What is Charles Pogson's strike rate?

Charles Pogson has won 61 of 879 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.9% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Charles Pogson do best at?

Huntingdon by strike rate: 6 wins from 52 runners (11.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Charles Pogson?

Adam Pogson, with 734 runners since 2008 — 84% of the total. That pairing has won 53 (7.2%).

What is Charles Pogson's Fair A/E?

0.83, from 875 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Charles Pogson

879 runners in the lifetime window · 68 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Sep 2020 99% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

61–879

Wins / Runs

6.9%

Strike rate

n=879

217 (25%)

Placed

0.83

Fair A/E

n=875 · 0.72 incl. margin

−397.87

£1 level stake

n=879 at SP · −45.3%

£503k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

3.8%

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 70 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.83). Horses in first-time headgear strike at 14% (35 runs, true-first definition).

Deterministic profile computed from 879 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Feb–Jun 35.6% when favourite Adam Pogson: 7.2% from 734 Claiming riders: 7.3% Sent off the favourite in 5% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Huntingdon (11.5%, n=52) and Market Rasen (9.9%, n=162) — all clear of the yard's 6.9% baseline. A horse in first-time headgear has been a positive signal at 14.3% (n=35, Fair A/E 2.03), but new recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 2.9% (n=34, Fair A/E 0.49). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 3.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.53 and −129.62 to a £1 stake over 165 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Adam Pogson rode 84% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (7.2%, A/E 0.87). The record read poorly in Class 6 — 2.7% over 37 runners, 4.2pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard off a 61-180-day break: Fair A/E 0.47 across 87 runners (3.4% strike, −72.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. The stable star of the record was Cusheen Bridge (IRE) — 7 wins from 45 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Feb–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.9% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

3.6%−3.3

n=165 · A/E 0.53 · £1 −129.62

New recruits · first run for the yard

2.9%−4.0

n=34 · A/E 0.49 · £1 −30.00

Debutants · first career start

0%−6.9

n=26 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −26.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

14.3%+7.4

n=35 · A/E 2.03 · £1 +7.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

2.9%−4.0

n=35 · A/E 0.37 · £1 −30.00

When favourite

35.6%

n=45 · A/E 1.25 · £1 +3.55

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7.3%+0.4

n=341 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −139.26

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−6.9

n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With first-time headgear 14.3% vs 6.9% · n=35

At Huntingdon 11.5% vs 6.9% · n=52

On last-time-out winners 10.8% vs 6.9% · n=65

Off a 61-180-day break 3.4% vs 6.9% · n=87

At Market Rasen 9.9% vs 6.9% · n=162

In Class 6 2.7% vs 6.9% · n=37

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 451 29 6.4% −205.39

Chase 370 30 8.1% −155.48

NH Flat 45 2 4.4% −24.00

Flat 13 0 0% −13.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 438 32 7.3% −225.44

Good to Soft 152 9 5.9% −69.14

Soft 143 10 7% −59.62

Good to Firm 96 7 7.3% −31.00

Heavy 41 3 7.3% −3.67

Standard (AW) 9 0 0% −9.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Southwell 194 11 5.7% −76.00

Market Rasen 162 16 9.9% −63.69

Uttoxeter 106 6 5.7% −56.17

Doncaster 55 2 3.6% −21.00

Huntingdon 52 6 11.5% −15.47

Worcester 44 3 6.8% −12.00

Fakenham 38 4 10.5% −25.00

Wetherby 33 2 6.1% −19.75

Towcester 30 3 10% +8.00

Sedgefield 27 1 3.7% −16.00

Leicester 24 1 4.2% −20.00

Stratford 21 1 4.8% −16.00

Bangor-on-Dee 15 2 13.3% +1.50

Aintree 11 0 0% −11.00

Catterick 10 2 20% −3.29

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 461 32 6.9% −227.03

Class 5 257 20 7.8% −111.39

Class 3 96 6 6.3% −44.45

Class 6 37 1 2.7% −33.00

Class 2 15 2 13.3% +31.00

Class 1 13 0 0% −13.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 56 19 33.9% 1.24 +3.63

2nd–3rd fav 155 15 9.7% 0.65 −75.00

4th–6th fav 339 17 5% 0.71 −188.50

7th+ in betting 329 10 3% 0.91 −138.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

85.1% completed · 821 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 370 84.1% 8 10 40 0 1

Hurdle 451 86% 6 8 48 0 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Cusheen Bridge (IRE) 45 7 16 16 Jan 20

Noble Witness (IRE) 45 4 12 6 Jul 15

Hopeand (GB)from Nicky Henderson 42 3 8 2 Jun 15

Alfloramoor (GB)from Nicky Richards 40 2 11 3 Jun 12

Moidore (GB)from John Quinn · then Charles & Adam Pogson 35 3 10 4 Aug 20

Kayfton Pete (GB)from Fergal O'Brien 35 3 13 12 Jul 16

Mondo Cane (IRE) 30 3 11 15 May 18

Ravenscar (GB) 29 0 4 28 Apr 11

Overtoujay (GB)from Debra Hamer 28 4 11 28 Sep 19

Minella Forfitness (IRE)from Nicky Henderson 28 2 8 1 Sep 17

Ballycamp (IRE) 26 0 9 22 Nov 18

West To Crossgales (IRE)then Charles & Adam Pogson 21 1 9 27 Aug 20

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 68 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 32 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Nicky Henderson (3) and John Quinn (2); 28 had their first archived run for this yard.

