What is Chris Dwyer's strike rate?

Chris Dwyer has won 291 of 2,428 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 12% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Chris Dwyer do best at?

Brighton by strike rate: 11 wins from 56 runners (19.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Chris Dwyer?

Silvestre De Sousa, with 429 runners since 2008 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 76 (17.7%).

Is Chris Dwyer in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Chris Dwyer's Fair A/E?

1.12, from 2,420 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Chris Dwyer

2,428 runners in the lifetime window · 182 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner yesterday 98% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

291–2,428

Wins / Runs

12%

Strike rate

n=2,428

702 (29%)

Placed

1.12

Fair A/E

n=2,420 · 0.97 incl. margin

−521.89

£1 level stake

n=2,428 at SP · −21.5%

£2.11m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

11%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 130 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.12).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,428 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Dec–Feb 36% when favourite Silvestre De Sousa: 17.7% from 429 Claiming riders: 12.7% Sends off the favourite in 9% of races

The read

It is weakest at Newmarket (1.5% over 67 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 1.9% (n=107, Fair A/E 0.53). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 4.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.61 and −154.42 to a £1 stake over 226 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Silvestre De Sousa rides 18% of the entries and beats the yard's average (17.7% vs 12%, A/E 1.13) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly in Class 2 — 2.9% over 139 runners, 9.1pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard off a 61-180-day break: Fair A/E 0.51 across 172 runners (4.1% strike, −114.42 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Bank Of Scotland Corporate Hambleton Handicap at York (May 2008, £20,741). The stable star of the record: Basil Berry (GB) — 10 wins from 59 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Dec–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

4.9%−7.1

n=226 · A/E 0.61 · £1 −154.42

New recruits · first run for the yard

9.2%−2.8

n=76 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −29.50

Debutants · first career start

1.9%−10.1

n=107 · A/E 0.53 · £1 −96.90

First-time headgear · true-first definition

6.8%−5.2

n=88 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −46.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

9.8%−2.2

n=82 · A/E 1.15 · £1 −24.50

When favourite

36%

n=222 · A/E 1.19 · £1 +19.18

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

12.7%+0.7

n=762 · A/E 1.24 · £1 −133.06

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

3.8%−8.2

n=26 · A/E 0.47 · £1 −17.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With debutants 1.9% vs 12% · n=107

In Class 2 2.9% vs 12% · n=139

With horses switching code 0% vs 12% · n=40

At Newmarket 1.5% vs 12% · n=67

On last-time-out winners 19.3% vs 12% · n=285

Off a 61-180-day break 4.1% vs 12% · n=172

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 2,381 287 12.1% −489.39

Hurdle 29 1 3.4% −24.00

Chase 13 3 23.1% −3.50

NH Flat 5 0 0% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 1,360 178 13.1% −284.14

Good to Firm 475 53 11.2% −58.76

Good 285 35 12.3% −42.15

Good to Soft 163 12 7.4% −78.67

Soft 114 9 7.9% −49.42

Heavy 17 2 11.8% −6.25

Firm 14 2 14.3% −2.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Yarmouth 376 43 11.4% −62.72

Wolverhampton (AW) 349 52 14.9% −27.29

Chelmsford (AW) 287 42 14.6% −14.47

Lingfield 269 26 9.7% −136.02

Kempton (AW) 238 25 10.5% −73.92

Southwell (AW) 171 26 15.2% −25.89

Newmarket 67 1 1.5% −59.00

Newmarket 63 3 4.8% −38.00

Doncaster 62 8 12.9% −3.42

Leicester 57 5 8.8% −23.00

Brighton 56 11 19.6% +14.13

Windsor 50 4 8% −29.75

Newcastle (AW) 45 7 15.6% −5.55

Lingfield 43 4 9.3% −11.50

Ascot 30 5 16.7% +33.33

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 767 95 12.4% −262.03

Class 6 728 107 14.7% +37.49

Class 4 552 62 11.2% −119.01

Class 3 193 19 9.8% −38.59

Class 2 139 4 2.9% −117.50

Class 1 26 1 3.8% −17.50

Class 7 22 3 13.6% −3.75

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 269 99 36.8% 1.29 +46.92

2nd–3rd fav 571 113 19.8% 1.23 +60.19

4th–6th fav 799 63 7.9% 0.98 −181.00

7th+ in betting 789 16 2% 0.62 −448.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 1,210 144 11.9% −181.58

