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Trainer profile

Andrew Lynch

409 runners in the lifetime window · 59 individual horses
As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jan 2023 99% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
30–409
Wins / Runs
7.3%
Strike rate
n=409
88 (22%)
Placed
1.23
Fair A/E
n=409 · 0.95 incl. margin
−140.99
£1 level stake
n=409 at SP · −34.5%
£487k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 7% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.23).

Deterministic profile computed from 409 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 5 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Robbie Colgan: 11.1% from 117
The read

It is weakest at Down Royal (0% over 42 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 3.9% (n=181, Fair A/E 0.76). Robbie Colgan rides 29% of the entries and edges the yard's average (11.1% vs 7.3%, A/E 1.88) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well on Good to Firm going (19.5%, n=41) and off a 15-30-day break (11.1%, n=126). One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Growise Champion Novice Chase at Punchestown (Apr 2016, £59,000). The stable star of the record: Zabana (IRE) — 7 wins from 21 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
7%−0.3
n=100 · A/E 1.51 · £1 −20.25
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−7.3
n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00
Debutants · first career start
4.5%−2.8
n=44 · A/E 1.46 · £1 −6.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
5.3%−2.0
n=19 · A/E 1.28 · £1 −6.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−7.3
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
When favourite
53.8%
n=13 · A/E 1.95 · £1 +9.26
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.9%−3.4
n=181 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −88.25
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
3.7%−3.6
n=27 · A/E 0.69 · £1 −22.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Good to Firm going 19.5% vs 7.3% · n=41
On last-time-out winners 18.8% vs 7.3% · n=32
At Down Royal 0% vs 7.3% · n=42
With Robert Dunne 1.4% vs 7.3% · n=70
Off a 15-30-day break 11.1% vs 7.3% · n=126
With Robbie Colgan 11.1% vs 7.3% · n=117
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 226 17 7.5% −63.13
Chase 141 11 7.8% −61.86
NH Flat 36 2 5.6% −10.00
Flat 6 0 0% −6.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 131 5 3.8% −67.62
Good 119 13 10.9% +9.25
Heavy 73 3 4.1% −59.38
Good to Firm 41 8 19.5% +17.26
Good to Soft 35 1 2.9% −30.50
Firm 9 0 0% −9.00
Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Punchestown 49 3 6.1% −34.75
Down Royal 42 0 0% −42.00
Navan 37 3 8.1% −12.50
Fairyhouse 37 3 8.1% +3.38
Leopardstown 28 2 7.1% −6.00
Kilbeggan 27 2 7.4% −12.50
Gowran Park 20 2 10% −13.62
Limerick 20 1 5% −14.00
Roscommon 19 3 15.8% +20.00
Bellewstown 18 4 22.2% +27.00
Downpatrick 17 0 0% −17.00
Galway 17 0 0% −17.00
Naas 12 1 8.3% −9.25
Tipperary 11 1 9.1% +6.00
Cork 10 2 20% +13.88

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 27 1 3.7% −22.50
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 16 7 43.8% 1.72 +6.26
2nd–3rd fav 44 9 20.5% 1.39 +5.75
4th–6th fav 107 4 3.7% 0.57 −75.00
7th+ in betting 242 10 4.1% 1.47 −78.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
83.9% completed · 367 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 141 72.3% 9 6 24 0 0
Hurdle 226 91.2% 6 0 13 1 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Jarob (GB)then Gearoid O'Loughlin 28 5 9 23 Jun 18
Futuramic (IRE) 26 1 8 16 Apr 17
Lapse Of Reason (IRE) 24 2 5 26 Sep 14
AHorseCalledMolly (IRE) 23 5 12 28 Sep 13
Antipode (GER)from Noel Meade 22 0 2 6 May 13
Zabana (IRE)from K J Condon 21 7 12 28 Dec 17
Coscorrig (IRE)from Patrick Allen · then D T Hughes 20 3 10 1 Aug 10
Six Senses (IRE) 18 0 3 1 Jun 16
Roley (IRE) 16 1 3 5 Nov 11
Park Hind (IRE)then Ian Patrick Donoghue 14 0 3 8 Jan 23
Ben Dundee (IRE) 11 1 3 1 Apr 22
Ben Wade (FR) 11 0 0 18 May 10
All 59 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 59 horses listed, 13 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Gordon Elliott (2) and Henry De Bromhead (2); 46 had their first archived run for this yard.

