What is Harry Fry's strike rate?

Harry Fry has won 541 of 2,692 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 20.1% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Harry Fry do best at?

Newton Abbot by strike rate: 31 wins from 106 runners (29.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Harry Fry?

Noel Fehily, with 714 runners since 2008 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 180 (25.2%).

Is Harry Fry in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 12 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Harry Fry's Fair A/E?

1.11, from 2,690 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Harry Fry

2,692 runners in the lifetime window · 326 individual horses

As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Runners today 97% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2012→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

541–2,692

Wins / Runs

20.1%

Strike rate

n=2,692

1,154 (43%)

Placed

1.11

Fair A/E

n=2,690 · 0.95 incl. margin

−350.21

£1 level stake

n=2,692 at SP · −13.0%

£8.68m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

22.1%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 140 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 20% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.11). Debutants are a strength: 22% on first career starts (211 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,692 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 8 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 42% when favourite Noel Fehily: 25.2% from 714 Sends off the favourite in 24% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Plumpton (32.8%, n=58), clear of the yard's 20.1% baseline. It is weakest at Cheltenham (11.2% over 170 runners) — the widest gap in the record. A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a poor signal at 12.1% (n=33, Fair A/E 0.86). Debutants are the standout value angle: 22.3% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.34 and +50.73 to a £1 stake over 211 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Noel Fehily rides 27% of the entries and beats the yard's average (25.2% vs 20.1%, A/E 1.17) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 11.9% over 444 runners, 8.2pts below the baseline. 51 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Ladbrokes Champion Stayers Hurdle at Punchestown (May 2019, £177,000). The stable star of the record: Unowhatimeanharry (GB) — 13 wins from 30 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 20.1% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

18.3%−1.8

n=918 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −116.87

New recruits · first run for the yard

16.9%−3.2

n=118 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −38.32

Debutants · first career start

22.3%+2.2

n=211 · A/E 1.34 · £1 +50.73

First-time headgear · true-first definition

16%−4.1

n=200 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −55.97

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

12.1%−8.0

n=33 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −18.37

When favourite

42%

n=634 · A/E 1.16 · £1 +8.30

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

17.5%−2.6

n=604 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −32.66

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

12.8%−7.3

n=398 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −159.18

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 20.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 30.9% vs 20.1% · n=541

At Plumpton 32.8% vs 20.1% · n=58

With Lorcan Murtagh 10.2% vs 20.1% · n=166

In Class 1 11.9% vs 20.1% · n=444

At Cheltenham 11.2% vs 20.1% · n=170

In Group / Graded races 12.8% vs 20.1% · n=398

This filter uses derived form angles computed for 38.3% of the archive so far (as at 8 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,579 318 20.1% −261.85

Chase 667 129 19.3% −69.94

NH Flat 353 80 22.7% +7.85

Flat 93 14 15.1% −26.27

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 822 166 20.2% −93.82

Good to Soft 787 143 18.2% −171.91

Soft 740 153 20.7% −58.61

Heavy 233 53 22.7% −46.53

Good to Firm 55 14 25.5% −21.32

Standard (AW) 55 12 21.8% +41.98

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wincanton 222 38 17.1% −36.23

Taunton 197 38 19.3% −64.08

Exeter 195 55 28.2% +51.19

Cheltenham 170 19 11.2% −71.41

Uttoxeter 146 35 24% +12.01

Ascot 136 32 23.5% +23.23

Newbury 128 22 17.2% −39.38

Kempton 120 25 20.8% −13.86

Fontwell 109 29 26.6% −9.87

Newton Abbot 106 31 29.2% +0.15

Chepstow 95 11 11.6% −55.43

Aintree 89 11 12.4% −28.39

Sandown 89 13 14.6% −35.23

Warwick 80 12 15% −21.91

Worcester 61 9 14.8% −34.39

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 860 193 22.4% −135.09

Class 3 524 124 23.7% +42.40

Class 1 444 53 11.9% −187.68

Class 2 409 77 18.8% −26.83

Class 5 339 69 20.4% −50.96

Class 6 97 22 22.7% +4.95

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 719 280 38.9% 1.13 −20.51

2nd–3rd fav 921 191 20.7% 1.15 −16.20

4th–6th fav 707 61 8.6% 1.01 −140.50

7th+ in betting 345 9 2.6% 0.65 −173.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

