What is Henry Candy's strike rate?

Henry Candy has won 425 of 3,526 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 12.1% (as at 31 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Henry Candy do best at?

Newmarket by strike rate: 25 wins from 160 runners (15.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Henry Candy?

Dane O'Neill, with 987 runners since 2008 — 28% of the total. That pairing has won 143 (14.5%).

Is Henry Candy in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 8 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Henry Candy's Fair A/E?

1.03, from 3,515 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Henry Candy

3,526 runners in the lifetime window · 417 individual horses

As at 31 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Runners today 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

425–3,526

Wins / Runs

12.1%

Strike rate

n=3,526

1,129 (32%)

Placed

1.03

Fair A/E

n=3,515 · 0.88 incl. margin

−576.20

£1 level stake

n=3,526 at SP · −16.3%

£7.97m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

11.9%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 190 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.03). In Group and Graded company the record reads 16% (332 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 3,526 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 31 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 13.2% 30.9% when favourite Dane O'Neill: 14.5% from 987 Group/Graded: 16% Sends off the favourite in 12% of races

The read

It is weakest at Ascot (5% over 119 runners) — the widest gap in the record. In Group and Graded company the record reads well at 16% (n=332, Fair A/E 1.39), but a horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 4.6% (n=87, Fair A/E 0.49). Dane O'Neill rides 28% of the entries and edges the yard's average (14.5% vs 12.1%, A/E 1.10) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 53 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Diamond Jubilee Stakes at Ascot (Jun 2016, £340,260). The stable star of the record: Limato (IRE) — 14 wins from 31 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.1% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

13.2%+1.1

n=674 · A/E 1.15 · £1 −101.50

New recruits · first run for the yard

7.1%−5.0

n=28 · A/E 0.69 · £1 +2.00

Debutants · first career start

6%−6.1

n=365 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −70.50

First-time headgear · true-first definition

4.6%−7.5

n=87 · A/E 0.49 · £1 −56.25

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

7.1%−5.0

n=14 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −9.00

When favourite

30.9%

n=434 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −32.78

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

10.2%−1.9

n=443 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −137.57

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

16%+3.9

n=332 · A/E 1.39 · £1 +98.92

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Harry Bentley 23.1% vs 12.1% · n=130

With Ryan Moore 25% vs 12.1% · n=36

With Josephine Gordon 0% vs 12.1% · n=33

With debutants 6% vs 12.1% · n=365

At Ascot 5% vs 12.1% · n=119

With first-time headgear 4.6% vs 12.1% · n=87

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good to Firm 1,026 139 13.5% −48.43

Good 869 104 12% −188.80

Standard (AW) 712 72 10.1% −178.30

Good to Soft 421 54 12.8% −63.94

Soft 374 37 9.9% −69.35

Firm 66 12 18.2% −16.13

Heavy 58 7 12.1% −11.25

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton 358 34 9.5% −51.13

Windsor 313 42 13.4% −67.83

Salisbury 263 35 13.3% +9.98

Goodwood 201 25 12.4% −50.82

Newbury 201 17 8.5% −20.54

Leicester 186 23 12.4% −22.82

Newmarket 170 26 15.3% +45.57

Sandown 165 24 14.5% −19.07

Newmarket 160 25 15.6% +6.88

Lingfield (AW) 155 17 11% −67.42

Nottingham 145 17 11.7% −15.38

Bath 138 16 11.6% −39.48

Wolverhampton (AW) 128 19 14.8% −0.25

Ascot 119 6 5% −70.50

Chepstow 118 13 11% +15.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 1,336 161 12.1% −255.41

Class 4 835 101 12.1% −23.86

Class 6 439 48 10.9% −175.56

Class 1 333 53 15.9% +97.92

Class 3 303 38 12.5% −100.76

Class 2 275 24 8.7% −113.53

Class 7 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 523 152 29.1% 1.08 −44.32

