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Trainer profile

R P Burns

400 runners in the lifetime window · 69 individual horses
As at 10 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 21 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
16–400
Wins / Runs
4%
Strike rate
n=400
54 (14%)
Placed
0.93
Fair A/E
n=400 · 0.72 incl. margin
−178.50
£1 level stake
n=400 at SP · −44.6%
£170k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
4.2%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.93).

Deterministic profile computed from 400 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 10 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Nicola Burns: 9.4% from 85 New recruits: 4.3% Claiming riders: 4.4%
The read

It is weakest at Dundalk (AW) (0% over 56 runners) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Nicola Burns rides 21% of the entries and beats the yard's average (9.4% vs 4%, A/E 1.83) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 8-14-day break (9.2%, n=65) and on Heavy going (7.9%, n=63). The market has consistently overbet the yard off a 15-30-day break: Fair A/E 0.39 across 107 runners (1.9% strike, −98.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Davorin (JPN) — 5 wins from 26 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
3.4%−0.6
n=118 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −28.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
4.3%+0.3
n=46 · A/E 1.14 · £1 +16.00
Debutants · first career start
4.8%+0.8
n=21 · A/E 1.59 · £1 +13.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
10%+6.0
n=10 · A/E 1.79 · £1 −6.50
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
5.9%+1.9
n=17 · A/E 1.23 · £1 −4.00
When favourite
33.3%
n=6 · A/E 1.89 · £1 +2.50
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.4%+0.4
n=229 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −85.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−4.0
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Nicola Burns 9.4% vs 4% · n=85
Off a 8-14-day break 9.2% vs 4% · n=65
On Heavy going 7.9% vs 4% · n=63
At Dundalk (AW) 0% vs 4% · n=56
Off a 15-30-day break 1.9% vs 4% · n=107
On Standard (AW) going 1.7% vs 4% · n=58
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 236 9 3.8% −149.00
Hurdle 106 4 3.8% −13.00
Chase 46 2 4.3% −25.50
NH Flat 12 1 8.3% +9.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 118 5 4.2% −76.00
Good 109 4 3.7% −80.50
Heavy 63 5 7.9% +77.00
Standard (AW) 58 1 1.7% −51.50
Good to Firm 27 1 3.7% −22.50
Good to Soft 25 0 0% −25.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 56 0 0% −56.00
Gowran Park 30 2 6.7% +0.00
Cork 25 2 8% +3.00
Limerick 23 2 8.7% −10.00
Leopardstown 22 1 4.5% −15.00
Navan 21 1 4.8% +13.00
Fairyhouse 20 1 5% +31.00
Punchestown 18 1 5.6% +3.00
Curragh 18 1 5.6% −9.50
Ballinrobe 16 1 6.3% −12.50
Bellewstown 16 1 6.3% −11.50
Killarney 16 0 0% −16.00
Tramore 14 0 0% −14.00
Roscommon 14 0 0% −14.00
Down Royal 14 0 0% −14.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 12 0 0% −12.00
Class 6 3 1 33.3% +3.50
Class 4 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 7 2 28.6% 1.69 +1.50
2nd–3rd fav 29 4 13.8% 1.03 −10.00
4th–6th fav 66 4 6.1% 0.89 −21.00
7th+ in betting 298 6 2% 0.78 −149.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Deuteronomy (IRE) 48 4 8 1 Oct 26
Mahrajaan (USA)from John Gosden · then C Byrnes 35 2 6 25 Apr 13
Genuine Jim (IRE) 21 2 4 15 Oct 26
Abrahams Blessing (IRE)from Mark L Fagan 19 1 4 12 Sep 16
Mr Pernickety (IRE) 18 1 5 3 Apr 12
Kings Of Luxor (GB) 17 0 2 19 Dec 18
Carvalhal (IRE)from Michael Dods 16 1 5 1 Sep 26
Lisa's Legacy (GB)from Daniel Kubler · then Shane Ryder 15 0 3 1 Nov 15
Petit Roque (FR) 10 0 0 15 Jul 12
The Blue Panther (IRE)from Miss Jennifer Anne Lynch · then Aidan Melia 9 1 2 6 Aug 26
Sioux Grit (IRE)from Gavin Cromwell 9 0 0 30 Jun 26
Bringherwithya (IRE) 7 0 0 16 Aug 18
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 69 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 42 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from C Byrnes (9) and Adrian Murray (3); 18 had their first archived run for this yard.

