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Trainer profile

Alan McIntyre

150 runners in the lifetime window · 35 individual horses
As at 3 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 11 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2022→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
9–150
Wins / Runs
6%
Strike rate
n=150
29 (19%)
Placed
0.98
Fair A/E
n=150 · 0.78 incl. margin
−65.30
£1 level stake
n=150 at SP · −43.5%
£159k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
3.2%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, winning with 6% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.98).

Deterministic profile computed from 150 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 3 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 6.7% Claiming riders: 6.7%
The read

It is weakest at Dundalk (AW) (0% over 35 runners) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. The yard also reads well on Good going (14.8%, n=54) and off a 15-30-day break (10.6%, n=47). The record reads poorly on Standard (AW) going — 0% over 35 runners, 6pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 6f – 7f: Fair A/E 0.33 across 60 runners (1.7% strike, −55.80 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
6.7%+0.7
n=30 · A/E 1.46 · £1 −14.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
9.1%+3.1
n=22 · A/E 1.39 · £1 −8.50
Debutants · first career start
0%−6.0
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−6.0
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−6.0
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
When favourite
0%
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6.7%+0.7
n=45 · A/E 1.22 · £1 −24.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−6.0
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Good going 14.8% vs 6% · n=54
At Dundalk (AW) 0% vs 6% · n=35
On Standard (AW) going 0% vs 6% · n=35
Off a 15-30-day break 10.6% vs 6% · n=47
Over 6f – 7f 1.7% vs 6% · n=60
On Soft going 2.6% vs 6% · n=39
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 133 9 6.8% −48.30
Hurdle 12 0 0% −12.00
NH Flat 5 0 0% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 54 8 14.8% +22.20
Soft 39 1 2.6% −30.50
Standard (AW) 35 0 0% −35.00
Good to Firm 9 0 0% −9.00
Heavy 8 0 0% −8.00
Good to Soft 5 0 0% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 35 0 0% −35.00
Curragh 22 1 4.5% −9.00
Gowran Park 9 1 11.1% −0.50
Leopardstown 9 0 0% −9.00
Navan 8 1 12.5% +7.00
Cork 7 0 0% −7.00
Naas 7 0 0% −7.00
Galway 6 0 0% −6.00
Ballinrobe 5 2 40% +6.00
Fairyhouse 5 1 20% −0.80
Tipperary 4 0 0% −4.00
Roscommon 4 0 0% −4.00
Punchestown 4 0 0% −4.00
Limerick 4 0 0% −4.00
Clonmel 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 5 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 5 1 20% 0.95 −0.50
2nd–3rd fav 24 4 16.7% 1.13 −1.30
4th–6th fav 38 3 7.9% 1.06 −1.50
7th+ in betting 83 1 1.2% 0.57 −62.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Moonhall Lass (IRE)then P J F Murphy 16 0 4 21 Jun 25
Rock Of Ireland (IRE)from Barry J Fitzgerald · then Rory Anthony Devine 12 0 2 14 Oct 25
Moonhall Church (IRE) 10 2 2 27 Jun 25
Private Larry (IRE) 9 1 2 5 Aug 26
Molly Hall (IRE)from Barry J Fitzgerald 9 4 6 29 Jun 25
Genesis (IRE)from Barry J Fitzgerald · then Michael Mulvany 8 0 1 27 Jun 25
Happy For Evva (IRE)from Ms Sheila Lavery 7 0 2 26 Sep 25
Pinar Del Rio (GB)from Kieran P Cotter 6 0 0 15 Oct 26
Soaring Monarch (IRE)from Peter Fahey · then James M Barrett 6 1 2 20 Oct 24
The Crafty Girl (IRE)from Barry J Fitzgerald 6 0 0 11 Sep 24
Mythical Rock (IRE)from Barry J Fitzgerald · then James M Barrett 5 0 4 2 Oct 24
Sophia Royale (IRE) 4 0 0 5 Aug 26
All 35 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 35 horses listed, 22 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Barry J Fitzgerald (9) and Peter McCreery (3); 13 had their first archived run for this yard.