Under 6f 464 63 13.6% −75.45

1m – 1m1f 449 50 11.1% −133.88

1m2f – 1m4f 193 14 7.3% −115.45

1m5f – 2m 93 17 18.3% −6.03

2m1f – 2m4f 17 3 17.6% −7.50

2m5f – 3m 2 0 0% −2.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 66 13 19.7% −3.61

2009 145 10 6.9% −88.38

2010 139 9 6.5% −69.12

2011 130 14 10.8% −3.25

2012 173 14 8.1% −74.99

2013 205 24 11.7% −47.65

2014 184 17 9.2% −46.50

2015 202 28 13.9% −53.46

2016 203 31 15.3% +62.51

2017 189 24 12.7% −39.79

2018 176 26 14.8% −10.62

2020 1 1 100% +3.50

2021 138 28 20.3% +21.59

2022 106 12 11.3% −31.67

2023 83 5 6% −57.67

2024 107 16 15% −33.64

2025 72 7 9.7% −5.67

2026 109 12 11% −43.47

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,884 258 13.7% −187.00

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 921 100 10.9% −276.20

11-13 runners 676 71 10.5% −63.95

5-7 runners 556 96 17.3% −86.30

14-16 runners 167 14 8.4% −25.17

17+ runners 60 1 1.7% −45.00

2-4 runners 48 9 18.8% −25.27

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Mia's Boy (GB)from Peter Chapple-Hyam 82 9 29 30 Jan 15

Rough Rock (IRE)from George Prodromou 79 9 18 22 Oct 13

Bint Dandy (IRE)from P D Deegan 72 7 22 11 Aug 21

Commanche (GB)from Patrick Chamings 72 7 21 31 Oct 17

Patriotic (IRE)from Mark Johnston 70 9 25 16 Aug 16

Foie Gras (GB)from William Muir 66 8 19 18 Oct 18

Basil Berry (GB) 59 10 20 12 Aug 17

Dark Side Dream (GB)then Charlie Wallis 51 5 25 29 Nov 18

Sir Oliver (IRE)from Richard Hughes 48 8 18 17 Oct 24

Tatting (GB)then Mark Hoad 48 8 15 13 Apr 15

Epic Express (GB)from James Ferguson 47 6 14 19 Nov 24

Miss Polly Plum (GB) 46 4 13 2 Mar 13

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 182 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 12 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 30 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Ed Dunlop (4) and Richard Hughes (2); 30 had their first archived run for this yard.

19 have since run for another yard, most often for Charlie Wallis (5) and Amy Murphy (2); 41 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 5

Only 5 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

171713151210991410715

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderSilvestre De Sousa

18% of all rides
17.7% SR · A/E 1.13

RiderRWSR£1

Silvestre De Sousa 429 76 17.7% −34.64

Andrea Atzeni 96 10 10.4% +1.75

Lewis Edmunds 91 18 19.8% +31.75

Connor Beasley 75 10 13.3% −3.17

Thore Hammer Hansen 75 8 10.7% −32.75

Jimmy Quinn 61 7 11.5% −4.84

Cathy Gannon 58 6 10.3% −18.88

Josephine Gordon 56 6 10.7% −2.50

Stefano Cherchi 56 5 8.9% −27.00

Saleem Golam 47 2 4.3% −22.50

Luke Morris 47 1 2.1% −38.00

Hayley Turner 45 9 20% +13.47

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

307

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.19m

Prize money

2016

Best season · 31 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Mia's Boy (GB) — Bank Of Scotland Corporate Hambleton Handicap (Listed) York · May 2008 · Listed

£20,741

Jimmy Speaking (GB) — Racing League Race 3 Handicap (Trainers Registered to Racing League) Yarmouth · Jul 2025 · Class 4

£18,039

The Third Star (GB) — Weekly Free Bets With BetMGM Extra Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race) Southwell (AW) · Apr 2025 · Class 3

£16,200

Notable horses

Basil Berry (GB) Mia's Boy (GB) Rough Rock (IRE) Patriotic (IRE) Foie Gras (GB) Sir Oliver (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Pivotal (GB) 11.9% · 23–194

Progeny have won 13.6% of 12,789 runs since 2008 (1,019 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.4% from 108.

