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Trainer profile

James Andrew Fahey

494 runners in the lifetime window · 75 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 3 days ago 90% of runners over jumps
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
25–494
Wins / Runs
5.1%
Strike rate
n=494
99 (20%)
Placed
0.95
n=494 · 0.76 incl. margin
−169.94
£1 level stake
n=494 at SP · −34.4%
£385k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
4.6%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.95).

Deterministic profile computed from 494 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 5.5% Kevin Sexton: 6.8% from 73
The read

Debutants struggle at 0% (n=51, Fair A/E 0.00). Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 5.5% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.53 and +22.33 to a £1 stake over 127 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Kevin Sexton rides 15% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (6.8%, A/E 1.08) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Chase races (9.1%, n=66) and off a 61-180-day break (9%, n=67). The market has also underrated the yard over 2m1f – 2m4f: Fair A/E 1.31 across 255 runners (7.8% strike, +30.16 to a £1 stake). The record reads poorly in Flat races — 0% over 47 runners, 5.1pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 2m5f – 3m: Fair A/E 0.34 across 104 runners (1.9% strike, −98.10 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Co-Op Superstores Handicap Chase at Cork (Oct 2023, £26,550).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
5.5%+0.4
n=127 · A/E 1.53 · £1 +22.33
New recruits · first run for the yard
3.7%−1.4
n=27 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −22.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−5.1
n=51 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −51.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
10.7%+5.6
n=28 · A/E 3.29 · £1 +49.83
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−5.1
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
When favourite
14.3%
n=14 · A/E 0.52 · £1 −10.60
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.9%−0.2
n=288 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −89.60
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
10.5%+5.4
n=19 · A/E 2.95 · £1 −2.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With debutants 0% vs 5.1% · n=51
In Flat races 0% vs 5.1% · n=47
In Chase races 9.1% vs 5.1% · n=66
Off a 61-180-day break 9% vs 5.1% · n=67
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 7.8% vs 5.1% · n=255
Over 2m5f – 3m 1.9% vs 5.1% · n=104
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 312 15 4.8% −89.77
NH Flat 69 4 5.8% −13.50
Chase 66 6 9.1% −19.67
Flat 47 0 0% −47.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 184 8 4.3% −112.27
Soft 164 9 5.5% −6.50
Good to Soft 91 6 6.6% −16.67
Heavy 52 2 3.8% −31.50
Standard (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00
Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Sligo 58 4 6.9% −27.00
Downpatrick 43 2 4.7% −20.43
Punchestown 39 2 5.1% +43.00
Limerick 34 2 5.9% −20.67
Fairyhouse 29 1 3.4% −20.50
Kilbeggan 28 4 14.3% −0.67
Thurles 27 2 7.4% −10.50
Clonmel 26 0 0% −26.00
Tramore 24 1 4.2% −1.00
Ballinrobe 24 1 4.2% −22.17
Roscommon 21 1 4.8% +13.00
Listowel 21 1 4.8% −17.00
Cork 18 1 5.6% −10.50
Wexford 18 2 11.1% +25.50
Naas 14 0 0% −14.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 19 2 10.5% −2.50
Class 6 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 16 2 12.5% 0.47 −12.60
2nd–3rd fav 53 10 18.9% 1.39 −0.34
4th–6th fav 121 8 6.6% 1.06 +28.00
7th+ in betting 304 5 1.6% 0.68 −185.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
83.6% completed · 378 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 66 77.3% 1 4 10 0 0
Hurdle 312 84.9% 4 4 36 2 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Angelsworknovrtime (IRE) 34 1 7 3 Nov 26
Typical Thomas (IRE) 29 3 7 11 Oct 26
Jazz Ranger (IRE)from P A Fahy 24 1 6 13 Oct 22
Vroomvroomboo (IRE) 20 0 3 3 Nov 26
Demanding Gerry (IRE) 18 0 6 1 Oct 26
Dancing Jeremy (IRE)from Ian O'Connor 18 4 10 4 Apr 26
Derby De Thaix (FR)from Thomas Cooper 18 0 4 29 Sep 25
Hazelhatch Lady (IRE) 16 4 4 28 Nov 24
Westernersunrise (IRE) 15 1 5 31 Mar 26
Mamaslittlestar (IRE) 14 1 1 27 May 22
Scully's Dream (IRE)from Seamus Fahey 14 0 3 29 Dec 20
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 75 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 20 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Ian O'Connor (4) and Seamus Fahey (3); 40 had their first archived run for this yard.

13 have since run for another yard, most often for Aidan Anthony Howard (3) and Gordon Elliott (2); 47 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 3
Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0170042955903
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderKevin Sexton
15% of all rides
6.8% SR · A/E 1.08
RiderRWSR£1
Kevin Sexton 73 5 6.8% −19.84
Miss H Heffernan 42 1 2.4% −37.00
Aidan Kelly 33 1 3% +34.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2019→
25
Archived wins
2
Pattern / graded wins
£385k
Prize money
2023
Best season · 7 wins
Typical Thomas (IRE) — Co-Op Superstores Handicap Chase (Listed) Cork · Oct 2023 · Listed
£26,550
Dancing Jeremy (IRE) — Campion Insurance Tim Duggan Memorial Handicap Chase (0-150) (Listed) Limerick · Dec 2024 · Listed
£26,550
Dancing Jeremy (IRE) — Download The BetVictor App Handicap Hurdle Punchestown · Oct 2023
£9,735

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Dylan Thomas (IRE) 5.8% · 3–52
Progeny have won 10.5% of 7,493 runs since 2011 (533 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 17.7% from 192.
Sageburg (IRE) 2.9% · 1–34
Progeny have won 10% of 3,488 runs since 2012 (416 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.4% from 389. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 2.7% from 295. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13.2% from 355.
Westerner (GB) 3.1% · 1–32
Progeny have won 12.2% of 11,858 runs since 2009 (945 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.
Bushranger (IRE) 4.2% · 1–24
Progeny have won 7.7% of 4,449 runs since 2013 (300 horses).
Mahler (GB) 4.8% · 1–21
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,878 runs since 2014 (788 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.
Doyen (IRE) 21.1% · 4–19
Progeny have won 11.6% of 7,381 runs since 2009 (606 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 494 · newest first

The latest 50 of 494 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 19 January 2019 to 3 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 9 Oct 2026: top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 1) · fastest on KTB Speed in 2 runs (won 1, 1 did not run) · to 23 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is James Andrew Fahey's strike rate?
James Andrew Fahey has won 25 of 494 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.1% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does James Andrew Fahey do best at?
Sligo by strike rate: 4 wins from 58 runners (6.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for James Andrew Fahey?
Kevin Sexton, with 73 runners since 2008 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (6.8%).
Is James Andrew Fahey in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is James Andrew Fahey's Fair A/E?
0.95, from 494 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).