What is James Fanshawe's strike rate?

James Fanshawe has won 778 of 5,209 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 14.9% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does James Fanshawe do best at?

Newcastle (AW) by strike rate: 39 wins from 204 runners (19.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for James Fanshawe?

Daniel Muscutt, with 1,103 runners since 2008 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 171 (15.5%).

Is James Fanshawe in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 6 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is James Fanshawe's Fair A/E?

1.02, from 5,180 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

James Fanshawe

5,209 runners in the lifetime window · 645 individual horses

As at 13 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 6.4% of 392 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 13 Nov 2026.

Last runner 6 days ago 99% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

778–5,209

Wins / Runs

14.9%

Strike rate

n=5,209

2,038 (39%)

Placed

1.02

Fair A/E

n=5,180 · 0.87 incl. margin

−919.51

£1 level stake

n=5,209 at SP · −17.7%

£15.1m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

19.1%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 270 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 15% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.02). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 17% (66 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 5,209 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 13 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Mar 33.6% when favourite Daniel Muscutt: 15.5% from 1,103 New recruits: 16.3% Sends off the favourite in 18% of races

The read

It is weakest at Newmarket (5.1% over 158 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 6.7% (n=553, Fair A/E 0.97). Daniel Muscutt rides 21% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (15.5%, A/E 1.01) — the market has that partnership priced right. 62 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Diamond Jubilee Stakes at Ascot (Jun 2017, £340,260). The stable star of the record: The Tin Man (GB) — 9 wins from 31 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Feb–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 14.9% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

14.5%−0.4

n=880 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −152.09

New recruits · first run for the yard

16.3%+1.4

n=49 · A/E 1.15 · £1 −15.88

Debutants · first career start

6.7%−8.2

n=553 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −128.87

First-time headgear · true-first definition

14.1%−0.8

n=297 · A/E 1.29 · £1 −23.13

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

16.7%+1.8

n=66 · A/E 1.24 · £1 +18.63

When favourite

33.6%

n=920 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −92.14

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

13.5%−1.4

n=400 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −103.51

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

11.5%−3.4

n=434 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −55.93

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 14.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Windsor 3.6% vs 14.9% · n=111

With debutants 6.7% vs 14.9% · n=553

At Warwick 0% vs 14.9% · n=31

At Newmarket 5.1% vs 14.9% · n=158

With Oisin Murphy 24.4% vs 14.9% · n=119

With Tom Marquand 24.7% vs 14.9% · n=81

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 5,144 769 14.9% −882.94

Hurdle 51 6 11.8% −29.03

Chase 8 2 25% −4.79

NH Flat 6 1 16.7% −2.75

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 2,327 397 17.1% −485.25

Good 977 133 13.6% −27.89

Good to Firm 936 127 13.6% −292.84

Good to Soft 463 63 13.6% −75.13

Soft 418 48 11.5% −1.81

Heavy 75 9 12% −34.59

Firm 13 1 7.7% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton 1,048 181 17.3% −113.01

Wolverhampton (AW) 408 69 16.9% −128.17

Lingfield 347 62 17.9% −95.83

Yarmouth 334 47 14.1% −1.81

Doncaster 321 53 16.5% +39.70

Nottingham 217 28 12.9% −67.68

Ascot 216 25 11.6% −25.29

Newcastle (AW) 204 39 19.1% −36.18

Newmarket 183 17 9.3% −64.37

Chelmsford (AW) 179 23 12.8% −80.93

Leicester 162 31 19.1% +17.85

Newmarket 158 8 5.1% −85.50

Southwell (AW) 138 22 15.9% −32.83

Newbury 129 17 13.2% −25.47

Goodwood 125 20 16% −26.89

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 2,143 298 13.9% −520.42

Class 4 1,130 193 17.1% −176.96

Class 6 533 105 19.7% +19.13

Class 2 484 57 11.8% −86.09

Class 3 474 75 15.8% −88.24

Class 1 441 50 11.3% −62.93

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 1,082 339 31.3% 1.04 −139.05

2nd–3rd fav 1,656 287 17.3% 1.03 −217.36

4th–6th fav 1,599 119 7.4% 0.93 −378.10

7th+ in betting 872 33 3.8% 1.05 −185.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 1,768 264 14.9% −296.98

