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Trainer profile

Paul Martin Pierce

164 runners in the lifetime window · 38 individual horses
As at 13 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 190 days ago 96% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
4–164
Wins / Runs
2.4%
Strike rate
n=164
15 (9%)
Placed
0.60
Fair A/E
n=164 · 0.44 incl. margin
−133.92
£1 level stake
n=164 at SP · −81.7%
£59,909
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
50%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 2% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.60).

Deterministic profile computed from 164 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 13 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 3.1%
The read

The yard also reads well off a 31-60-day break (10%, n=30). The market has consistently overbet the yard on Soft going: Fair A/E 0.00 across 71 runners (0% strike, −71.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−2.4
n=43 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −43.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−2.4
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−2.4
n=26 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −26.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.4
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.4
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
When favourite
25%
n=4 · A/E 0.98 · £1 +0.33
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.1%+0.7
n=98 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −71.67
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−2.4
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 31-60-day break 10% vs 2.4% · n=30
With a new jockey booking 0% vs 2.4% · n=92
On Soft going 0% vs 2.4% · n=71
Over 1m5f – 2m 0% vs 2.4% · n=60
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 4.7% vs 2.4% · n=64
With Mr M N Doran 0% vs 2.4% · n=30
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 114 2 1.8% −92.00
Chase 23 1 4.3% −19.25
NH Flat 20 1 5% −15.67
Flat 7 0 0% −7.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 71 0 0% −71.00
Heavy 49 1 2% −42.00
Good 24 1 4.2% −20.25
Good to Soft 11 2 18.2% +8.33
Good to Firm 7 0 0% −7.00
Standard (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Punchestown 22 2 9.1% +0.00
Navan 21 0 0% −21.00
Naas 17 0 0% −17.00
Fairyhouse 15 1 6.7% −11.25
Cork 11 0 0% −11.00
Thurles 10 0 0% −10.00
Clonmel 9 0 0% −9.00
Wexford 8 0 0% −8.00
Limerick 8 0 0% −8.00
Gowran Park 5 0 0% −5.00
Leopardstown 5 0 0% −5.00
Wexford 4 1 25% +0.33
Kilbeggan 3 0 0% −3.00
Tipperary 3 0 0% −3.00
Killarney 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 6 2 33.3% 1.69 +5.33
2nd–3rd fav 7 1 14.3% 1.08 −3.25
4th–6th fav 24 0 0% 0.00 −24.00
7th+ in betting 127 1 0.8% 0.32 −112.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
85.4% completed · 137 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 23 60.9% 3 3 2 0 1
Hurdle 114 90.4% 3 1 5 2 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Mags Millar (IRE) 16 0 0 14 Nov 13
Here Comes Sally (IRE)from Paul Nolan 15 3 7 22 Apr 10
Moneyteigue Lad (IRE) 14 0 0 23 Oct 14
Carrigeen Eile (IRE) 12 0 2 26 Oct 11
Crack At Dawn (IRE)then Michael Gates 11 0 0 28 Feb 09
Zelkova Island (IRE)then Paul Henderson 8 0 0 4 May 12
Mr Biggens (IRE) 7 0 0 10 Nov 12
Theatre Bird (IRE)from Sean Thomas Doyle 6 0 1 18 Jan 15
Come On Sally (IRE) 5 0 0 16 Jan 23
Sadie Yeats (IRE) 5 0 0 25 May 22
Piercestown Rocket (IRE) 5 0 2 25 Nov 10
An Fear Aitiuil (IRE) 5 0 0 20 Jun 10
All 38 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 38 horses listed, 9 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Brendan W Duke (2) and Sean Thomas Doyle (2); 29 had their first archived run for this yard.

12 have since run for another yard, most often for Michael Gates (3) and John Butler (2); 26 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
500790000700
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderMr M N Doran
18% of all rides
0% SR · A/E 0.00
RiderRWSR£1
Mr M N Doran 30 0 0% −30.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
5
Archived wins
£77,062
Prize money
2008
Best season · 2 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Here Comes Sally (IRE) — Martinstown Opportunity Final Handicap Hurdle (81-123) Punchestown · Apr 2008
£19,530
Here Comes Sally (IRE) — Comhairle Laighean C.L.G. Handicap Hurdle (81-116) Punchestown · Jan 2008
£8,638
Here Comes Sally (IRE) — Novice Handicap Hurdle (74-102) Fairyhouse · Feb 2007
£6,910
Notable horses
Here Comes Sally (IRE) Wilton Mills Trier (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Rashar (USA) 4.1% · 3–73
Progeny have won 6.3% of 997 runs since 2008 (122 horses). Strongest on Good going: 10.4% from 251. Weakest on Heavy going: 2.7% from 219.
Old Vic (GB) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 11.7% of 6,916 runs since 2008 (630 horses).
Insan (USA) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 11.3% of 362 runs since 2008 (45 horses). Strongest on Good going: 14.3% from 126.
King's Theatre (IRE) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.
Oscar (IRE) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.
Rock Hopper (GB) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 6.6% of 411 runs since 2008 (50 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 13 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 199 · newest first

