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Trainer profile

Andy Irvine

518 runners in the lifetime window · 68 individual horses
As at 31 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 54 days ago 94% of runners over jumps
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
31–518
Wins / Runs
6%
Strike rate
n=518
93 (18%)
Placed
0.85
n=518 · 0.74 incl. margin
−134.04
£1 level stake
n=518 at SP · −25.9%
£381k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
4.7%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.85).

Deterministic profile computed from 518 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 31 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Philip Armson: 5.2% from 77 Claiming riders: 6.8%
The read

Philip Armson rides 15% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (5.2%, A/E 0.70). The yard also reads well beyond 3m (13.4%, n=67). The record reads poorly on Heavy going — 0% over 41 runners, 6pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Gold Clermont (FR) — 5 wins from 24 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
5%−1.0
n=100 · A/E 1.25 · £1 −9.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
6%+0.0
n=50 · A/E 1.34 · £1 −21.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−6.0
n=19 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −19.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−6.0
n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
6.3%+0.3
n=32 · A/E 0.77 · £1 −24.00
When favourite
26.7%
n=15 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −3.37
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6.8%+0.8
n=206 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −9.62
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−6.0
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On last-time-out winners 17.6% vs 6% · n=34
Beyond 3m 13.4% vs 6% · n=67
On Heavy going 0% vs 6% · n=41
With James Best 0% vs 6% · n=41
In Flat races 0% vs 6% · n=33
With Niall Houlihan 10.9% vs 6% · n=64
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 310 21 6.8% −23.29
Chase 150 10 6.7% −52.75
Flat 33 0 0% −33.00
NH Flat 25 0 0% −25.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 183 14 7.7% +42.13
Good to Soft 143 6 4.2% −87.17
Soft 125 11 8.8% −22.00
Heavy 41 0 0% −41.00
Standard (AW) 19 0 0% −19.00
Good to Firm 7 0 0% −7.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Plumpton 166 12 7.2% −30.50
Fontwell 71 4 5.6% −48.17
Lingfield 58 3 5.2% −34.00
Fakenham 30 3 10% −14.12
Huntingdon 21 2 9.5% −6.00
Market Rasen 19 2 10.5% +25.00
Warwick 16 0 0% −16.00
Kempton 12 2 16.7% +74.50
Uttoxeter 12 1 8.3% +14.00
Sandown 10 0 0% −10.00
Newbury 8 1 12.5% +4.00
Kempton (AW) 8 0 0% −8.00
Chepstow 7 0 0% −7.00
Lingfield (AW) 6 0 0% −6.00
Ascot 6 0 0% −6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 261 13 5% −120.00
Class 4 186 15 8.1% +40.38
Class 3 44 3 6.8% −27.42
Class 6 14 0 0% −14.00
Class 2 9 0 0% −9.00
Class 1 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 17 6 35.3% 1.14 +2.13
2nd–3rd fav 62 9 14.5% 0.86 −10.67
4th–6th fav 205 12 5.9% 0.80 −75.50
7th+ in betting 234 4 1.7% 0.70 −50.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
82% completed · 460 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 150 79.3% 3 0 27 1 0
Hurdle 310 83.2% 1 2 49 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Godot (IRE) 30 4 11 8 Apr 26
Clondaw Robin (IRE)from Zoe Davison 29 0 5 11 May 25
Flemen's Tipple (IRE)from T E Hyde 27 1 6 3 Oct 25
Brown Bullet (IRE)from Zoe Davison 25 2 4 7 Jan 24
Monty's Award (IRE)from Charlie Longsdon 25 3 7 16 Jun 23
Gold Clermont (FR)from Tom Lacey 24 5 9 9 May 26
Beaufort West (IRE)from Colin Tizzard 24 1 4 12 May 24
Birdman Bob (IRE) 23 2 6 1 Dec 25
Shaw's Cross (IRE)from Paul Henderson 15 0 3 20 Feb 25
Mr Jack (IRE)from Zoe Davison 14 3 5 27 Feb 23
Eklil (GB)from Rae Guest 13 0 0 19 Jan 25
Hesbehindyou (IRE) 13 0 2 12 Jun 24
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 68 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 45 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Zoe Davison (20) and Nicky Henderson (2); 15 had their first archived run for this yard.

4 have since run for another yard; 56 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
43137400001573
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderPhilip Armson
15% of all rides
5.2% SR · A/E 0.70
RiderRWSR£1
Philip Armson 77 4 5.2% −31.00
Page Fuller 76 4 5.3% −31.67
Caoilin Quinn 73 5 6.8% −50.75
Niall Houlihan 64 7 10.9% −3.12
James Best 41 0 0% −41.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2021→
31
Archived wins
£381k
Prize money
2021
Best season · 10 wins
La Dolce Dolly (IRE) — Wincanton Fireworks On Sale Now Mares' Handicap Hurdle Wincanton · Mar 2025 · Class 3
£10,894
Godot (IRE) — BetGoodwin Hayley Turner Handicap Chase Plumpton · Jan 2024 · Class 4
£7,922
Beaufort West (IRE) — Bistro 1777 The Bank House Uttoxeter Handicap Hurdle Uttoxeter · Mar 2022 · Class 4
£6,753

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Flemensfirth (USA) 7.1% · 4–56
Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,284 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).
Getaway (GER) 9.3% · 5–54
Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,962 runs since 2008 (1,029 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.
Oscar (IRE) 9.1% · 3–33
Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.
Robin Des Champs (FR) 0% · 0–29
Progeny have won 13.3% of 4,007 runs since 2008 (425 horses).
Arcadio (GER) 7.7% · 2–26
Progeny have won 9.2% of 3,979 runs since 2008 (375 horses).
Balko (FR) 20.8% · 5–24
Progeny have won 12.7% of 2,656 runs since 2008 (297 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 31 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 518 · newest first

The latest 50 of 518 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 13 January 2021 to 7 September 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
20 May 26 Kempton (AW) Somkiyr (FR)J: Rhys Clutterbuck Unibet More Extra Place Races HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 8th 125/1
06 May 26 Kempton (AW) Lethal Blast (GB)J: Rhys Clutterbuck Unibet's 3 Uniboosts A Day HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 11 ran 10th 125/1
04 May 26 Kempton (AW) Somkiyr (FR)J: Kaiya Fraser Injured Jockeys Fund HandicapClass 5 · 11f · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 8th 150/1
13 Apr 26 Fakenham Tropical Speed (IRE)J: Chad Bament Racing TV Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 23.5f · Good · 8 ran 6th 18/1
08 Apr 26 Fontwell Godot (IRE)J: Freddie Mitchell Land & Power Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 26f · Good To Soft · 4 ran 2nd 9/1
16 Mar 26 Plumpton Ephyra (GB)J: Caoilin Quinn Kalm Club Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20.5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 2nd 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Andy Irvine's strike rate?
Andy Irvine has won 31 of 518 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6% (as at 31 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Andy Irvine do best at?
Fakenham by strike rate: 3 wins from 30 runners (10%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Andy Irvine?
Philip Armson, with 77 runners since 2008 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (5.2%).
What is Andy Irvine's Fair A/E?
0.85, from 518 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 31 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).