What is Richard Rowe's strike rate?

Richard Rowe has won 91 of 1,416 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.4% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Richard Rowe do best at?

Kempton by strike rate: 13 wins from 106 runners (12.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Richard Rowe?

Leighton Aspell, with 200 runners since 2008 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 15 (7.5%).

What is Richard Rowe's Fair A/E?

0.88, from 1,410 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Richard Rowe

1,416 runners in the lifetime window · 136 individual horses

As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 211 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

91–1,416

Wins / Runs

6.4%

Strike rate

n=1,416

277 (20%)

Placed

0.88

Fair A/E

n=1,410 · 0.76 incl. margin

−499.91

£1 level stake

n=1,416 at SP · −35.3%

£875k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

11.8%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 70 runners a season, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.88). Horses in first-time headgear strike at 10% (30 runs, true-first definition).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,416 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 5 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 26.8% when favourite Leighton Aspell: 7.5% from 200 Claiming riders: 6.8% Sends off the favourite in 4% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Kempton (12.3%, n=106), clear of the yard's 6.4% baseline. A horse in first-time headgear has been a positive signal at 10% (n=30, Fair A/E 1.36), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 0% (n=31, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 3.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.60 and −195.25 to a £1 stake over 341 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Leighton Aspell rides 14% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (7.5%, A/E 0.80). The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 0% over 57 runners, 6.4pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard off a 61-180-day break: Fair A/E 0.20 across 148 runners (1.4% strike, −118.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Pocket Aces (IRE) — 5 wins from 33 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.4% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

3.8%−2.6

n=341 · A/E 0.60 · £1 −195.25

New recruits · first run for the yard

4.3%−2.1

n=46 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −1.00

Debutants · first career start

2.9%−3.5

n=68 · A/E 1.00 · £1 +117.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

10%+3.6

n=30 · A/E 1.36 · £1 −13.75

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0%−6.4

n=28 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −28.00

When favourite

26.8%

n=56 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −9.40

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

6.8%+0.4

n=351 · A/E 0.98 · £1 +3.33

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−6.4

n=31 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −31.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Paddy Brennan 14.3% vs 6.4% · n=42

At Kempton 12.3% vs 6.4% · n=106

In Class 1 0% vs 6.4% · n=57

With C&D winners 11.6% vs 6.4% · n=138

Off a 61-180-day break 1.4% vs 6.4% · n=148

In NH Flat races 1.3% vs 6.4% · n=75

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 552 27 4.9% −311.63

Chase 525 42 8% −217.78

Flat 264 21 8% −46.50

NH Flat 75 1 1.3% +76.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 361 16 4.4% −213.97

Good to Soft 300 20 6.7% −129.97

Soft 299 18 6% −156.05

Standard (AW) 209 18 8.6% +92.00

Heavy 162 17 10.5% −20.67

Good to Firm 82 2 2.4% −68.25

Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Fontwell 260 12 4.6% −169.89

Plumpton 251 18 7.2% −140.88

Lingfield 127 9 7.1% −36.00

Kempton 106 13 12.3% +21.50

Lingfield (AW) 78 3 3.8% +85.00

Kempton 68 4 5.9% −31.00

Folkestone 61 7 11.5% −0.55

Huntingdon 53 2 3.8% −44.92

Sandown 47 5 10.6% −9.67

Newbury 45 3 6.7% +1.00

Ascot 39 3 7.7% +2.00

Cheltenham 30 0 0% −30.00

Leicester 28 2 7.1% −12.50

Chepstow 25 1 4% −4.00

Towcester 25 0 0% −25.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 536 32 6% −321.06

Class 5 426 23 5.4% −94.75

Class 6 181 15 8.3% −44.00

Class 3 155 14 9% −26.60

Class 1 57 0 0% −57.00

Class 2 46 5 10.9% +22.50

Class 7 14 2 14.3% +22.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 68 16 23.5% 0.86 −15.90

2nd–3rd fav 212 36 17% 1.08 −18.51

4th–6th fav 459 22 4.8% 0.68 −250.50

7th+ in betting 677 17 2.5% 0.89 −215.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

