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Trainer profile

Francis J Flood

440 runners in the lifetime window · 67 individual horses
As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 43 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2016→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
9–440
Wins / Runs
2%
Strike rate
n=440
46 (11%)
Placed
0.47
Fair A/E
n=440 · 0.38 incl. margin
−370.29
£1 level stake
n=440 at SP · −84.2%
£164k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, winning with 2% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.47). With a claiming rider up the record reads 4% (162 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 440 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 12 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Mar Claiming riders: 3.7%
The read

The market has consistently overbet the yard on Good going: Fair A/E 0.00 across 77 runners (0% strike, −77.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. Seasonally, the yard fires Feb–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
1.1%−0.9
n=90 · A/E 0.27 · £1 −82.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−2.0
n=22 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −22.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−2.0
n=45 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −45.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
4.8%+2.8
n=21 · A/E 1.45 · £1 −13.50
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.0
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
When favourite
20%
n=10 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −3.29
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.7%+1.7
n=162 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −121.79
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−2.0
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Good going 0% vs 2% · n=77
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 3.7% vs 2% · n=136 · A/E 0.80
Off a 61-180-day break 0% vs 2% · n=58
With debutants 0% vs 2% · n=45
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 244 5 2% −200.62
Chase 111 3 2.7% −91.67
Flat 67 1 1.5% −60.00
NH Flat 18 0 0% −18.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 171 2 1.2% −158.50
Heavy 127 5 3.9% −93.79
Good 77 0 0% −77.00
Good to Soft 39 1 2.6% −22.00
Standard (AW) 21 1 4.8% −14.00
Good to Firm 5 0 0% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Fairyhouse 61 1 1.6% −53.00
Punchestown 44 0 0% −44.00
Navan 40 1 2.5% −32.50
Naas 32 1 3.1% −15.00
Wexford 25 0 0% −25.00
Clonmel 22 1 4.5% −19.62
Down Royal 21 1 4.8% −16.67
Dundalk (AW) 20 1 5% −13.00
Gowran Park 20 1 5% −9.00
Cork 18 0 0% −18.00
Leopardstown 15 1 6.7% −10.00
Tramore 15 0 0% −15.00
Galway 13 1 7.7% −5.50
Kilbeggan 13 0 0% −13.00
Killarney 10 0 0% −10.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 11 2 18.2% 0.72 −4.29
2nd–3rd fav 43 3 7% 0.57 −23.00
4th–6th fav 69 3 4.3% 0.66 −43.00
7th+ in betting 317 1 0.3% 0.16 −300.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
80% completed · 355 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 111 73% 4 3 23 0 0
Hurdle 244 83.2% 6 2 33 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Millen To One (IRE) 34 1 9 4 Jul 23
It's Only A Number (IRE) 28 1 3 12 Mar 22
Alcander (FR)from F Flood 27 1 8 7 Feb 20
Peace N' Milan (IRE)from F Flood 23 3 6 9 Jan 20
Wake Up Early (IRE)then Dr Richard Newland 22 1 5 1 Jan 22
Spanish Maid (IRE)then Ross O'Sullivan 18 0 2 17 Jan 26
Tuckmill (IRE)then Peter Fahey 18 1 1 14 Jun 22
Tullabrack Lad (IRE) 16 0 0 30 Sep 26
The Bay Birch (IRE)from F Flood · then Matt Sheppard 16 0 3 29 Nov 17
Ballykea Star (IRE) 13 0 1 19 Jul 18
Go All The Way (GB)then Dr Richard Newland 12 0 0 22 Jan 22
Love N' Peace (IRE) 12 0 2 14 Jan 20
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 67 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 19 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from F Flood (9); 41 had their first archived run for this yard.

19 have since run for another yard, most often for Dr Richard Newland (2) and John Joseph Hanlon (2); 41 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
267000004004
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderGer Fox
9% of all rides
2.6% SR · A/E 0.86
RiderRWSR£1
Ger Fox 38 1 2.6% −30.50
L P Dempsey 37 0 0% −37.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2016→
9
Archived wins
£164k
Prize money
2017
Best season · 4 wins
Millen To One (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Novice Handicap Hurdle (80-130) Leopardstown · Dec 2020
£13,570
Peace N' Milan (IRE) — Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-123) Gowran Park · Jan 2018
£11,396
Sunsetstorise (IRE) — www.navanracecourse.ie Handicap Chase (0-116) Navan · Mar 2017
£7,700
Notable horses
Peace N' Milan (IRE) Millen To One (IRE) It's Only A Number (IRE) Alcander (FR) Wake Up Early (IRE) Tuckmill (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Millenary (GB) 4.3% · 2–46
Progeny have won 9.7% of 1,413 runs since 2011 (120 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.3% from 233.
Milan (GB) 7.5% · 3–40
Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,888 runs since 2008 (1,465 horses).
Oscar (IRE) 3.3% · 1–30
Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.
Makfi (GB) 3.7% · 1–27
Progeny have won 11.3% of 3,830 runs since 2014 (358 horses).
Doyen (IRE) 4.5% · 1–22
Progeny have won 11.6% of 7,390 runs since 2009 (606 horses).
Beneficial (GB) 0% · 0–20
Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,047 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 440 · newest first

