What is Pam Sly's strike rate?

Pam Sly has won 228 of 1,999 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 11.4% (as at 31 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Pam Sly do best at?

Leicester by strike rate: 26 wins from 133 runners (19.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Pam Sly?

Kielan Woods, with 207 runners since 2008 — 10% of the total. That pairing has won 27 (13%).

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Pam Sly's Fair A/E?

1.04, from 1,992 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Pam Sly

1,999 runners in the lifetime window · 169 individual horses

As at 31 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Runners today

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

228–1,999

Wins / Runs

11.4%

Strike rate

n=1,999

647 (32%)

Placed

1.04

Fair A/E

n=1,992 · 0.89 incl. margin

−219.98

£1 level stake

n=1,999 at SP · −11.0%

£2.00m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

12.1%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 110 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 11% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.04). Horses in first-time headgear strike at 14% (50 runs, true-first definition).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,999 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 31 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Oct–Dec 31.8% when favourite Kielan Woods: 13% from 207 Claiming riders: 13.8% Sends off the favourite in 8% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Leicester (19.5%, n=133), clear of the yard's 11.4% baseline. It is weakest at Uttoxeter (2.4% over 42 runners) — the widest gap in the record. A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a poor signal at 2.8% (n=36, Fair A/E 0.25). Runners with a claiming rider up are the standout value angle: 13.8% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.25 and +35.25 to a £1 stake over 579 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Kielan Woods rides 10% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (13%, A/E 1.13) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Chase races (18.6%, n=253). 5 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Stan James 1000 Guineas Stakes at Newmarket (May 2006, £187,374). The stable star of the record: Samarinda (USA) — 9 wins from 54 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Oct–Dec.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.4% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

9.6%−1.8

n=386 · A/E 1.08 · £1 +17.70

New recruits · first run for the yard

5.4%−6.0

n=37 · A/E 0.64 · £1 +13.00

Debutants · first career start

8.7%−2.7

n=115 · A/E 1.11 · £1 +59.25

First-time headgear · true-first definition

14%+2.6

n=50 · A/E 1.57 · £1 −8.25

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

2.8%−8.6

n=36 · A/E 0.25 · £1 −32.00

When favourite

31.8%

n=157 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −7.36

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

13.8%+2.4

n=579 · A/E 1.25 · £1 +35.25

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

4.3%−7.1

n=47 · A/E 0.47 · £1 −34.62

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

In Chase races 18.6% vs 11.4% · n=253

At Leicester 19.5% vs 11.4% · n=133

With Miss Gina Andrews 19% vs 11.4% · n=179

On last-time-out winners 17.9% vs 11.4% · n=224

At Uttoxeter 2.4% vs 11.4% · n=42

With headgear back on 2.8% vs 11.4% · n=36

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 937 101 10.8% −76.83

Hurdle 669 68 10.2% −177.07

Chase 253 47 18.6% +61.71

NH Flat 140 12 8.6% −27.79

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 639 58 9.1% −127.85

Good to Soft 394 58 14.7% +116.05

Soft 315 44 14% −25.05

Standard (AW) 293 25 8.5% −104.87

Good to Firm 274 29 10.6% −93.27

Heavy 80 14 17.5% +19.01

Firm 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Huntingdon 162 19 11.7% −28.12

Market Rasen 150 16 10.7% −23.87

Wetherby 142 20 14.1% −12.14

Leicester 133 26 19.5% +102.88

Fakenham 120 19 15.8% +22.84

Doncaster 100 10 10% −17.75

Kempton 85 5 5.9% −8.50

Southwell 73 4 5.5% −48.12

Yarmouth 72 8 11.1% −26.60

Nottingham 58 6 10.3% +10.98

Wolverhampton (AW) 58 6 10.3% −24.75

Lingfield (AW) 57 5 8.8% −34.62

Southwell (AW) 54 5 9.3% −19.00

Catterick 50 8 16% +4.56

Beverley 47 2 4.3% −39.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 708 77 10.9% −110.50

Class 5 630 71 11.3% −23.78

Class 3 304 40 13.2% −79.29

Class 6 228 30 13.2% +26.63

Class 2 79 8 10.1% +4.58

Class 1 50 2 4% −37.62

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 197 56 28.4% 1.00 −24.48

2nd–3rd fav 507 83 16.4% 0.98 −97.50

4th–6th fav 739 71 9.6% 1.19 −24.00

7th+ in betting 556 18 3.2% 0.92 −74.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