1m2f – 1m4f 1,578 233 14.8% −290.98

1m – 1m1f 1,327 187 14.1% −177.78

1m5f – 2m 397 68 17.1% −124.75

Under 6f 110 24 21.8% −9.77

2m1f – 2m4f 28 2 7.1% −18.25

2m5f – 3m 1 0 0% −1.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 316 36 11.4% −116.34

2009 216 27 12.5% −18.63

2010 199 31 15.6% −34.26

2011 204 33 16.2% +103.35

2012 223 34 15.2% −21.13

2013 211 41 19.4% +39.71

2014 308 42 13.6% −70.28

2015 263 47 17.9% −15.90

2016 256 47 18.4% −26.41

2017 279 34 12.2% −109.61

2018 310 38 12.3% −110.00

2019 332 54 16.3% −71.79

2020 266 36 13.5% +3.73

2021 227 30 13.2% −71.79

2022 225 30 13.3% −92.71

2023 320 49 15.3% −83.72

2024 368 59 16% −36.18

2025 335 43 12.8% −139.97

2026 351 67 19.1% −47.58

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 2,948 489 16.6% −442.27

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 1,837 290 15.8% −258.23

11-13 runners 1,577 196 12.4% −252.25

5-7 runners 983 201 20.4% −181.68

14-16 runners 517 51 9.9% −123.33

17+ runners 198 15 7.6% −71.92

2-4 runners 97 25 25.8% −32.10

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Fresh (GB) 42 5 16 3 Dec 25

Knight Owl (GB) 38 6 17 22 Aug 18

He's My Boy (IRE) 33 4 7 19 Aug 17

Incendo (GB)then Ian Williams 33 4 14 4 Oct 12

The Tin Man (GB) 31 9 15 17 Oct 20

Mazzini (GB) 30 6 16 10 Oct 18

Wannabe Brave (IRE) 29 5 13 24 May 25

Envisaging (IRE) 28 2 7 1 Oct 21

Lord George (IRE) 28 4 10 3 Sep 19

Spensley (IRE) 28 5 9 12 Dec 12

Serenading (GB) 27 4 9 20 Aug 22

Mac's Power (IRE)from P O'Gorman · then Willie Musson 26 3 11 11 Oct 12

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 645 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 16 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 2 arrived from another yard in our archive; 58 had their first archived run for this yard.

14 have since run for another yard, most often for Adrian McGuinness (2) and Denis Coakley (2); 46 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 6

Only 6 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

152720131216131716151315

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderDaniel Muscutt

21% of all rides
15.5% SR · A/E 1.01

RiderRWSR£1

Daniel Muscutt 1,103 171 15.5% −179.98

George Wood 488 68 13.9% −86.74

Tom Queally 325 43 13.2% −120.90

Frederik Tylicki 308 60 19.5% −6.10

Hayley Turner 231 39 16.9% −6.27

Pat Cosgrave 156 21 13.5% +4.29

Jamie Spencer 154 24 15.6% −39.08

Ross Coakley 120 17 14.2% −31.99

Oisin Murphy 119 29 24.4% −2.67

Shane Kelly 117 20 17.1% +4.21

Eddie Ahern 96 13 13.5% +15.54

Tom Marquand 81 20 24.7% +16.37

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

918

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£17.4m

Prize money

2026

Best season · 67 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

The Tin Man (GB) — Diamond Jubilee Stakes (Group 1) Ascot · Jun 2017 · Group 1

£340,260

The Tin Man (GB) — Qipco British Champions Sprint Stakes (Group 1) Ascot · Oct 2016 · Group 1

£340,260

Seal Of Approval (GB) — Qipco British Champions Fillies & Mares Stakes (Group 1) Ascot · Oct 2013 · Group 1

£300,563

Notable horses

The Tin Man (GB) Cesare (GB) Zidane (GB) Hallelujah (GB) Buster Hyvonen (IRE) Primaeval (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Pivotal (GB) 16.7% · 20–120

Progeny have won 13.6% of 12,790 runs since 2008 (1,019 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.4% from 108.

