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Trainer profile

S Wilson

194 runners in the lifetime window · 33 individual horses
As at 27 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Oct 2025
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
5–194
Wins / Runs
2.6%
Strike rate
n=194
26 (13%)
Placed
0.58
Fair A/E
n=194 · 0.46 incl. margin
−140.92
£1 level stake
n=194 at SP · −72.6%
£56,521
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
25%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.58).

Deterministic profile computed from 194 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 27 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 2.8%
The read

The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 2.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.63 and −67.67 to a £1 stake over 107 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. The yard also reads well on Heavy going (5.6%, n=36). The market has consistently overbet the yard on Good going: Fair A/E 0.00 across 52 runners (0% strike, −52.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
1.5%−1.1
n=68 · A/E 0.41 · £1 −42.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
7.1%+4.5
n=14 · A/E 1.53 · £1 −4.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−2.6
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.6
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.6
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
When favourite
100%
n=1 · A/E 5.37 · £1 +3.33
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
2.8%+0.2
n=107 · A/E 0.63 · £1 −67.67
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−2.6
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Jody McGarvey 8.3% vs 2.6% · n=36
On Heavy going 5.6% vs 2.6% · n=36
On Good going 0% vs 2.6% · n=52
Off a 15-30-day break 0% vs 2.6% · n=47
In Chase races 0% vs 2.6% · n=45
Off a 61-180-day break 0% vs 2.6% · n=34
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 115 5 4.3% −61.92
Chase 45 0 0% −45.00
Flat 21 0 0% −21.00
NH Flat 13 0 0% −13.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 79 2 2.5% −65.25
Good 52 0 0% −52.00
Heavy 36 2 5.6% −5.67
Good to Soft 16 1 6.3% −7.00
Standard (AW) 8 0 0% −8.00
Good to Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Down Royal 62 1 1.6% −36.00
Navan 23 1 4.3% −18.67
Downpatrick 20 0 0% −20.00
Fairyhouse 19 0 0% −19.00
Ayr 12 0 0% −12.00
Perth 11 1 9.1% −7.25
Punchestown 10 0 0% −10.00
Dundalk (AW) 8 0 0% −8.00
Sedgefield 7 1 14.3% +3.00
Newcastle 4 0 0% −4.00
Leopardstown 3 0 0% −3.00
Sligo 3 1 33.3% +6.00
Naas 2 0 0% −2.00
Thurles 2 0 0% −2.00
Musselburgh 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 18 1 5.6% −8.00
Class 4 17 1 5.9% −13.25
Class 1 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 3 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 6 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 2 1 50% 2.68 +2.33
2nd–3rd fav 13 1 7.7% 0.58 −9.25
4th–6th fav 43 1 2.3% 0.35 −34.00
7th+ in betting 136 2 1.5% 0.56 −100.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
77.5% completed · 160 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 45 73.3% 0 3 7 0 2
Hurdle 115 79.1% 4 1 18 1 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Court Jester (IRE) 27 2 7 17 Mar 17
Hurricane Ivan (IRE)from Fergal O'Brien 22 2 4 28 Apr 17
Nabraska (IRE) 15 0 4 15 Jun 24
Piranto (IRE)from M G Quinn 13 0 2 5 Sep 21
Robyn Rua (IRE) 13 0 0 7 May 18
Ranjaan (FR)from Paul Nicholls 11 0 0 21 Apr 17
Shelbe (IRE)from M G Quinn 9 0 1 12 Oct 18
Fowlplay (IRE) 8 0 1 5 Sep 21
Quinntowin (IRE) 8 0 2 20 Mar 09
Crecerelle (IRE)from V C Ward 7 0 0 6 Oct 23
Whiskey Sour (IRE)from W P Mullins 6 0 0 8 Aug 24
Columbanus (IRE)from A Oliver · then Kevin Bishop 6 0 0 6 Jun 15
All 33 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 33 horses listed, 16 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from H Smyth (2) and M G Quinn (2); 17 had their first archived run for this yard.

6 have since run for another yard; 27 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
05001000001104
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderJody McGarvey
19% of all rides
8.3% SR · A/E 1.46
RiderRWSR£1
Jody McGarvey 36 3 8.3% −1.92
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
5
Archived wins
£56,521
Prize money
2014
Best season · 3 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Court Jester (IRE) — Martinstown Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-109) Navan · Feb 2014
£8,625
Court Jester (IRE) — Martinstown Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-102) Down Royal · Dec 2012
£7,245
Kinbara Hills (IRE) — Sligo Races Vintage Friday Handicap Hurdle (0-100) Sligo · Oct 2025
£6,195
Notable horses
Court Jester (IRE) Hurricane Ivan (IRE) Kinbara Hills (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Pushkin (IRE) 7.4% · 2–27
Progeny have won 6.9% of 320 runs since 2008 (22 horses).
Golden Tornado (IRE) 9.1% · 2–22
Progeny have won 10% of 739 runs since 2008 (61 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 15.3% from 248. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.8% from 157.
Curtain Time (IRE) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 9.7% of 494 runs since 2008 (51 horses).
King's Theatre (IRE) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.
Shantou (USA) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 13.6% of 7,823 runs since 2008 (539 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 20.3% from 158.
Jeremy (USA) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 11.2% of 6,724 runs since 2008 (425 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.5% from 664. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 16.3% from 147. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.8% from 743.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 27 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 226 · newest first

