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Trainer profile

Roger Joseph McGrath

330 runners in the lifetime window · 59 individual horses
As at 9 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 162 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
25–330
Wins / Runs
7.6%
Strike rate
n=330
89 (27%)
Placed
1.00
Fair A/E
n=329 · 0.82 incl. margin
−128.70
£1 level stake
n=330 at SP · −39.0%
£341k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, winning with 8% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.00).

Deterministic profile computed from 330 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 9 Nov 2026
The read

The yard also reads well over 1m5f – 2m (12%, n=92) and in NH Flat races (11.3%, n=71). The record reads poorly on Good to Soft going — 0% over 36 runners, 7.6pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Itba Fillies Scheme E.B.F. Mares Flat Race at Navan (Nov 2011, £26,000). The stable star of the record: Miss Eyecatcher (IRE) — 7 wins from 28 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
7.1%−0.5
n=70 · A/E 1.18 · £1 −2.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
8.3%+0.7
n=12 · A/E 1.82 · £1 −3.00
Debutants · first career start
8.5%+0.9
n=47 · A/E 1.45 · £1 −1.50
First-time headgear · true-first definition
10%+2.4
n=10 · A/E 1.93 · £1 +5.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
20%+12.4
n=5 · A/E 3.39 · £1 +10.00
When favourite
35%
n=20 · A/E 1.39 · £1 +0.80
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
7.1%−0.5
n=183 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −80.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
4%−3.6
n=25 · A/E 0.75 · £1 +1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Good to Soft going 0% vs 7.6% · n=36
Over 1m5f – 2m 12% vs 7.6% · n=92
Off a break of 180+ days 2.7% vs 7.6% · n=37
With horses switching code 3.4% vs 7.6% · n=58
In NH Flat races 11.3% vs 7.6% · n=71
Off a 61-180-day break 12.1% vs 7.6% · n=33
This filter uses derived form angles computed for 71.5% of the archive so far (as at 9 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 164 12 7.3% −80.62
NH Flat 71 8 11.3% +23.50
Chase 59 3 5.1% −46.08
Flat 36 2 5.6% −25.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 117 12 10.3% −30.12
Soft 114 8 7% −60.33
Heavy 46 3 6.5% −11.25
Good to Soft 36 0 0% −36.00
Good to Firm 10 2 20% +16.00
Standard (AW) 6 0 0% −6.00
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Cork 31 2 6.5% −17.00
Tipperary 28 4 14.3% +4.17
Clonmel 26 2 7.7% −16.00
Tramore 23 1 4.3% −16.50
Fairyhouse 21 0 0% −21.00
Killarney 21 1 4.8% −13.50
Listowel 18 2 11.1% −9.25
Wexford 17 3 17.6% +2.38
Punchestown 17 0 0% −17.00
Limerick 17 2 11.8% −2.00
Thurles 16 1 6.3% −8.00
Kilbeggan 14 2 14.3% −8.00
Navan 12 1 8.3% +14.00
Gowran Park 11 1 9.1% −2.00
Leopardstown 9 1 11.1% +0.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 25 1 4% +1.00
Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 24 9 37.5% 1.46 +8.80
2nd–3rd fav 56 5 8.9% 0.70 −18.50
4th–6th fav 101 8 7.9% 1.16 −24.00
7th+ in betting 149 3 2% 0.67 −95.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
89.2% completed · 223 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 59 84.7% 2 3 4 0 0
Hurdle 164 90.9% 5 2 7 1 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Something Sweet (IRE) 57 2 23 8 Jul 22
Sweet Street (IRE)then Mel Rowley 30 2 8 5 May 23
Miss Eyecatcher (IRE) 28 7 12 1 Dec 18
Thynetocatcher (IRE) 19 3 6 31 Oct 13
Zinat (IRE)from J F O'Shea · then Phil York 14 2 5 1 Jan 22
Tropical Stream (IRE) 14 0 3 18 Jul 21
More Wine Lilly (IRE) 10 1 3 17 Jan 22
No Reaction (IRE)then Jake Thomas Coulson 8 0 2 4 Nov 21
Molly Barrys Cross (IRE) 8 0 0 22 Nov 20
Our Only Option (IRE)from Declan Queally 8 0 1 5 Dec 13
Marwood (IRE)then Jane M Foley 8 1 2 9 Mar 12
Kings Dolly (IRE) 7 1 2 18 Aug 17
All 59 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 59 horses listed, 12 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from John E Kiely (2); 47 had their first archived run for this yard.

