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Trainer profile

C. W. J. Farrell

673 runners in the lifetime window · 135 individual horses
As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner yesterday
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
34–673
Wins / Runs
5.1%
Strike rate
n=673
129 (19%)
Placed
0.84
Fair A/E
n=673 · 0.68 incl. margin
−233.24
£1 level stake
n=673 at SP · −34.7%
£485k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
4.3%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 40 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.84).

Deterministic profile computed from 673 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 12 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Sep–Oct R. P. Cleary: 5.8% from 154 Claiming riders: 5.8%
The read

It is weakest at Naas (0% over 34 runners) — the widest gap in the record. A horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 0% (n=58, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 4.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.83 and −78.62 to a £1 stake over 134 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. R. P. Cleary rides 23% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (5.8%, A/E 1.11) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well on Good going (9.4%, n=171) and in Chase races (9.6%, n=94). The record reads poorly on Good to Firm going — 0% over 40 runners, 5.1pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the COLM QUINN BMW Novice Hurdle at Galway (Jul 2025, £20,650). Seasonally, the yard fires Sep–Oct.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4.5%−0.6
n=134 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −78.62
New recruits · first run for the yard
2.9%−2.2
n=34 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −11.00
Debutants · first career start
3.1%−2.0
n=98 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −22.50
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−5.1
n=58 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −58.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
5%−0.1
n=20 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −3.00
When favourite
22.2%
n=18 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −1.62
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
5.8%+0.7
n=291 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −104.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
5.6%+0.5
n=18 · A/E 1.23 · £1 +5.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Good going 9.4% vs 5.1% · n=171
With first-time headgear 0% vs 5.1% · n=58
In Chase races 9.6% vs 5.1% · n=94
On Good to Firm going 0% vs 5.1% · n=40
At Naas 0% vs 5.1% · n=34
At trips under 6f 0% vs 5.1% · n=31
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 299 15 5% −70.12
Hurdle 211 8 3.8% −106.62
Chase 94 9 9.6% +0.50
NH Flat 69 2 2.9% −57.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 194 8 4.1% −121.00
Good 171 16 9.4% +46.38
Standard (AW) 105 6 5.7% +11.88
Heavy 84 2 2.4% −68.00
Good to Soft 73 2 2.7% −56.50
Good to Firm 40 0 0% −40.00
Firm 6 0 0% −6.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 101 6 5.9% +15.88
Cork 40 3 7.5% +30.00
Punchestown 35 1 2.9% −12.00
Down Royal 34 3 8.8% +6.00
Leopardstown 34 2 5.9% +0.00
Naas 34 0 0% −34.00
Curragh 31 1 3.2% −23.00
Kilbeggan 29 3 10.3% +11.38
Fairyhouse 29 2 6.9% −20.00
Gowran Park 25 2 8% −11.00
Limerick 24 1 4.2% −18.50
Bellewstown 22 1 4.5% −16.50
Navan 19 0 0% −19.00
Tipperary 19 0 0% −19.00
Downpatrick 19 0 0% −19.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 17 1 5.9% +6.00
Class 5 15 0 0% −15.00
Class 4 10 0 0% −10.00
Class 2 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 3 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 25 6 24% 0.94 +0.38
2nd–3rd fav 85 12 14.1% 0.90 −18.62
4th–6th fav 166 8 4.8% 0.72 −39.00
7th+ in betting 397 8 2% 0.84 −176.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Rookery Rebel (IRE)then Miss Suzy Barkley 35 1 10 23 Feb 12
Fitzgutentyte (IRE)then C A Murphy 25 0 3 23 Feb 12
Fire Coral (GB)then S Curling 24 0 2 9 May 25
Il Courra (IRE) 23 4 7 18 Mar 23
Selskar (IRE) 19 1 2 18 Feb 12
Un Bacio Ancora (IRE)from Eddie & Patrick Harty · then P J F Murphy 15 1 7 8 Nov 23
Thekeyisnottopanic (IRE) 14 0 0 9 Jul 21
Captain Carleton (IRE)then Adrian Paul Keatley 14 1 8 3 Aug 15
Mountain Mama (IRE)then Denis Gerard Hogan 13 1 3 31 Oct 11
Woodrow (IRE)then Leanne Breen 12 2 6 5 Aug 21
Hurricane Darwin (IRE)from Peter Maher 11 3 4 20 Oct 24
Pro Bono (IRE)from J G Coogan · then Paul W Flynn 11 2 3 29 Sep 23
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 135 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 16 arrived from another yard in our archive; 44 had their first archived run for this yard.