The latest 50 of 440 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 November 2016 to 30 September 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
30 Sep 26 Sligo (IRE) Tullabrack Lad (IRE)J: Michael Kenneally Sligo Races Handicap Steeplechase26f · Good · 12 ran 9th 16/1
19 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Leonards Choice (IRE)J: Ben Kennedy BAR 1 Casino 'Slot Games & Live Casino' Maiden Hurdle19f · Good · 16 ran 14th 250/1
24 Aug 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Clash Gold (IRE)J: Mike O'Connor Paddy Smyth Memorial Mares Maiden Hurdle22.5f · Good · 12 ran 5th 22/1
21 Aug 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Tullabrack Lad (IRE)J: Michael Kenneally New Forest Estate & Golf Club Handicap Steeplechase26f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 10th 12/1
09 Jun 26 Sligo Clash Gold (IRE)J: Mike O'Connor Stephen Mullins & Sons Mares Maiden Hurdle17.5f · Good · 11 ran 2nd 7/1
19 Apr 26 Tramore Clash Gold (IRE)J: J J Slevin Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 12 ran 5th 80/1
12 Apr 26 Down Royal Tullabrack Lad (IRE)J: Benjamin P Kennedy Fibrus Total Home Wi-Fi Handicap Chase (0-100)26f · Good · 15 ran 5th 50/1
12 Mar 26 Limerick Tullabrack Lad (IRE)J: Benjamin P Kennedy Party Time Handicap Chase (0-100)23f · Heavy · 16 ran 9th 100/1
19 Feb 26 Thurles Tullabrack Lad (IRE)J: Mr M N Sharpe BOYLE Sports (Q.R.) Handicap Chase (0-100)21.5f · Soft To Heavy · 16 ran 9th 50/1
17 Jan 26 Navan Spanish Maid (IRE)J: Benjamin P Kennedy Gormanlough Handicap Chase (0-100)24f · Soft To Heavy · 12 ran 8th 33/1
15 Jan 26 Fairyhouse Clash Gold (IRE)J: Benjamin P Kennedy William Hill Each Way Extra Challenge Series Maiden Hurdle20f · Soft · 15 ran 14th 200/1
11 Jan 26 Punchestown Tullabrack Lad (IRE)J: Benjamin P Kennedy Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Chase (0-100)19.5f · Soft · 11 ran PU 100/1
09 Jan 26 Naas Leonards Choice (IRE)J: Benjamin P Kennedy Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding · 25 ran 21st 300/1
01 Jan 26 Fairyhouse Clash Gold (IRE)J: Mike O'Connor Easter Festival Early Bird Tickets On Sale Now Maiden Hurdle20f · Yielding · 18 ran 17th 250/1
15 Dec 25 Naas Leonards Choice (IRE)J: Benjamin P Kennedy BAR 1 Betting Merry Christmas Maiden Hurdle19f · Soft To Heavy · 20 ran 18th 300/1
06 Dec 25 Navan Clash Gold (IRE)J: Mr Finian Maguire Tote Always SP Or Better Flat Race16f · Soft To Heavy · 8 ran 7th 100/1
27 Nov 25 Thurles Leonards Choice (IRE)J: Benjamin P Kennedy Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 12th 100/1
21 Nov 25 Fairyhouse Spanish Maid (IRE)J: Mr J H Williamson Michael O'Sullivan & Lorna Brooke Ireland V Britain (Q.R.) Challenge Handicap Chase (0-100)24f · Heavy · 9 ran 4th 18/1
13 Nov 25 Punchestown Spanish Maid (IRE)J: Benjamin P Kennedy Matchbook Betting Exchange Handicap Chase (0-100)24.5f · Heavy · 14 ran PU 125/1
20 Sep 25 Navan Spinans Hill (IRE)J: Mr J Flood Bar One Racing Flat Race16f · Yielding · 16 ran 16th 125/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Francis J Flood's strike rate?
Francis J Flood has won 9 of 440 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 2% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Francis J Flood do best at?
Naas by strike rate: 1 wins from 32 runners (3.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Francis J Flood's Fair A/E?
0.47, from 440 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 12 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).