

Bruce Hellier

253 runners in the lifetime window · 44 individual horses
As at 23 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Oct 2025
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
7–253
Wins / Runs
2.8%
Strike rate
n=253
35 (14%)
Placed
0.62
Fair A/E
n=253 · 0.53 incl. margin
−166.60
£1 level stake
n=253 at SP · −65.8%
£65,372
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.62).

Deterministic profile computed from 253 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 23 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Oct–Nov
The read

The market has consistently overbet the yard in Class 5: Fair A/E 0.00 across 80 runners (0% strike, −80.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. Seasonally, the yard fires Oct–Nov.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.1%−0.7
n=47 · A/E 0.64 · £1 −27.30
New recruits · first run for the yard
4%+1.2
n=25 · A/E 1.38 · £1 −5.30
Debutants · first career start
0%−2.8
n=19 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −19.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.8
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.8
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
When favourite
14.3%
n=7 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −1.30
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
2.2%−0.6
n=91 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −63.30

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Class 5 0% vs 2.8% · n=80
Over 1m5f – 2m 0% vs 2.8% · n=46
In Hurdle races 0% vs 2.8% · n=41
Over 6f – 7f 5.1% vs 2.8% · n=78
Over 1m – 1m1f 0% vs 2.8% · n=33
On Good to Soft going 0% vs 2.8% · n=31
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 201 7 3.5% −114.60
Hurdle 41 0 0% −41.00
NH Flat 11 0 0% −11.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 96 3 3.1% −60.30
Good 64 1 1.6% −53.00
Good to Firm 36 1 2.8% −28.00
Good to Soft 31 0 0% −31.00
Soft 15 1 6.7% −3.00
Heavy 10 1 10% +9.70
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 48 1 2.1% −31.00
Hamilton 23 0 0% −23.00
Southwell (AW) 15 0 0% −15.00
Musselburgh 14 0 0% −14.00
Deauville (FR) 13 0 0% −13.00
Chantilly (FR) 13 1 7.7% −7.30
Carlisle 12 0 0% −12.00
Uttoxeter 11 0 0% −11.00
Haydock 9 0 0% −9.00
Catterick 9 1 11.1% −1.00
Kempton (AW) 8 1 12.5% +5.00
Saint-Cloud (FR) 8 2 25% +23.70
Redcar 8 1 12.5% +3.00
Bangor-on-Dee 7 0 0% −7.00
Newcastle 6 0 0% −6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 102 4 3.9% −53.00
Class 5 80 0 0% −80.00
Class 4 21 0 0% −21.00
Class 7 7 0 0% −7.00
Class 3 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 10 1 10% 0.53 −4.30
2nd–3rd fav 16 1 6.3% 0.45 −8.00
4th–6th fav 50 2 4% 0.61 −27.00
7th+ in betting 177 3 1.7% 0.78 −127.30
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Sharp Bullet (IRE)from Alan Berry 31 1 12 16 Nov 13
Fern House (IRE)from Garry Moss · then Alan Berry 21 0 2 27 Oct 09
Meydan Style (USA)from John Balding · then Richard Ford 20 1 6 20 Jan 12
Keep Away (FR)from Marian Falk Weissmeier · then Mme A Liebert 13 0 4 19 Oct 25
Guardian Angel (GER) 11 2 4 28 Oct 15
Tobayornottobay (GB) 11 0 0 19 Aug 11
Rascasse (GB)from Garry Moss 11 0 0 15 Jun 09
Thetasteofparadise (GB)then Richard Ford 10 0 0 1 Dec 11
Garstang (GB)from John Balding · then Richard Ford 9 1 2 27 Jan 12
Saddlers' Supreme (IRE)from Martin Todhunter 9 0 0 1 Dec 11
Royal Premium (GB)from James Moffatt 8 0 1 1 Dec 11
Nevsky Bridge (GB)from Martin Todhunter 7 0 0 6 Jan 12
All 44 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 44 horses listed, 25 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Garry Moss (5) and Martin Todhunter (4); 19 had their first archived run for this yard.