28 have since run for another yard, most often for D T Hughes (2) and Gearoid O'Loughlin (2); 31 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
90338831824987
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderRobbie Colgan
29% of all rides
11.1% SR · A/E 1.88
RiderRWSR£1
Robbie Colgan 117 13 11.1% +9.87
Robert Dunne 70 1 1.4% −60.00
Keith Donoghue 46 3 6.5% −33.75
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→
31
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£495k
Prize money
2015
Best season · 5 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Zabana (IRE) — Growise Champion Novice Chase (grade 1) Punchestown · Apr 2016 · Grade 1
£59,000
Coscorrig (IRE) — Go Racing In Kildare Chase Punchestown · May 2010
£13,650
Zabana (IRE) — Follow Navan On Facebook Rated Hurdle Navan · Jan 2015
£13,000
Notable horses
Zabana (IRE) Jarob (GB) AHorseCalledMolly (IRE) Coscorrig (IRE) Lapse Of Reason (IRE) Under Surveillance (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Presenting (GB) 4.7% · 2–43
Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.
Beat All (USA) 17.9% · 5–28
Progeny have won 7% of 2,513 runs since 2008 (254 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.6% from 320. Weakest on Heavy going: 3.6% from 192. Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 12.5% from 120.
Shantou (USA) 3.7% · 1–27
Progeny have won 13.6% of 7,831 runs since 2008 (539 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 20.3% from 158.
Arzanni (GB) 21.7% · 5–23
Progeny have won 13.3% of 113 runs since 2008 (18 horses).
Milan (GB) 0% · 0–23
Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,871 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).
Zinaad (GB) 0% · 0–22
Progeny have won 14.3% of 84 runs since 2008 (11 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 419 · newest first

The latest 50 of 419 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 8 August 2007 to 8 January 2023.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
08 Jan 23 Naas Park Hind (IRE)J: Patrick M O'Brien Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-116)19f · Soft · 11 ran 5th 10/1
28 Dec 22 Leopardstown El Capitaine (IRE)J: Keith Donoghue Savills Maiden Hurdle20f · Soft · 20 ran 5th 40/1
27 Nov 22 Navan Park Hind (IRE)J: Conor Maxwell Bar One Racing Price Boosts Everyday Handicap Hurdle (80-130)22f · Soft · 23 ran 21st 40/1
20 Nov 22 Cork St Denis's Well (IRE)J: Donagh Meyler Buy Tickets Online At corkracecourse.ie Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 23 ran 13th 250/1
06 Nov 22 Cork El Capitaine (IRE)J: Keith Donoghue Paddy Power From The Horse's Mouth Podcast Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 23 ran 6th 100/1
23 Aug 22 Bellewstown Park Hind (IRE)J: Mr J Dunne Reddans Of Bettystown Handicap Hurdle (80-102)20f · Good · 14 ran 8th 11/1
07 Aug 22 Downpatrick Park Hind (IRE)J: Charlie O'Dwyer Tote Always SP Or Better At Downpatrick Mares Handicap Hurdle22f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran 3rd 11/2
19 Jul 22 Ballinrobe Park Hind (IRE)J: Charlie O'Dwyer BoyleSports Handicap Hurdle21.5f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 16/1
08 Jul 22 Kilbeggan Trishknowsbest (IRE)J: Conor Maxwell Kilbeggan Irish Whiskey Maiden Hurdle19f · Good · 16 ran 6th 16/1
04 Jul 22 Roscommon Park Hind (IRE)J: Keith Donoghue Roscommon Herald Handicap Hurdle (80-95)24f · Good · 16 ran 15th 18/1
02 Jul 22 Bellewstown Trishknowsbest (IRE)J: Conor Maxwell Bar One Racing 50 Euro Free Bet Mares Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 12 ran 9th 80/1
10 Jun 22 Clonmel Trishknowsbest (IRE)J: Kieren Buckley Bulmers Summer BBQ Race Evening Opportunity Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding · 18 ran 7th 11/1
04 Jun 22 Tramore Trishknowsbest (IRE)J: Mr J Dunne Irish Stallion Farms EBF (Mares) Flat Race17f · Yielding · 13 ran 6th 20/1
19 May 22 Tipperary Park Hind (IRE)J: Keith Donoghue Tipperary Races On Twitter Handicap Hurdle (80-102)24f · Good · 14 ran 11th 14/1
13 May 22 Kilbeggan St Denis's Well (IRE)J: James O'Sullivan Irish Farmers Journal Maiden Hurdle19f · Good · 15 ran 13th 100/1
12 May 22 Clonmel Trishknowsbest (IRE)J: Mr J Dunne Next Race Meeting Friday June 10th Mares Flat Race16.5f · Good · 16 ran 4th 100/1
06 May 22 Downpatrick St Denis's Well (IRE)J: Conor Maxwell Downpatrick Racecourse Helping Festina Lente Find A New Home Maiden Hurdle19f · Yielding To Soft · 12 ran 12th 50/1
21 Apr 22 Kilbeggan Park Hind (IRE)J: Keith Donoghue Follow Kilbeggan On Facebook Handicap Hurdle (80-102)19f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 11th 7/1
21 Apr 22 Kilbeggan Lights Are Green (IRE)J: Keith Donoghue Spring Two Day N.H. Race Meeting Maiden Hurdle (Div 2)15f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 6th 33/1
01 Apr 22 Wexford Ben Dundee (IRE)J: Keith Donoghue Arctic Tack Stud Veterans Handicap Chase20f · Good · 8 ran 5th 13/8F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Andrew Lynch's strike rate?
Andrew Lynch has won 30 of 409 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.3% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Andrew Lynch do best at?
Navan by strike rate: 3 wins from 37 runners (8.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Andrew Lynch?
Robbie Colgan, with 117 runners since 2008 — 29% of the total. That pairing has won 13 (11.1%).
What is Andrew Lynch's Fair A/E?
1.23, from 409 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 5 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).