2m1f – 2m4f 958 205 21.4% −126.09

1m5f – 2m 877 174 19.8% −153.59

2m5f – 3m 682 136 19.9% −29.58

Over 3m 130 19 14.6% −26.97

1m2f – 1m4f 41 7 17.1% −9.98

1m – 1m1f 3 0 0% −3.00

6f – 7f 1 0 0% −1.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2012 33 6 18.2% +17.00

2013 96 33 34.4% +40.34

2014 148 38 25.7% +33.11

2015 204 48 23.5% −11.19

2016 271 50 18.5% −33.95

2017 289 79 27.3% +22.03

2018 296 54 18.2% −71.11

2019 220 34 15.5% −57.16

2020 188 34 18.1% −29.36

2021 207 28 13.5% −76.93

2022 211 49 23.2% −5.88

2023 190 30 15.8% −90.22

2024 131 18 13.7% −54.22

2025 131 23 17.6% −19.92

2026 77 17 22.1% −12.75

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,321 206 15.6% −261.44

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 784 167 21.3% −56.04

11-13 runners 587 106 18.1% −61.57

5-7 runners 584 151 25.9% −23.97

14-16 runners 377 49 13% −116.63

17+ runners 230 21 9.1% −76.85

2-4 runners 130 47 36.2% −15.15

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

85% completed · 2,246 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 667 76.6% 28 26 98 3 1

Hurdle 1,579 88.5% 29 15 134 1 3

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Sir Ivan (GB) 47 7 23 13 Apr 23

Henryville (GB)then Peter Bowen 41 8 20 15 Jun 18

Opening Batsman (IRE)from Paul Nicholls 36 7 13 14 Apr 19

Air Horse One (GB) 35 5 15 23 Jan 21

Litterale Ci (FR)from M Delzangles 31 7 15 20 Aug 22

Unowhatimeanharry (GB)from Helen Nelmes 30 13 18 29 Apr 21

Golden Birthday (FR)from Liz Doyle 28 10 14 17 Apr 19

Get Back Get Back (IRE)from Clive Cox 27 3 12 13 Oct 23

Boothill (IRE) 26 7 10 9 Apr 26

Voix D'eau (FR)from Emmanuel Clayeux · then Lucinda Russell 26 5 12 19 Aug 18

If The Cap Fits (IRE)then David Pipe 25 9 13 9 Apr 22

Space Oddity (FR)then Turlough O'Connor 25 4 8 9 May 19

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 326 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 14 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 18 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Paul Nicholls (4); 42 had their first archived run for this yard.

17 have since run for another yard, most often for David Pipe (2); 43 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

2 from 12

Only 12 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

231922162012171522212220

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderNoel Fehily

27% of all rides
25.2% SR · A/E 1.17

RiderRWSR£1

Noel Fehily 714 180 25.2% +24.05

Sean Bowen 315 63 20% −49.63

Bryan Carver 242 46 19% −32.32

Jonathan Burke 192 47 24.5% −30.25

Lorcan Murtagh 166 17 10.2% −66.98

Niall P Madden 114 17 14.9% −30.62

Kieron Edgar 92 12 13% −52.55

Ryan Mahon 75 16 21.3% −1.47

Mr Michael Legg 67 18 26.9% +21.65

Nick Scholfield 66 15 22.7% −14.58

Miss A B O'Connor 56 11 19.6% −0.75

Barry Geraghty 52 14 26.9% +1.72

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2012→

541

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£8.68m

Prize money

2017

Best season · 79 wins

Unowhatimeanharry (GB) — Ladbrokes Champion Stayers Hurdle (grade 1) Punchestown · May 2019 · Grade 1

£177,000

Unowhatimeanharry (GB) — Ladbrokes Champion Stayers Hurdle (Grade 1) Punchestown · Apr 2017 · Grade 1

£147,500

If The Cap Fits (IRE) — Ryanair Stayers Hurdle (Registered As The Liverpool Hurdle) (Grade 1) Aintree · Apr 2019 · Grade 1

£101,034

Notable horses

Unowhatimeanharry (GB) Golden Birthday (FR) If The Cap Fits (IRE) Bags Groove (IRE) Henryville (GB) Sir Ivan (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Midnight Legend (GB) 12.9% · 18–139

Progeny have won 14.2% of 8,311 runs since 2008 (494 horses).