16 have since run for another yard, most often for Charles & Adam Pogson (8); 44 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

310141299548355

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderAdam Pogson

84% of all rides
7.2% SR · A/E 0.87

RiderRWSR£1

Adam Pogson 734 53 7.2% −309.75

Charlie Todd 39 4 10.3% −18.12

Charlie Hammond 35 2 5.7% −8.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

£634k

Prize money

2015

Best season · 9 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Minella Forfitness (IRE) — Alfa Aggregate Product Handicap Chase Bangor-on-Dee · Mar 2015 · Class 3

£16,245

Oscardeal (IRE) — Book Your Tickets On Line At Southwell-racecourse.co.uk Handicap Hurdle Southwell · Feb 2009 · Class 2

£13,941

Seymour Weld (GB) — Cheltenham Racing Ltd Novices' Chase Cheltenham · Apr 2009 · Class 2

£13,636

Notable horses

Cusheen Bridge (IRE) Seymour Weld (GB) Lord Baskerville (GB) Noble Witness (IRE) Overtoujay (GB) Bronson F'sure (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kayf Tara (GB) 8.1% · 6–74

Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,756 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.

Oscar (IRE) 14.5% · 8–55

Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.

Alflora (IRE) 3.8% · 2–52

Progeny have won 9.8% of 5,312 runs since 2008 (535 horses).

Westerner (GB) 6.1% · 3–49

Progeny have won 12.2% of 11,858 runs since 2009 (945 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.

King's Theatre (IRE) 6.7% · 3–45

Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.

Witness Box (USA) 8.9% · 4–45

Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,675 runs since 2008 (194 horses). Weakest on Good to Firm going: 4% from 173.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,077 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,077 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 4 September 2020.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

04 Sep 20 Sedgefield Shady Oaks (IRE)J: Charlie Todd Visit attheraces.com Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 7th 12/1

03 Sep 20 Southwell Overtougeorge (GB)J: Charlie Todd Southwell Racecourse Supports The Mansfield Chad Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 1)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 9 ran PU 100/1

03 Sep 20 Southwell Getaway North (GB)J: Charlie Todd Support The ARC Racing Club Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16f · Good · 11 ran 4th 9/2

27 Aug 20 Sedgefield West To Crossgales (IRE)J: Charlie Todd Sky Sports Racing HD Virgin 535 Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 26.5f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 16/5F

27 Aug 20 Sedgefield Quasha (GB)J: Charlie Todd Roflow Dust And Fume Lev. Systems Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Good · 6 ran 5th 14/1

10 Aug 20 Southwell Shady Oaks (IRE)J: Charlie Todd Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 24.5f · Good · 9 ran PU 10/1

08 Aug 20 Uttoxeter West To Crossgales (IRE)J: Charlie Todd Watch Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Handicap Chase (Div 2)Class 5 · 24f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 8/1

04 Aug 20 Southwell Moidore (GB)J: Charlie Todd Visit attheraces.com Handicap Hurdle (Div 2)Class 5 · 20.5f · Good · 11 ran 2nd 16/1

04 Aug 20 Southwell Getaway North (GB)J: Charlie Todd Southwell Golf Club Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 11 ran 5th 17/2

30 Jul 20 Southwell Quasha (GB)J: Charlie Todd Middleham Park Racing Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 24.5f · Good · 9 ran 6th 28/1

27 Jul 20 Market Rasen Getaway North (GB)J: Charlie Todd Heed Your Hunch At Betway Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 17f · Good · 11 ran 3rd 7/1

19 Jul 20 Southwell Moidore (GB)J: Charlie Hammond Thank You Southwell Annual Members Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24.5f · Good · 12 ran 5th 40/1

14 Jul 20 Southwell West To Crossgales (IRE)J: Charlie Todd Event & Stadium Signage At signsolutions.org Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24.5f · Good · 9 ran 4th 16/1

14 Jul 20 Southwell Shady Oaks (IRE)J: Charlie Todd Visit signsolutions.org For Racecourse Branding Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 16/1

08 Jul 20 Stratford Getaway North (GB)J: Charlie Hammond RSA Get Involved Join A Syndicate Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 17f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 8th 11/2

01 Jul 20 Southwell Overtougeorge (GB)J: Charlie Hammond signsolutions.org Offering Retail Solutions Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 1)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 12 ran PU 150/1

10 Mar 20 Sedgefield Getaway North (GB)J: Charlie Todd Free Bets At thebettingedge.co.uk Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Soft · 10 ran 4th 7/2

08 Mar 20 Southwell Rollerball Rocco (IRE)J: Miss Sarah Bowen N. & L. Franklin Developments Ltd Female Jockeys' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 20.5f · Soft · 7 ran 3rd 11/4F

02 Mar 20 Wetherby Rollerball Rocco (IRE)J: Charlie Hammond Bet At Racingtv.com Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Heavy · 10 ran PU 15/2

02 Mar 20 Wetherby Baracalu (FR)J: Charlie Todd Join Racing Tv Now Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 16f · Heavy · 9 ran 8th 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Charles Pogson's strike rate?: Charles Pogson has won 61 of 879 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.9% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Charles Pogson do best at?: Huntingdon by strike rate: 6 wins from 52 runners (11.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Charles Pogson?: Adam Pogson, with 734 runners since 2008 — 84% of the total. That pairing has won 53 (7.2%).
What is Charles Pogson's Fair A/E?: 0.83, from 875 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.