2m1f – 2m4f 482 31 6.4% −249.13

2m5f – 3m 324 16 4.9% −194.39

1m5f – 2m 199 16 8% +64.03

Over 3m 179 13 7.3% −57.42

1m2f – 1m4f 113 9 8% −10.00

6f – 7f 62 1 1.6% −41.00

1m – 1m1f 56 5 8.9% −11.00

Under 6f 1 0 0% −1.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 140 11 7.9% −56.60

2009 92 5 5.4% −50.67

2010 115 5 4.3% −62.75

2011 100 10 10% +37.00

2012 143 12 8.4% −79.47

2013 102 4 3.9% −75.25

2014 48 2 4.2% −34.50

2015 39 2 5.1% −20.00

2016 94 8 8.5% −28.25

2017 78 8 10.3% −29.75

2018 63 6 9.5% −18.25

2019 61 2 3.3% −10.00

2020 64 3 4.7% −49.92

2021 65 4 6.2% −28.00

2022 63 4 6.3% −27.50

2023 48 3 6.3% +114.00

2024 34 0 0% −34.00

2025 50 0 0% −50.00

2026 17 2 11.8% +4.00

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,007 71 7.1% −407.98

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 487 27 5.5% −233.67

11-13 runners 376 16 4.3% −204.50

5-7 runners 321 36 11.2% −99.27

14-16 runners 150 6 4% +84.00

17+ runners 51 2 3.9% −28.00

2-4 runners 31 4 12.9% −18.47

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

74.1% completed · 1,077 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 525 69% 27 17 119 0 0

Hurdle 552 79% 6 7 103 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Mister Murchan (IRE)from Kevin O'Sullivan 32 3 14 31 Jan 25

Bennelong (GB)from Jim Best · then Lee Carter 31 4 6 17 Oct 13

Up The Straight (IRE) 30 4 8 25 May 25

Pocket Aces (IRE) 29 4 4 13 Nov 12

Like Sully (IRE) 28 3 8 14 May 18

Tommy Dillion (IRE)from P M J Doyle 26 3 7 8 Apr 26

Tzar De L'elfe (FR)from Louisa Carberry 26 2 9 21 Mar 22

Watergate (IRE)from Paul Nicholls 26 2 6 21 Oct 13

Soarlikeaneagle (IRE) 25 1 5 8 May 22

Alteranthela (IRE) 25 2 6 26 Nov 14

Pastoral Jet (GB) 25 2 8 14 Jun 14

Near The Water (IRE)then R J Harraway 24 2 7 3 Apr 12

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 136 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 10 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 24 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Paul Nicholls (2); 36 had their first archived run for this yard.

11 have since run for another yard, most often for Lee Carter (3) and Paul Nicholls (2); 49 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

957957009565

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderLeighton Aspell

14% of all rides
7.5% SR · A/E 0.80

RiderRWSR£1

Leighton Aspell 200 15 7.5% −98.97

Andrew Glassonbury 157 12 7.6% −83.25

James Davies 131 7 5.3% −27.50

Niall Houlihan 127 5 3.9% −100.67

Tabitha Worsley 67 4 6% +103.00

Andrew Thornton 63 3 4.8% −19.00

Tom Cannon 52 1 1.9% −47.50

Amir Quinn 51 6 11.8% −6.50

Marcus Foley 50 1 2% −43.00

Paddy Brennan 42 6 14.3% −9.85

Adam Beschizza 41 5 12.2% +7.00

Jay Pemberton 30 1 3.3% −4.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

109

Archived wins

£1.03m

Prize money

2012

Best season · 12 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Tatenen (FR) — victorchandler.com Handicap Chase Ascot · Jan 2011 · Class 2

£43,834

Tatenen (FR) — Betvictor.com Handicap Chase Ascot · Jan 2012 · Class 2

£43,792

Up The Straight (IRE) — bet365 Josh Gifford Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Sandown · Apr 2022 · Class 2

£20,812

Notable horses

Pocket Aces (IRE) Canadian Diamond (IRE) Bennelong (GB) Up The Straight (IRE) Burren Legend (IRE) Remember Forever (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Oscar (IRE) 6.8% · 5–73

Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.

Pastoral Pursuits (GB) 3.2% · 2–63

Progeny have won 9.5% of 7,219 runs since 2009 (437 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.4% from 109. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 1.5% from 133.