16 have since run for another yard, most often for Richard Ford (13); 28 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
400004000960
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Joe Fanning 23 2 8.7% +7.00
Gary Rutherford 12 0 0% −12.00
Barry Keniry 11 0 0% −11.00
Andrew Mullen 10 0 0% −10.00
T Williams 10 0 0% −10.00
Billy Cray 10 0 0% −10.00
Paddy Mathers 9 0 0% −9.00
Romain Auray 9 2 22.2% +8.70
Royston Ffrench 9 0 0% −9.00
Frederik Tylicki 8 0 0% −8.00
Neil Chalmers 7 0 0% −7.00
Richard Kingscote 6 0 0% −6.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
8
Archived wins
£123k
Prize money
2011
Best season · 3 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Seqania (GB) — Prix Bubbles (Conditions) (4yo+) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · Nov 2020
£9,068
Guardian Angel (GER) — Prix de l'Allee Brulette (Claimer) (4yo+) (Polytrack) Chantilly (FR) · Nov 2013
£7,724
Guardian Angel (GER) — Prix Card King (Claimer) (4yo+) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · Oct 2013
£6,504
Notable horses
Guardian Angel (GER) Sharp Bullet (IRE) Meydan Style (USA) Garstang (GB) Insolenceofoffice (IRE) Seqania (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Royal Applause (GB) 3.2% · 1–31
Progeny have won 8.6% of 12,434 runs since 2008 (774 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.4% from 323.
Xaar (GB) 0% · 0–21
Progeny have won 6.1% of 2,429 runs since 2008 (218 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 10.7% from 122.
Essence Of Dubai (USA) 5% · 1–20
Progeny have won 4% of 125 runs since 2008 (6 horses).
Tobougg (IRE) 0% · 0–18
Progeny have won 8.5% of 6,096 runs since 2008 (464 horses).
Where Or When (IRE) 0% · 0–18
Progeny have won 9.2% of 1,578 runs since 2008 (124 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 4.1% from 217. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 4.6% from 151.
Dabirsim (FR) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 7.4% of 4,139 runs since 2008 (448 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.9% from 254. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 209. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.8% from 143.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 23 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 268 · newest first

The latest 50 of 268 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 23 June 2005 to 19 October 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
19 Oct 25 Longchamp (FR) Keep Away (FR)J: Esther Ruth Weissmeier Prix des Erables (Handicap) (3yo+) (Grande Course) (Turf)15.5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 9th 17/1
26 Aug 25 Deauville (FR) Keep Away (FR)J: Esther Ruth Weissmeier Prix de Brevedent (Handicap) (3yo+) (Round Course) (Turf)16f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 4th 25/1
31 Jan 25 Deauville (FR) Keep Away (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix des Docks Vauban (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)17f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 26/1
30 Dec 24 Chantilly (FR) Keep Away (FR)J: Anna Van Den Troost Prix du Parc des Aigles (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)13.5f · Standard · 15 ran 7th 10/1
26 Nov 24 Deauville (FR) Keep Away (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix du Manoir de la Caillerie (Handicap) (3yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)12.5f · Standard · 16 ran 15th 9/1
02 Nov 24 Deauville (FR) Keep Away (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix de Beaufai (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)12.5f · Standard · 16 ran 2nd 9/1
15 Oct 24 Chantilly (FR) Keep Away (FR)J: Augustin Madamet Prix de Senlis (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)13.5f · Standard · 16 ran 4th 21/1
09 Sep 24 Saint-Cloud (FR) Keep Away (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix de Montigny (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf)15.5f · Very Soft · 9 ran 6th 15/2
18 Aug 24 Deauville (FR) Keep Away (FR)J: Augustin Madamet Sumbe Prix d'Auvillars (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)12.5f · Standard · 13 ran 3rd 19/1
16 Feb 24 Chantilly (FR) Keep Away (FR)J: Sylvain Ruis Prix de Jagny-Sous-Bois (Handicap) (5yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)13.5f · Standard · 16 ran 15th 62/1
18 Nov 23 Deauville (FR) Keep Away (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix du Croise-Laroche (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)12.5f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 21/1
11 Oct 22 Saint-Cloud (FR) Keep Away (FR)J: Hugo Journiac Prix du Val d'Oise (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf)12f · Soft · 16 ran 13th 44/1
10 Sep 22 Chantilly (FR) Keep Away (FR)J: Hugo Journiac Prix de Persan (Conditions) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)13.5f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 39/1
22 Feb 21 Chantilly (FR) Seqania (GB)J: Mme Lea Bails Prix de Pornichet (Handicap) (5yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)6f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 25/1
13 Jan 21 Chantilly (FR) Seqania (GB)J: Mme Laura Grosso Prix du Petit Chateau (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)6.5f · Standard · 15 ran 15th 24/1
07 Nov 20 Saint-Cloud (FR) Seqania (GB)J: Mlle Laura Grosso Prix Bubbles (Conditions) (4yo+) (Turf)7f · Heavy · 10 ran 1st 187/10
21 Oct 16 Deauville (FR) Okra (FR)J: Delphine Santiago Prix des Lais de Mer (Conditions) (3yo) (Lady Riders) (Polytrack)7.5f · Standard · 15 ran 4th 12/1
20 Oct 16 Deauville (FR) Alderaan (IRE)J: Ronan Thomas Prix de Breville (Claimer) (4yo+) (Polytrack)6.5f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 30/1
28 Oct 15 Maisons-Laffitte (FR) Guardian Angel (GER)J: Romain Auray Prix de Bazemont (Claimer) (4yo+) (Turf)12f · Heavy · 11 ran 5th 41/5
23 Jan 15 Chantilly (FR) Guardian Angel (GER)J: Romain Auray Prix de l'Allee des Merisiers (Handicap) (4yo+) (Polytrack)10.5f · Standard · 16 ran 10th 131/10

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Bruce Hellier's strike rate?
Bruce Hellier has won 7 of 253 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 2.8% (as at 23 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Bruce Hellier do best at?
Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 1 wins from 48 runners (2.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Bruce Hellier's Fair A/E?
0.62, from 253 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 23 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).