Iffraaj (GB) 16.2% · 19–117

Progeny have won 10.5% of 13,998 runs since 2010 (1,093 horses).

Acclamation (GB) 17.7% · 20–113

Progeny have won 10% of 19,719 runs since 2008 (1,327 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 195.

Exceed and Excel (AUS) 19.1% · 21–110

Progeny have won 11.9% of 16,039 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.

Dark Angel (IRE) 12.4% · 13–105

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,957 runs since 2011 (1,596 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Rock Of Gibraltar (IRE) 16.8% · 17–101

Progeny have won 9.8% of 11,568 runs since 2008 (872 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 13 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 6,117 · newest first

The latest 50 of 6,117 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 12 January 2005 to 7 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

07 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) Shankari (GB)J: Daniel Muscutt ARC All Weather Bonus Is Back EBF "Confined" Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D With No More Than Three Runs) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 5th 40/1

04 Nov 26 Kempton (AW) Heathcliff (GB)J: Daniel Muscutt Bet £20 Get £20 With Unibet Handicap StakesClass 2 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 9 ran 3rd 11/1

04 Nov 26 Kempton (AW) Ensconced (GB)J: Daniel Muscutt British EBF Future Stayers Maiden Stakes (Sire And Dam Restricted Race) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 11th 28/1

04 Nov 26 Kempton (AW) Spicey Bear (IRE)J: Daniel Muscutt Unibet/British EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (Div II) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 12 ran 12th 7/1

04 Nov 26 Kempton (AW) Final Dash (GB)J: Daniel Muscutt Unibet/British EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (Div I) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 12th 80/1

02 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Archer's Grace (IRE)J: Daniel Muscutt AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Standard · 8 ran 4th 9/4J

26 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Roy Lane (GB)J: Daniel Muscutt Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 12 ran 1st 1/1F

26 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Caviar Cowboy (GB)J: Daniel Muscutt Unibet 40,000+ Live Streamed Events Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 12 ran 6th 12/1

23 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) So Sassy (IRE)J: Daniel Muscutt Awc Season 14 Has Begun Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 2/1F

23 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) What's The Plan (GB)J: Daniel Muscutt Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap StakesClass 4 · 9.5f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 15/2

22 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Celestias Comet (IRE)J: David Egan Midnite Are Upping The Betting Game Handicap StakesClass 5 · 11f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 100/30F

21 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Mesolithic (GB)J: Daniel Muscutt Unibet/british Stallion Studs Ebf Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 5th 12/1

20 Oct 26 Yarmouth Pietro (IRE)J: Taryn Langley Join Moulton Racing Syndicate Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Soft · 9 ran 3rd 7/4F

17 Oct 26 Ascot Kind Of Blue (GB)J: Billy Loughnane Qatar Racing British Champions Sprint Stakes (Group 1)Class 1 · 6f · Good · 16 ran 10th 14/1

14 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Wonder (GB)J: George Wood Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap Stakes (London Middle Distance Qualifier) (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 11f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 6th 10/1

14 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Charmaine (GB)J: Kaiya Fraser Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap Stakes (London Middle Distance Qualifier) (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 11f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 4th 8/1

14 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Augustus Gloop (GB)J: George Wood Unibet London Sprint Series Final Handicap Stakes (Series Final - Qualified Horses Only)Class 2 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 6th 14/1

14 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Philanthropist (GB)J: George Wood Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 12 ran 4th 5/1

12 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Tredegar Square (GB)J: Oisin Murphy Racing TV EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (Div II) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 5th 11/8F

12 Oct 26 Yarmouth So Sassy (IRE)J: Daniel Muscutt First Furnishings Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 2nd 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 6 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 4 runs (won 2) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 3 runs (won 1) · fastest on KTB Speed in 3 runs (won 2) · to 26 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is James Fanshawe's strike rate?: James Fanshawe has won 778 of 5,209 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 14.9% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does James Fanshawe do best at?: Newcastle (AW) by strike rate: 39 wins from 204 runners (19.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for James Fanshawe?: Daniel Muscutt, with 1,103 runners since 2008 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 171 (15.5%).
Is James Fanshawe in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 6 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is James Fanshawe's Fair A/E?: 1.02, from 5,180 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.