What is Louise Allan's strike rate?

Louise Allan has won 15 of 367 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.1% (as at 11 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Louise Allan do best at?

Chelmsford City (AW) by strike rate: 2 wins from 41 runners (4.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Is Louise Allan in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Louise Allan's Fair A/E?

0.74, from 367 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Louise Allan

367 runners in the lifetime window · 63 individual horses

As at 11 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 9 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

15–367

Wins / Runs

4.1%

Strike rate

n=367

56 (15%)

Placed

0.74

Fair A/E

n=367 · 0.63 incl. margin

−263.43

£1 level stake

n=367 at SP · −71.8%

£122k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

4.3%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.74). New recruits from other yards win at 7% first time out (42 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 367 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 11 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Apr–May New recruits: 7.1% Claiming riders: 4.2%

The read

New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 7.1% (n=42, Fair A/E 1.56). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 4.2% strike, Fair A/E 0.80 and −87.47 to a £1 stake over 119 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. The yard also reads well in Chase races (9.1%, n=33) and over 2m5f – 3m (8.1%, n=37). The record reads poorly in Class 4 — 0% over 66 runners, 4.1pts below the baseline. Seasonally, the yard fires Apr–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.1% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

4%−0.1

n=75 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −55.67

New recruits · first run for the yard

7.1%+3.0

n=42 · A/E 1.56 · £1 −22.67

Debutants · first career start

0%−4.1

n=24 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −24.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

0%−4.1

n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0%−4.1

n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00

When favourite

50%

n=10 · A/E 1.33 · £1 +1.91

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

4.2%+0.1

n=119 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −87.47

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Dylan Hogan 12.9% vs 4.1% · n=31

With C&D winners 10% vs 4.1% · n=40

In Chase races 9.1% vs 4.1% · n=33

In Class 4 0% vs 4.1% · n=66

With horses switching code 0% vs 4.1% · n=44

Over 2m5f – 3m 8.1% vs 4.1% · n=37

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 219 10 4.6% −137.96

Hurdle 88 2 2.3% −71.00

Chase 33 3 9.1% −27.47

NH Flat 27 0 0% −27.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 150 8 5.3% −102.29

Good 95 2 2.1% −53.00

Good to Soft 49 3 6.1% −38.76

Soft 37 1 2.7% −35.38

Good to Firm 25 0 0% −25.00

Heavy 11 1 9.1% −9.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Southwell (AW) 44 2 4.5% −37.62

Chelmsford City (AW) 41 2 4.9% −32.00

Lingfield (AW) 24 2 8.3% −4.50

Huntingdon 23 0 0% −23.00

Wolverhampton (AW) 20 1 5% −15.67

Southwell 20 1 5% −7.00

Fakenham 19 2 10.5% −15.38

Warwick 17 0 0% −17.00

Kempton (AW) 15 0 0% −15.00

Market Rasen 14 0 0% −14.00

Yarmouth 14 0 0% −14.00

Leicester 12 0 0% −12.00

Nottingham 8 0 0% −8.00

Uttoxeter 8 0 0% −8.00

Doncaster 7 0 0% −7.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 169 11 6.5% −89.05

Class 5 120 3 2.5% −101.38

Class 4 66 0 0% −66.00

Class 3 8 0 0% −8.00

Class 7 3 1 33.3% +2.00

Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 10 5 50% 1.33 +1.91

2nd–3rd fav 32 7 21.9% 1.42 +4.66

4th–6th fav 115 1 0.9% 0.14 −102.00

7th+ in betting 210 2 1% 0.45 −168.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

1m2f – 1m4f 123 6 4.9% −65.62

1m5f – 2m 102 3 2.9% −82.67

2m1f – 2m4f 46 1 2.2% −42.00

2m5f – 3m 37 3 8.1% −20.38

6f – 7f 19 1 5.3% −14.67

1m – 1m1f 19 0 0% −19.00

Over 3m 16 1 6.3% −14.09

Under 6f 5 0 0% −5.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2009 1 0 0% −1.00

