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Trainer profile

Francois Monfort

1,161 runners in the lifetime window · 283 individual horses
As at 10 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Non-runners: 0.8% of 239 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.2–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 10 Nov 2026.
Last runner yesterday 100% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2021→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
88–1,161
Wins / Runs
7.6%
Strike rate
n=1,161
295 (25%)
Placed
0.90
Fair A/E
n=1,155 · 0.75 incl. margin
−162.60
£1 level stake
n=1,156 at SP · −14.1%
£2.00m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
5.5%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 60 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.90).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,161 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 10 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance 22.7% when favourite M Guyon: 10.7% from 233 Sends off the favourite in 6% of races
The read

The market has consistently overbet new recruits from other stables on their first run: 5.2% strike, Fair A/E 0.60 and −85.50 to a £1 stake over 155 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. M Guyon rides 20% of the entries and edges the yard's average (10.7% vs 7.6%, A/E 0.86). The yard also reads well in Class 1 (25.8%, n=31) and on Heavy going (11.4%, n=79). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 4.5% over 269 runners, 3.1pts below the baseline. 7 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Sumbe Grand Handicap at Deauville (FR) (Aug 2026, £36,000). The stable star of the record: Homo Deus (FR) — 6 wins from 17 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
5.5%−2.1
n=361 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −198.40
New recruits · first run for the yard
5.2%−2.4
n=155 · A/E 0.60 · £1 −85.50
Debutants · first career start
4.7%−2.9
n=129 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −8.30
First-time headgear · true-first definition
5%−2.6
n=159 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −50.50
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
8.3%+0.7
n=36 · A/E 1.23 · £1 +11.90
When favourite
22.7%
n=75 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −19.90
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
5.5%−2.1
n=272 · A/E 0.73 · £1 −36.70
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
25%+17.4
n=28 · A/E 2.07 · £1 +61.30

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Class 1 25.8% vs 7.6% · n=31
With Julien Guillochon 0% vs 7.6% · n=39
With Jacky Nicoleau 3.2% vs 7.6% · n=95
Off a 61-180-day break 4.5% vs 7.6% · n=269
With M Guyon 10.7% vs 7.6% · n=233
On Heavy going 11.4% vs 7.6% · n=79
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 629 48 7.6% −32.20
Soft 210 18 8.6% +15.60
Good to Soft 171 8 4.7% −120.80
Heavy 79 9 11.4% +8.10
Good 71 5 7% −33.30
Good to Firm 1 0 0% —

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Deauville (FR) 442 34 7.7% −40.10
Chantilly (FR) 307 20 6.5% −26.20
Saint-Cloud (FR) 167 17 10.2% −18.20
Longchamp (FR) 116 5 4.3% −68.90
Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) 14 0 0% −14.00
Clairefontaine (FR) 12 1 8.3% −10.00
Vichy (FR) 11 2 18.2% −2.20
Le Mans (FR) 9 1 11.1% +1.00
Fontainebleau (FR) 8 0 0% −8.00
Toulouse (FR) 8 1 12.5% +21.00
Saint-Malo (FR) 7 0 0% −7.00
Les Sables-d'Olonne (FR) 7 1 14.3% −5.60
Craon (FR) 6 0 0% −6.00
Compiegne (FR) 6 1 16.7% +35.00
Dieppe (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 31 8 25.8% +62.80
Class 4 21 3 14.3% −2.00
Class 3 16 0 0% −16.00
Class 2 8 0 0% −8.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 83 17 20.5% 0.90 −27.90
2nd–3rd fav 228 33 14.5% 1.04 −36.20
4th–6th fav 345 17 4.9% 0.62 −180.50
7th+ in betting 500 20 4% 1.11 +82.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Viou (FR) 27 3 9 16 Aug 25
Testipedro (FR) 17 2 6 9 Nov 26
Homo Deus (FR)from R Chotard · then Hedi Ghabri 17 6 8 8 Apr 26
Seona (FR) 16 1 6 2 Nov 26
Tantomile (FR)then N Caullery 16 2 9 3 Jul 25
Sim Card (FR)from Michael Bell · then N Caullery 16 4 9 12 Jun 25
Estacity (FR) 15 0 3 27 Oct 23
My Queen (FR)then Pierre Menard 14 2 6 10 Jan 26
My Secret Light (FR)from Gianluca Bietolini 13 0 3 9 Nov 26
Full Colour (FR) 13 1 3 23 Dec 24
Gordon Break (FR) 13 2 6 17 Apr 23
Locked N' Loaded (GB)from Tim Fitzgerald · then Tony Carroll 13 2 7 14 Jan 23
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 283 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 6 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 37 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from P Monfort (5) and Kevin Philippart De Foy (2); 23 had their first archived run for this yard.