31 have since run for another yard, most often for Adrian Paul Keatley (5); 29 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 2
Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
62561033410820
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderR. P. Cleary
23% of all rides
5.8% SR · A/E 1.11
RiderRWSR£1
R. P. Cleary 154 9 5.8% +1.88
Philip Donovan 41 2 4.9% −19.00
Sean Flanagan 36 2 5.6% −7.00
Mr S Cavanagh 32 2 6.3% −13.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→
35
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£496k
Prize money
2025
Best season · 8 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Sticktotheplan (FR) — COLM QUINN BMW Novice Hurdle (Listed) Galway · Jul 2025 · Listed
£20,650
Mountain Mama (IRE) — Tattersalls Ireland E.B.F Fillies Maiden Leopardstown · Jul 2009
£12,093
Likewhatyousee (USA) — Bill Hanlon Memorial Fillies Maiden Curragh · Oct 2025
£11,800
Notable horses
Il Courra (IRE) Hurricane Darwin (IRE) Woodrow (IRE) Pro Bono (IRE) Kings Jet (IRE) Sticktotheplan (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Minster Son (IRE) 2.9% · 1–35
Progeny have won 7.7% of 662 runs since 2008 (57 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 14.7% from 102.
Beneficial (GB) 0% · 0–29
Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,047 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).
Shantou (USA) 16% · 4–25
Progeny have won 13.6% of 7,845 runs since 2008 (539 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 20.3% from 158.
Sea The Stars (IRE) 0% · 0–24
Progeny have won 15.7% of 9,989 runs since 2013 (1,119 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 18.9% from 1,503. Weakest on Heavy going: 9.4% from 459. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 11.5% from 139.
Jet Away (GB) 8.7% · 2–23
Progeny have won 11.3% of 2,565 runs since 2018 (277 horses).
Rock Of Gibraltar (IRE) 0% · 0–23
Progeny have won 9.8% of 11,568 runs since 2008 (872 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 700 · newest first

The latest 50 of 700 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 28 April 2007 to 11 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
11 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Donna Time (IRE)J: R. P. Cleary Bet On The Best Night Out At Dundalk Stadium Maiden8f · Standard · 13 ran 4th 14/1
11 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Star Strewn (IRE)J: R. P. Cleary Irishinjuredjockeys.com Claiming Race8f · Standard · 8 ran 6th 7/2
22 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Kings Jet (IRE)J: Ricky Doyle William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Steeplechase21f · Good · 10 ran 1st 9/2
17 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Sweet Disposition (IRE)J: R. P. Cleary Irish Stallion Farms EBF Laidlaw Cup Fillies Maiden7f · Good · 13 ran 7th 100/1
10 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Honouramongthieves (GB)J: Rory Cleary Gents Night Saturday 24th October Handicap StakesClass 5 · 12f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 8/1
10 Oct 26 Hexham The Gloves Are Off (IRE)J: Ricky Doyle Clubs Of Northumberland Open National Hunt Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 10/11F
10 Oct 26 Chepstow Molly Des Bruyeres (FR)J: Conor Brassil Lsl Racing Mares' Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 2nd 5/1
10 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Calm The Jets (GB)J: Rory Cleary Erdinger Weissbier Stein Selling Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 5/4F
09 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Star Strewn (IRE)J: Jack Cleary BAR 1 Betting 'First For Football' Handicap8f · Standard · 13 ran 11th 20/1
09 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Alpha Betty (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Irish EBF Median Sires Series Fillies Maiden7f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 20/1
01 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Eclipse Chaser (IRE)J: Ricky Doyle Slievenamon Claiming Hurdle19.5f · Good · 13 ran 8th 80/1
28 Sep 26 Down Royal (IRE) Alpha Betty (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Irish EBF Auction Series Fillies Maiden7f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran 4th 66/1
27 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Somethingaboutlove (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Kwiff More Bang For Your Bet Nursery Handicap7f · Heavy · 10 ran 10th 100/1
25 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Kings Jet (IRE)J: Ricky Doyle Paud, Sarah & Mary Fitzmaurice Memorial Handicap Steeplechase19.5f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran F 8/1
21 Sep 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Somethingaboutlove (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Winter Festival Early Bird Ticket Claiming Race7f · Good · 6 ran 4th 40/1
09 Sep 26 Cork (IRE) Star Strewn (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Racing Again September 29th Handicap8f · Good · 18 ran 1st 40/1
05 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Somethingaboutlove (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Irish EBF Auction Series Fillies Maiden6f · Good · 13 ran 8th 100/1
04 Sep 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Eclipse Chaser (IRE)J: Ricky Doyle Midland Veterinary Beginners Steeplechase20.5f · Good To Yielding · 9 ran PU 18/1
02 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Somethingaboutlove (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden5f · Good · 8 ran 6th 66/1
01 Sep 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Star Strewn (IRE)J: Rory Cleary 1xBet.ie Proud Supporters Of Irish Racing Handicap7f · Yielding · 11 ran 7th 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is C. W. J. Farrell's strike rate?
C. W. J. Farrell has won 34 of 673 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.1% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does C. W. J. Farrell do best at?
Down Royal by strike rate: 3 wins from 34 runners (8.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for C. W. J. Farrell?
R. P. Cleary, with 154 runners since 2008 — 23% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (5.8%).
Is C. W. J. Farrell in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is C. W. J. Farrell's Fair A/E?
0.84, from 673 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 12 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).