2nd–3rd fav 944 154 16.3% 1.03 −109.58

4th–6th fav 1,135 83 7.3% 0.91 −329.20

7th+ in betting 924 36 3.9% 1.11 −93.10

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 1,779 225 12.6% −262.60

1m2f – 1m4f 666 76 11.4% −59.01

1m – 1m1f 610 56 9.2% −247.66

Under 6f 393 60 15.3% +17.07

1m5f – 2m 75 8 10.7% −21.00

2m1f – 2m4f 3 0 0% −3.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 219 32 14.6% +35.32

2009 195 19 9.7% −63.77

2010 192 26 13.5% −32.36

2011 222 24 10.8% −70.16

2012 244 33 13.5% +28.87

2013 214 30 14% −15.71

2014 269 38 14.1% −44.35

2015 238 33 13.9% −62.59

2016 228 23 10.1% −66.14

2017 202 33 16.3% −16.06

2018 210 26 12.4% −67.13

2019 219 24 11% −72.29

2020 155 12 7.7% −62.47

2021 170 18 10.6% −71.96

2022 142 12 8.5% −65.98

2023 108 16 14.8% −1.95

2024 103 3 2.9% −39.00

2025 78 9 11.5% −6.50

2026 118 14 11.9% +118.03

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 2,057 233 11.3% −631.65

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 1,174 155 13.2% −157.07

11-13 runners 1,103 108 9.8% −223.04

5-7 runners 536 92 17.2% −96.48

14-16 runners 479 45 9.4% −39.92

17+ runners 195 11 5.6% −64.30

2-4 runners 39 14 35.9% +4.61

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Dinkum Diamond (IRE)then Andrew Slattery 55 6 22 5 Nov 16

Effigy (GB) 45 3 18 17 Aug 12

Seamus Shindig (GB) 42 5 11 23 Oct 12

The Confessor (GB) 35 5 15 17 Nov 14

Run To Freedom (GB) 31 7 13 16 Apr 26

Greenside (GB) 31 7 13 25 Oct 21

Limato (IRE) 31 14 21 12 Sep 20

San Francisco Bay (IRE)from Charlie Fellowes 30 3 10 30 Jun 26

Signor Peltro (GB) 28 2 13 9 Oct 10

Four Feet (IRE) 27 2 6 28 Apr 24

Wiggy Smith (GB) 27 2 10 9 Aug 12

Madeleine Bond (GB) 26 4 9 17 Jul 20

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 417 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 14 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 5 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from David Pinder (2); 55 had their first archived run for this yard.

18 have since run for another yard, most often for Bernard Llewellyn (2); 42 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

2 from 8

Only 8 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

190181412131313101179

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderDane O'Neill

28% of all rides
14.5% SR · A/E 1.10

RiderRWSR£1

Dane O'Neill 987 143 14.5% −27.58

Fergus Sweeney 472 49 10.4% −177.34

Amy Scott 222 23 10.4% −48.37

David Probert 212 27 12.7% −42.06

Trevor Whelan 185 13 7% −54.50

Nicola Currie 143 12 8.4% +81.99

Harry Bentley 130 30 23.1% +16.29

Fran Berry 112 15 13.4% −6.92

Cathy Gannon 84 7 8.3% −23.83

Frankie McDonald 71 6 8.5% −34.84

Oisin Murphy 43 5 11.6% +3.50

Adam Kirby 40 6 15% −5.87

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

475

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£8.43m

Prize money

2014

Best season · 38 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Twilight Son (GB) — Diamond Jubilee Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series & Global Sprint Challenge) Ascot · Jun 2016 · Group 1

£340,260

Limato (IRE) — Darley July Cup (Group 1) (British Champions Series And Global Sprint Challenge) Newmarket · Jul 2016 · Group 1

£302,690

Markab (GB) — Betfred Sprint Cup (Group 1) Haydock · Sep 2010 · Group 1

£163,810

Notable horses

Limato (IRE) Chain Of Daisies (GB) Run To Freedom (GB) Greenside (GB) Dinkum Diamond (IRE) Colloquial (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kyllachy (GB) 19.1% · 31–162

Progeny have won 9.9% of 13,847 runs since 2008 (800 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.8% from 468.

Aussie Rules (USA) 11.8% · 13–110

Progeny have won 9.8% of 4,515 runs since 2008 (297 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5.6% from 177.