2011 10 0 0% −10.00

2012 26 0 0% −26.00

2014 6 1 16.7% −4.00

2015 2 0 0% −2.00

2016 8 2 25% −4.47

2017 5 0 0% −5.00

2018 45 2 4.4% −36.00

2019 46 1 2.2% −41.67

2020 20 1 5% −7.00

2021 48 1 2.1% −35.00

2022 45 2 4.4% −34.17

2023 28 2 7.1% −21.62

2024 33 2 6.1% +4.50

2025 21 0 0% −21.00

2026 23 1 4.3% −19.00

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 224 11 4.9% −129.96

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 135 6 4.4% −96.29

11-13 runners 120 4 3.3% −78.67

5-7 runners 56 2 3.6% −52.09

14-16 runners 42 2 4.8% −24.00

17+ runners 7 0 0% −7.00

2-4 runners 7 1 14.3% −5.38

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Bond Spirit (GB) 42 3 10 22 Jan 26

Hard Toffee (IRE)from Conrad Allen 31 2 7 28 Jun 21

Ronni Layne (GB)from Conrad Allen 23 0 4 24 Jul 19

Different Drum (GB)from Harry & Roger Charlton 21 2 7 2 Nov 26

Realms Of Fire (GB)from Caroline Fryer 16 1 3 22 Nov 22

Normandy Blue (GB)from Richard Fahey · then Luke McJannet 15 0 3 16 Jul 19

Harry The Norseman (GB)from Paul Webber 10 1 3 14 Sep 24

Induro De Fontaine (FR) 10 1 4 15 Nov 23

Phoenix Dawn (GB)from Brendan Powell · then Dr Richard Newland 10 0 2 1 Nov 20

Easter Sundae (GB)then John Wainwright 9 0 0 8 May 23

Sense Of Adventure (IRE)from John Whyte 9 0 1 2 Dec 21

Theredballoon (GB)from Chris Bealby 9 0 1 6 May 19

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 63 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 37 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Conrad Allen (3) and Caroline Fryer (2); 23 had their first archived run for this yard.

10 have since run for another yard; 50 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 1

Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

3337120005706

Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderDylan Hogan

8% of all rides
12.9% SR · A/E 1.11

RiderRWSR£1

Dylan Hogan 31 4 12.9% +12.88

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

£122k

Prize money

2024

Best season · 2 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Different Drum (GB) — Ladies Night 4th July Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle (Div 2) Carlisle · Apr 2026 · Class 5

£3,829

Hard Toffee (IRE) — Book Tickets At chelmsfordcityracecourse.com Handicap (Div 1) Chelmsford City (AW) · Dec 2018 · Class 6

£3,493

Bond Spirit (GB) — Betuk Over 40,000 Live Streamed Races Classified Stakes Southwell (AW) · Jan 2023 · Class 6

£3,402

Notable horses

Bond Spirit (GB) Hard Toffee (IRE) Different Drum (GB) Realms Of Fire (GB) Harry The Norseman (GB) Induro De Fontaine (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Monsieur Bond (IRE) 7.1% · 3–42

Progeny have won 8.9% of 5,982 runs since 2008 (373 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.4% from 158.

Teofilo (IRE) 6.5% · 2–31

Progeny have won 12.5% of 10,092 runs since 2011 (908 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.2% from 628.

Native Ruler (GB) 0% · 0–23

Progeny have won 6.7% of 371 runs since 2015 (43 horses). Strongest on Good going: 14.4% from 125.

Sea The Moon (GER) 9.5% · 2–21

Progeny have won 12% of 4,593 runs since 2018 (505 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 15.1% from 816.

Malinas (GER) 5.3% · 1–19

Progeny have won 14.1% of 3,963 runs since 2010 (420 horses).

