What is Conrad Allen's strike rate?

Conrad Allen has won 113 of 1,160 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.7% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Conrad Allen do best at?

Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 27 wins from 211 runners (12.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Conrad Allen?

Martin Dwyer, with 157 runners since 2008 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 22 (14%).

Is Conrad Allen in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Conrad Allen's Fair A/E?

1.03, from 1,150 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Conrad Allen

1,160 runners in the lifetime window · 101 individual horses

As at 2 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 12 days ago 97% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

113–1,160

Wins / Runs

9.7%

Strike rate

n=1,160

321 (28%)

Placed

1.03

Fair A/E

n=1,150 · 0.90 incl. margin

−209.97

£1 level stake

n=1,160 at SP · −18.1%

£946k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10.3%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 60 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.03).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,160 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 2 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Dec–Feb 27.3% when favourite Martin Dwyer: 14% from 157 Sends off the favourite in 7% of races

The read

It is weakest at Newmarket (0% over 34 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 3.3% (n=61, Fair A/E 1.13). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 7.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.74 and −125.92 to a £1 stake over 329 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Martin Dwyer rides 14% of the entries and edges the yard's average (14% vs 9.7%, A/E 1.28) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly in Class 2 — 0% over 39 runners, 9.7pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 1m2f – 1m4f: Fair A/E 0.51 across 141 runners (4.3% strike, −115.62 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Scottish Sun/EBF Stallions Land O'Burns Fillies' Stakes at Ayr (Jun 2014, £22,684). The stable star of the record: Tyger Bay (GB) — 15 wins from 87 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Dec–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.7% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

5.9%−3.8

n=135 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −45.17

New recruits · first run for the yard

7.7%−2.0

n=39 · A/E 1.45 · £1 −0.17

Debutants · first career start

3.3%−6.4

n=61 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −6.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

6.1%−3.6

n=49 · A/E 1.21 · £1 −35.75

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

11.1%+1.4

n=45 · A/E 1.25 · £1 −5.50

When favourite

27.3%

n=77 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −11.42

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7.9%−1.8

n=329 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −125.92

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

4.2%−5.5

n=24 · A/E 1.69 · £1 −14.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Jack Gilligan 20.4% vs 9.7% · n=49

In Class 2 0% vs 9.7% · n=39

At Newmarket 0% vs 9.7% · n=34

Over 1m2f – 1m4f 4.3% vs 9.7% · n=141

Over 1m5f – 2m 2.5% vs 9.7% · n=40

With debutants 3.3% vs 9.7% · n=61

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,120 112 10% −177.47

Hurdle 24 1 4.2% −16.50

NH Flat 13 0 0% −13.00

Chase 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 716 77 10.8% −90.09

Good to Firm 166 13 7.8% −31.84

Good 150 13 8.7% −68.29

Good to Soft 61 4 6.6% +4.00

Soft 54 6 11.1% −10.75

Heavy 10 0 0% −10.00

Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Lingfield (AW) 211 27 12.8% +16.50

Kempton (AW) 172 20 11.6% −35.04

Chelmsford City (AW) 167 12 7.2% −96.05

Yarmouth 90 10 11.1% +55.50

Wolverhampton (AW) 90 11 12.2% +11.50

Southwell (AW) 60 6 10% +25.00

Newmarket 34 0 0% −34.00

Newmarket 33 3 9.1% −11.00

Windsor 29 2 6.9% −18.50

Brighton 27 3 11.1% +13.75

Lingfield 26 3 11.5% −11.17

Leicester 25 3 12% −11.67

Sandown 23 1 4.3% −16.50

Newcastle (AW) 15 1 6.7% −11.00

Doncaster 13 0 0% −13.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 448 51 11.4% −49.76

Class 6 360 40 11.1% −23.92

Class 4 223 16 7.2% −47.29

Class 3 56 4 7.1% −28.50

Class 2 39 0 0% −39.00

Class 1 24 1 4.2% −14.50

Class 7 10 1 10% −7.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 84 25 29.8% 1.08 −1.42