The latest 50 of 226 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 8 May 2005 to 24 October 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
24 Oct 25 Sligo Kinbara Hills (IRE)J: Patrick M O'Brien Sligo Races Vintage Friday Handicap Hurdle (0-100)20f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 1st 8/1
11 Oct 25 Fairyhouse Kinbara Hills (IRE)J: John Shinnick FLC Frank Lynch & Co. Supporting Louth GAA Handicap Hurdle (0-100)16f · Yielding · 16 ran 7th 25/1
07 Aug 25 Sligo Kinbara Hills (IRE)J: Ms E Dunseath Sports Information Service Handicap Hurdle (0-100)18f · Good · 14 ran 9th 40/1
02 May 25 Punchestown Calcified (IRE)J: Ms E Dunseath Overlander Flat Race19f · Yielding · 22 ran PU 150/1
08 Aug 24 Leopardstown Whiskey Sour (IRE)J: Mr A Lezama Fegentri World Championship (Q.R.) Handicap15f · Good · 10 ran 10th 20/1
19 Jul 24 Down Royal Whiskey Sour (IRE)J: Sean Bird GAIN The Advantage Series Apprentice Handicap13f · Good · 12 ran 10th 40/1
28 Jun 24 Curragh Whiskey Sour (IRE)J: Conor Maxwell JJ Mahon & Sons Irish European Breeders Fund Stayers Handicap16f · Good · 17 ran 16th 66/1
15 Jun 24 Downpatrick Nabraska (IRE)J: Jake Coen Download The New Tote App Handicap Chase (0-109)19.5f · Good · 11 ran 4th 20/1
14 Jun 24 Fairyhouse Whiskey Sour (IRE)J: Conor Maxwell Soil Ireland Turf Management Handicap (50-85)14f · Good · 18 ran 9th 100/1
07 May 24 Navan Whiskey Sour (IRE)J: Andrew Slattery Cusack Hotel Group Family Fun Day July 13th Handicap14f · Yielding · 8 ran 8th 125/1
27 Apr 24 Navan Whiskey Sour (IRE)J: Andrew Slattery Navan Handicap13f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 15th 100/1
06 Oct 23 Downpatrick Crecerelle (IRE)J: John Shinnick Racing TV Handicap Hurdle (80-102)18f · Soft · 8 ran 8th 14/1
15 Sep 23 Downpatrick Willyouwalkwithme (IRE)J: John Shinnick Randox Handicap Hurdle (80-109)18f · Soft · 9 ran 6th 12/1
28 Aug 23 Downpatrick Nabraska (IRE)J: Conor Maxwell Dennison JCB Handicap Chase (0-95)19f · Good · 11 ran 2nd 14/1
13 Aug 23 Downpatrick Willyouwalkwithme (IRE)J: John Shinnick Killultagh Estates Rated Hurdle17.5f · Yielding · 6 ran 5th 25/1
13 Aug 23 Downpatrick Struell Duchess (IRE)J: John Shinnick ITBA Mares Maiden Hurdle17.5f · Yielding · 11 ran 11th 200/1
02 Aug 23 Perth Willyouwalkwithme (IRE)J: John Shinnick Auto Services Perth Ltd. Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 16f · Good · 7 ran F 12/1
01 Aug 23 Perth Zagnzig (IRE)J: John Shinnick BetVictor Betting After The 'Off' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good To Soft · 6 ran PU 14/1
13 Jul 23 Downpatrick Crecerelle (IRE)J: John Shinnick Cosy Roof Rated Novice Hurdle22f · Good · 5 ran 4th 200/1
13 Jul 23 Downpatrick Struell Duke (IRE)J: Donagh Meyler Plus 2 Print Remembering Tony Oakes Mbe Maiden Hurdle22f · Good · 8 ran 6th 150/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is S Wilson's strike rate?
S Wilson has won 5 of 194 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 2.6% (as at 27 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does S Wilson do best at?
Down Royal by strike rate: 1 wins from 62 runners (1.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is S Wilson's Fair A/E?
0.58, from 194 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 27 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).