What is Jo Davis's strike rate?

Jo Davis has won 47 of 855 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.5% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Jo Davis do best at?

Worcester by strike rate: 6 wins from 73 runners (8.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Jo Davis?

James Davies, with 83 runners since 2008 — 10% of the total. That pairing has won 2 (2.4%).

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Jo Davis's Fair A/E?

0.91, from 854 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Jo Davis

855 runners in the lifetime window · 133 individual horses

As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner yesterday 91% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

47–855

Wins / Runs

5.5%

Strike rate

n=855

165 (19%)

Placed

0.91

Fair A/E

n=854 · 0.79 incl. margin

−447.06

£1 level stake

n=855 at SP · −52.3%

£439k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

6.3%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 50 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.91).

Deterministic profile computed from 855 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 29 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires May–Jul James Davies: 2.4% from 83

The read

New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 0% (n=65, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 4.4% strike, Fair A/E 0.78 and −163.92 to a £1 stake over 252 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. James Davies rides 10% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (2.4% vs 5.5%, A/E 0.56). One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Lord Mildmay Memorial Handicap Chase at Newton Abbot (Aug 2010, £22,532). The stable star of the record: Passato (GER) — 9 wins from 57 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires May–Jul.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.5% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

5.2%−0.3

n=288 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −143.99

New recruits · first run for the yard

0%−5.5

n=65 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −65.00

Debutants · first career start

1.8%−3.7

n=57 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −36.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

0%−5.5

n=65 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −65.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

4%−1.5

n=50 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −40.25

When favourite

44.4%

n=18 · A/E 1.59 · £1 +7.50

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

4.4%−1.1

n=252 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −163.92

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

7.1%+1.6

n=14 · A/E 2.28 · £1 +1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 18.4% vs 5.5% · n=49

With C&D winners 15.9% vs 5.5% · n=44

With Danny Burton 12.8% vs 5.5% · n=39

With Gavin Sheehan 11.9% vs 5.5% · n=59

With first-time headgear 0% vs 5.5% · n=65

With new recruits 0% vs 5.5% · n=65

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 497 27 5.4% −228.02

Chase 184 13 7.1% −114.12

NH Flat 97 3 3.1% −53.00

Flat 77 4 5.2% −51.92

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 314 19 6.1% −172.50

Good to Soft 170 8 4.7% −73.37

Soft 166 10 6% −82.94

Good to Firm 91 5 5.5% −57.25

Heavy 71 3 4.2% −35.00

Standard (AW) 42 2 4.8% −25.00

Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Worcester 73 6 8.2% −31.74

Fontwell 65 4 6.2% −9.40

Stratford 58 4 6.9% −40.00

Uttoxeter 51 4 7.8% −20.00

Huntingdon 50 4 8% −11.75

Newbury 47 1 2.1% −32.00

Chepstow 42 2 4.8% −33.25

Taunton 34 1 2.9% −25.50

Wincanton 33 2 6.1% −19.00

Warwick 32 1 3.1% −27.67

Plumpton 28 1 3.6% −18.00

Towcester 28 0 0% −28.00

Exeter 28 2 7.1% −14.00

Ffos Las 24 1 4.2% +2.00

Newton Abbot 23 1 4.3% −8.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 351 19 5.4% −213.36

Class 5 264 11 4.2% −150.65

Class 3 108 8 7.4% −26.25

Class 6 83 5 6% −31.42

Class 2 28 3 10.7% −19.38

Class 1 19 1 5.3% −4.00

Class 7 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 26 10 38.5% 1.50 +5.75

2nd–3rd fav 102 16 15.7% 1.04 −17.31

4th–6th fav 259 14 5.4% 0.78 −91.50

7th+ in betting 468 7 1.5% 0.61 −344.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

1m5f – 2m 315 14 4.4% −179.75

2m1f – 2m4f 279 17 6.1% −144.87

2m5f – 3m 175 11 6.3% −71.62

1m2f – 1m4f 28 3 10.7% −4.92

1m – 1m1f 22 0 0% −22.00

Over 3m 18 1 5.6% −13.40

6f – 7f 16 1 6.3% −8.50

Under 6f 2 0 0% −2.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 83 1 1.2% −72.00

