What is J P Dempsey's strike rate?

J P Dempsey has won 134 of 1,532 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.7% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does J P Dempsey do best at?

Limerick by strike rate: 9 wins from 55 runners (16.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for J P Dempsey?

L P Dempsey, with 614 runners since 2008 — 40% of the total. That pairing has won 57 (9.3%).

Is J P Dempsey in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is J P Dempsey's Fair A/E?

1.13, from 1,532 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

J P Dempsey

1,532 runners in the lifetime window · 163 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 7 days ago 95% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

134–1,532

Wins / Runs

8.7%

Strike rate

n=1,532

392 (26%)

Placed

1.13

Fair A/E

n=1,532 · 0.90 incl. margin

−436.97

£1 level stake

n=1,532 at SP · −28.5%

£2.00m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

12%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 80 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.13). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 11% (73 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,532 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Mar–Apr 30.4% when favourite L P Dempsey: 9.3% from 614 Headgear returns: 11% Sends off the favourite in 7% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Limerick (16.4%, n=55) and Naas (14.6%, n=103) — all clear of the yard's 8.7% baseline. Debutants struggle at 1.6% (n=122, Fair A/E 0.41). In Group and Graded company the record are the standout value angle: 9.3% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.28 and +1.50 to a £1 stake over 108 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. L P Dempsey rides 40% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (9.3%, A/E 1.21) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 2.6% over 116 runners, 6.1pts below the baseline. 10 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Three.ie Handicap Chase at Punchestown (Apr 2015, £32,500). The stable star of the record: Jacksonslady (IRE) — 8 wins from 43 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Mar–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.7% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

7.8%−0.9

n=294 · A/E 1.15 · £1 −57.07

New recruits · first run for the yard

3.1%−5.6

n=32 · A/E 0.44 · £1 −24.00

Debutants · first career start

1.6%−7.1

n=122 · A/E 0.41 · £1 −104.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

8.2%−0.5

n=97 · A/E 1.20 · £1 −47.38

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

11%+2.3

n=73 · A/E 1.48 · £1 +22.25

When favourite

30.4%

n=102 · A/E 1.19 · £1 −7.88

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

8.3%−0.4

n=327 · A/E 1.30 · £1 −55.67

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

9.3%+0.6

n=108 · A/E 1.28 · £1 +1.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 18.9% vs 8.7% · n=132

With debutants 1.6% vs 8.7% · n=122

At Limerick 16.4% vs 8.7% · n=55

Off a break of 180+ days 2.6% vs 8.7% · n=116

With Donagh Meyler 15.7% vs 8.7% · n=51

At Naas 14.6% vs 8.7% · n=103

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 832 63 7.6% −293.89

Chase 558 61 10.9% −68.95

Flat 82 4 4.9% −51.25

NH Flat 60 6 10% −22.88

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 651 65 10% −110.02

Heavy 342 27 7.9% −135.85

Good 304 24 7.9% −120.10

Good to Soft 156 12 7.7% −33.25

Good to Firm 48 4 8.3% −28.75

Standard (AW) 22 2 9.1% +0.00

Firm 9 0 0% −9.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Punchestown 229 11 4.8% −140.37

Fairyhouse 185 18 9.7% +3.38

Navan 139 8 5.8% −77.43

Naas 103 15 14.6% +0.82

Thurles 73 6 8.2% −18.42

Downpatrick 72 10 13.9% +8.87

Galway 71 8 11.3% +5.75

Leopardstown 59 5 8.5% −12.88

Tramore 58 8 13.8% +11.50

Gowran Park 57 8 14% −5.50

Limerick 55 9 16.4% +41.50

Down Royal 53 4 7.5% −33.70

Roscommon 51 4 7.8% −20.00

Kilbeggan 48 2 4.2% −37.62

Clonmel 44 3 6.8% −28.75

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 109 10 9.2% +0.50

Class 2 3 0 0% −3.00

Class 4 2 1 50% +1.25

Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Class 5 1 0 0% −1.00

Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 125 34 27.2% 1.12 −18.38

2nd–3rd fav 267 50 18.7% 1.30 +4.41

4th–6th fav 392 29 7.4% 0.99 −123.00

7th+ in betting 748 21 2.8% 1.02 −300.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

