What is Timothy Doyle's strike rate?

Timothy Doyle has won 123 of 2,581 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.8% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Timothy Doyle do best at?

Thurles by strike rate: 13 wins from 172 runners (7.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Timothy Doyle?

W J Lee, with 412 runners since 2008 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 21 (5.1%).

Is Timothy Doyle in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Timothy Doyle's Fair A/E?

0.84, from 2,581 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Timothy Doyle

2,581 runners in the lifetime window · 246 individual horses

As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 7 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

123–2,581

Wins / Runs

4.8%

Strike rate

n=2,581

468 (18%)

Placed

0.84

Fair A/E

n=2,581 · 0.65 incl. margin

−1,427.66

£1 level stake

n=2,581 at SP · −55.3%

£1.67m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

2.8%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 140 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.84). In Group and Graded company the record reads 9% (45 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,581 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 29 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Mar 32.9% when favourite W J Lee: 5.1% from 412 Group/Graded: 8.9% Sends off the favourite in 3% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Sligo (18.4%, n=38), clear of the yard's 4.8% baseline. In Group and Graded company the record reads well at 8.9% (n=45, Fair A/E 1.10), but new recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 0% (n=36, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet debutants: 0% strike, Fair A/E 0.00 and −174.00 to a £1 stake over 174 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. W J Lee rides 16% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (5.1%, A/E 0.83). The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (10%, n=150). 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Underwriting Exchange Dan Moore Memorial Handicap Chase at Fairyhouse (Jan 2015, £60,000). The stable star of the record: Northern Surprise (IRE) — 7 wins from 63 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jan–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.8% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

2.6%−2.2

n=567 · A/E 0.66 · £1 −314.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

0%−4.8

n=36 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −36.00

Debutants · first career start

0%−4.8

n=174 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −174.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

3.6%−1.2

n=83 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −52.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0%−4.8

n=44 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −44.00

When favourite

32.9%

n=76 · A/E 1.42 · £1 +6.68

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

4.8%+0.0

n=1,188 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −634.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

8.9%+4.1

n=45 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −14.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Sligo 18.4% vs 4.8% · n=38

With Wayne Hassett 11.4% vs 4.8% · n=88

On last-time-out winners 10.6% vs 4.8% · n=113

Off a 0-7-day break 10% vs 4.8% · n=150

With debutants 0% vs 4.8% · n=174

With Cian Quirke 11.1% vs 4.8% · n=45

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,490 73 4.9% −798.54

Hurdle 736 35 4.8% −419.12

NH Flat 199 1 0.5% −195.50

Chase 156 14 9% −14.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 851 47 5.5% −462.64

Good 630 25 4% −383.50

Heavy 405 26 6.4% −190.15

Standard (AW) 237 13 5.5% −76.37

Good to Soft 232 10 4.3% −114.00

Good to Firm 209 2 1% −184.00

Firm 17 0 0% −17.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Gowran Park 282 11 3.9% −204.50

Dundalk 235 13 5.5% −74.37

Cork 210 5 2.4% −173.00

Thurles 172 13 7.6% −97.83

Clonmel 149 8 5.4% −61.50

Tipperary 128 9 7% −12.00

Roscommon 121 3 2.5% −82.00

Limerick 119 4 3.4% −64.50

Naas 116 7 6% −71.42

Leopardstown 116 6 5.2% −60.00

Punchestown 115 8 7% −54.50

Curragh 113 5 4.4% −43.50

Ballinrobe 107 6 5.6% −38.95

Killarney 101 3 3% −61.00

Fairyhouse 91 5 5.5% −57.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 45 4 8.9% −14.00

Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 99 28 28.3% 1.33 −2.07

2nd–3rd fav 284 45 15.8% 1.20 −17.09

4th–6th fav 592 25 4.2% 0.60 −307.50

7th+ in betting 1,606 25 1.6% 0.54 −1,101.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

1m – 1m1f 585 33 5.6% −228.58

1m5f – 2m 521 18 3.5% −391.37

2m1f – 2m4f 433 22 5.1% −181.00

6f – 7f 429 28 6.5% −200.29

1m2f – 1m4f 386 11 2.8% −288.67

2m5f – 3m 208 11 5.3% −118.75

Under 6f 10 0 0% −10.00

Over 3m 9 0 0% −9.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 200 8 4% −86.20