2nd–3rd fav 232 44 19% 1.12 −8.55

4th–6th fav 437 31 7.1% 0.90 −78.00

7th+ in betting 407 13 3.2% 1.00 −122.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 590 63 10.7% −89.01

Under 6f 219 30 13.7% +47.33

1m – 1m1f 161 13 8.1% −11.17

1m2f – 1m4f 141 6 4.3% −115.62

1m5f – 2m 40 1 2.5% −32.50

2m1f – 2m4f 7 0 0% −7.00

2m5f – 3m 1 0 0% −1.00

Over 3m 1 0 0% −1.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 2 1 50% +1.00

2012 11 2 18.2% +44.00

2013 31 3 9.7% −16.00

2014 52 4 7.7% −22.00

2015 79 5 6.3% −25.50

2016 82 7 8.5% −11.12

2017 88 6 6.8% −6.25

2018 66 8 12.1% −19.50

2019 68 8 11.8% −33.12

2020 68 2 2.9% −43.00

2021 108 11 10.2% −52.04

2022 93 12 12.9% −2.75

2023 114 9 7.9% −42.26

2024 120 18 15% +38.41

2025 100 9 9% −13.92

2026 78 8 10.3% −5.92

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 866 90 10.4% −143.80

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 482 43 8.9% −104.71

11-13 runners 309 33 10.7% +43.83

5-7 runners 262 35 13.4% −75.09

14-16 runners 81 0 0% −81.00

17+ runners 14 0 0% −14.00

2-4 runners 12 2 16.7% +21.00

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Tyger Bay (GB)from Richard Guest 87 15 39 17 Oct 26

Mick's Spirit (GB)from Richard Guest 69 11 25 27 Aug 26

Voi (GB)from Hugo Palmer 63 4 19 13 Jun 22

Sonnet Rose (IRE) 61 8 27 23 Nov 20

Rouge Nuage (IRE) 55 8 22 10 Mar 18

Hiatus (IRE)then Ivan Furtado 44 5 12 23 Oct 25

Edergole's Gift (IRE) 43 3 9 15 Oct 26

It's Showtime (IRE) 34 1 11 29 Jan 26

Luna Queen (GB)then Sheena West 28 3 7 26 Oct 23

Impeach (IRE)from Brian Meehan · then Michael Attwater 28 3 8 7 Jun 23

Busby (IRE)then Ivan Furtado 27 5 14 7 Oct 20

Lucky Ava (GB)from Richard Guest 26 5 10 8 Nov 22

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 101 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 23 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Richard Guest (5) and Michael Wigham (2); 37 had their first archived run for this yard.

16 have since run for another yard, most often for Louise Allan (4) and Ivan Furtado (2); 44 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 1

Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

131311979913108512

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderMartin Dwyer

14% of all rides
14% SR · A/E 1.28

RiderRWSR£1

Martin Dwyer 157 22 14% +41.84

Darragh Keenan 97 12 12.4% +58.62

Jimmy Quinn 62 5 8.1% −4.00

William Carver 53 6 11.3% −17.00

Jack Gilligan 49 10 20.4% +28.99

Grace McEntee 43 4 9.3% −16.50

Connor Planas 40 4 10% −11.67

Neil Callan 33 4 12.1% −12.00

Sean Levey 31 5 16.1% −9.38

Robert Havlin 31 2 6.5% −23.75

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

129

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.03m

Prize money

2024

Best season · 18 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Hay Chewed (IRE) — Scottish Sun/EBF Stallions Land O'Burns Fillies' Stakes (Listed) Ayr · Jun 2014 · Listed

£22,684

Mercury Day (IRE) — Durcan Bloodstock Pat Smullen Memorial Fillies' Handicap Newmarket · Jun 2024 · Class 4

£10,308

Hay Chewed (IRE) — Ebf Stallions Prestwold Conditions Stakes Leicester · Sep 2016 · Class 3

£9,452

Notable horses

Tyger Bay (GB) Mick's Spirit (GB) Sonnet Rose (IRE) Rouge Nuage (IRE) Hiatus (IRE) Busby (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Cable Bay (IRE) 17.2% · 15–87

Progeny have won 9.9% of 3,725 runs since 2019 (243 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.8% from 644. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 290.