Sir Percy (GB) 13.3% · 14–105

Progeny have won 11.1% of 7,150 runs since 2008 (473 horses).

Champs Elysees (GB) 11.4% · 9–79

Progeny have won 11.5% of 7,122 runs since 2008 (521 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 391. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.5% from 387.

Muhaarar (GB) 14.5% · 10–69

Progeny have won 11.5% of 4,806 runs since 2008 (414 horses).

Piccolo (GB) 13.6% · 9–66

Progeny have won 7.8% of 6,904 runs since 2008 (393 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 11.6% from 164. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.5% from 258.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 31 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 4,027 · newest first

The latest 50 of 4,027 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 April 2005 to 31 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

31 Oct 26 Newmarket Space Party (IRE)J: Nicola Currie Prestige Vehicles Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 4 · 6f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 1st 100/30

26 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Leia Antilles (IRE)J: Nicola Currie Midnite Are Upping The Betting Game Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 6/1

26 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Boy's Slipper (GB)J: Callum Hutchinson Unibet More Extra Place Races EBF Novice Stakes (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 3 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 8th 40/1

22 Oct 26 Newmarket Space Party (IRE)J: Nicola Currie CopyBet Follow Us On X Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Soft · 12 ran 3rd 17/2

22 Oct 26 Newmarket Robert Anstruther (GB)J: Harry Davies CopyBet Follow Us On X Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Soft · 12 ran 1st 6/1

21 Oct 26 Newmarket Chain Letter (GB)J: Nicola Currie Copybet For Champions League Profit Boosts Novice Stakes (Colts And Geldings Only)Class 3 · 7f · Soft · 5 ran 5th 250/1

19 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Dance Of Angels (GB)J: Nicola Currie Book Now At wolverhampton-racecourse.co.uk Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 6 ran 6th 28/1

19 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Imagine That (GB)J: Nicola Currie Cavani Tailored Champion Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 5th 15/2

13 Oct 26 Leicester Ricardo Phillips (GB)J: Nicola Currie racingtv.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 3rd 6/1

13 Oct 26 Leicester Spacewoman (GB)J: Nicola Currie Join Racing TV Now Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 18 ran 13th 18/1

12 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Bel Air Flyer (GB)J: Nicola Currie Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 8 ran 6th 150/1

12 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Twilight Fox (GB)J: Nicola Currie Racing TV EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (Div II) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 1st 100/1

07 Oct 26 Nottingham Imagine That (GB)J: Harry Vigors Construction Day 14th October Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 5th 9/2F

07 Oct 26 Nottingham Double Red (GB)J: David Probert Watch Racing Tv Now Handicap Stakes (Div II) (gbbplus Race)Class 4 · 10f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 2nd 7/1

05 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Leia Antilles (IRE)J: Nicola Currie Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 2nd 40/1

05 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Space Party (IRE)J: Nicola Currie Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap Stakes (London Sprint Series Qualifier) (Div II)Class 4 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 9 ran 2nd 17/2

02 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Regal Charm (IRE)J: Yutaka Take Prix DahliaClass 1 · 10f · Heavy · 10 ran 9th 12/1

01 Oct 26 Salisbury Chain Letter (GB)J: Nicola Currie 'pyledriver' British Ebf Novice Stakes (Div II) (gbb Race)Class 3 · 7f · Soft · 12 ran 10th 80/1

01 Oct 26 Salisbury Boy's Slipper (GB)J: Nicola Currie Salisbury Annual Badgeholders 'Bluestocking' British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 11th 100/1

30 Sep 26 Kempton (AW) May Encounter (GB)J: Nicola Currie Get Best Odds Guaranteed At Unibet Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 6th 15/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 12 Oct 2026: top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 1) · to 13 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Henry Candy's strike rate?: Henry Candy has won 425 of 3,526 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 12.1% (as at 31 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Henry Candy do best at?: Newmarket by strike rate: 25 wins from 160 runners (15.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Henry Candy?: Dane O'Neill, with 987 runners since 2008 — 28% of the total. That pairing has won 143 (14.5%).
Is Henry Candy in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 8 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Henry Candy's Fair A/E?: 1.03, from 3,515 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.