What is Richard Hobson's strike rate?

Richard Hobson has won 102 of 790 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 12.9% (as at 9 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Richard Hobson do best at?

Fontwell by strike rate: 10 wins from 30 runners (33.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Richard Hobson?

Paul O'Brien, with 81 runners since 2008 — 10% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (12.3%).

Is Richard Hobson in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Richard Hobson's Fair A/E?

1.05, from 779 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Richard Hobson

790 runners in the lifetime window · 75 individual horses

As at 9 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 4 days ago 100% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2010→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

102–790

Wins / Runs

12.9%

Strike rate

n=790

237 (30%)

Placed

1.05

Fair A/E

n=779 · 0.93 incl. margin

−120.48

£1 level stake

n=783 at SP · −15.4%

£1.83m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

15.4%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 40 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 13% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.05). Debutants are a strength: 15% on first career starts (41 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 790 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 9 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 36.7% when favourite Paul O'Brien: 12.3% from 81 Claiming riders: 13.9% Sends off the favourite in 10% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Fontwell (33.3%, n=30), clear of the yard's 12.9% baseline. It is weakest at Cheltenham (1.6% over 61 runners) — the widest gap in the record. In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 8.1% (n=62, Fair A/E 1.43). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 8.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.82 and −61.17 to a £1 stake over 169 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Paul O'Brien rides 10% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (12.3%, A/E 1.09) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 8-14-day break (19%, n=79). The record reads poorly in Class 2 — 6.8% over 117 runners, 6.1pts below the baseline. 5 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Virgin Bet December Gold Cup Handicap Chase at Cheltenham (Dec 2023, £74,035). The stable star of the record: Fanzio (FR) — 7 wins from 41 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.9% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

8.3%−4.6

n=169 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −61.17

New recruits · first run for the yard

11.4%−1.5

n=35 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −4.09

Debutants · first career start

14.6%+1.7

n=41 · A/E 1.25 · £1 +41.50

First-time headgear · true-first definition

14.6%+1.7

n=41 · A/E 1.82 · £1 −9.42

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

16%+3.1

n=25 · A/E 1.28 · £1 +18.20

When favourite

36.7%

n=79 · A/E 1.08 · £1 +29.88

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

13.9%+1.0

n=288 · A/E 1.15 · £1 −13.24

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

8.1%−4.8

n=62 · A/E 1.43 · £1 −10.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Fontwell 33.3% vs 12.9% · n=30

With Charlie Maggs 28.6% vs 12.9% · n=35

At Cheltenham 1.6% vs 12.9% · n=61

With Lilly Pinchin 5.3% vs 12.9% · n=57

In Class 2 6.8% vs 12.9% · n=117

Off a 8-14-day break 19% vs 12.9% · n=79

This filter uses derived form angles computed for 76.5% of the archive so far (as at 9 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Chase 450 67 14.9% −51.57

Hurdle 290 27 9.3% −88.16

NH Flat 47 7 14.9% +17.25

Flat 3 1 33.3% +2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 252 28 11.1% −56.94

Soft 240 29 12.1% −73.61

Good to Soft 185 26 14.1% −22.09

Heavy 101 17 16.8% +36.41

Standard (AW) 6 1 16.7% −1.50

Good to Firm 4 1 25% −0.75

Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Uttoxeter 61 5 8.2% −23.50

Cheltenham 61 1 1.6% −53.50

Newbury 44 6 13.6% −10.80

Doncaster 41 8 19.5% +8.12

Warwick 35 3 8.6% −24.62

Fontwell 30 10 33.3% +28.32

Stratford 25 3 12% +13.50

Haydock 25 7 28% +16.75

Worcester 25 2 8% −15.25

Bangor-on-Dee 25 2 8% −6.00

Aintree 24 2 8.3% +8.00

Wetherby 24 3 12.5% −6.25

Huntingdon 23 2 8.7% −17.58

Perth 23 4 17.4% +2.83

Newcastle 20 5 25% +2.25

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 244 32 13.1% −88.23

Class 3 182 26 14.3% +13.64

Class 5 120 18 15% −16.55

Class 2 117 8 6.8% −69.25

Class 1 81 8 9.9% −8.50

Class 6 11 3 27.3% +18.91

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 94 37 39.4% 1.24 +45.09

2nd–3rd fav 217 28 12.9% 0.74 −85.17

4th–6th fav 274 33 12% 1.49 +49.60

7th+ in betting 198 4 2% 0.56 −130.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