Westerner (GB) 6.4% · 3–47

Progeny have won 12.2% of 11,857 runs since 2009 (945 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.

Presenting (GB) 7.1% · 3–42

Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Bahamian Bounty (GB) 12.9% · 4–31

Progeny have won 9.6% of 9,353 runs since 2008 (598 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 1% from 202.

Arcadio (GER) 13.3% · 4–30

Progeny have won 9.2% of 3,979 runs since 2011 (375 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,778 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,778 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 8 April 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

08 Apr 26 Fontwell Tommy Dillion (IRE)J: Tabitha Worsley KSR Lighting, The Ultimate Lighting Solutions Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 17.5f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 1st 8/1

08 Apr 26 Fontwell Vendant (IRE)J: Tabitha Worsley Land & Power Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 26f · Good To Soft · 4 ran F 9/2

27 Mar 26 Fontwell Tommy Dillion (IRE)J: James Davies Bet St George Supports Safer Gambling Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 17.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 3rd 12/1

27 Mar 26 Fontwell Vendant (IRE)J: Cameron Johnstone-Baker Join Bet St George 'Hands And Heels' Handicap Hurdle (Conditionals/Amateurs)Class 5 · 21.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 2nd 12/1

18 Mar 26 Huntingdon Court One (IRE)J: James Davies Weatherbys General Stud Book Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 25f · Good · 9 ran PU 16/1

16 Mar 26 Plumpton West Along (IRE)J: Tom Cannon More Radio Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 7th 12/1

14 Mar 26 Kempton Fury Lad (IRE)J: Tabitha Worsley Virgin Bet Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 21f · Good · 5 ran 4th 250/1

11 Mar 26 Huntingdon Constant Friday (IRE)J: James Davies First Past The Post At CopyBet Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 23.5f · Good · 6 ran 4th 10/1

25 Feb 26 Wincanton Constant Friday (IRE)J: James Davies Cheltenham Preview 5th March At Wincanton Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good To Soft · 9 ran PU 15/2

23 Feb 26 Plumpton Court One (IRE)J: Brendan Powell Jolly Sportsman Supports Jamie's Farm Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 25f · Soft · 9 ran 6th 7/2

22 Feb 26 Fontwell Tommy Dillion (IRE)J: James Davies starsports.bet Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21.5f · Heavy · 7 ran 4th 33/1

22 Feb 26 Fontwell West Along (IRE)J: Tom Cannon Star Sports We Believe In Bookmaking Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19f · Heavy · 6 ran 3rd 33/1

05 Feb 26 Lingfield West Along (IRE)J: Harry Kimber attheraces.com/marketmovers Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Heavy · 10 ran 6th 11/1

05 Feb 26 Lingfield Tommy Dillion (IRE)J: Oscar Palmer At The Races App Expert Tips Conditional Jockeys' Training Series Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Heavy · 5 ran 1st 11/1

19 Jan 26 Lingfield Constant Friday (IRE)J: James Davies At The Races App Expert Tips Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Soft · 11 ran 4th 15/2

19 Jan 26 Lingfield Endersen (IRE)J: Harry Kimber Watch Unbridled On attheraces.com Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 23.5f · Soft · 8 ran PU 11/2

19 Jan 26 Lingfield Court One (IRE)J: James Davies Free Tips Daily On attheraces.com Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19.5f · Soft · 7 ran 3rd 9/2

26 Dec 25 Fontwell West Along (IRE)J: Tabitha Worsley tigerbet.co.uk Happy New Year Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 17.5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 2nd 28/1

19 Dec 25 Ascot Fury Lad (IRE)J: Tom Cannon Howden Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 3 · 21.5f · Soft · 12 ran PU 250/1

15 Dec 25 Plumpton Wings And Wands (IRE)J: Tom Cannon Staddon Send-Off Mares' Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 18f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 4th 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Richard Rowe's strike rate?: Richard Rowe has won 91 of 1,416 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.4% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Richard Rowe do best at?: Kempton by strike rate: 13 wins from 106 runners (12.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Richard Rowe?: Leighton Aspell, with 200 runners since 2008 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 15 (7.5%).
What is Richard Rowe's Fair A/E?: 0.88, from 1,410 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.