What is David Brown's strike rate?

David Brown has won 229 of 2,160 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.6% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does David Brown do best at?

Hamilton by strike rate: 12 wins from 57 runners (21.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for David Brown?

Sean Levey, with 169 runners since 2008 — 8% of the total. That pairing has won 26 (15.4%).

What is David Brown's Fair A/E?

0.95, from 2,142 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

David Brown

2,160 runners in the lifetime window · 250 individual horses

As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Jan 2023 99% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

229–2,160

Wins / Runs

10.6%

Strike rate

n=2,160

645 (30%)

Placed

0.95

Fair A/E

n=2,142 · 0.83 incl. margin

−486.51

£1 level stake

n=2,160 at SP · −22.5%

£2.25m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 110 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 11% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.95). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 15% (53 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,160 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 28 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Dec–Apr Fresh horses: 11.6% 35.7% when favourite Sean Levey: 15.4% from 169 New recruits: 11.1% Headgear returns: 15.1% Sends off the favourite in 10% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Hamilton (21.1%, n=57), clear of the yard's 10.6% baseline. It is weakest at Nottingham (3.6% over 84 runners) — the widest gap in the record. A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a positive signal at 15.1% (n=53, Fair A/E 1.73). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 9.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.82 and −154.11 to a £1 stake over 301 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Sean Levey rides 8% of the entries and edges the yard's average (15.4% vs 10.6%, A/E 1.09) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (21%, n=143). 10 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the TNT July Stakes at Newmarket (Jul 2011, £34,026). The stable star of the record: Ben Lilly (IRE) — 7 wins from 18 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Dec–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.6% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

11.6%+1.0

n=302 · A/E 1.24 · £1 −7.24

New recruits · first run for the yard

11.1%+0.5

n=72 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −19.75

Debutants · first career start

8.1%−2.5

n=186 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −73.67

First-time headgear · true-first definition

7.8%−2.8

n=90 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −23.72

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

15.1%+4.5

n=53 · A/E 1.73 · £1 +55.00

When favourite

35.7%

n=213 · A/E 1.15 · £1 +2.97

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

9.3%−1.3

n=301 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −154.11

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

8.6%−2.0

n=116 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −72.15

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Kevin Stott 25% vs 10.6% · n=60

Off a 0-7-day break 21% vs 10.6% · n=143

On last-time-out winners 18.8% vs 10.6% · n=213

At Hamilton 21.1% vs 10.6% · n=57

With Jamie Spencer 18.6% vs 10.6% · n=70

At Nottingham 3.6% vs 10.6% · n=84

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 2,135 228 10.7% −466.51

Hurdle 18 1 5.6% −13.00

NH Flat 7 0 0% −7.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 718 88 12.3% −90.63

Good to Firm 568 50 8.8% −256.81

Good 441 56 12.7% +67.40

Good to Soft 227 17 7.5% −106.91

Soft 158 14 8.9% −87.44

Heavy 29 2 6.9% −0.50

Firm 19 2 10.5% −11.62

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Southwell (AW) 199 31 15.6% −42.08

Wolverhampton (AW) 197 25 12.7% −19.81

Doncaster 130 8 6.2% −64.79

Chelmsford (AW) 100 11 11% +15.16

Redcar 100 9 9% −54.05

Beverley 94 12 12.8% +48.98

Newcastle (AW) 92 7 7.6% −47.65

Haydock 88 8 9.1% −18.75

Nottingham 84 3 3.6% −30.50

Thirsk 76 8 10.5% −11.21

Pontefract 72 8 11.1% +12.63

Kempton (AW) 70 10 14.3% +42.75

York 62 2 3.2% −51.00

Lingfield (AW) 60 4 6.7% −39.00

Hamilton 57 12 21.1% −7.38

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 779 87 11.2% −151.14

Class 6 543 61 11.2% −94.59

Class 4 463 47 10.2% −106.52

Class 3 144 15 10.4% −19.84

Class 1 115 10 8.7% −71.15

Class 2 112 8 7.1% −40.87

Class 7 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 265 85 32.1% 1.10 −11.53

2nd–3rd fav 495 84 17% 1.04 −68.98

4th–6th fav 678 35 5.2% 0.59 −292.00

7th+ in betting 722 25 3.5% 1.01 −114.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 1,027 110 10.7% −93.09

