What is Saeed bin Suroor's strike rate?

Saeed bin Suroor has won 1,269 of 5,887 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 21.6% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Saeed bin Suroor do best at?

Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 89 wins from 259 runners (34.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Saeed bin Suroor?

Frankie Dettori, with 915 runners since 2008 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 206 (22.5%).

Is Saeed bin Suroor in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Saeed bin Suroor's Fair A/E?

1.08, from 5,854 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Saeed bin Suroor

5,887 runners in the lifetime window · 1,195 individual horses

As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 11 days ago 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

1,269–5,887

Wins / Runs

21.6%

Strike rate

n=5,887

2,702 (46%)

Placed

1.08

Fair A/E

n=5,854 · 0.93 incl. margin

−674.58

£1 level stake

n=5,887 at SP · −11.5%

£26.5m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

18.6%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 310 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 22% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.08).

Deterministic profile computed from 5,887 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 8 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Oct–Dec Fresh horses: 22.3% 38.2% when favourite Frankie Dettori: 22.5% from 915 Claiming riders: 22.2% Sends off the favourite in 28% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Lingfield (AW) (34.4%, n=259) and Wolverhampton (AW) (32%, n=322) — all clear of the yard's 21.6% baseline. It is weakest at Goodwood (10.3% over 263 runners) — the widest gap in the record. A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a poor signal at 13.5% (n=111, Fair A/E 0.99). Frankie Dettori rides 16% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (22.5%, A/E 1.04) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well on Standard (AW) going (29%, n=1,658). 234 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Qipco Champion Stakes at Ascot (Oct 2013, £737,230). The stable star of the record: Passion And Glory (IRE) — 7 wins from 18 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Oct–Dec.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 21.6% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

22.3%+0.7

n=1,231 · A/E 1.20 · £1 −8.49

New recruits · first run for the yard

16.4%−5.2

n=165 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −58.33

Debutants · first career start

21%−0.6

n=994 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −108.02

First-time headgear · true-first definition

19.5%−2.1

n=472 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −54.81

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

13.5%−8.1

n=111 · A/E 0.99 · £1 +12.70

When favourite

38.2%

n=1,676 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −153.28

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

22.2%+0.6

n=504 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −67.35

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

13.9%−7.7

n=1,238 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −344.96

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 21.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Lingfield (AW) 34.4% vs 21.6% · n=259

At Goodwood 10.3% vs 21.6% · n=263

At Wolverhampton (AW) 32% vs 21.6% · n=322

With Cieren Fallon 6.3% vs 21.6% · n=48

At Ascot 11.7% vs 21.6% · n=376

On Standard (AW) going 29% vs 21.6% · n=1,658

This filter uses derived form angles computed for 47.9% of the archive so far (as at 8 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 1,658 480 29% +4.15

Good to Firm 1,614 307 19% −175.70

Good 1,389 251 18.1% −292.45

Good to Soft 656 124 18.9% −57.78

Soft 455 79 17.4% −133.12

Heavy 73 14 19.2% −20.14

Firm 42 14 33.3% +0.46

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 603 158 26.2% +12.85

Newmarket 442 65 14.7% −41.36

Ascot 376 44 11.7% −35.71

Newmarket 356 85 23.9% +5.66

Wolverhampton (AW) 322 103 32% −9.07

Chelmsford (AW) 308 83 26.9% −21.90

York 273 38 13.9% −65.32

Goodwood 263 27 10.3% −146.86

Lingfield (AW) 259 89 34.4% +42.48

Doncaster 258 56 21.7% −25.70

Newbury 224 44 19.6% +24.21

Sandown 185 32 17.3% −5.70

Haydock 174 21 12.1% −88.39

Nottingham 158 49 31% +22.22

Windsor 145 39 26.9% +6.14

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 1,555 411 26.4% −202.38

Class 4 1,256 314 25% −69.35

Class 1 1,239 172 13.9% −345.96

Class 2 939 143 15.2% −95.09

Class 3 858 216 25.2% +40.63

Class 6 40 13 32.5% −2.43

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 1,883 707 37.5% 1.08 −100.24

