What is Christopher Kellett's strike rate?

Christopher Kellett has won 45 of 1,036 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.3% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Christopher Kellett do best at?

Hamilton by strike rate: 5 wins from 35 runners (14.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Christopher Kellett?

Dave Crosse, with 57 runners since 2008 — 6% of the total. That pairing has won 0 (0%).

Is Christopher Kellett in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Christopher Kellett's Fair A/E?

0.83, from 1,030 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Christopher Kellett

1,036 runners in the lifetime window · 131 individual horses

As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 3 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

45–1,036

Wins / Runs

4.3%

Strike rate

n=1,036

146 (14%)

Placed

0.83

Fair A/E

n=1,030 · 0.74 incl. margin

−557.90

£1 level stake

n=1,036 at SP · −53.9%

£327k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

4.8%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 50 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.83).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,036 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 5 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Dave Crosse: 0% from 57

The read

The record is strongest at Hamilton (14.3%, n=35) and Carlisle (11.1%, n=36) — all clear of the yard's 4.3% baseline. New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 0% (n=67, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 1.2% strike, Fair A/E 0.36 and −136.00 to a £1 stake over 166 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Dave Crosse rides 6% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (0% vs 4.3%, A/E 0.00). The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (12.1%, n=33) and off a 8-14-day break (9.3%, n=205). The stable star of the record: White Umbrella (GB) — 6 wins from 44 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.3% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

1.2%−3.1

n=166 · A/E 0.36 · £1 −136.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

0%−4.3

n=67 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −67.00

Debutants · first career start

0%−4.3

n=57 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −57.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

0%−4.3

n=41 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −41.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0%−4.3

n=57 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −57.00

When favourite

15.8%

n=19 · A/E 0.61 · £1 −11.40

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

2.4%−1.9

n=332 · A/E 0.62 · £1 −217.25

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−4.3

n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Hamilton 14.3% vs 4.3% · n=35

With Jason Hart 13.5% vs 4.3% · n=37

On last-time-out winners 12.2% vs 4.3% · n=49

Off a 0-7-day break 12.1% vs 4.3% · n=33

Off a 8-14-day break 9.3% vs 4.3% · n=205

At Carlisle 11.1% vs 4.3% · n=36

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 635 40 6.3% −195.90

Hurdle 189 3 1.6% −168.50

Chase 153 2 1.3% −134.50

NH Flat 59 0 0% −59.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 313 16 5.1% −108.75

Good 299 16 5.4% −140.65

Good to Soft 142 3 2.1% −119.50

Soft 130 5 3.8% −95.00

Good to Firm 108 5 4.6% −50.00

Heavy 42 0 0% −42.00

Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 159 11 6.9% +12.75

Southwell (AW) 94 2 2.1% −83.50

Catterick 60 5 8.3% −12.00

Uttoxeter 45 1 2.2% −35.00

Market Rasen 38 0 0% −38.00

Towcester 38 0 0% −38.00

Leicester 37 1 2.7% −32.50

Carlisle 36 4 11.1% +25.50

Southwell 36 1 2.8% −29.50

Hamilton 35 5 14.3% −4.90

Nottingham 32 2 6.3% −16.75

Huntingdon 30 1 3.3% −22.50

Ayr 22 3 13.6% +4.50

Bangor-on-Dee 22 0 0% −22.00

Doncaster 21 0 0% −21.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 454 32 7% −93.65

Class 5 375 8 2.1% −314.25

Class 4 167 2 1.2% −143.50

Class 3 19 0 0% −19.00

Class 7 15 2 13.3% +5.50

Class 1 4 0 0% −4.00

Class 2 2 1 50% +11.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 23 4 17.4% 0.70 −10.90

2nd–3rd fav 96 14 14.6% 0.84 −12.50

4th–6th fav 271 20 7.4% 1.14 −49.50

7th+ in betting 646 7 1.1% 0.50 −485.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 285 18 6.3% −91.25

1m5f – 2m 214 4 1.9% −189.15

1m – 1m1f 139 7 5% −54.00

2m1f – 2m4f 128 2 1.6% −117.50

1m2f – 1m4f 96 8 8.3% −13.50

2m5f – 3m 85 1 1.2% −75.00

Under 6f 73 4 5.5% −12.50

Over 3m 16 1 6.3% −5.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 84 4 4.8% −35.50

2009 67 1 1.5% −58.00

2010 72 1 1.4% −59.00

2011 51 1 2% −46.50

2012 83 0 0% −83.00

2013 77 1 1.3% −71.00

2014 43 0 0% −43.00

2015 47 1 2.1% −40.50

2016 42 0 0% −42.00

2017 35 2 5.7% −21.50

2018 32 0 0% −32.00

2019 36 3 8.3% +31.50

2020 41 1 2.4% −34.50

2021 50 4 8% +24.50

2022 42 6 14.3% +10.75

2023 56 4 7.1% −20.50

2024 58 6 10.3% −21.40

2025 57 7 12.3% −6.25

2026 63 3 4.8% −10.00

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 745 42 5.6% −302.40

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 386 18 4.7% −252.25

11-13 runners 350 13 3.7% −162.50

5-7 runners 166 9 5.4% −78.65

14-16 runners 111 5 4.5% −41.50

17+ runners 16 0 0% −16.00

2-4 runners 7 0 0% −7.00

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Deconso (GB) 46 4 8 29 Nov 22

White Umbrella (GB)from Harry & Roger Charlton 44 6 12 2 Sep 26

Darbucks (IRE) 43 5 15 24 Sep 25

Begoodtoyourself (IRE) 38 2 11 10 May 24

Upper Lambourn (IRE)from Brian Ellison · then John Holt 36 1 5 16 Feb 16

Admirals Way (GB) 35 2 8 8 Nov 10

A P Ling (GB) 33 0 2 2 Jun 12

Kodimoor (IRE)from Danielle McCormick · then Mark Walford 32 2 7 30 Nov 18

Blistering Barney (IRE) 30 6 11 15 Aug 23

Twoforthegutter (IRE)from Ian Williams 24 3 10 9 Sep 25

Spacecraft (IRE) 24 1 6 10 Apr 12

George Benjamin (GB)from Bill Turner · then Michael Appleby 21 0 4 14 Nov 13

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 131 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 30 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Paul Nicholls (3) and Brian Ellison (2); 30 had their first archived run for this yard.