Oscar (IRE) 31.7% · 40–126

Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.

Milan (GB) 19.1% · 22–115

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,884 runs since 2008 (1,464 horses).

Presenting (GB) 19.8% · 21–106

Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

King's Theatre (IRE) 26.6% · 25–94

Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.

Stowaway (GB) 18.5% · 15–81

Progeny have won 11.3% of 7,190 runs since 2008 (561 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.1% from 124.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 8 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,692 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,692 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 18 October 2012 to 8 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

08 Nov 26 Sandown Just Billy (IRE)J: Bryan Carver Bet At Oddschecker Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 4th 13/2

08 Nov 26 Sandown Miss Goldfire (IRE)J: Ciaran O'Shea Oddschecker Mares' Handicap Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 2 · 20f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 7th 16/1

07 Nov 26 Uttoxeter Alabama Way (IRE)J: Bryan Carver Download The Matchbook App Mares' Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 14 ran 3rd 10/1

07 Nov 26 Uttoxeter Valadon (IRE)J: Bryan Carver Follow Matchbook On X Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 7 ran PU 17/2

05 Nov 26 Newbury Itsallfrenchtome (IRE)J: Bryan Carver British Horse Society Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 7th 3/1

02 Nov 26 Plumpton Soul Limbo (IRE)J: Bryan Carver Southern Access Platforms Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 16f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 7/2

02 Nov 26 Plumpton Walk On High (GB)J: Bryan Carver Southern Cranes Handicap Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 2 · 20.5f · Good · 12 ran 4th 16/1

01 Nov 26 Huntingdon Just A Heartbeat (GB)J: Ciaran O'Shea Copybet Bog Now For Racing Tomorrow Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 3/1

31 Oct 26 Ascot Trustintimes (GB)J: Bryan Carver Lavazza Handicap Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 2 · 15.5f · Good To Firm · 16 ran 1st 11/4F

30 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Iceman Harry (IRE)J: Mr Hugo Hunt Bob Derry 50 Years At Uttoxeter National Hunt Flat Race (conditional And Amateur Jockeys' Race) (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 11/2

30 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Constellation Walk (IRE)J: Bryan Carver Kalahari King 'chasing Excellence' Beginners' Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 3 · 16f · Good · 3 ran 3rd 11/2

28 Oct 26 Newton Abbot Par Avion (GB)J: Bryan Carver Thankyou & Farewell Dr. Tim Tilsley Open Maiden National Hunt Flat Race (Category 3 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 1st 11/8F

21 Oct 26 Fontwell On The Bayou (IRE)J: Bryan Carver BETTING.BET Free Racing Tips Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 19f · Soft · 11 ran 3rd 5/1

14 Oct 26 Nottingham Trustintimes (GB)J: Saffie Osborne EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 8.5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 4th 9/1

09 Oct 26 Chepstow Sorgean (FR)J: Bryan Carver Good Intents Marquee Hire Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 6th 11/2

04 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Miss Goldfire (IRE)J: Ciaran O'Shea F Ball Established 1886 Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 23.5f · Good · 5 ran 4th 100/30

26 Sep 26 Haydock Soul Limbo (IRE)J: John Egan William Hill Daily Winnings Boost Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 14f · Heavy · 9 ran 7th 9/1

15 Jul 26 Uttoxeter Hello Cello (IRE)J: Ciaran O'Shea Sun Racing Summer Jumps Championship Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 23.5f · Good · 10 ran 7th 11/2

10 Jul 26 York High Fibre (IRE)J: Mason Paetel William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Apprentice Handicap (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 12f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 3rd 11/1

28 Jun 26 Uttoxeter Hello Cello (IRE)J: Ciaran O'Shea Best Odds Guaranteed At bet365 Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Good · 7 ran 4th 9/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 14 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 3 runs (won 1) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 2 runs (won 1) · fastest on KTB Speed in 3 runs (won 1) · to 7 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Harry Fry's strike rate?: Harry Fry has won 541 of 2,692 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 20.1% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Harry Fry do best at?: Newton Abbot by strike rate: 31 wins from 106 runners (29.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Harry Fry?: Noel Fehily, with 714 runners since 2008 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 180 (25.2%).
Is Harry Fry in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 12 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Harry Fry's Fair A/E?: 1.11, from 2,690 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.