What is Andi Brown's strike rate?

Andi Brown has won 22 of 253 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.7% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Andi Brown do best at?

Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 8 wins from 45 runners (17.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Andi Brown?

Dylan Hogan, with 50 runners since 2008 — 20% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (18%).

What is Andi Brown's Fair A/E?

1.38, from 252 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Andi Brown

253 runners in the lifetime window · 35 individual horses

As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 17 days ago 98% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

22–253

Wins / Runs

8.7%

Strike rate

n=253

53 (21%)

Placed

1.38

Fair A/E

n=252 · 1.17 incl. margin

−52.50

£1 level stake

n=253 at SP · −20.8%

£121k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

5.3%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.38). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 11% off breaks of two months or more (57 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 253 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 29 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 10.5% Dylan Hogan: 18% from 50

The read

The record is strongest at Wolverhampton (AW) (17.8%, n=45), clear of the yard's 8.7% baseline. It is weakest at Chelmsford City (AW) (0% over 34 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 3.4% (n=59, Fair A/E 0.71). Dylan Hogan rides 20% of the entries and beats the yard's average (18% vs 8.7%, A/E 2.93) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Class 6 (12.3%, n=138). The record reads poorly over 6f – 7f — 4.3% over 46 runners, 4.4pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Mr Fustic (IRE) — 6 wins from 41 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.7% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

10.5%+1.8

n=57 · A/E 2.07 · £1 +21.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

6.3%−2.4

n=16 · A/E 2.30 · £1 +25.00

Debutants · first career start

0%−8.7

n=19 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −19.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

15.4%+6.7

n=13 · A/E 4.09 · £1 +7.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0%−8.7

n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00

When favourite

33.3%

n=6 · A/E 1.43 · £1 +1.00

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

3.4%−5.3

n=59 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −30.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Dylan Hogan 18% vs 8.7% · n=50

At Wolverhampton (AW) 17.8% vs 8.7% · n=45

At Chelmsford City (AW) 0% vs 8.7% · n=34

With claiming riders up 3.4% vs 8.7% · n=59

In Class 6 12.3% vs 8.7% · n=138

Over 6f – 7f 4.3% vs 8.7% · n=46

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 248 22 8.9% −47.50

NH Flat 3 0 0% −3.00

Hurdle 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 162 17 10.5% +0.00

Good to Firm 41 4 9.8% −10.00

Good 29 0 0% −29.00

Good to Soft 8 1 12.5% −0.50

Soft 8 0 0% −8.00

Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Heavy 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 45 8 17.8% +40.00

Chelmsford City (AW) 34 0 0% −34.00

Lingfield (AW) 30 3 10% −5.00

Kempton (AW) 29 1 3.4% −23.00

Yarmouth 21 0 0% −21.00

Southwell (AW) 16 2 12.5% −3.50

Brighton 15 3 20% +7.00

Leicester 10 1 10% −1.00

Newcastle (AW) 8 3 37.5% +25.50

Newmarket 7 1 14.3% +0.50

Windsor 6 0 0% −6.00

Lingfield 5 0 0% −5.00

Bath 3 0 0% −3.00

Doncaster 3 0 0% −3.00

Nottingham 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 138 17 12.3% +23.50

Class 5 87 5 5.7% −48.00

Class 4 17 0 0% −17.00

Class 7 7 0 0% −7.00

Class 3 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 9 3 33.3% 1.53 +4.00

2nd–3rd fav 38 11 28.9% 2.04 +31.50

4th–6th fav 83 6 7.2% 1.02 −18.00

7th+ in betting 123 2 1.6% 0.75 −70.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Mr Fustic (IRE) 41 6 13 30 Sep 26

Kirtling (GB) 35 6 11 13 Jul 21

Camino (GB)from Henry Spiller 25 1 5 28 Sep 19

Jimmy Knocker (IRE) 19 2 5 12 Oct 26

Red Shuttle (GB)from Noel Quinlan 15 1 3 29 Sep 15

Victoriously (GB)from Brian Meehan 12 2 7 14 Feb 18

Makter (GB) 11 0 0 3 Feb 22

Holli Deya (GB) 11 0 2 7 Aug 14

Voice of A Leader (IRE)from Peter Chapple-Hyam · then John Butler 10 1 2 27 Mar 17

Kwikstep (GB) 8 0 0 24 May 18

Jersey Cream (IRE)from Gary Moore 8 2 3 8 Oct 15

Padre Daniele (GB) 6 1 1 21 Aug 22

All 35 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 35 horses listed, 16 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Chris Gordon (2); 19 had their first archived run for this yard.