2009 44 4 9.1% −15.00

2010 54 6 11.1% −12.25

2011 66 1 1.5% −51.00

2012 61 7 11.5% −16.92

2013 61 0 0% −61.00

2014 51 3 5.9% −8.00

2015 43 1 2.3% −22.00

2016 37 4 10.8% −12.62

2017 57 5 8.8% −16.87

2018 43 1 2.3% −39.75

2019 35 3 8.6% −13.75

2020 24 0 0% −24.00

2021 34 0 0% −34.00

2022 25 0 0% −25.00

2023 37 3 8.1% −7.62

2024 32 3 9.4% +9.00

2025 36 3 8.3% −6.38

2026 32 2 6.3% −17.90

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 509 37 7.3% −196.57

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 264 17 6.4% −133.30

11-13 runners 255 6 2.4% −173.00

5-7 runners 166 14 8.4% −72.39

14-16 runners 130 7 5.4% −44.25

17+ runners 27 0 0% −27.00

2-4 runners 13 3 23.1% +2.88

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

78.6% completed · 681 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 184 63% 11 10 46 0 1

Hurdle 497 84.3% 3 2 73 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Passato (GER)from Ronald Harris 57 9 17 25 Aug 15

Festival Dreams (GB) 34 3 12 10 Jun 12

Mr Fitzroy (IRE)from Andrew Balding 31 3 8 25 Nov 21

Star Foot (IRE)from D Buckley 28 5 10 19 May 19

John Biscuit (IRE)from Andrew Balding 25 1 3 18 Jun 19

Marmont (GB) 23 2 8 19 Aug 20

Nataani (IRE)from John Daniel Moore 22 3 9 25 May 14

Heroes Or Ghosts (IRE) 20 1 5 23 Feb 18

It's For Alan (GB) 19 1 4 29 Jul 21

Jolie Baie (FR) 18 4 8 14 Mar 26

Ceejaybe (GB) 18 0 4 19 Feb 26

Indiefront (GB) 16 0 1 27 Aug 15

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 133 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 26 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Andrew Balding (4) and Ronald Harris (3); 34 had their first archived run for this yard.

4 have since run for another yard; 56 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 4

Only 4 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

31103118862525

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderJames Davies

10% of all rides
2.4% SR · A/E 0.56

RiderRWSR£1

James Davies 83 2 2.4% −65.50

Gavin Sheehan 59 7 11.9% +7.50

Page Fuller 49 2 4.1% −37.25

Danny Burton 39 5 12.8% −2.00

Mark Grant 35 1 2.9% −24.00

Sam Jones 35 3 8.6% +8.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£500k

Prize money

2012

Best season · 7 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Passato (GER) — Lord Mildmay Memorial Handicap Chase (Listed) Newton Abbot · Aug 2010 · Listed

£22,532

Benvoy (IRE) — Sodexo Live! Juvenile Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Ascot · Mar 2025 · Class 2

£20,812

Passato (GER) — Jon Pinfold Industrial Cleaners Handicap Chase Stratford · May 2010 · Class 3

£9,428

Notable horses

Passato (GER) Star Foot (IRE) Jolie Baie (FR) Benvoy (IRE) Festival Dreams (GB) Mr Fitzroy (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Lando (GER) 15.8% · 9–57

Progeny have won 10.6% of 1,772 runs since 2008 (190 horses). Strongest on Good going: 14.2% from 431. Weakest on Heavy going: 4.8% from 168.

Largesse (GB) 8.8% · 3–34

Progeny have won 7.3% of 368 runs since 2008 (25 horses).

Indian River (FR) 6.3% · 2–32

Progeny have won 11.2% of 1,381 runs since 2008 (99 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 8% from 224.

Kyllachy (GB) 9.7% · 3–31

Progeny have won 9.9% of 13,847 runs since 2008 (800 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.8% from 468.