28 have since run for another yard, most often for Garry Ducey (2); 31 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
067371473161680
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderIan Power
10% of all rides
6.1% SR · A/E 1.00
RiderRWSR£1
Ian Power 33 2 6.1% −19.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→
27
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£354k
Prize money
2017
Best season · 6 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Thynetocatcher (IRE) — Itba Fillies Scheme E.B.F. (pro/am) Mares Flat Race (listed) Navan · Nov 2011 · Listed
£26,000
Miss Eyecatcher (IRE) — Tote Irish EBF Mares Handicap Hurdle Galway · Aug 2017
£21,525
Miss Eyecatcher (IRE) — Cheestrings Mares Novice Chase Listowel · Sep 2017
£11,704
Notable horses
Miss Eyecatcher (IRE) Thynetocatcher (IRE) Something Sweet (IRE) Sweet Street (IRE) Zinat (IRE) More Wine Lilly (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Mahler (GB) 2.6% · 2–78
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,890 runs since 2014 (790 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.
Sholokhov (IRE) 6.1% · 2–33
Progeny have won 12.5% of 4,279 runs since 2008 (423 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.9% from 157.
King's Theatre (IRE) 25% · 7–28
Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.
Catcher In The Rye (IRE) 15% · 3–20
Progeny have won 8.9% of 2,570 runs since 2008 (239 horses).
Getaway (GER) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 11.3% of 11,010 runs since 2016 (1,032 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.
Holy Roman Emperor (IRE) 14.3% · 2–14
Progeny have won 10.3% of 11,886 runs since 2010 (949 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.9% from 305.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 9 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 342 · newest first

The latest 50 of 342 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 October 2006 to 31 May 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
31 May 26 Kilbeggan Gowayoutathat (IRE)J: Mr M J McGrath Follow Kilbeggan On Instagram (Pro/Am) Flat Race15.5f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran 9th 28/1
22 May 26 Downpatrick Bearys Cross (IRE)J: Mr M J McGrath Caherty Stables Racing Syndicate Point-To-Point Flat Race18f · Good To Yielding · 7 ran 6th 25/1
07 May 26 Wexford Coolnav (IRE)J: Mr M J McGrath Racing Again 16th May (C & G) Point-To-Point Flat Race17f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran 2nd 22/1
18 Jul 25 Killarney Ballinrea (IRE)J: Sean O'Keeffe Europe Hotel And Resort Handicap Chase (0-100) (Div 2)23f · Yielding To Soft · 11 ran 9th 12/1
11 Jul 25 Cork Kumenachu (IRE)J: Mr M J McGrath Racing Again July 25th Fillies Flat Race17f · Good · 16 ran 11th 100/1
08 Jun 25 Punchestown Ballinrea (IRE)J: Liam Quinlan Jim Ryan Memorial Novice Chase25f · Good To Yielding · 5 ran 5th 50/1
07 Jun 25 Punchestown Coolnav (IRE)J: Mr M J McGrath Allied Recycling Supporting Ballymacad Hunt (Pro/Am) Flat Race16.5f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran 8th 100/1
11 May 25 Killarney Coolnav (IRE)J: Mr M J McGrath Killarney Racegoers (Pro/Am) Flat Race17f · Yielding · 13 ran 7th 80/1
08 Aug 24 Sligo Phildante (IRE)J: Mr M J McGrath Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race18.5f · Soft · 13 ran 3rd 40/1
18 Jul 24 Killarney Phildante (IRE)J: Miss J Walton Kate Kearney's (Ladies Pro/Am) Flat Race17f · Good · 12 ran 3rd 33/1
01 Jun 24 Tramore Phildante (IRE)J: Jake Coen Start Your Racing TV Free Trial Now Maiden Hurdle22f · Yielding · 12 ran PU 20/1
09 May 24 Tipperary Norr's Cross (IRE)J: Mr D Kiely Millennium Surveys Ltd (C & G) Point-To-Point Flat Race18f · Yielding · 9 ran 2nd 11/1
09 May 24 Tipperary Phildante (IRE)J: Mr M J McGrath Millennium Surveys Ltd Mares Point-To-Point Flat Race18f · Yielding · 9 ran 6th 10/1
06 May 24 Down Royal Ballinrea (IRE)J: Mr M J McGrath C&C White Maiden Hunters Chase23f · Good · 12 ran UR 33/1
22 Apr 24 Tramore Ballinrea (IRE)J: Mr M J McGrath Gaultier Hunters Chase22f · Good · 10 ran 9th 11/2
01 Apr 24 Cork Ballinrea (IRE)J: Mr M J McGrath John Thomas McNamara Series Maiden Hunters Chase24f · Soft · 9 ran UR 4/1
13 Feb 24 Thurles On The Spot (IRE)J: Liam Quinlan thurles.ie Maiden Hurdle (Div 2)15.5f · Soft To Heavy · 12 ran 10th 300/1
12 Oct 23 Tramore Grasshopper Time (IRE)J: Liam Quinlan www.tramoreraces.ie Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 9 ran 2nd 6/1
30 Sep 23 Gowran Park Grasshopper Time (IRE)J: Ian Power Golf Memberships At Gowran Park Maiden Hurdle20f · Heavy · 17 ran 6th 80/1
17 Sep 23 Listowel Phildante (IRE)J: Mr M J McGrath Kerry Group (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Good · 8 ran 8th 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Roger Joseph McGrath's strike rate?
Roger Joseph McGrath has won 25 of 330 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.6% (as at 9 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Roger Joseph McGrath do best at?
Cork by strike rate: 2 wins from 31 runners (6.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Roger Joseph McGrath's Fair A/E?
1.00, from 329 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 9 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).