The latest 50 of 199 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 22 January 2005 to 7 May 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
07 May 26 Wexford Wilton Mills Trier (IRE)J: Mr L J Murphy Slaney Mares Point-To-Point Flat Race17f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran 1st 10/3F
06 Apr 26 Cork Wilton Mills Trier (IRE)J: Mr L J Murphy Cork & Waterford Mares Point-To-Point Flat Race16f · Yielding · 8 ran 3rd 13/8F
16 Jan 23 Punchestown Come On Sally (IRE)J: Jordan Gainford Book Your Festival Hospitality Novice Handicap Hurdle (80-109)20.5f · Heavy · 15 ran 14th 28/1
20 Dec 22 Naas Come On Sally (IRE)J: Mr E Staples John Thomas McNamara Series (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle (80-95)16f · Soft · 25 ran 7th 33/1
25 May 22 Wexford Sadie Yeats (IRE)J: Jordan Gainford Calor Gas Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 1)17f · Yielding · 11 ran 8th 12/1
06 Mar 22 Wexford Sadie Yeats (IRE)J: Jordan Gainford M2 Construction, Wexford Novice Handicap Hurdle (80-109)16f · Heavy · 11 ran 8th 12/1
22 Feb 22 Navan Sadie Yeats (IRE)J: Shane Fitzgerald P.S. Supplies Doors & Floors Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 25 ran 10th 300/1
30 Jan 22 Naas Sadie Yeats (IRE)J: Shane Fitzgerald I.N.H. Stallion Owners EBF Maiden Hurdle19f · Good To Yielding · 22 ran 10th 250/1
16 Jan 22 Punchestown Sadie Yeats (IRE)J: Shane Fitzgerald 15% Off Festival Tickets Maiden Hurdle (Div 1)16f · Soft · 19 ran 7th 200/1
14 Nov 21 Cork Come On Sally (IRE)J: Mr P J Cawley I.N.H. Stallion Owners EBF Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 16 ran 16th 150/1
06 Nov 21 Naas Come On Sally (IRE)J: Ambrose McCurtin Betvictor Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding · 22 ran 18th 250/1
28 Jul 21 Galway Midnight Shuffle (GB)J: Mr S Staples Irish Stallion Farms Ebf Mares Flat Race16.5f · Good · 18 ran 7th 80/1
04 Apr 21 Cork Come On Sally (IRE)J: Ambrose McCurtin O'Flynn Motors Mallow Mares Maiden Hurdle19f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 10th 50/1
08 Sep 17 Kilbeggan Betty's Lane Star (IRE)J: Richard Deegan September 8th Celebration Race Meeting (pro/am) Flat Race19.5f · Soft · 11 ran 10th 40/1
18 Aug 17 Tramore Betty's Lane Star (IRE)J: J J Slevin Hibernian Hotel Mares Maiden Hurdle21f · Soft · 12 ran 6th 100/1
07 Aug 17 Cork Betty's Lane Star (IRE)J: Sean Flanagan Follow Us On Twitter Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding · 23 ran 18th 100/1
09 Jul 17 Limerick Iftikaar (IRE)J: J J Slevin Limerick Racecourse Family Fun Day Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 14 ran 10th 66/1
07 Jul 17 Wexford Betty's Lane Star (IRE)J: Mr H D Dunne Michael Moore Mercedes-Benz & Volkswagen, Portarlington & Athlone Flat Race18f · Good · 12 ran 10th 66/1
12 Nov 16 Naas Iftikaar (IRE)J: Ben Dalton Hospitality At Naas Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding To Soft · 22 ran 20th 66/1
22 Oct 16 Punchestown Washington Lady (IRE)J: Mr R James Cash Out With Betdaq Flat Race16f · Good To Yielding · 7 ran 4th 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Paul Martin Pierce's strike rate?
Paul Martin Pierce has won 4 of 164 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 2.4% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Paul Martin Pierce's Fair A/E?
0.60, from 164 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 13 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).