1m5f – 2m 613 71 11.6% −39.94

6f – 7f 312 40 12.8% +10.21

1m – 1m1f 301 28 9.3% −96.80

2m1f – 2m4f 281 29 10.3% −63.64

1m2f – 1m4f 261 29 11.1% +24.59

2m5f – 3m 169 27 16% −15.31

Over 3m 33 4 12.1% −10.09

Under 6f 29 0 0% −29.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 136 16 11.8% +47.00

2009 117 16 13.7% −20.46

2010 125 12 9.6% −31.25

2011 152 12 7.9% −87.13

2012 116 7 6% −4.37

2013 97 8 8.2% −18.17

2014 96 13 13.5% −5.00

2015 94 15 16% +4.23

2016 94 11 11.7% +25.50

2017 136 17 12.5% +27.01

2018 119 11 9.2% −65.75

2019 121 18 14.9% +4.08

2020 92 10 10.9% −10.17

2021 107 16 15% −29.61

2022 72 12 16.7% +37.75

2023 96 10 10.4% −13.00

2024 77 8 10.4% −41.95

2025 86 8 9.3% −7.67

2026 66 8 12.1% −31.02

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,351 168 12.4% −59.41

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 667 69 10.3% −177.17

11-13 runners 535 46 8.6% −33.18

5-7 runners 435 69 15.9% −44.01

14-16 runners 260 30 11.5% +61.75

17+ runners 60 2 3.3% −44.50

2-4 runners 42 12 28.6% +17.13

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

All My Love (IRE)from Richard Hannon 50 4 18 23 Oct 20

Haafapiece (GB) 45 6 16 9 Jan 24

Kayaan (GB)from William Haggas 42 4 15 2 Nov 14

Arkaim (GB)from Ed Walker · then Olly Williams 41 8 18 28 Dec 15

Xcitations (GB) 40 8 15 21 Mar 26

Fransham (GB) 40 6 13 23 Nov 24

Samarinda (USA)from Ed Dunlop · then P O'Gorman 39 4 8 9 Mar 11

William Cody (GB) 38 4 20 31 Oct 26

Viable (GB) 38 4 12 30 Mar 12

Pheidias (IRE)from Marcus Tregoning 37 3 10 19 Apr 13

Syncopate (GB)from Luca Cumani 36 5 12 8 May 17

Silkstone (IRE)then Danny Brooke 35 2 11 21 Sep 21

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 169 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 12 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 14 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Roger Varian (3) and William Haggas (2); 46 had their first archived run for this yard.

14 have since run for another yard, most often for Olly Williams (4); 46 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 3

Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

121410101081589141513

Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderKielan Woods

10% of all rides
13% SR · A/E 1.13

RiderRWSR£1

Kielan Woods 207 27 13% +2.84

Paul O'Brien 180 20 11.1% −73.54

Miss Gina Andrews 179 34 19% +47.49

Micky Fenton 164 15 9.1% +21.25

Rob Hornby 134 15 11.2% −33.37

Shane Kelly 122 15 12.3% +41.25

Warren Marston 82 6 7.3% −38.59

David England 76 11 14.5% −15.79

Sean Quinlan 69 4 5.8% −53.09

Jack Andrews 62 9 14.5% +23.20

Adam Kirby 52 9 17.3% +12.88

Liam Keniry 44 2 4.5% −33.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

271

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.67m

Prize money

2019

Best season · 18 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Speciosa (IRE) — Stan James 1000 Guineas Stakes (Group 1) Newmarket · May 2006 · Group 1

£187,374

Speciosa (IRE) — Rockfel Stakes (Fillies Group 2) Newmarket · Oct 2005 · Group 2

£40,600

Dazzling Dan (IRE) — Betway Handicap Newmarket · May 2019 · Class 2

£31,125

Notable horses

Samarinda (USA) Arkaim (GB) Xcitations (GB) San Antonio (GB) Dhehdaah (GB) Actinpieces (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Haafhd (GB) 12.7% · 10–79

Progeny have won 10.9% of 4,751 runs since 2008 (305 horses).