6 have since run for another yard; 29 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

79151115240794120

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderDylan Hogan

20% of all rides
18% SR · A/E 2.93

RiderRWSR£1

Dylan Hogan 50 9 18% +14.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→

Archived wins

£121k

Prize money

2025

Best season · 3 wins

Jimmy Knocker (IRE) — Hallgarten Novum Wines Handicap Newmarket · Aug 2025 · Class 5

£5,154

Mr Fustic (IRE) — Win 250,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals Handicap Southwell (AW) · Mar 2026 · Class 6

£4,711

Jimmy Knocker (IRE) — 30 In Free Bets With BetUK Handicap (Div 2) Newcastle (AW) · Jan 2025 · Class 6

£4,711

Notable horses

Mr Fustic (IRE) Kirtling (GB) Jimmy Knocker (IRE) Victoriously (GB) Jersey Cream (IRE) Camino (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Epaulette (AUS) 14.6% · 6–41

Progeny have won 9.1% of 3,066 runs since 2008 (221 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4% from 173. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5% from 222.

Araafa (IRE) 17.1% · 6–35

Progeny have won 7.4% of 1,147 runs since 2008 (88 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 10.8% from 176.

Equiano (FR) 4% · 1–25

Progeny have won 9.1% of 7,539 runs since 2008 (549 horses).

James Garfield (IRE) 10.5% · 2–19

Progeny have won 9% of 724 runs since 2008 (64 horses). Strongest on Good going: 13.1% from 183.

Starcraft (NZ) 6.7% · 1–15

Progeny have won 8.2% of 613 runs since 2008 (62 horses). Weakest on Good going: 5% from 140. Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 11.3% from 160.

Azamour (IRE) 16.7% · 2–12

Progeny have won 13.1% of 4,328 runs since 2008 (351 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 8.8% from 215.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 253 · newest first

The latest 50 of 253 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 28 June 2013 to 12 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

12 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Jimmy Knocker (IRE)J: Luke Morris Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 2nd 8/1

30 Sep 26 Kempton (AW) Mr Fustic (IRE)J: Oisin Murphy Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 2nd 9/2

15 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Mr Fustic (IRE)J: Marco Ghiani Book Hotel And Conferencing At Wolverhampton Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 12/1

07 Sep 26 Windsor Jimmy Knocker (IRE)J: Kyle McHugh Matchbook Signup- Get 20% Back On Losses Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good · 13 ran 8th 12/1

31 Aug 26 Southwell (AW) Mr Fustic (IRE)J: Marco Ghiani Festive Fixtures At Southwell Racecourse Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 20/1

06 Aug 26 Southwell (AW) Speckled Brown (IRE)J: Barry McHugh attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 8 ran PU 50/1

31 Jul 26 Newmarket (July) Jimmy Knocker (IRE)J: Marco Ghiani Zyn Pole Position Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 7th 4/1

19 Jul 26 Redcar Speckled Brown (IRE)J: Barry McHugh Try Racing TV For Free Now Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 7th 33/1

09 Jul 26 Newbury Jimmy Knocker (IRE)J: Kyle McHugh Highclere Castle Gin HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 2nd 13/2

06 Jul 26 Ripon Speckled Brown (IRE)J: Ray Dawson Merit Estates Chartered Surveyors Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 8f · Good · 5 ran 4th 40/1

05 Jul 26 Southwell (AW) Jimmy Knocker (IRE)J: Darragh Keenan attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap (Div 1)Class 5 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 33/1

22 Jun 26 Windsor Speckled Brown (IRE)J: Marco Ghiani Track Radio On Digital & DAB Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 8f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 5th 80/1

19 Jun 26 Newmarket Jimmy Knocker (IRE)J: Kyle McHugh Find Your Zyn Moment HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Good · 16 ran 7th 33/1

25 May 26 Leicester Jimmy Knocker (IRE)J: Dylan Hogan Smooth Radio Ladies' Day Saturday 4th July Book Now HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 7th 22/1

19 May 26 Lingfield Mr Fustic (IRE)J: Dylan Hogan Simon Duggan The Bad Ama Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 7.5f · Good · 11 ran 5th 8/1

30 Apr 26 Lingfield (AW) Mr Fustic (IRE)J: Finley Marsh Newsteam Group HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 5/1

21 Mar 26 Southwell (AW) Mr Fustic (IRE)J: Dylan Hogan Win 250,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 6/1

21 Feb 26 Chelmsford City (AW) Mr Fustic (IRE)J: Dylan Hogan Chelmsford Mile Series Qualifier HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 8 ran 3rd 11/2

13 Feb 26 Fakenham Inside Tracker (GB)J: Tom Queally Racing TV Open Maiden NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Soft · 6 ran PU 33/1

02 Dec 25 Lingfield (AW) Mr Fustic (IRE)J: Neil Callan Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 10/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Andi Brown's strike rate?: Andi Brown has won 22 of 253 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.7% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Andi Brown do best at?: Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 8 wins from 45 runners (17.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Andi Brown?: Dylan Hogan, with 50 runners since 2008 — 20% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (18%).
What is Andi Brown's Fair A/E?: 1.38, from 252 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.