15 have since run for another yard, most often for N Caullery (2); 45 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Steady
1 from 20 5% · −2.6pts vs baseline
Last 14 days5%
Lifetime base7.6%
Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
78785657810711
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderM Guyon
20% of all rides
10.7% SR · A/E 0.86
RiderRWSR£1
M Guyon 233 25 10.7% −86.70
Aurelien Lemaitre 98 9 9.2% +36.30
Jacky Nicoleau 95 3 3.2% −63.10
Clement Lecoeuvre 76 6 7.9% −9.80
Antoine Subias 63 7 11.1% +0.50
Tony Piccone 62 6 9.7% −10.90
Anthony Crastus 58 6 10.3% +1.20
Theo Bachelot 48 2 4.2% −36.40
Julien Guillochon 39 0 0% −39.00
Ioritz Mendizabal 32 1 3.1% −22.00
Cristian Demuro 32 2 6.3% −5.30
Warren Levesque 30 3 10% +20.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2021→
88
Archived wins
7
Pattern / graded wins
£2.00m
Prize money
2023
Best season · 21 wins
Prince Des Villes (FR) — Sumbe Grand Handicap Deauville (FR) · Aug 2026 · Class 1
£36,000
Ateem (FR) — Grand Prix du Departement 06 - Defi du Galop 2021 () (4yo+) (Turf) Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) · Feb 2021 · Listed
£31,250
Homo Deus (FR) — Prix le Parisien - Prix Rieussec (Handicap) (3yo+) (Grande Course) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Oct 2023
£30,973
Notable horses
Homo Deus (FR) Sim Card (FR) Viou (FR) Testipedro (FR) Tantomile (FR) My Queen (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
City Light (FR) 7.3% · 3–41
Progeny have won 13.3% of 1,000 runs since 2023 (160 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 16.7% from 341. Weakest on Soft going: 10.3% from 223. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.6% from 185.
Romanised (IRE) 5.3% · 2–38
Progeny have won 8.4% of 652 runs since 2024 (114 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 12.3% from 227. Weakest on Soft going: 4.2% from 144.
Lawman (FR) 10.7% · 3–28
Progeny have won 8.9% of 9,431 runs since 2011 (730 horses).
Elusive City (USA) 7.4% · 2–27
Progeny have won 9.7% of 8,431 runs since 2008 (636 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.4% from 1,123.
George Vancouver (USA) 11.1% · 3–27
Progeny have won 5.9% of 1,181 runs since 2017 (132 horses). Weakest on Good going: 2.4% from 124.
Recorder (GB) 12.5% · 3–24
Progeny have won 5.5% of 920 runs since 2021 (126 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 10 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,161 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,161 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 8 January 2021 to 9 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
09 Nov 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Sfusato (FR)J: Fabrice Veron Prix Signora12f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 9/2
09 Nov 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Testipedro (FR)J: Fabrice Veron Prix Du Canal12f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 9/1
09 Nov 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) My Secret Light (FR)J: Fabrice Veron Prix De Vancia12f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 4/1
09 Nov 26 Chantilly (FR) Sugar Daddy (FR)J: Maxime Guyon Prix de l'Ecluse de Creil7f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 16/1
09 Nov 26 Chantilly (FR) Vega Memories (FR)J: Clement Lecoeuvre Prix Du Bosquet Saint-Romain9f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 8/1
08 Nov 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Extrapol (IRE)J: Tony Piccone Prix Buckskin15.5f · Heavy · 15 ran 13th 22/1
07 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) Indy (FR)J: Jerome Moutard Prix De Bricquebec-en-cotentin12.5f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 22/1
07 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) Atalaya (FR)J: Natan Bouvry Prix De Bricquebec-en-cotentin12.5f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 20/1
05 Nov 26 Chantilly (FR) Ferdy (FR)J: Maxime Guyon Prix Du Labyrinthe De Buis8f · Standard · 14 ran 5th 9/1
05 Nov 26 Chantilly (FR) Pink Champagne (FR)J: Clement Lecoeuvre Prix De La Croix Saint-rieuil8f · Standard · 13 ran 10th 7/2
03 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) Miss Yorkshire (FR)J: Aurelien Lemaitre Prix De Commeaux7.5f · Standard · 15 ran 10th 28/1
02 Nov 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Mickael D'oo (FR)J: Marie Velon Prix Des Pins Noirs15f · Soft · 11 ran 7th 14/1
02 Nov 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Slipper Orchid (FR)J: Ioritz Mendizabal Prix Des Alisiers6f · Soft · 11 ran 11th 22/1
02 Nov 26 Nantes (FR) Seona (FR)J: Julien Guillochon Grand Prix De Nantes - 15eme Etape Du Defi Du Galop - G.camprubiClass 1 · 12f · Heavy · 6 ran 3rd 15/2
31 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Maria Joana (FR)J: Maxime Guyon Prix Du Bray Normand9.5f · Standard · 14 ran 7th 13/2
31 Oct 26 Angers (FR) La Guerche (FR)J: Julien Guillochon Handicap De La MaineClass 3 · 20f · Soft · 11 ran 5th 12/1
30 Oct 26 Lyon Parilly (FR) Prince Des Villes (FR)J: Fabrice Veron Prix Du Grand CampClass 1 · 12f · Very Soft · 5 ran 1st 4/1
28 Oct 26 Le Mans (FR) Wish Me Luck (FR)J: Julien Guillochon Prix Ici Maine (Prix Des Hunaudieres)8f · Heavy · 11 ran 6th 40/1
28 Oct 26 Amiens (FR) Testana (FR)J: Mme Cecilia Poirier Prix De Salouel14.5f · Heavy · 11 ran 11th 28/1
28 Oct 26 Le Mans (FR) Noble Envoy (FR)J: Julien Guillochon Prix Du Salon Du Cheval D'angers (Prix D'yvre-l'eveque)8f · Heavy · 14 ran 5th 50/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Francois Monfort's strike rate?
Francois Monfort has won 88 of 1,161 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.6% (as at 10 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Francois Monfort do best at?
Saint-Cloud (FR) by strike rate: 17 wins from 167 runners (10.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Francois Monfort?
M Guyon, with 233 runners since 2008 — 20% of the total. That pairing has won 25 (10.7%).
Is Francois Monfort in form?
In the last 14 days: 20 runners, 1 winner, a strike rate of 5%. That is in line with the baseline of 7.6% since 2008.
What is Francois Monfort's Fair A/E?
0.90, from 1,155 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 10 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).