18 have since run for another yard, most often for James M Barrett (3); 17 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 2
Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0001461117410000
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Luke McAteer 27 1 3.7% −21.00
N G McCullagh 12 2 16.7% +7.50
Robert Whearty 11 3 27.3% +10.00
Rory Mulligan 6 0 0% −6.00
Rory Cleary 5 0 0% −5.00
Shane Foley 5 0 0% −5.00
Gavin Ryan 5 1 20% +16.00
Killian Leonard 5 0 0% −5.00
Yudish Geerdharry 4 0 0% −4.00
Sean O'Keeffe 4 0 0% −4.00
Ben Coen 4 0 0% −4.00
Nathan Crosse 4 0 0% −4.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2022→
9
Archived wins
£159k
Prize money
2024
Best season · 5 wins
Soaring Monarch (IRE) — John McGuire Handicap (Premier Handicap) Listowel · Sep 2024
£26,550
Moonhall Church (IRE) — James Nolan's Bar Kildare Town Handicap Curragh · Jun 2025
£12,390
Molly Hall (IRE) — KOG Logistics Handicap Ballinrobe · May 2025
£8,850
Notable horses
Molly Hall (IRE) Moonhall Church (IRE) Private Larry (IRE) Soaring Monarch (IRE) Brave Troop (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Dandy Man (IRE) 0% · 0–26
Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,960 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.
Rock Of Gibraltar (IRE) 0% · 0–17
Progeny have won 9.8% of 11,566 runs since 2008 (872 horses).
Churchill (IRE) 20% · 2–10
Progeny have won 11% of 4,833 runs since 2021 (462 horses).
Inns Of Court (IRE) 11.1% · 1–9
Progeny have won 9.3% of 2,246 runs since 2023 (232 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 12.7% from 150.
Parish Hall (IRE) 44.4% · 4–9
Progeny have won 5.4% of 261 runs since 2020 (32 horses).
Prince Of Lir (IRE) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 8.9% of 1,383 runs since 2020 (104 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15% from 200.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 3 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 150 · newest first

The latest 50 of 150 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 7 January 2022 to 23 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
23 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) In Sequence (AUS)J: Rory Mulligan Irish EBF Median Sires Series Maiden (Smullen Series)8f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 150/1
21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Betsy Trotwood (USA)J: Jared Huggan WTW Willis Towers Watson Maiden14f · Yielding · 12 ran 12th 200/1
15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Pinar Del Rio (GB)J: Leigh Roche Feel The Rush With 1xBet.ie Handicap7f · Soft · 20 ran 19th 22/1
12 Oct 26 Roscommon (IRE) Betsy Trotwood (USA)J: Jared Huggan Boyle Maiden10.5f · Soft · 11 ran 7th 250/1
09 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Hallelujah Rose (IRE)J: Megan Telford-Kelly Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap (Div II)7f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 100/1
29 Sep 26 Cork (IRE) Three Sixteen (IRE)J: Luke McAteer WTW Willis Handicap6f · Soft · 19 ran 19th 100/1
25 Sep 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Betsy Trotwood (USA)J: Gavin Ryan Friday Night Lights At Dundalk Claiming Maiden6f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 40/1
25 Sep 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Hallelujah Rose (IRE)J: Rory Mulligan Friday Night Lights At Dundalk Claiming Maiden6f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 11/1
09 Sep 26 Cork (IRE) Pinar Del Rio (GB)J: Declan McDonogh Follow Us On Instagram Handicap6f · Good · 22 ran 21st 16/1
22 Aug 26 Curragh (IRE) Pinar Del Rio (GB)J: Ronan Whelan Friends Of Moorefield GAA Handicap6f · Good · 27 ran 7th 22/1
20 Aug 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Voyage Of Survival (IRE)J: Luke McAteer Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Irish EBF Fillies Maiden7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 13th 200/1
09 Aug 26 Chepstow Voyage Of Survival (IRE)J: Gina Mangan Wasdell Supports Chepstow Centenary Celebrations / EBF Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 7th 50/1
05 Aug 26 Sligo (IRE) Private Larry (IRE)J: Gavin Ryan Guinness Handicap13.5f · Yielding · 10 ran 6th 2/1F
05 Aug 26 Sligo (IRE) Sophia Royale (IRE)J: Rory Mulligan John Gilligan Memorial Nursery Handicap6f · Yielding · 12 ran 12th 50/1
22 Jul 26 Naas (IRE) Voyage Of Survival (IRE)J: J M Sheridan Matchbook Exchange Irish EBF Maiden6f · Good · 18 ran 16th 50/1
17 Jul 26 Killarney (IRE) Private Larry (IRE)J: Sean O'Keeffe Killarney Park 3-Y-O Maiden Hurdle17f · Good · 12 ran 3rd 13/2
03 Jul 26 Bellewstown Private Larry (IRE)J: Gavin Ryan Dore & Co. Solicitors Handicap (0-60)12f · Good · 16 ran 1st 20/1
19 Jun 26 Down Royal Sophia Royale (IRE)J: Megan Telford-Kelly BOYLE Sports Median Auction Maiden7f · Soft · 13 ran 13th 80/1
18 Jun 26 Leopardstown Private Larry (IRE)J: Gavin Ryan 1878 At 3Arena Handicap (0-60) (Div 2)9f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 8th 33/1
07 Jun 26 Navan Three Sixteen (IRE)J: Luke McAteer Book Your Hospitality Now For Navan Racing Festival Handicap5f · Good · 21 ran 21st 66/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Alan McIntyre's strike rate?
Alan McIntyre has won 9 of 150 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Alan McIntyre do best at?
Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 0 wins from 35 runners (0%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Alan McIntyre in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Alan McIntyre's Fair A/E?
0.98, from 150 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 3 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).