Rock Of Gibraltar (IRE) 15.8% · 16–101

Progeny have won 9.8% of 11,568 runs since 2008 (872 horses).

Kyllachy (GB) 10.1% · 10–99

Progeny have won 9.9% of 13,847 runs since 2008 (800 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.8% from 468.

Dandy Man (IRE) 11.6% · 11–95

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,980 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.

Equiano (FR) 9.5% · 9–95

Progeny have won 9.1% of 7,542 runs since 2014 (549 horses).

Sleeping Indian (GB) 9.7% · 7–72

Progeny have won 8.9% of 3,715 runs since 2010 (238 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 0.9% from 108.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,728 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,728 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 5 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

05 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Wild Rosie (GB)J: Harry Davies Midnite Built Different Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 10f · Standard · 13 ran 9th 40/1

03 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Man Of Desert (GB)J: Harry Davies Midnite: Built For 2026 Not 2006 Handicap StakesClass 5 · 12f · Standard · 7 ran 3rd 22/1

02 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) My Mate Kev (GB)J: Jake Dickson Make The Move To Midnite Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 3/1

30 Oct 26 Newmarket Berry Clever (GB)J: Harry Davies Munich's Grosser Dallmayr-preis Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 3rd 9/2F

28 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Wild Rosie (GB)J: Marco Ghiani Unibet's New VAR Goal Guarantee Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier) (Div I)Class 6 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 10th 6/1

22 Oct 26 Newmarket My Mate Kev (GB)J: Harry Davies CopyBet BOG Now For Cheltenham Tomorrow Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Soft · 7 ran 5th 14/1

22 Oct 26 Newmarket Cameley Days (GB)J: Marco Ghiani CopyBet BOG Now For Cheltenham Tomorrow Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Soft · 7 ran 4th 8/1

19 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Man Of Desert (GB)J: Harry Davies attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap StakesClass 5 · 9.5f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 33/1

19 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) My Mate Kev (GB)J: Harry Davies Cavani Tailored Champion Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 3rd 9/2

19 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Style King (IRE)J: Harry Davies Cavani Best Dressed Handicap StakesClass 3 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 25/1

15 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Sable Island (GB)J: Harry Davies Free Digital Racecard At Raceday-ready.com Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 5th 16/1

09 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Berry Clever (GB)J: Harry Davies Try Unibet's Superboosts Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier) (Div II)Class 5 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 1st 7/2

09 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Wild Rosie (GB)J: Harry Davies Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 4th 14/1

08 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Man Of Desert (GB)J: Silvestre De Sousa Download The Raceday Ready App Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 14/1

08 Oct 26 Bath Cameley Days (GB)J: Harry Davies Mj Church Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5.5f · Good · 10 ran 9th 12/1

05 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Squashy Berry (GB)J: Joe Leavy Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 10th 12/1

05 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) My Mate Kev (GB)J: Daniel Muscutt Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 4/1

02 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Style King (IRE)J: Harry Davies Franklin Hodge Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 1st 9/2

02 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Sable Island (GB)J: Harry Davies Rockspur CIC EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 6/1

28 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Wild Rosie (GB)J: Nicola Currie Free Race Replays On Attheraces.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 9 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 2 runs (won 1) · to 30 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Chris Dwyer's strike rate?: Chris Dwyer has won 291 of 2,428 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 12% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Chris Dwyer do best at?: Brighton by strike rate: 11 wins from 56 runners (19.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Chris Dwyer?: Silvestre De Sousa, with 429 runners since 2008 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 76 (17.7%).
Is Chris Dwyer in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Chris Dwyer's Fair A/E?: 1.12, from 2,420 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.