What is M A Molloy's strike rate?

M A Molloy has won 25 of 362 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.9% (as at 11 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Who rides most for M A Molloy?

Liam McKenna, with 52 runners since 2008 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 1 (1.9%).

What is M A Molloy's Fair A/E?

0.90, from 362 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

M A Molloy

362 runners in the lifetime window · 43 individual horses

As at 11 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 22 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

25–362

Wins / Runs

6.9%

Strike rate

n=362

92 (25%)

Placed

0.90

Fair A/E

n=362 · 0.70 incl. margin

−174.20

£1 level stake

n=362 at SP · −48.1%

£351k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

8.6%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.90).

Deterministic profile computed from 362 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 11 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Liam McKenna: 1.9% from 52

The read

The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 4.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.57 and −114.00 to a £1 stake over 157 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Liam McKenna rides 14% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (1.9% vs 6.9%, A/E 0.25). The yard also reads well over 2m1f – 2m4f (10.7%, n=112) and on Good going (10.6%, n=104). The record reads poorly over 1m – 1m1f — 0% over 32 runners, 6.9pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard in Flat races: Fair A/E 0.47 across 118 runners (3.4% strike, −81.75 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mucklemeg Mares Flat Race at Gowran Park (Oct 2021, £17,700).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.9% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

5.1%−1.8

n=78 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −31.50

New recruits · first run for the yard

23.1%+16.2

n=13 · A/E 3.80 · £1 +7.50

Debutants · first career start

3.7%−3.2

n=27 · A/E 0.73 · £1 −19.50

First-time headgear · true-first definition

12.5%+5.6

n=8 · A/E 1.28 · £1 −3.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

12.5%+5.6

n=8 · A/E 2.20 · £1 +4.00

When favourite

12%

n=25 · A/E 0.57 · £1 −13.38

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

4.5%−2.4

n=157 · A/E 0.57 · £1 −114.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

25%+18.1

n=4 · A/E 6.91 · £1 +13.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Over 1m – 1m1f 0% vs 6.9% · n=32

With Daniel King 13.5% vs 6.9% · n=37

With Liam McKenna 1.9% vs 6.9% · n=52

Over 2m1f – 2m4f 10.7% vs 6.9% · n=112

On Good going 10.6% vs 6.9% · n=104

In Flat races 3.4% vs 6.9% · n=118

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 187 15 8% −92.95

Flat 118 4 3.4% −81.75

NH Flat 36 4 11.1% +0.50

Chase 21 2 9.5% +0.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 136 8 5.9% −84.40

Good 104 11 10.6% −17.55

Good to Soft 48 3 6.3% −33.75

Heavy 42 3 7.1% −6.50

Standard (AW) 20 0 0% −20.00

Good to Firm 11 0 0% −11.00

Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Limerick 27 3 11.1% −4.00

Curragh 23 2 8.7% +3.50

Cork 20 0 0% −20.00

Leopardstown 20 1 5% −14.00

Galway 20 1 5% −10.00

Dundalk (AW) 19 0 0% −19.00

Thurles 18 1 5.6% −14.25

Down Royal 18 1 5.6% −10.50

Gowran Park 18 2 11.1% +5.50

Tipperary 17 0 0% −17.00

Punchestown 16 0 0% −16.00

Navan 16 1 6.3% −8.50

Ballinrobe 16 3 18.8% +2.33

Roscommon 14 0 0% −14.00

Killarney 13 0 0% −13.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 4 1 25% +13.00

Class 3 4 0 0% −4.00

Class 4 2 0 0% −2.00

Class 5 1 0 0% −1.00

Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 30 3 10% 0.49 −18.38

2nd–3rd fav 66 11 16.7% 1.23 −5.82

4th–6th fav 100 9 9% 1.23 −22.00

7th+ in betting 166 2 1.2% 0.37 −128.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Folly Beach (GB)from Mick Channon 41 1 12 3 Aug 26

Littlefoot (IRE) 25 3 11 18 Oct 26

Dafaroun (IRE)from David Wachman 22 1 3 21 Oct 11

Quint Major (IRE) 21 1 4 17 Oct 26

Junior Bee (IRE)from John M Burke 14 2 5 22 Nov 24

Beckistine (IRE) 13 1 2 18 Oct 26

Shutruk Nahhunte (IRE)from David Wachman 13 0 5 2 Dec 11

The Paddy Premium (IRE)then N W Alexander 13 1 5 26 Mar 11

Rhythmic Tune (IRE) 12 1 3 30 May 26

Elusive Duke (IRE)from Kevin Thomas Coleman 11 0 4 20 Oct 26

Farrawaybay (IRE) 11 2 4 16 Jan 22

Homebrew (IRE)from G M Lyons 11 0 4 21 Oct 11

All 43 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 43 horses listed, 13 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from David Wachman (3); 30 had their first archived run for this yard.