2009 212 4 1.9% −166.25

2010 160 5 3.1% −132.50

2011 129 6 4.7% −64.17

2012 147 8 5.4% −68.25

2013 132 7 5.3% −94.34

2014 119 7 5.9% −76.25

2015 92 9 9.8% +7.25

2016 127 7 5.5% −69.62

2017 102 5 4.9% −42.50

2018 101 2 2% −81.00

2019 155 9 5.8% −85.00

2020 79 3 3.8% −65.50

2021 147 8 5.4% −54.25

2022 61 1 1.6% −35.00

2023 195 20 10.3% −13.38

2024 204 10 4.9% −139.20

2025 148 2 1.4% −128.50

2026 71 2 2.8% −33.00

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,504 85 5.7% −669.59

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

14-16 runners 1,057 43 4.1% −596.67

17+ runners 600 27 4.5% −337.15

11-13 runners 523 24 4.6% −291.72

8-10 runners 295 16 5.4% −201.30

5-7 runners 103 13 12.6% +2.18

2-4 runners 3 0 0% −3.00

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Northern Surprise (IRE) 63 7 12 11 Nov 20

Punches Pious (IRE)from P D Deegan 62 2 10 12 Aug 20

Vasoni (IRE) 46 5 13 31 Aug 15

Cher Why Not (IRE) 39 3 16 27 Jan 25

Mallowney (IRE) 38 7 16 1 Dec 18

Belle's Ridge (GB) 37 3 11 25 Sep 11

Thats All (IRE) 35 1 8 9 Jun 26

Pink Socks (IRE)then Ian Williams 35 1 10 20 Oct 25

Spanish Tenor (IRE)then Adrian McGuinness 35 4 10 1 Jun 21

Lisabetta (IRE)from W McCreery · then Ian Williams 34 3 5 20 Oct 25

Von Krolock (IRE)then James Owen 34 1 7 10 Sep 25

Summer's Dream (GB) 34 3 10 29 Oct 21

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 246 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 15 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 4 arrived from another yard in our archive; 56 had their first archived run for this yard.

17 have since run for another yard, most often for James Owen (4) and Ian Williams (2); 43 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 5

Only 5 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

9108235536534

Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderW J Lee

16% of all rides
5.1% SR · A/E 0.83

RiderRWSR£1

W J Lee 412 21 5.1% −223.41

Mr D Doyle 249 9 3.6% −178.30

Martin Burke 200 7 3.5% −147.42

Michael Darcy 160 7 4.4% −64.00

Ronan Whelan 97 3 3.1% −68.00

Wayne Hassett 88 10 11.4% −27.88

Gavin Ryan 61 2 3.3% −31.00

Emma Doyle 60 3 5% +1.00

Ambrose McCurtin 57 0 0% −57.00

Chris Hayes 51 3 5.9% −15.25

Cian Quirke 45 5 11.1% +15.60

Miss N Doyle 36 0 0% −36.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

164

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.20m

Prize money

2023

Best season · 20 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Mallowney (IRE) — Underwriting Exchange Dan Moore Memorial Handicap Chase (grade A) Fairyhouse · Jan 2015 · Grade A

£60,000

Raggtime Toon (IRE) — Boylesports 85 Nationwide Handicap (Premier Handicap) Curragh (IRE) · May 2005

£48,825

Mallowney (IRE) — Three.ie Handicap Chase (Grade C) Punchestown · May 2014 · Grade C

£32,500

Notable horses

Northern Surprise (IRE) Mallowney (IRE) Simply Sideways (IRE) Mr Eko (IRE) Vasoni (IRE) Spanish Tenor (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Redback (GB) 5.1% · 8–156

Progeny have won 7.6% of 2,888 runs since 2008 (249 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 3.9% from 181.

Sir Prancealot (IRE) 9.3% · 10–108

Progeny have won 10.1% of 3,687 runs since 2008 (216 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.6% from 627. Weakest on Heavy going: 5.3% from 171.

Footstepsinthesand (GB) 6.7% · 7–104

Progeny have won 10.2% of 12,801 runs since 2008 (937 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.9% from 320.

