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Trainer profile

Michael McCullagh

200 runners in the lifetime window · 29 individual horses
As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Feb 2024
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
12–200
Wins / Runs
6%
Strike rate
n=200
41 (21%)
Placed
1.12
n=200 · 0.86 incl. margin
−64.75
£1 level stake
n=200 at SP · −32.4%
£140k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 6% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.12). With a claiming rider up the record reads 8% (108 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 200 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 28 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 8.3%
The read

The yard also reads well on Soft going (11.8%, n=68) and off a 8-14-day break (10.3%, n=39). The record reads poorly on Heavy going — 0% over 36 runners, 6pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4.3%−1.7
n=46 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −24.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−6.0
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−6.0
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
12.5%+6.5
n=8 · A/E 3.03 · £1 +5.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−6.0
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
When favourite
33.3%
n=9 · A/E 1.76 · £1 +3.50
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
8.3%+2.3
n=108 · A/E 1.38 · £1 −13.75
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−6.0
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Soft going 11.8% vs 6% · n=68
On Heavy going 0% vs 6% · n=36
Off a 8-14-day break 10.3% vs 6% · n=39
Over 2m5f – 3m 9.4% vs 6% · n=53
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 2.4% vs 6% · n=41
With claiming riders up 8.3% vs 6% · n=108
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 110 6 5.5% −52.25
Flat 57 4 7% −17.50
Chase 24 1 4.2% −12.00
NH Flat 9 1 11.1% +17.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 68 8 11.8% +21.25
Good 58 2 3.4% −38.00
Heavy 36 0 0% −36.00
Standard (AW) 22 2 9.1% +4.00
Good to Soft 8 0 0% −8.00
Good to Firm 7 0 0% −7.00
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Gowran Park 26 1 3.8% −18.00
Dundalk (AW) 22 2 9.1% +4.00
Tramore 17 1 5.9% +9.00
Thurles 17 1 5.9% +4.00
Wexford 11 2 18.2% −3.00
Punchestown 11 0 0% −11.00
Fairyhouse 11 0 0% −11.00
Kilbeggan 8 0 0% −8.00
Cork 8 1 12.5% −3.50
Clonmel 8 0 0% −8.00
Limerick 7 0 0% −7.00
Tipperary 7 0 0% −7.00
Downpatrick 5 0 0% −5.00
Listowel 5 1 20% +4.00
Naas 5 0 0% −5.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 6 0 0% −6.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 12 3 25% 1.45 +0.50
2nd–3rd fav 17 2 11.8% 1.01 −5.25
4th–6th fav 49 4 8.2% 1.18 −2.00
7th+ in betting 122 3 2.5% 0.92 −58.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
87.3% completed · 134 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 24 75% 2 0 3 0 1
Hurdle 110 90% 1 4 6 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Tagg's Island (IRE)from J P Murtagh · then Barry J Fitzgerald 26 1 5 16 Jul 21
Diggin Deep (IRE)then R Donohoe 15 0 1 14 Dec 17
Slygufftou (IRE) 15 3 8 3 Oct 15
Slyguff Rory (IRE) 15 0 4 26 Nov 09
Candle Island (IRE) 14 1 3 30 Nov 17
Run The Jewels (IRE)from J P Cahill · then Daniel McLoughlin 12 3 4 2 Feb 24
Fire On (IRE) 8 0 1 30 May 17
Vickie (IRE)from D Deacon 8 1 1 27 Oct 12
Mojambo (IRE)from J P Murtagh · then Stephen Michael Hanlon 7 0 1 9 Apr 19
Lostforwords (IRE)then M C Grassick 7 0 0 31 Aug 16
Awareness (IRE)from Takashi Kodama 7 0 1 8 Jul 12
All 29 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 29 horses listed, 10 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from J P Murtagh (4); 19 had their first archived run for this yard.

11 have since run for another yard, most often for Daniel McLoughlin (2); 18 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0009011121384510
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
N G McCullagh 21 0 0% −21.00
Mr S McCullagh 15 1 6.7% +11.00
L P Dempsey 12 3 25% +29.75
Paddy Kennedy 12 1 8.3% −7.00
Tommy Treacy 11 0 0% −11.00
David Mullins 11 0 0% −11.00
Scott McCullagh 11 2 18.2% +2.50
Donal McInerney 10 0 0% −10.00
J R Barry 9 0 0% −9.00
Oisin McSweeney 6 1 16.7% +7.00
Ricky Doyle 6 0 0% −6.00
Hugh Morgan 4 0 0% −4.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
15
Archived wins
£197k
Prize money
2015
Best season · 4 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Slyguff Rory (IRE) — T.M.Byrne & Sons Auctioneers Handicap Hurdle (81-123) Gowran Park · Feb 2005
£13,020
Slygufftou (IRE) — Galway Shopping Centre Handicap Hurdle (81-123) Galway · Aug 2015
£12,420
Tagg's Island (IRE) — Coral.ie Hurdle Gowran Park · Jun 2016
£9,533

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Excellent Art (GB) 3.8% · 1–26
Progeny have won 9.9% of 4,555 runs since 2008 (298 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.8% from 451.
Gold Well (GB) 6.3% · 1–16
Progeny have won 12.2% of 5,648 runs since 2008 (363 horses).
Fourstars Allstar (USA) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 7.1% of 940 runs since 2008 (120 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 10.6% from 113.
Royal Anthem (USA) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 9.9% of 1,350 runs since 2008 (115 horses). Strongest on Good going: 12.9% from 529.
Shantou (USA) 20% · 3–15
Progeny have won 13.6% of 7,824 runs since 2008 (539 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 20.3% from 158.
Heron Island (IRE) 7.1% · 1–14
Progeny have won 11.2% of 2,819 runs since 2008 (317 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.2% from 162.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 262 · newest first

The latest 50 of 262 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 January 2005 to 2 February 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Michael McCullagh's strike rate?
Michael McCullagh has won 12 of 200 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Michael McCullagh's Fair A/E?
1.12, from 200 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 28 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).