23 have since run for another yard, most often for C Byrnes (8) and Cathal Byrnes (7); 37 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
408228249350
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderNicola Burns
21% of all rides
9.4% SR · A/E 1.83
RiderRWSR£1
Nicola Burns 85 8 9.4% −4.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
36
Archived wins
£493k
Prize money
2006
Best season · 7 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Davorin (JPN) — Crown Paints Handicap (Premier) Curragh · Sep 2005
£35,805
Davorin (JPN) — Bulmers Handicap (60-100) Gowran Park · Aug 2005
£17,903
Zaffaran Star (IRE) — Galway City Vintners Novice Chase Galway · Sep 2007
£14,648
Notable horses
Davorin (JPN) Deuteronomy (IRE) Mahrajaan (USA) Zaffaran Star (IRE) Genuine Jim (IRE) Lagniappe (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Acclamation (GB) 7.7% · 4–52
Progeny have won 10% of 19,716 runs since 2008 (1,327 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 195.
Machiavellian (USA) 5.7% · 2–35
Progeny have won 8% of 1,598 runs since 2008 (74 horses).
Galileo Gold (GB) 9.5% · 2–21
Progeny have won 10.6% of 2,048 runs since 2021 (176 horses).
Fasliyev (USA) 5.3% · 1–19
Progeny have won 8.3% of 4,140 runs since 2008 (273 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.1% from 124.
Rashar (USA) 5.6% · 1–18
Progeny have won 6.3% of 997 runs since 2008 (122 horses). Strongest on Good going: 10.4% from 251. Weakest on Heavy going: 2.7% from 219.
Royal Applause (GB) 0% · 0–17
Progeny have won 8.6% of 12,434 runs since 2008 (774 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.4% from 323.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 10 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 652 · newest first

The latest 50 of 652 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 9 January 2005 to 20 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Marta's Prince (IRE)J: Nicola Burns Always Gambling Responsibly With 1xBet.ie Handicap8f · Yielding · 23 ran 16th 33/1
15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Genuine Jim (IRE)J: Nicola Burns Feel The Rush With 1xBet.ie Handicap7f · Soft · 20 ran 16th 50/1
15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Marta's Prince (IRE)J: Nicola Burns DNG Excellence Handicap9f · Yielding To Soft · 19 ran 13th 28/1
01 Oct 26 Bellewstown (IRE) Deuteronomy (IRE)J: Nicola Burns BOYLE Sports Handicap (Div II)12.5f · Soft To Heavy · 11 ran 7th 14/1
19 Sep 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Yorkshire Myth (GB)J: Nicola Burns BOYLE Sports Home Of Early Payout Handicap8f · Yielding To Soft · 16 ran 16th 28/1
19 Sep 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Deuteronomy (IRE)J: Nicola Burns Support The Irish Injured Jockeys Fund Apprentice Handicap9.5f · Yielding To Soft · 14 ran 6th 50/1
05 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Deuteronomy (IRE)J: Nicola Burns Return Of The Jumps At Navan Racecourse September 19th Handicap (Div II)10f · Good · 21 ran 9th 33/1
01 Sep 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Carvalhal (IRE)J: Nicola Burns Societies Welcome At Gowran Park Apprentice Handicap8f · Yielding · 16 ran 16th 18/1
06 Aug 26 Leopardstown (IRE) The Blue Panther (IRE)J: Nicola Burns Carnival de Leop Handicap7f · Good · 17 ran 16th 22/1
01 Aug 26 Galway (IRE) Marta's Prince (IRE)J: James Ryan Ardilaun Hotel Handicap7f · Yielding · 13 ran 8th 80/1
28 Jul 26 Galway (IRE) Grey Leader (IRE)J: Nicola Burns Caulfield Industrial Handicap8.5f · Yielding · 17 ran 17th 22/1
25 Jul 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Deuteronomy (IRE)J: Nicola Burns Tote Apprentice Handicap9.5f · Good · 13 ran 9th 20/1
25 Jul 26 Gowran Park (IRE) The Blue Panther (IRE)J: Nicola Burns O'Driscolls Irish Whiskey Handicap (Div II)7f · Good · 16 ran 2nd 12/1
15 Jul 26 Killarney (IRE) Deuteronomy (IRE)J: Nicola Burns Start Your Free Month Trial At racingtv.com Handicap11.5f · Good · 15 ran 8th 40/1
15 Jul 26 Killarney (IRE) The Blue Panther (IRE)J: Nicola Burns Executive Helicopters Handicap8f · Good · 13 ran 9th 33/1
13 Jul 26 Killarney (IRE) Grey Leader (IRE)J: Nicola Burns Killarney Glamping Handicap8f · Good · 8 ran 7th 18/1
13 Jul 26 Killarney (IRE) Marta's Prince (IRE)J: James Ryan Killarney Glamping Handicap8f · Good · 8 ran 5th 100/1
12 Jul 26 Dundalk (AW) Fleetfootsoldier (IRE)J: Nicola Burns QuinnBet Handicap (0-60)8f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 33/1
11 Jul 26 Navan Deuteronomy (IRE)J: Nicola Burns Navan Racing Festival 14th & 15th November Handicap (0-60)10f · Good · 12 ran 5th 20/1
02 Jul 26 Bellewstown Carvalhal (IRE)J: Nicola Burns Ploughman Bar And Grill Handicap (0-60)8f · Good · 15 ran 10th 11/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is R P Burns's strike rate?
R P Burns has won 16 of 400 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4% (as at 10 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does R P Burns do best at?
Gowran Park by strike rate: 2 wins from 30 runners (6.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for R P Burns?
Nicola Burns, with 85 runners since 2008 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (9.4%).
What is R P Burns's Fair A/E?
0.93, from 400 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 10 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).