2nd–3rd fav 2,075 420 20.2% 1.11 −97.34

4th–6th fav 1,335 125 9.4% 1.05 −234.00

7th+ in betting 594 17 2.9% 0.69 −243.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 1,980 449 22.7% −336.40

1m2f – 1m4f 1,794 364 20.3% −130.46

1m – 1m1f 1,687 383 22.7% −126.08

1m5f – 2m 281 46 16.4% −27.77

Under 6f 113 23 20.4% −35.67

2m1f – 2m4f 29 4 13.8% −15.20

2m5f – 3m 3 0 0% −3.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 327 60 18.3% −63.05

2009 563 156 27.7% +6.84

2010 422 93 22% −51.00

2011 382 58 15.2% −107.22

2012 442 85 19.2% −48.97

2013 525 106 20.2% −54.19

2014 406 94 23.2% −23.49

2015 396 105 26.5% +0.85

2016 322 69 21.4% −37.61

2017 284 66 23.2% −60.19

2018 390 86 22.1% −89.18

2019 348 81 23.3% −22.56

2020 259 39 15.1% −101.58

2021 288 62 21.5% −10.01

2022 234 49 20.9% +19.51

2023 106 18 17% −4.15

2024 68 18 26.5% −8.29

2025 66 13 19.7% −18.62

2026 59 11 18.6% −1.67

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 2,183 426 19.5% −104.34

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 1,964 407 20.7% −274.94

11-13 runners 1,404 299 21.3% −105.85

5-7 runners 1,354 370 27.3% −67.24

14-16 runners 580 84 14.5% −140.97

17+ runners 368 26 7.1% −87.09

2-4 runners 217 83 38.2% +1.51

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Global City (IRE) 25 4 6 14 Nov 12

Dubai Souq (IRE) 21 4 6 18 Oct 23

Prince Siegfried (FR)from Andrew Balding · then John Ferguson 21 6 12 3 Nov 12

Dubai Future (GB) 20 4 9 5 Sep 26

Global Heat (IRE) 20 1 6 26 Jul 24

Volcanic Sky (GB) 20 4 10 28 May 22

Bedouin's Story (GB) 20 5 9 9 Oct 21

Quick Wit (GB) 20 5 12 9 Oct 15

Tha'ir (IRE)then Michael Appleby 19 4 8 25 Jul 15

Passion And Glory (IRE) 18 7 8 17 Jun 25

Ahzeemah (IRE) 18 4 12 31 Jul 14

Campanologist (USA)from Mark Johnston 18 2 7 29 Jul 11

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 1,195 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 13 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 8 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from A Fabre (3); 52 had their first archived run for this yard.

6 have since run for another yard; 54 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 2

Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

355018231818232121242635

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderFrankie Dettori

16% of all rides
22.5% SR · A/E 1.04

RiderRWSR£1

Frankie Dettori 915 206 22.5% −181.71

Silvestre De Sousa 461 99 21.5% −45.73

Ted Durcan 418 109 26.1% +29.41

James Doyle 359 88 24.5% −5.97

Oisin Murphy 326 98 30.1% +21.63

Pat Cosgrave 215 48 22.3% −55.97

Mickael Barzalona 202 38 18.8% −19.66

Kevin Stott 158 34 21.5% −43.27

Hector Crouch 140 36 25.7% +4.71

Kieren Fallon 128 24 18.8% −23.22

William Buick 120 30 25% +6.35

Callum Shepherd 107 21 19.6% −25.56

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

1,502

Archived wins

234

Pattern / graded wins

£33.4m

Prize money

2009

Best season · 156 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Farhh (GB) — Qipco Champion Stakes (British Champions Middle Distance) (Group 1) Ascot · Oct 2013 · Group 1

£737,230

Shamardal (USA) — Prix du Jockey Club (Colts & Fillies) Chantilly (FR) · Jun 2005 · Group 1

£607,872

Mastery (GB) — Ladbrokes St Leger Stakes (Group 1) Doncaster · Sep 2009 · Group 1

£306,586

Notable horses

Passion And Glory (IRE) Echo Of Light (GB) Rio de La Plata (USA) Prince Siegfried (FR) Hidden Gold (IRE) Dubai One (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dubawi (IRE) 22.9% · 128–560

Progeny have won 18.4% of 12,992 runs since 2009 (1,531 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 9.8% from 429.