83.4% completed · 740 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 450 80.2% 11 15 63 0 0

Hurdle 290 88.3% 2 3 28 0 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Lord Du Mesnil (FR)from D Bressou 43 4 15 25 Feb 25

Valadom (FR)from Emmanuel Clayeux 43 5 18 2 Apr 22

Eureu Du Boulay (FR)from B Lefevre 42 5 10 26 Dec 22

Fanzio (FR)then Laura Hurley 41 7 13 13 Mar 23

Chic Name (FR)from Augustin Adeline De Boisbrunet 40 4 9 3 May 22

Fugitif (FR) 32 5 11 15 Apr 26

Echo Watt (FR) 27 4 10 18 Mar 23

Saint Xavier (FR)from Patrice Quinton 26 3 4 16 Apr 25

Defi Sacre (FR) 26 4 11 6 Dec 22

Some Scope (GB) 25 5 9 1 Nov 26

Discko Des Plages (FR) 24 2 8 19 Mar 23

Footloose Man (GB) 23 4 9 24 May 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 75 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 29 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Rebecca Curtis (6) and Augustin Adeline De Boisbrunet (3); 31 had their first archived run for this yard.

10 have since run for another yard; 50 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 3

Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

1217101011170132191218

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderPaul O'Brien

10% of all rides
12.3% SR · A/E 1.09

RiderRWSR£1

Paul O'Brien 81 10 12.3% −18.75

Alain Cawley 77 10 13% +4.41

Gavin Sheehan 58 10 17.2% +17.87

Lilly Pinchin 57 3 5.3% −37.67

James Best 41 4 9.8% −24.75

Charlie Maggs 35 10 28.6% +16.75

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2010→

102

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.83m

Prize money

2020

Best season · 14 wins

Fugitif (FR) — Virgin Bet December Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Cheltenham · Dec 2023 · Class 1

£74,035

Docpickedme (IRE) — Virgin Bet Great Yorkshire Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Doncaster · Jan 2025 · Class 1

£56,950

Riders Onthe Storm (IRE) — Jewson St Helens Old Roan Limited Handicap Chase (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Aintree · Oct 2022 · Grade 2

£45,055

Notable horses

Fanzio (FR) Valadom (FR) Eureu Du Boulay (FR) Fugitif (FR) Some Scope (GB) Lord Du Mesnil (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Saint Des Saints (FR) 10.1% · 7–69

Progeny have won 15% of 5,361 runs since 2008 (643 horses).

Network (GER) 16.2% · 11–68

Progeny have won 14.1% of 3,769 runs since 2008 (380 horses). Weakest beyond 3m (all codes): 10.2% from 275.

Telescope (IRE) 18.8% · 9–48

Progeny have won 8.3% of 1,918 runs since 2019 (298 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 1.9% from 106. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13% from 285.

Dadarissime (FR) 11.6% · 5–43

Progeny have won 5.6% of 144 runs since 2008 (13 horses).

Della Francesca (USA) 11.9% · 5–42

Progeny have won 10% of 1,477 runs since 2008 (172 horses). Strongest on Good going: 13% from 338. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 16% from 100. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.3% from 160.

