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Trainer profile

Hilal Kobeissi

197 runners in the lifetime window · 52 individual horses
As at 13 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 8 days ago 100% of runners on the flat
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
12–197
Wins / Runs
6.1%
Strike rate
n=197
49 (25%)
Placed
0.82
n=195 · 0.76 incl. margin
+9.45
£1 level stake
n=197 at SP · +4.8%
£184k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.82). With a claiming rider up the record reads 8% (51 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 197 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 13 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 7.8%
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 3.1% (n=32, Fair A/E 0.00). The yard also reads well over 6f – 7f (10.6%, n=94) and in Class 5 (10.1%, n=89). The record reads poorly in Class 6 — 0% over 42 runners, 6.1pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
3.1%−3.0
n=32 · A/E 0.00 · £1 +9.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−6.1
n=19 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −19.00
Debutants · first career start
6.1%+0.0
n=33 · A/E 1.78 · £1 −5.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
5.6%−0.5
n=18 · A/E 1.40 · £1 −3.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−6.1
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
When favourite
0%
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
7.8%+1.7
n=51 · A/E 0.77 · £1 +17.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−6.1
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Class 6 0% vs 6.1% · n=42
Over 6f – 7f 10.6% vs 6.1% · n=94
In Class 5 10.1% vs 6.1% · n=89
Over 1m – 1m1f 2.1% vs 6.1% · n=48
On Good going 3% vs 6.1% · n=33
Over 1m2f – 1m4f 3.3% vs 6.1% · n=30
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 97 4 4.1% −52.88
Good to Firm 47 4 8.5% +75.00
Good 33 1 3% −18.00
Soft 10 2 20% +7.33
Good to Soft 6 1 16.7% +2.00
Heavy 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 29 1 3.4% −25.88
Chelmsford (AW) 25 2 8% −3.00
Kempton (AW) 17 0 0% −17.00
Lingfield (AW) 14 0 0% −14.00
Windsor 13 3 23.1% +77.00
Yarmouth 11 0 0% −11.00
Southwell (AW) 9 1 11.1% +10.00
Doncaster 9 1 11.1% −4.67
Brighton 8 3 37.5% +50.00
Newmarket 7 0 0% −7.00
Goodwood 6 0 0% −6.00
Nottingham 5 0 0% −5.00
Lingfield 5 0 0% −5.00
Newmarket 4 0 0% −4.00
Newbury 4 1 25% +6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 89 9 10.1% +80.45
Class 6 42 0 0% −42.00
Class 4 35 2 5.7% −17.00
Class 2 17 0 0% −17.00
Class 1 8 0 0% −8.00
Class 3 6 1 16.7% +13.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 7 0 0% 0.00 −7.00
2nd–3rd fav 37 3 8.1% 0.59 −25.55
4th–6th fav 65 8 12.3% 1.71 +63.00
7th+ in betting 88 1 1.1% 0.49 −21.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Rolling The Dice (IRE)then P Twomey 9 1 1 26 Aug 22
Majd Al Kazem (FR) 8 0 0 22 Oct 26
Swift Winds (IRE) 8 1 2 29 Nov 25
Major J (GB)from Marco Botti 8 0 3 27 Oct 21
Tourist (GB)from Jack Jones · then Robert Cowell 7 2 5 24 Aug 24
Marwaan (GB) 6 1 2 23 Oct 25
Bomba Del Mundo (IRE) 6 1 1 10 Oct 25
Al Baarez (IRE) 6 0 0 14 Aug 25
Justice Twice (IRE) 6 0 4 4 Jul 25
Inspired Knowhow (GB)from Marco Botti 6 0 0 28 Jun 25
All 52 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 52 horses listed, 19 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Marco Botti (2) and Mike Murphy & Michael Keady (2); 33 had their first archived run for this yard.

12 have since run for another yard, most often for Michael Keady (3); 40 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
00130947943811
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Taryn Langley 15 2 13.3% +30.00
Darragh Keenan 13 2 15.4% +73.00
Sean D Bowen 12 1 8.3% −4.00
Faleh Bughenaim 12 2 16.7% +16.00
Clifford Lee 12 1 8.3% −5.00
Daniel Muscutt 11 0 0% −11.00
Benoit De La Sayette 9 0 0% −9.00
Marco Ghiani 6 0 0% −6.00
Kieran Shoemark 5 1 20% −1.88
Tom Eaves 4 0 0% −4.00
Laura Pearson 4 0 0% −4.00
Paddy Bradley 4 0 0% −4.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2020→
12
Archived wins
£184k
Prize money
2025
Best season · 6 wins
Well Enough (IRE) — Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap Southwell (AW) · Mar 2025 · Class 3
£7,956
Tourist (GB) — Thames Alfa Romeo Slough Handicap Windsor · Aug 2024 · Class 4
£5,653
Rolling The Dice (IRE) — Laithwaites Wine EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race) Newbury · Jul 2021 · Class 4
£5,400

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Kodiac (GB) 5% · 1–20
Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,604 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.
Mehmas (IRE) 11.1% · 2–18
Progeny have won 11.5% of 8,243 runs since 2020 (755 horses).
The Gurkha (IRE) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 9.6% of 2,032 runs since 2020 (127 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.7% from 183. Weakest on Heavy going: 2.9% from 105. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.3% from 112.
No Nay Never (USA) 11.1% · 1–9
Progeny have won 12.1% of 6,381 runs since 2018 (710 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 9.1% from 618. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.5% from 187.
New Bay (GB) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 14.3% of 4,007 runs since 2020 (426 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 10.8% from 102.
Siyouni (FR) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 13% of 8,375 runs since 2014 (980 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 9.3% from 460.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 13 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 197 · newest first

The latest 50 of 197 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 September 2020 to 5 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
20 Jun 26 Newmarket Shavkat (GB)J: Finley Marsh JCB Tele-Handler HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 6th 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 12 Oct 2026: top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · to 12 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Hilal Kobeissi's strike rate?
Hilal Kobeissi has won 12 of 197 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.1% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Hilal Kobeissi in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Hilal Kobeissi's Fair A/E?
0.82, from 195 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 13 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).