Oasis Dream (GB) 16.1% · 10–62

Progeny have won 11.8% of 18,024 runs since 2008 (1,511 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.3% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 8.5% from 483. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.1% from 790.

Sulamani (IRE) 12.7% · 7–55

Progeny have won 11.5% of 4,245 runs since 2008 (278 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.1% from 479. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.4% from 240.

Sir Harry Lewis (USA) 18.5% · 10–54

Progeny have won 11.8% of 2,425 runs since 2008 (190 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 17.3% from 306.

Dandy Man (IRE) 13.5% · 7–52

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,957 runs since 2008 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.

Lord Shanakill (USA) 8% · 4–50

Progeny have won 9.6% of 1,619 runs since 2008 (108 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 31 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,429 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,429 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 31 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

31 Oct 26 Wetherby William Cody (GB)J: Jack Andrews Position Payout At Bet365 Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 3 · 19.5f · Good · 8 ran 7th 20/1

28 Oct 26 Huntingdon Takeit Easy (GB)J: Jack Andrews Host Your Conference At Huntingdon Racecourse Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 16f · Good · 8 ran 7th 25/1

20 Oct 26 Yarmouth Torfrida (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill Brandford Restaurants & Bar Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 6f · Soft · 8 ran 8th 10/1

17 Oct 26 Market Rasen Takeit Easy (GB)J: Jack Andrews Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 16.5f · Good · 6 ran 6th 6/1

26 Sep 26 Southwell (AW) Torfrida (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill Gent's Night Sat 24th October Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 17/2

31 Aug 26 Southwell (AW) Special Breeze (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill Festive Fixtures At Southwell Racecourse Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 2nd 14/1

27 Aug 26 Southwell (AW) Fenlander (GB)J: Christian Howarth Get Raceday Ready Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 4/1

16 Aug 26 Southwell (AW) Torfrida (GB)J: Isobelle Chalmers Gb Civil Engineering Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Apprentice Training Race - Part Of The Racing Excellence Series)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 14/1

16 Aug 26 Southwell (AW) Cliff Danger (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill Newark Advertiser Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 12f · Standard · 12 ran 1st 6/1

07 Aug 26 Newmarket (July) Fenlander (GB)J: Rob Hornby Molson Coors Beverage Company Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 5th 4/1

18 Jul 26 Newmarket (July) Fenlander (GB)J: Christian Howarth Club 26 At Ascot Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 3rd 4/1

09 Jul 26 Doncaster Wrydcroft (GB)J: Christian Howarth Betfred Play Fred's 5 Million Pound HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 4th 4/1

05 Jul 26 Southwell (AW) Cliff Danger (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 16/1

25 Jun 26 Nottingham Fenlander (GB)J: Christian Howarth Neigh More Early Starts For Martin Stoneman HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 1st 8/11F

18 Jun 26 Southwell (AW) Cliff Danger (GB)J: Finley Marsh Southwell Racecourse Conferences And Events Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 8f · Standard · 13 ran 7th 18/1

18 Jun 26 Southwell (AW) Torfrida (GB)J: Finley Marsh Ladies' Day Sunday 16th August Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 8 ran 4th 15/2

14 Jun 26 Doncaster Wrydcroft (GB)J: Rose Dawes Grace And Dotty Fedoras And Feathers Handicap (Div 1)Class 5 · 7f · Good · 11 ran 3rd 9/4F

13 Jun 26 Leicester Fenlander (GB)J: Christian Howarth SignFab Celebrating 25 Years HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Good · 9 ran 1st 11/4F

09 Jun 26 Southwell Paragon (IRE)J: Paul O'Brien Vaughandale Construction 'Built To Last' Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 11 ran 4th 10/1

28 May 26 Market Rasen Paragon (IRE)J: Paul O'Brien Half Year Annual Badges On Sale Now Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 7 ran 4th 10/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Pam Sly's strike rate?: Pam Sly has won 228 of 1,999 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 11.4% (as at 31 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Pam Sly do best at?: Leicester by strike rate: 26 wins from 133 runners (19.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Pam Sly?: Kielan Woods, with 207 runners since 2008 — 10% of the total. That pairing has won 27 (13%).
Is Pam Sly in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Pam Sly's Fair A/E?: 1.04, from 1,992 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.