Day Flight (GB) 17.1% · 7–41

Progeny have won 14.4% of 360 runs since 2012 (32 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 17.8% from 135.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 9 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 790 · newest first

The latest 50 of 790 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 21 June 2010 to 5 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

05 Nov 26 Newbury Docpickedme (IRE)J: Daire McConville Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle Race (Pertemps Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 24.5f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 12th 50/1

01 Nov 26 Worcester Some Scope (GB)J: Oscar Palmer Copybet Support Safer Gambling Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 20f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 7th 40/1

27 Oct 26 Bangor-on-Dee Liege Ardent (FR)J: Paul O'Brien Overton Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 24f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 5th 8/1

23 Oct 26 Cheltenham Jupiter Des Bordes (FR)J: Mr Hugo Hunt Chapel Down Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 3 · 25f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 7th 14/1

21 Oct 26 Worcester Magnifix Du Moulin (FR)J: Gavin Sheehan Richard And Ann Hitchings Memorial Mares' Novices' Hurdle Race (Herring Queen Mares' Novices' Hurdle Series Qualifier) (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 4th 6/1

21 Oct 26 Fontwell My Lady D'ex (FR)J: Mr Hugo Hunt BETTING.BET Free Racing Tips Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 19f · Soft · 11 ran 9th 500/1

15 Oct 26 Fontwell Moi Mon Vieux (FR)J: Mr Hugo Hunt BETTING.BET Play Champion Tipster Novices' Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 19f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 6th 66/1

25 Sep 26 Worcester Moi Mon Vieux (FR)J: Mr Hugo Hunt Fbc Manby Bowdler Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 4th 11/1

12 Jul 26 Perth Moi Mon Vieux (FR)J: Paul O'Brien Book Your Christmas Party Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 5 ran 4th 9/1

10 Jun 26 Fontwell My Lady D'ex (FR)J: James Best Weatherbys nhstallions.co.uk Mares' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19f · Good · 6 ran 6th 125/1

02 Jun 26 Southwell Moi Mon Vieux (FR)J: Charlie Price Ladies Day Sunday 16th August Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 9/2

24 May 26 Fontwell Footloose Man (GB)J: Charlie Price A.W. Jeffreys (Southampton) Ltd Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 19.5f · Good · 6 ran 1st 6/1

23 May 26 Bangor-on-Dee Magnifix Du Moulin (FR)J: Freddie Keighley Wrexham Evening On Friday 26th June Mares' Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 10/3

14 May 26 Fontwell My Lady D'ex (FR)J: James Best Best Of British Events Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 17.5f · Good · 12 ran 7th 80/1

11 May 26 Nantes (FR) Moi Mon Vieux (FR)J: Charlie Price Prix de Brain-Sur-Longuenee (AQPS Conditions) (Turf)12f · Very Soft · 12 ran 6th 51/10

06 May 26 Fontwell Magnifix Du Moulin (FR)J: Freddie Keighley Best of British Sporting Lunches Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 17.5f · Good · 9 ran 1st 9/1

06 May 26 Fontwell Footloose Man (GB)J: James Best Summerley Recruitment Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 19.5f · Good · 8 ran 6th 9/1

15 Apr 26 Haydock Some Scope (GB)J: Rian Corcoran Try Unibets New Racing Betbuilder Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 28.5f · Good · 11 ran PU 7/1

15 Apr 26 Haydock Fugitif (FR)J: Tom Bellamy Unibet Silver Trophy Handicap Chase (Grade 2 Limited Handicap) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 20f · Good · 11 ran 5th 22/1

04 Apr 26 Haydock Jupiter Des Bordes (FR)J: Charlie Maggs JCB Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 25.5f · Good · 11 ran 9th 11/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 15 Oct 2026: fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 15 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Richard Hobson's strike rate?: Richard Hobson has won 102 of 790 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 12.9% (as at 9 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Richard Hobson do best at?: Fontwell by strike rate: 10 wins from 30 runners (33.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Richard Hobson?: Paul O'Brien, with 81 runners since 2008 — 10% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (12.3%).
Is Richard Hobson in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Richard Hobson's Fair A/E?: 1.05, from 779 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.