Camacho (GB) 9.9% · 7–71

Progeny have won 8.1% of 9,324 runs since 2009 (596 horses).

Poet's Voice (GB) 12.9% · 9–70

Progeny have won 10% of 6,045 runs since 2015 (384 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.3% from 264. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13% from 494. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.3% from 142.

Swiss Spirit (GB) 15.9% · 11–69

Progeny have won 9.5% of 3,646 runs since 2017 (243 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 4.5% from 244. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 3.7% from 136.

Holy Roman Emperor (IRE) 6.3% · 4–63

Progeny have won 10.3% of 11,881 runs since 2010 (949 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.9% from 305.

Indian Haven (GB) 12.9% · 8–62

Progeny have won 8.2% of 1,800 runs since 2008 (153 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.1% from 157.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 2 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,407 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,407 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 10 January 2005 to 21 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

21 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Elvetham (IRE)J: Cieren Fallon Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap Stakes (London Sprint Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 12 ran 9th 28/1

17 Oct 26 Catterick Tyger Bay (GB)J: David Allan William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Veterans' Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Good · 10 ran 8th 18/1

15 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Edergole's Gift (IRE)J: Darragh Keenan Follow @AtTheRaces On X Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 9/1

06 Oct 26 Brighton Edergole's Gift (IRE)J: Alice Bond Matchbook Monthly Bet- Builder Rebate Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 6th 50/1

05 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Poetic Grace (IRE)J: Cieren Fallon Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 3rd 11/1

05 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Tyger Bay (GB)J: Joe Leavy Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap Stakes (London Sprint Series Qualifier) (Div II)Class 4 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 9 ran 4th 28/1

24 Sep 26 Southwell (AW) Elvetham (IRE)J: Tom Kiely-Marshall Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 7 ran 6th 22/1

16 Sep 26 Yarmouth Tyger Bay (GB)J: Joe Leavy Sea Deer Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 1st 33/1

12 Sep 26 Lingfield (AW) Poetic Grace (IRE)J: Alice Bond Follow @attheraces On Instagram Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 40/1

10 Sep 26 Lingfield (AW) Edergole's Gift (IRE)J: Tom Kiely-Marshall Sasco Sauces Birthday Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 16/1

03 Sep 26 Southwell (AW) Tyger Bay (GB)J: Seamus Cronin Bettingsites.co.uk Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 8th 28/1

01 Sep 26 Lingfield (AW) Elvetham (IRE)J: Tom Marquand Tips For Every Race At raceday-ready.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 5 ran 1st 5/4F

29 Aug 26 Windsor Tyger Bay (GB)J: Jack Gilligan Total Task Consultancy Take The Reins Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 4 · 6f · Soft · 6 ran 5th 10/1

27 Aug 26 Lingfield (AW) Mick's Spirit (GB)J: Jack Gilligan Free Tips On Attheraces.com Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 6 ran 6th 5/1

18 Aug 26 Lingfield (AW) Edergole's Gift (IRE)J: Cieren Fallon Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Classified Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 3/1F

14 Aug 26 Yarmouth Poetic Grace (IRE)J: Paddy Bradley QuinnBet Classified StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 6th 14/1

13 Aug 26 Lingfield (AW) Elvetham (IRE)J: Darragh Keenan Emilies 21st Birthday Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 7/2C

08 Aug 26 Lingfield (AW) Edergole's Gift (IRE)J: George Wood Rodney Bay Classified StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 9/1

04 Aug 26 Lingfield (AW) Elvetham (IRE)J: Jack Gilligan John Cunliffe Obf 80th Birthday Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 1st 13/2

03 Aug 26 Ripon Secret Harvest (GB)J: Cieren Fallon Napoleons Casino And Restaurant Leeds Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 7/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Conrad Allen's strike rate?: Conrad Allen has won 113 of 1,160 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.7% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Conrad Allen do best at?: Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 27 wins from 211 runners (12.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Conrad Allen?: Martin Dwyer, with 157 runners since 2008 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 22 (14%).
Is Conrad Allen in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Conrad Allen's Fair A/E?: 1.03, from 1,150 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.