Morpheus (GB) 3.1% · 3–97

Progeny have won 7.1% of 1,671 runs since 2008 (128 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 10.9% from 540. Weakest on Soft going: 2.6% from 305. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 2.7% from 147.

Ask (GB) 6.2% · 5–81

Progeny have won 10.6% of 3,215 runs since 2008 (283 horses).

Flemensfirth (USA) 7.9% · 6–76

Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,282 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,313 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,313 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 22 January 2005 to 22 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

22 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Ned In The Park (IRE)J: Mr D Doyle William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Steeplechase21f · Good · 10 ran 7th 8/1

21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Aboveheronlysky (IRE)J: Keithen Kennedy Christmas Parties At Navan Racecourse 5th & 13th December Handicap6f · Yielding · 21 ran 15th 20/1

19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Walls Cross (IRE)J: Nina Doherty Racing Club Membership Handicap (Div II)8.5f · Soft · 15 ran 12th 33/1

19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Miss Abby Jools (IRE)J: Nina Doherty Racing Club Membership Handicap (Div I)8.5f · Soft · 16 ran 16th 22/1

17 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Park On The Green (IRE)J: Mr A P Ryan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race17f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran 7th 40/1

15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Alfalfa (IRE)J: W. J. Lee Isuzu Ireland Handicap14f · Yielding To Soft · 21 ran 12th 11/1

14 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Highland Call (IRE)J: Mr D Doyle Matchbook €50,000 Graduation Series Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good · 15 ran 6th 80/1

13 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Getaway Charlie (IRE)J: Mr D Doyle William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle23.5f · Good · 18 ran 7th 12/1

11 Oct 26 Cork (IRE) Ned In The Park (IRE)J: Mr D Doyle Friends Of Castlemagner LGFA Rated Novice Steeplechase17.5f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 4/1

07 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Aboveheronlysky (IRE)J: Keithen Kennedy Book Your Discounted Tickets On NavanRacecourse.ie Handicap6f · Yielding · 22 ran 13th 33/1

04 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Alfalfa (IRE)J: Ms J I Stokes Holden Plant Rentals Lady Riders Classic (Q.R.) Handicap12f · Yielding · 12 ran 3rd 7/2

04 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Beauforts Storm (IRE)J: Mr D Doyle Killarney Races Handicap Steeplechase17f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran 9th 22/1

02 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Getaway Charlie (IRE)J: Mr D Doyle Racing TV Handicap Hurdle (Div I)20f · Good · 20 ran 5th 7/2J

02 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Highland Call (IRE)J: Mr D Doyle Cantor Fitzgerald Ireland Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good To Yielding · 20 ran 6th 100/1

01 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Boomerang Breeze (IRE)J: Mr D Doyle Ravens Rock Novice Handicap Hurdle20f · Good · 16 ran 11th 18/1

29 Sep 26 Cork (IRE) Aboveheronlysky (IRE)J: Keithen Kennedy WTW Willis Handicap6f · Soft · 19 ran 12th 25/1

28 Sep 26 Roscommon (IRE) Beauforts Storm (IRE)J: Mr D Doyle Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Handicap Steeplechase21.5f · Yielding · 10 ran PU 22/1

28 Sep 26 Roscommon (IRE) Getaway Charlie (IRE)J: Mr D Doyle Railway Bar Handicap Hurdle20.5f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 1st 28/1

27 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Alfalfa (IRE)J: Mr D Doyle Kwiff Supercharged Betting (Q.R.) Handicap10f · Heavy · 18 ran 6th 33/1

28 Aug 26 Wexford (IRE) Beauforts Storm (IRE)J: Mr D Doyle Brendan Cullimore Electrical Rated Novice Steeplechase19.5f · Yielding · 5 ran 4th 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Timothy Doyle's strike rate?: Timothy Doyle has won 123 of 2,581 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.8% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Timothy Doyle do best at?: Thurles by strike rate: 13 wins from 172 runners (7.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Timothy Doyle?: W J Lee, with 412 runners since 2008 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 21 (5.1%).
Is Timothy Doyle in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Timothy Doyle's Fair A/E?: 0.84, from 2,581 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.