9 have since run for another yard, most often for Rachel Hobbs (4); 34 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

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Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderLiam McKenna

14% of all rides
1.9% SR · A/E 0.25

RiderRWSR£1

Liam McKenna 52 1 1.9% −47.00

Daniel King 37 5 13.5% −2.57

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£387k

Prize money

2026

Best season · 5 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Quiet Escape (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mucklemeg Mares Flat Race (Listed) Gowran Park · Oct 2021 · Listed

£17,700

Just For One Day (IRE) — Fitzpatricks Mercedes-Benz Maiden Curragh · Sep 2024

£11,800

Littlefoot (IRE) — Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction Maiden Hurdle Ballinrobe · Aug 2024

£11,800

Notable horses

Littlefoot (IRE) The Paddy Premium (IRE) Junior Bee (IRE) Farrawaybay (IRE) Autumn Shades (IRE) Welluknow (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Golden Horn (GB) 2.4% · 1–41

Progeny have won 13.8% of 3,765 runs since 2019 (348 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 9.2% from 163. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 8.2% from 233.

Vendangeur (IRE) 3.1% · 1–32

Progeny have won 9.1% of 779 runs since 2012 (82 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5.7% from 123.

Milan (GB) 13.8% · 4–29

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,886 runs since 2008 (1,464 horses).

Jet Away (GB) 11.1% · 3–27

Progeny have won 11.2% of 2,563 runs since 2018 (277 horses).

Royal Applause (GB) 4.5% · 1–22

Progeny have won 8.6% of 12,434 runs since 2008 (774 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.4% from 323.

Aizavoski (IRE) 4.8% · 1–21

Progeny have won 12.8% of 745 runs since 2018 (60 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 17.7% from 141.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 11 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 412 · newest first

The latest 50 of 412 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 27 February 2005 to 20 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Elusive Duke (IRE)J: James Ryan 1xBet.ie Supports The Curragh Handicap10f · Yielding · 24 ran 17th 25/1

18 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Littlefoot (IRE)J: Daniel King BOYLE Sports JT McNamara Munster National Handicap Steeplechase (Grade 3)Class 1 · 24f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 2nd 12/1

18 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Beckistine (IRE)J: Mark Walsh Limerick Show Handicap Hurdle19.5f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 1st 4/1

17 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Quint Major (IRE)J: Mark Walsh Master Chefs Handicap Hurdle17f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 7th 12/1

09 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Elusive Duke (IRE)J: James Ryan Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap (Div I)7f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 28/1

06 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Quint Major (IRE)J: Daniel King SIS Supporting Irish Racing Handicap Hurdle16.5f · Yielding To Soft · 11 ran 5th 6/1

24 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Beckistine (IRE)J: Paddy Cody Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle16f · Good · 13 ran 4th 12/1

19 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Littlefoot (IRE)J: Daniel King SIS, Supporting Irish Racing Handicap Hurdle16f · Good · 13 ran 9th 22/1

09 Sep 26 Cork (IRE) Elusive Duke (IRE)J: Colin Keane Racing Again September 29th Handicap8f · Good · 18 ran 11th 6/1

07 Sep 26 Galway (IRE) I Feel Fine (GB)J: Daniel King Anglo Printers Handicap Hurdle16.5f · Yielding · 20 ran 17th 10/1

07 Sep 26 Galway (IRE) Beckistine (IRE)J: Donagh Meyler Anglo Printers Handicap Hurdle16.5f · Yielding · 20 ran 8th 33/1

10 Aug 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Koeur A Prendre (FR)J: Daniel King Cummins Homevalue Hardware Handicap Hurdle16.5f · Good · 14 ran 1st 100/30

03 Aug 26 Cork (IRE) Folly Beach (GB)J: Michael Kenneally Jim Ryan Racecourse Services Handicap Hurdle18f · Good · 18 ran PU 5/1

03 Aug 26 Cork (IRE) Quint Major (IRE)J: Donagh Meyler John O'Flynn Motors 110 Series Final Handicap Hurdle17f · Good · 11 ran 5th 10/1

31 Jul 26 Galway (IRE) Littlefoot (IRE)J: Sam Ewing Guinness Galway Blazers Handicap Steeplechase22.5f · Good · 20 ran UR 33/1

28 Jul 26 Galway (IRE) Elusive Duke (IRE)J: Wesley Joyce Caulfield Industrial Handicap8.5f · Yielding · 17 ran 10th 6/1

27 Jul 26 Galway (IRE) Quint Major (IRE)J: Donagh Meyler EASYFIX Iggy Daly Handicap Hurdle16.5f · Good · 20 ran 7th 33/1

23 Jul 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Folly Beach (GB)J: Jack Cleary Turkish Jockey Club Handicap15f · Good · 9 ran 4th 6/1

20 Jul 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Elusive Duke (IRE)J: Colin Keane Daily Sports Special At Tote.ie Handicap9.5f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 2nd 3/1F

16 Jul 26 Killarney (IRE) Koeur A Prendre (FR)J: Michael Kenneally Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (Div II)20.5f · Good · 14 ran 2nd 9/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is M A Molloy's strike rate?: M A Molloy has won 25 of 362 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.9% (as at 11 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Who rides most for M A Molloy?: Liam McKenna, with 52 runners since 2008 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 1 (1.9%).
What is M A Molloy's Fair A/E?: 0.90, from 362 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.