James Andrew Fahey
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.95).
Debutants struggle at 0% (n=51, Fair A/E 0.00). Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 5.5% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.53 and +22.33 to a £1 stake over 127 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Kevin Sexton rides 15% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (6.8%, A/E 1.08) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Chase races (9.1%, n=66) and off a 61-180-day break (9%, n=67). The market has also underrated the yard over 2m1f – 2m4f: Fair A/E 1.31 across 255 runners (7.8% strike, +30.16 to a £1 stake). The record reads poorly in Flat races — 0% over 47 runners, 5.1pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 2m5f – 3m: Fair A/E 0.34 across 104 runners (1.9% strike, −98.10 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Co-Op Superstores Handicap Chase at Cork (Oct 2023, £26,550).
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 5.1% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2019→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 494 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 494 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 19 January 2019 to 3 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 9 Oct 2026: top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 1) · fastest on KTB Speed in 2 runs (won 1, 1 did not run) · to 23 Oct 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is James Andrew Fahey's strike rate?
- James Andrew Fahey has won 25 of 494 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.1% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does James Andrew Fahey do best at?
- Sligo by strike rate: 4 wins from 58 runners (6.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for James Andrew Fahey?
- Kevin Sexton, with 73 runners since 2008 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (6.8%).
- Is James Andrew Fahey in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is James Andrew Fahey's Fair A/E?
- 0.95, from 494 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.