9 have since run for another yard, most often for Mark Walford (2); 51 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 2

Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

145359363743

Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderDave Crosse

6% of all rides
0% SR · A/E 0.00

RiderRWSR£1

Dave Crosse 57 0 0% −57.00

Jason Hart 37 5 13.5% +3.50

Harry Reed 31 1 3.2% −23.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

£385k

Prize money

2025

Best season · 7 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Blistering Barney (IRE) — Fairfax Saddles Grassroots Series Stayers' Final Handicap Nottingham · Sep 2022 · Class 2

£15,462

Rookery Lad (GB) — Avon Estates Handicap Chase Stratford · Jun 2006 · Class 3

£7,829

Rookery Lad (GB) — Rocom Plantronics Handicap Chase Wetherby · May 2006 · Class 3

£6,506

Notable horses

White Umbrella (GB) Blistering Barney (IRE) Darbucks (IRE) Rookery Lad (GB) Deconso (GB) Bahhmirage (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dandy Man (IRE) 8.7% · 4–46

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,978 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.

Kodiac (GB) 6.7% · 3–45

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,595 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.

Night Of Thunder (IRE) 13.6% · 6–44

Progeny have won 16.3% of 5,107 runs since 2019 (563 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.9% from 160.

Profitable (IRE) 11.6% · 5–43

Progeny have won 9.5% of 4,443 runs since 2021 (358 horses).

Getaway (GER) 5.3% · 2–38

Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,985 runs since 2016 (1,030 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.

Exceed and Excel (AUS) 2.8% · 1–36

Progeny have won 11.9% of 16,036 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,389 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,389 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 2 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

02 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Kindly Queen (IRE)J: Ryan Kavanagh Midnite Built Different Handicap StakesClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 12 ran 12th 80/1

02 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Dadawada (IRE)J: Olivia Tubb AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 33/1

16 Oct 26 Redcar Dadawada (IRE)J: Ryan Kavanagh Market Cross Jewellers Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good · 9 ran 8th 20/1

16 Oct 26 Redcar Redrosecastana (IRE)J: Olivia Tubb Market Cross Jewellers Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good · 9 ran 7th 66/1

03 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Kindly Queen (IRE)J: Christian Howarth Bettingsites.co.uk Betting Sites Reviewed Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 14f · Standard · 5 ran 5th 50/1

02 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Luminous Warrior (IRE)J: Jason Hart Armah Switchgear Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 5th 15/2

02 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Daring Leader (IRE)J: Paul Mulrennan Henry Malone 1926 Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 10f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 22/1

30 Sep 26 Catterick Redrosecastana (IRE)J: Luke Morris Racing To School Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good · 6 ran 6th 150/1

28 Sep 26 Hamilton Dadawada (IRE)J: Zak Wheatley Rotary Club East Kilbride Nursery Selling Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Soft · 7 ran 7th 11/1

24 Sep 26 Pontefract Alice Inher Palace (IRE)J: Gina Mangan Celebrating The Life Of Bobby Howard EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Good · 8 ran 8th 125/1

21 Sep 26 Hamilton Havana Cohiba (GB)J: Paul Mulrennan Evolution, Your Partner For Fastener Solutions EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 5f · Soft · 5 ran 5th 100/1

21 Sep 26 Hamilton Daring Leader (IRE)J: Lauren Young Racing TV Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8.5f · Soft · 7 ran 4th 17/2

19 Sep 26 Chester Kindly Queen (IRE)J: Tom Kiely-Marshall Lord Mayor's Spooktacular Fireworks Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 5 · 14.5f · Heavy · 10 ran 9th 66/1

15 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Redrosecastana (IRE)J: Gina Mangan Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com "Confined" Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D, Which Have Run No More Than Twice) (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 125/1

14 Sep 26 Thirsk Dadawada (IRE)J: Faleh Bughenaim Patrick Hibbert-Foy Memorial Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good · 16 ran 10th 50/1

09 Sep 26 Redcar Luminous Warrior (IRE)J: Jason Hart Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good · 15 ran 2nd 10/1

05 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Daring Leader (IRE)J: Tom Eaves Attheraces.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 28/1

02 Sep 26 Hamilton Kindly Queen (IRE)J: Faleh Bughenaim Every Race Live On Racing Tv Handicap StakesClass 5 · 13f · Soft · 12 ran 7th 80/1

02 Sep 26 Hamilton White Umbrella (GB)J: Paul Mulrennan Hampton By Hilton Hotel Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Soft · 13 ran 10th 7/1

02 Sep 26 Hamilton Dadawada (IRE)J: Faleh Bughenaim Heineken Low & No Bar Ebf Maiden Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 5f · Soft · 7 ran 6th 125/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Christopher Kellett's strike rate?: Christopher Kellett has won 45 of 1,036 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.3% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Christopher Kellett do best at?: Hamilton by strike rate: 5 wins from 35 runners (14.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Christopher Kellett?: Dave Crosse, with 57 runners since 2008 — 6% of the total. That pairing has won 0 (0%).
Is Christopher Kellett in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Christopher Kellett's Fair A/E?: 0.83, from 1,030 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.