Under 6f 579 70 12.1% −168.42

1m – 1m1f 318 29 9.1% −96.94

1m2f – 1m4f 165 11 6.7% −90.25

1m5f – 2m 55 8 14.5% −26.81

2m1f – 2m4f 11 1 9.1% −6.00

2m5f – 3m 5 0 0% −5.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 42 4 9.5% −0.50

2009 124 18 14.5% −27.01

2010 134 14 10.4% −74.71

2011 113 13 11.5% −40.26

2012 143 14 9.8% −1.29

2013 181 22 12.2% −72.00

2014 177 18 10.2% −66.25

2015 258 24 9.3% −85.31

2016 236 26 11% +23.33

2017 237 15 6.3% −80.75

2018 127 8 6.3% −47.65

2019 77 8 10.4% −30.49

2020 94 21 22.3% +7.20

2021 142 15 10.6% +15.58

2022 73 9 12.3% −4.40

2023 2 0 0% −2.00

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,338 153 11.4% −144.43

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 786 82 10.4% −178.77

11-13 runners 630 50 7.9% −131.31

5-7 runners 403 63 15.6% −111.64

14-16 runners 211 24 11.4% +26.04

17+ runners 96 2 2.1% −77.75

2-4 runners 34 8 23.5% −13.08

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Munfallet (IRE)from Richard Hannon Snr · then Adrian Nicholls 39 6 12 4 Jul 18

Simply Clever (GB) 33 1 11 27 Aug 18

Ruby's Day (GB)from E J O'Neill 31 2 4 14 Nov 16

Whisky Bravo (GB)then David C Griffiths 31 5 12 19 Sep 13

Doncaster Rover (USA)from S Parr · then Richard Fahey 31 4 11 14 Jul 12

Can Can Girl (IRE)then Tim Easterby 30 4 12 20 Dec 22

Sovereign Moon (GB) 24 1 5 2 Aug 22

Harbour Vision (GB)then Scott Dixon 24 3 8 7 Oct 21

Lady Ziana (GB)from Richard Fahey · then Paul Midgley 22 0 8 29 Oct 22

Frow (IRE)from D Donovan 22 6 11 21 Oct 21

Wind Fire (USA) 21 3 8 3 Oct 15

Oneladyowner (GB)then David O'Meara 21 4 7 27 May 13

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 250 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 12 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 20 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Bryan Smart (4) and S Parr (4); 40 had their first archived run for this yard.

25 have since run for another yard, most often for George Foster (3); 35 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

16202018791111108312

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderSean Levey

8% of all rides
15.4% SR · A/E 1.09

RiderRWSR£1

Sean Levey 169 26 15.4% −27.72

Paul Mulrennan 130 15 11.5% −5.99

Tom Eaves 125 11 8.8% +21.50

Phillip Makin 103 13 12.6% −1.27

Graham Lee 84 10 11.9% −28.96

Robert Winston 83 10 12% −22.88

Jamie Spencer 70 13 18.6% −11.14

Kevin Stott 60 15 25% +36.19

Richard Mullen 55 5 9.1% −27.67

Michael Stainton 51 3 5.9% −31.92

Cam Hardie 50 3 6% −25.67

Graham Gibbons 46 4 8.7% −30.21

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2008→

229

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.25m

Prize money

2016

Best season · 26 wins

Frederick Engels (GB) — TNT July Stakes (Group 2) Newmarket · Jul 2011 · Group 2

£34,026

My Catch (IRE) — Prix de Cabourg Jockey Club de Turquie (2yo) (Turf) Deauville (FR) · Jul 2013 · Group 3

£32,520

Royal Performer (GB) — bet365 Handicap Wolverhampton (AW) · Mar 2016 · Class 2

£32,345

Notable horses

Ben Lilly (IRE) Munfallet (IRE) Frow (IRE) Whisky Bravo (GB) True Hero (GB) National Anthem (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Royal Applause (GB) 8.2% · 8–97

Progeny have won 8.6% of 12,434 runs since 2008 (774 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.4% from 323.

Kyllachy (GB) 12.2% · 10–82

Progeny have won 9.9% of 13,847 runs since 2008 (800 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.8% from 468.

