What is Harry Dunlop's strike rate?

Harry Dunlop has won 182 of 2,399 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.6% (as at 9 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Harry Dunlop do best at?

Haydock by strike rate: 6 wins from 48 runners (12.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Harry Dunlop?

Luke Morris, with 260 runners since 2008 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 19 (7.3%).

What is Harry Dunlop's Fair A/E?

0.89, from 2,389 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Harry Dunlop

2,399 runners in the lifetime window · 329 individual horses

As at 9 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Oct 2022 98% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

182–2,399

Wins / Runs

7.6%

Strike rate

n=2,399

586 (24%)

Placed

0.89

Fair A/E

n=2,389 · 0.76 incl. margin

−802.75

£1 level stake

n=2,398 at SP · −33.5%

£2.55m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10.1%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 130 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.89). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 9% (32 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,399 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 9 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 29.1% when favourite Luke Morris: 7.3% from 260 Claiming riders: 8.2% Sends off the favourite in 5% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Folkestone (17.5%, n=40), clear of the yard's 7.6% baseline. Debutants struggle at 1.5% (n=269, Fair A/E 0.44). In Group and Graded company the record are the standout value angle: 9.3% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.21 and +55.00 to a £1 stake over 140 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 6% strike, Fair A/E 0.72 and −178.24 to a £1 stake over 349 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Luke Morris rides 11% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (7.3%, A/E 0.74). The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (15.5%, n=58) and in Class 3 (14%, n=86). 13 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix Guillaume d'Ornano Haras du Logis Saint-Germain at Deauville (FR) (Aug 2018, £201,770). The stable star of the record: Adaay In Asia (GB) — 7 wins from 18 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.6% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

6%−1.6

n=349 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −178.24

New recruits · first run for the yard

4.3%−3.3

n=46 · A/E 0.63 · £1 −33.00

Debutants · first career start

1.5%−6.1

n=269 · A/E 0.44 · £1 −143.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

5%−2.6

n=160 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −89.09

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

9.4%+1.8

n=32 · A/E 1.30 · £1 −18.50

When favourite

29.1%

n=117 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −20.64

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

8.2%+0.6

n=245 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −99.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

9.3%+1.7

n=140 · A/E 1.21 · £1 +55.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 18.8% vs 7.6% · n=176

With Jim Crowley 17.1% vs 7.6% · n=82

At Folkestone 17.5% vs 7.6% · n=40

With debutants 1.5% vs 7.6% · n=269

Off a 0-7-day break 15.5% vs 7.6% · n=58

In Class 3 14% vs 7.6% · n=86

This filter uses derived form angles computed for 74.4% of the archive so far (as at 9 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 2,351 181 7.7% −761.25

Hurdle 31 1 3.2% −24.50

Chase 9 0 0% −9.00

NH Flat 8 0 0% −8.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 1,012 75 7.4% −403.39

Good to Firm 438 41 9.4% −99.03

Good 380 17 4.5% −195.27

Soft 245 25 10.2% −35.03

Good to Soft 236 17 7.2% −35.35

Firm 48 4 8.3% −26.68

Heavy 40 3 7.5% −8.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 424 28 6.6% −165.33

Lingfield (AW) 282 26 9.2% −88.06

Wolverhampton (AW) 238 20 8.4% −86.50

Salisbury 175 15 8.6% −37.80

Newbury 131 6 4.6% −32.50

Bath 99 8 8.1% −51.68

Lingfield 97 6 6.2% −66.25

Windsor 89 4 4.5% −70.50

Sandown 81 3 3.7% −19.50

Chepstow 79 4 5.1% −54.50

Leicester 65 8 12.3% +32.75

Nottingham 56 4 7.1% −32.50

Haydock 48 6 12.5% +2.50

Newmarket 45 3 6.7% −24.62

Goodwood 44 2 4.5% −18.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 1,022 67 6.6% −459.42

Class 6 624 46 7.4% −314.45

Class 4 392 34 8.7% −88.78

Class 1 141 13 9.2% +54.00

Class 2 88 8 9.1% −16.00

Class 3 86 12 14% +45.00

Class 7 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 148 42 28.4% 1.00 −20.29