Invincible Spirit (IRE) 23.4% · 77–329

Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,871 runs since 2008 (1,574 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 844.

Shamardal (USA) 20.2% · 65–321

Progeny have won 14.8% of 10,413 runs since 2009 (1,008 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11.7% from 1,288. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.3% from 475.

Exceed and Excel (AUS) 20.6% · 65–315

Progeny have won 11.9% of 16,039 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.

Cape Cross (IRE) 24.8% · 50–202

Progeny have won 13.3% of 12,754 runs since 2008 (988 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 8.4% from 477. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.8% from 230.

New Approach (IRE) 22.3% · 41–184

Progeny have won 12.6% of 6,794 runs since 2012 (685 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.9% from 101.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 8 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 6,851 · newest first

The latest 50 of 6,851 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 30 April 2005 to 28 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

28 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Arabian Summer (IRE)J: Christian Howarth Bet £20 Get £20 With Unibet Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 8 ran 3rd 5/6F

26 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Al Mandoos (GB)J: Ray Dawson Unibet's New Var Goal Guarantee Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 9 ran 4th 11/4

19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Wesam (IRE)J: Sam James bettingsites.co.uk Find Your New Bookmaker Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 11/1

19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Meeting Point (GB)J: Sean Kirrane bettingsites.co.uk Best Betting Offers EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 3 · 7f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 66/1

19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Al Sham (GB)J: Jason Hart bettingsites.co.uk Best Betting Offers EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 3 · 7f · Standard · 14 ran 8th 5/1

19 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Stormy Winter (GB)J: Oisin Murphy Download The At The Races App Nursery Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 6/5F

17 Oct 26 Ascot Victory Gold (IRE)J: Oisin Murphy Qatar Racing British Champions Day Two-Year-Old Conditions Stakes (GBB Race)Class 2 · 6f · Good · 11 ran 10th 28/1

13 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Soft Landing (GB)J: Oisin Murphy Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 1st 13/8

11 Oct 26 Goodwood Sword Maker (IRE)J: Oisin Murphy Inkerman London Handicap StakesClass 2 · 8f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 5th 17/2

11 Oct 26 Goodwood Midnight Thunder (GB)J: Oisin Murphy Virgin Bet Daily Extra Places Handicap StakesClass 3 · 6f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 11th 5/1

10 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Light Snowfall (GB)J: William Carson Brooklyn Ground Works Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 7 ran 4th 11/2

10 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Arabian Summer (IRE)J: Christian Howarth Brooklyn Ground Works Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 7 ran 2nd 5/4F

06 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Meeting Point (GB)J: Tom Marquand bettingsites.co.uk Top UK Bookmakers EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 3 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 8th 20/1

05 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Al Sham (GB)J: Alistair Rawlinson Unibet More Extra Place Races EBF Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 8 ran 4th 9/2

03 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Cloud Forest (GB)J: William Carson Bettingsites.co.uk Free Bet Offers Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 1/1F

03 Oct 26 Ascot Desert Shadow (GB)J: Kieran Shoemark Betmgm Challenge Cup (Class 2 Heritage Handicap)Class 2 · 7f · Good To Firm · 18 ran 7th 20/1

29 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Soft Landing (GB)J: Alistair Rawlinson attheraces.com/marketmovers Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 13/2

26 Sep 26 Newmarket Sword Maker (IRE)J: Oisin Murphy Hunt Family Fund Handicap StakesClass 2 · 7f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 5th 7/2J

21 Sep 26 Leicester Wesam (IRE)J: Stevie Donohoe Fireworks Festival 7th November 2026 - Book Now Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Good · 13 ran 11th 10/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 4 runs (won 1) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 2 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 2 runs (won 1) · to 28 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Saeed bin Suroor's strike rate?: Saeed bin Suroor has won 1,269 of 5,887 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 21.6% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Saeed bin Suroor do best at?: Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 89 wins from 259 runners (34.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Saeed bin Suroor?: Frankie Dettori, with 915 runners since 2008 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 206 (22.5%).
Is Saeed bin Suroor in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Saeed bin Suroor's Fair A/E?: 1.08, from 5,854 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.