Phoenix Reach (IRE) 0% · 0–16

Progeny have won 7.8% of 1,950 runs since 2010 (140 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14% from 178. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 3.1% from 257.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 11 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 372 · newest first

The latest 50 of 372 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 18 February 2005 to 2 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

02 Nov 26 Southwell Different Drum (GB)J: Jamie Hamilton Christmas Jumper Day Sunday 13th December Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 11 ran 6th 16/1

28 Oct 26 Huntingdon Sopran Thor (FR)J: Murray Dodd Christmas Parties 2026 At Huntingdon Racecourse Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 9 ran PU 200/1

06 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Different Drum (GB)J: Miss Serena Brotherton bettingsites.co.uk Price Boosts Amateur Jockeys' Handicap StakesClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 25/1

01 Oct 26 Southwell Ifyouhaveaplan (GB)J: Jack Quinlan Jodie Standing's Point-to-point Recruits Novices' Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 20.5f · Good · 5 ran 5th 250/1

15 Sep 26 Uttoxeter Ifyouhaveaplan (GB)J: Jack Quinlan Sun Racing Summer Jumps Championship Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 7th 250/1

15 Aug 26 Market Rasen Ifyouhaveaplan (GB)J: Jack Quinlan Get Best Odds With Oddschecker Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20.5f · Good · 10 ran 8th 125/1

15 Jul 26 Uttoxeter Ifyouhaveaplan (GB)J: Jack Quinlan QuinnBet Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 11 ran 6th 28/1

05 Jul 26 Market Rasen Ifyouhaveaplan (GB)J: Jack Quinlan Boxing Day At The Races On Sale Now! Open Maiden NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16.5f · Good · 11 ran 5th 33/1

31 May 26 Fakenham Madajovy (GB)J: Jack Quinlan fakenhamdogfield.co.uk Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23.5f · Good · 5 ran 2nd 12/1

11 May 26 Southwell Madajovy (GB)J: Jack Quinlan Family Fun Day Monday 31st August Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20.5f · Good · 10 ran PU 40/1

28 Apr 26 Southwell (AW) Different Drum (GB)J: Paul Mulrennan Conference & Events At Southwell Racecourse HandicapClass 6 · 16.5f · Standard · 11 ran 3rd 15/2

06 Apr 26 Fakenham Callmesusie (IRE)J: Jack Quinlan Cecil & Sheila Buttifant Memorial Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23.5f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 10/1

04 Apr 26 Carlisle Different Drum (GB)J: Jamie Hamilton Ladies Night 4th July Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle (Div 2)Class 5 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 1st 3/1

13 Mar 26 Fakenham Callmesusie (IRE)J: James Davies Robert Case Memorial Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 5 ran PU 250/1

11 Mar 26 Huntingdon Different Drum (GB)J: Jamie Hamilton Best Odds Guaranteed Overnight At CopyBet Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 14 ran 3rd 40/1

19 Feb 26 Huntingdon Callmesusie (IRE)J: Jack Quinlan Visit Irish Bloodstock Sales With ITM EBF Mares' 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20.5f · Heavy · 9 ran PU 100/1

19 Feb 26 Huntingdon Different Drum (GB)J: Jack Quinlan ITM At Huntingdon Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Heavy · 9 ran 6th 25/1

05 Feb 26 Doncaster Different Drum (GB)J: Jamie Hamilton Virgin Bet Every Saturday Money Back Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 5th 300/1

22 Jan 26 Southwell (AW) Bond Spirit (GB)J: Robert Havlin Midnite Aint Your Grandad's Bookie HandicapClass 6 · 11f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 18/1

22 Jan 26 Huntingdon Different Drum (GB)J: Jack Quinlan Pertemps Network Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Soft · 16 ran 9th 300/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 6 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 2 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Louise Allan's strike rate?: Louise Allan has won 15 of 367 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.1% (as at 11 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Louise Allan do best at?: Chelmsford City (AW) by strike rate: 2 wins from 41 runners (4.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Louise Allan in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Louise Allan's Fair A/E?: 0.74, from 367 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.