2nd–3rd fav 449 63 14% 0.87 −124.86

4th–6th fav 807 56 6.9% 0.93 −193.80

7th+ in betting 994 20 2% 0.68 −463.80

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 785 47 6% −263.77

1m2f – 1m4f 701 62 8.8% −244.39

1m – 1m1f 552 46 8.3% −123.13

1m5f – 2m 222 20 9% −65.37

Under 6f 111 7 6.3% −78.09

2m1f – 2m4f 24 0 0% −24.00

2m5f – 3m 4 0 0% −4.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 193 9 4.7% −108.32

2009 198 17 8.6% −54.50

2010 174 7 4% −114.75

2011 127 9 7.1% −75.58

2012 130 13 10% +65.25

2013 161 16 9.9% −56.33

2014 144 11 7.6% −56.42

2015 178 19 10.7% −62.72

2016 213 19 8.9% −25.62

2017 192 11 5.7% −107.28

2018 198 13 6.6% −67.15

2019 147 5 3.4% −101.00

2020 122 9 7.4% −39.00

2021 133 15 11.3% −14.53

2022 89 9 10.1% +15.20

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,200 106 8.8% −369.88

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 803 68 8.5% −177.26

11-13 runners 797 44 5.5% −359.47

5-7 runners 441 47 10.7% −104.61

14-16 runners 247 10 4% −118.25

17+ runners 61 2 3.3% −28.80

2-4 runners 49 10 20.4% −14.36

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Rum Swizzle (GB) 32 4 12 2 Dec 17

Coastal Cyclone (GB) 31 1 4 14 Sep 19

Saint Helena (IRE)then Jim Best 31 4 10 13 Oct 13

Robin Of Navan (FR) 30 4 12 8 Sep 19

Early Morning (IRE) 30 5 14 28 Jun 18

Miss Tiger Lily (GB) 29 4 14 6 May 17

Storm Rock (GB) 27 3 6 13 Dec 17

Viking Storm (GB) 25 6 11 13 Jun 15

Just An Idea (IRE)then Roger Ingram 24 2 2 22 Oct 18

Poitin (GB)then Keith Henry Clarke 24 3 8 29 Aug 14

Sea Of Charm (FR)then Barry Brennan 23 1 11 27 Oct 22

Crocus Rose (GB) 23 3 10 2 Nov 11

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 329 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 11 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 3 arrived from another yard in our archive; 57 had their first archived run for this yard.

31 have since run for another yard, most often for Fergal Birrane (2); 29 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

7668649127977

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderLuke Morris

11% of all rides
7.3% SR · A/E 0.74

RiderRWSR£1

Luke Morris 260 19 7.3% −93.93

David Probert 104 7 6.7% −68.47

Jimmy Quinn 87 5 5.7% −54.50

James Doyle 85 7 8.2% −6.00

Jim Crowley 82 14 17.1% +97.38

Dane O'Neill 77 3 3.9% −50.50

Adam Kirby 57 7 12.3% −5.00

Sam Hitchcott 55 4 7.3% −23.50

Richard Kingscote 54 7 13% +58.38

Steve Drowne 53 2 3.8% −26.00

Eddie Ahern 53 4 7.5% −37.44

Tom Queally 50 4 8% −33.96

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→

192

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.64m

Prize money

2016

Best season · 19 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Knight To Behold (IRE) — Prix Guillaume d'Ornano Haras du Logis Saint-Germain (3yo) (Turf) Deauville (FR) · Aug 2018 · Group 2

£201,770

Robin Of Navan (FR) — Criterium de Saint-Cloud (2yo Colts & Fillies) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · Nov 2015 · Group 1

£110,736

Fighting Irish (IRE) — Criterium de Maisons-Laffitte (2yo) (Turf) Maisons-Laffitte (FR) · Oct 2017 · Group 2

£92,564

Notable horses

Adaay In Asia (GB) Viking Storm (GB) Early Morning (IRE) Rum Swizzle (GB) Saint Helena (IRE) Robin Of Navan (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Royal Applause (GB) 9.2% · 6–65

Progeny have won 8.6% of 12,434 runs since 2008 (774 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.4% from 323.

Holy Roman Emperor (IRE) 7.9% · 5–63

Progeny have won 10.3% of 11,886 runs since 2010 (949 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.9% from 305.

Kheleyf (USA) 5.8% · 3–52

Progeny have won 8.7% of 10,551 runs since 2008 (676 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 12.2% from 131. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.6% from 880.

Diktat (GB) 15.2% · 7–46

Progeny have won 8.2% of 4,931 runs since 2008 (337 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.4% from 431. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 5.1% from 156.