Acclamation (GB) 12.1% · 8–66

Progeny have won 10% of 19,695 runs since 2008 (1,327 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 194.

Bahamian Bounty (GB) 7.7% · 5–65

Progeny have won 9.6% of 9,353 runs since 2008 (598 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 1% from 202.

Doncaster Rover (USA) 11.9% · 7–59

Progeny have won 5.4% of 129 runs since 2008 (15 horses).

Medicean (GB) 12.7% · 7–55

Progeny have won 10.4% of 9,890 runs since 2008 (682 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,160 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,160 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 22 March 2008 to 23 January 2023.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

23 Jan 23 Southwell (AW) Blazing Hot (GB)J: Oliver Stammers BetUK's Acca Club 5 Free Bet HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 7/2F

21 Jan 23 Wolverhampton (AW) Storminghull (GB)J: Dale Swift talkSPORT Powered By Fans HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 4/1

22 Dec 22 Southwell (AW) Blazing Hot (GB)J: Oliver Stammers Huge Daily Boosts Only At BetUK HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 14 ran 1st 6/1

20 Dec 22 Newcastle (AW) Can Can Girl (IRE)J: Adam Farragher Betuk Over 40,000 Live Streamed Races HandicapClass 5 · 12.5f · Standard To Slow · 8 ran 6th 9/1

06 Dec 22 Southwell (AW) Can Can Girl (IRE)J: Kevin Stott Top Odds Every Day With BetUK HandicapClass 5 · 12f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 20/1

31 Oct 22 Wolverhampton (AW) Can Can Girl (IRE)J: Kevin Stott Top Odds Every Day With BetUK HandicapClass 5 · 12f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 9/2

29 Oct 22 Wolverhampton (AW) Lady Ziana (GB)J: Kevin Stott Spreadex Sports Get 40 Pounds In Bonuses Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 2nd 11/4F

18 Oct 22 Newcastle (AW) Blazing Hot (GB)J: Oliver Stammers BetUK's Acca Club 5 Free Bet Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 5f · Standard · 14 ran 5th 13/2

17 Oct 22 Wolverhampton (AW) Crystal Dawn (IRE)J: Benoit De La Sayette At The Races App Expert Tips Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 2/1J

14 Oct 22 Newcastle (AW) Lady Ziana (GB)J: Dylan Hogan Market Lane HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 66/1

10 Oct 22 Wolverhampton (AW) Crystal Dawn (IRE)J: Cam Hardie At The Races App Form Study Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 7/2F

09 Oct 22 Southwell (AW) Arnie Angell (GB)J: Jason Watson Follow AtTheRaces On Twitter NurseryClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 11/2

07 Oct 22 Newcastle (AW) Blazing Hot (GB)J: Oliver Stammers Free Replays On Attheraces.com HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 13 ran 1st 9/2J

03 Oct 22 Wolverhampton (AW) Lady Ziana (GB)J: George Rooke Cazoo Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 12 ran 5th 18/1

28 Sep 22 Catterick Can Can Girl (IRE)J: Kevin Stott RacingTV For Free For 31 Days HandicapClass 5 · 12f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 4th 16/1

28 Sep 22 Catterick Sun Rising (IRE)J: Connor Beasley racingtv.com/freetrial HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 8th 66/1

24 Sep 22 Chelmsford City (AW) Crystal Dawn (IRE)J: Dylan Hogan Book Your Christmas Party Here HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 14 ran 1st 10/3

22 Sep 22 Pontefract Blazing Hot (GB)J: Oliver Stammers Yorkshire Wonder Horse Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good · 11 ran 3rd 18/1

20 Sep 22 Beverley Sun Rising (IRE)J: Paul Hanagan Carpe Diem HandicapClass 6 · 8.5f · Good · 14 ran 13th 50/1

13 Sep 22 Wolverhampton (AW) Lady Ziana (GB)J: Harry Davies Download The At The Races App HandicapClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 13 ran 13th 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is David Brown's strike rate?: David Brown has won 229 of 2,160 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.6% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does David Brown do best at?: Hamilton by strike rate: 12 wins from 57 runners (21.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for David Brown?: Sean Levey, with 169 runners since 2008 — 8% of the total. That pairing has won 26 (15.4%).
What is David Brown's Fair A/E?: 0.95, from 2,142 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.