Soviet Star (USA) 16.1% · 5–31

Progeny have won 8.7% of 2,621 runs since 2008 (171 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5% from 160. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.6% from 320.

Free Eagle (IRE) 0% · 0–26

Progeny have won 10.6% of 2,405 runs since 2008 (189 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.1% from 131.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,065 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,065 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 28 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

28 Oct 26 Huntingdon Calibos (GB)J: Gavin Sheehan Hospitality At Huntingdon Racecourse Novices' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 8th 8/1

26 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Benvoy (IRE)J: Tom Marquand Aw Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Standard · 6 ran 3rd 2/1F

26 Oct 26 Hereford Sapphire Dream (IRE)J: Gavin Sheehan Betting.Bet Play Champion Tipster Juvenile Maiden Hurdle Race (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Firm · 8 ran PU 20/1

22 Oct 26 Ffos Las Love Me (FR)J: Gavin Sheehan bettingsites.co.uk Quickest Withdrawal Bookies Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 19.5f · Soft · 9 ran 2nd 15/2

07 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Benvoy (IRE)J: Robert Havlin Set Your Limits With Unibet Handicap Stakes (London Stayers Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 16f · Standard / Slow · 9 ran 1st 17/2

07 Oct 26 Worcester Maximum Benefit (IRE)J: Finn Lambert Copybet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 20f · Good · 10 ran 9th 50/1

07 Oct 26 Worcester Calibos (GB)J: Gavin Sheehan Pj Nicholls Kgm Korea Genuinely Made Novices' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 11/1

03 Oct 26 Fontwell Sapphire Dream (IRE)J: Gavin Sheehan Attheraces.com/marketmovers Juvenile Hurdle (gbb Race)Class 4 · 17.5f · Good · 8 ran 5th 28/1

18 Aug 26 Lingfield (AW) Benvoy (IRE)J: Miss Brodie Hampson Follow @AtTheRaces On Instagram Amateur Jockeys' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 16f · Standard · 7 ran 2nd 20/1

16 May 26 Uttoxeter Sawpit Samantha (GB)J: Benjamin Macey QuinnBet Conditional Jockeys' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Good · 10 ran PU 25/1

08 May 26 Market Rasen Calibos (GB)J: Gavin Sheehan Molson Coors Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 12/1

16 Apr 26 Hereford Benvoy (IRE)J: Gavin Sheehan Burcombe Construction Ltd Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 4th 14/1

11 Apr 26 Chepstow Love Me (FR)J: Brendan Powell Tiptop Sensational Shower Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 3rd 10/1

08 Apr 26 Fontwell Maximum Benefit (IRE)J: Finn Lambert Mercedes-Benz Of Chichester Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 11th 33/1

26 Mar 26 Warwick Sawpit Samantha (GB)J: Jack Hogan Best Odds Guaranteed At Betano Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 8th 40/1

21 Mar 26 Bangor-on-Dee Love Me (FR)J: Kielan Woods Tom Jones Live At Chester Racecourse Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19.5f · Good · 10 ran 5th 28/1

18 Mar 26 Huntingdon Jaja Jimmy (GB)J: Tom Bellamy Weatherbys General Stud Book Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 25f · Good · 9 ran PU 14/1

14 Mar 26 Fontwell Jolie Baie (FR)J: Tom Cannon tigerbet.co.uk Extra Places Paid Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 26f · Soft · 6 ran 1st 18/5

14 Mar 26 Fontwell Maximum Benefit (IRE)J: Finn Lambert bettingsites.co.uk UK Betting Sites Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17.5f · Soft · 11 ran 5th 80/1

06 Mar 26 Exeter Benvoy (IRE)J: Gavin Sheehan Brett Martin Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran PU 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Jo Davis's strike rate?: Jo Davis has won 47 of 855 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.5% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Jo Davis do best at?: Worcester by strike rate: 6 wins from 73 runners (8.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Jo Davis?: James Davies, with 83 runners since 2008 — 10% of the total. That pairing has won 2 (2.4%).
Is Jo Davis in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Jo Davis's Fair A/E?: 0.91, from 854 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.