Dr Fong (USA) 15.4% · 6–39

Progeny have won 9.4% of 4,593 runs since 2008 (350 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 5.1% from 158.

American Post (GB) 13.5% · 5–37

Progeny have won 10.1% of 2,964 runs since 2008 (263 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.9% from 108.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 9 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,568 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,568 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 November 2006 to 27 October 2022.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

27 Oct 22 Lingfield (AW) Sea Of Charm (FR)J: Rob Hornby talkSPORT EBF River Eden Fillies' Stakes (Fillies' & Mares' Listed)Class 1 · 13f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 200/1

22 Oct 22 Newbury Charming Lily (GB)J: Dylan Hogan Conundrum Consulting EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Str)Class 4 · 8f · Heavy · 7 ran 7th 22/1

18 Oct 22 Kempton (AW) Escape Free (IRE)J: David Probert Try Our New Price Boosts At Unibet Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 11f · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 5th 10/3F

14 Oct 22 Haydock Maketh Believeth (IRE)J: George Rooke Get Daily Tips At racingtv.com HandicapClass 4 · 16f · Heavy · 10 ran 5th 15/2

12 Oct 22 Nottingham Entrancement (FR)J: Rob Hornby Join Racing TV Now NurseryClass 5 · 8.5f · Soft · 10 ran 1st 6/1

11 Oct 22 Leicester Solar Prophet (GB)J: Rob Hornby Bet At racingtv.com Selling StakesClass 4 · 7f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 5th 11/4

11 Oct 22 Leicester Sea Of Charm (FR)J: Rose Dawes Visit racingtv.com Apprentice HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 2nd 13/2

10 Oct 22 Wolverhampton (AW) Point Louise (GB)J: Christian Howarth At The Races App Expert Tips HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 10/3

07 Oct 22 Newmarket Polly Pott (GB)J: David Probert bet365 Fillies' Mile (Group 1)Class 1 · 8f · Good · 8 ran 4th 14/1

05 Oct 22 Nottingham Solar Prophet (GB)J: Neil Callan Watch On Racing TV Handicap (Div 1)Class 4 · 8.5f · Soft · 11 ran 7th 33/1

29 Sep 22 Wolverhampton (AW) Sea Of Charm (FR)J: Dylan Hogan At The Races App Expert Tips Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 12f · Standard · 8 ran 3rd 9/2

29 Sep 22 Wolverhampton (AW) Entrancement (FR)J: Luke Morris Download The At The Races App NurseryClass 5 · 8.5f · Standard · 7 ran 2nd 10/1

29 Sep 22 Lingfield (AW) Escape Free (IRE)J: Hector Crouch Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 8/1

28 Sep 22 Kempton (AW) Charming Lily (GB)J: Dylan Hogan Unibet Horserace Betting Operator Of The Year/EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 3rd 18/1

17 Sep 22 Wolverhampton (AW) Magnificent Millie (GB)J: Luke Morris At The Races App Market Movers Selling StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 7 ran 6th 17/2

13 Sep 22 Wolverhampton (AW) Point Louise (GB)J: Saffie Osborne Download The At The Races App HandicapClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 13 ran 2nd 5/1

08 Sep 22 Doncaster Polly Pott (GB)J: Daniel Tudhope Cazoo May Hill Stakes (Fillies' Group 2) (Str)Class 1 · 8f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 1st 40/1

07 Sep 22 Kempton (AW) Escape Free (IRE)J: David Probert Unibet Support Safe Gambling Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 11f · Standard To Slow · 5 ran 4th 18/1

07 Sep 22 Kempton (AW) Entrancement (FR)J: David Probert Unibet Horserace Betting Operator Of The Year NurseryClass 6 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 7 ran 3rd 12/1

07 Sep 22 Doncaster Adaay In Asia (GB)J: Dylan Hogan Japan Racing Association Sceptre Fillies' Stakes (Fillies' & Mares' Group 3)Class 1 · 7f · Good · 11 ran 7th 7/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Harry Dunlop's strike rate?: Harry Dunlop has won 182 of 2,399 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.6% (as at 9 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Harry Dunlop do best at?: Haydock by strike rate: 6 wins from 48 runners (12.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Harry Dunlop?: Luke Morris, with 260 runners since 2008 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 19 (7.3%).
What is Harry Dunlop's Fair A/E?: 0.89, from 2,389 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.