2m1f – 2m4f 573 42 7.3% −173.06

1m5f – 2m 486 43 8.8% −255.37

2m5f – 3m 360 38 10.6% −3.89

Over 3m 61 7 11.5% +16.60

1m2f – 1m4f 40 2 5% −18.00

6f – 7f 8 0 0% −8.00

1m – 1m1f 4 2 50% +4.75

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 74 4 5.4% −50.75

2009 68 2 2.9% −58.75

2010 38 5 13.2% +7.00

2011 36 5 13.9% −9.95

2012 43 2 4.7% −33.33

2013 41 1 2.4% −26.00

2014 53 5 9.4% −6.75

2015 55 4 7.3% +1.50

2016 60 11 18.3% +6.13

2017 101 14 13.9% +15.35

2018 116 10 8.6% +23.50

2019 129 8 6.2% −64.81

2020 146 8 5.5% −84.42

2021 112 7 6.3% −71.80

2022 73 8 11% −19.80

2023 87 5 5.7% −33.12

2024 108 13 12% −9.47

2025 109 12 11% −21.25

2026 83 10 12% −0.25

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 821 87 10.6% +39.67

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

17+ runners 443 22 5% −208.25

14-16 runners 434 31 7.1% −124.05

11-13 runners 328 31 9.5% −77.22

8-10 runners 225 28 12.4% −30.71

5-7 runners 91 18 19.8% +3.23

2-4 runners 11 4 36.4% +0.03

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

82.9% completed · 1,390 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 558 74.7% 31 17 85 5 3

Hurdle 832 88.5% 22 9 63 1 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Clonbury Bridge (IRE) 56 6 19 25 Oct 26

Teacher's Pet (IRE) 46 6 14 3 May 19

Jacksonslady (IRE) 43 8 23 28 Apr 16

Persian Wind (IRE)from Robert Honner 42 5 15 25 Aug 20

Kilkeaskins First (IRE) 41 4 7 21 Apr 22

Mr Diablo (IRE) 40 4 13 10 Dec 21

Handsworth (IRE) 36 2 8 3 Feb 25

Fighting Fit (GB) 35 6 11 25 May 26

Prospectorous (IRE)from Joseph Crowley 34 4 13 27 Sep 15

Quornofamonday (IRE)from Ms Claire O'Connell 28 3 6 2 May 26

Neveradullmoment (IRE) 28 3 8 1 Aug 25

Routes Choice (IRE) 27 3 8 27 Dec 18

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 163 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 8 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 13 arrived from another yard in our archive; 47 had their first archived run for this yard.

11 have since run for another yard, most often for George Bewley (2); 49 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 2

Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

8914109349111068

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderL P Dempsey

40% of all rides
9.3% SR · A/E 1.21

RiderRWSR£1

L P Dempsey 614 57 9.3% −106.55

Keith Donoghue 105 14 13.3% −18.64

Niall P Madden 61 3 4.9% −12.00

Mark Walsh 60 7 11.7% −26.53

Donagh Meyler 51 8 15.7% +30.88

James O'Sullivan 36 1 2.8% −33.62

Barry Geraghty 34 5 14.7% −12.33

Charlie O'Dwyer 30 3 10% +5.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

137

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.03m

Prize money

2017

Best season · 14 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Jacksonslady (IRE) — Three.ie Handicap Chase (Grade C) Punchestown · Apr 2015 · Grade C

£32,500

The Long Mile (GB) — Holden Plant Rentals Shamrock Handicap Chase (Grade B) Gowran Park · Mar 2020 · Grade B

£29,500

Hillsdale (IRE) — BoyleSports, Proud Sponsors Since 2014 Novice Handicap Chase (Listed) Fairyhouse · Apr 2025 · Listed

£29,500

Notable horses

Jacksonslady (IRE) Dinnie's Vinnie (IRE) Clonbury Bridge (IRE) Teacher's Pet (IRE) Fighting Fit (GB) Persian Wind (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Presenting (GB) 9.3% · 15–162

Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Jeremy (USA) 12.2% · 10–82

Progeny have won 11.2% of 6,725 runs since 2011 (425 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.5% from 664. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 16.3% from 147. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.8% from 743.

Oscar (IRE) 8.9% · 7–79

Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.

Kayf Tara (GB) 15.6% · 10–64

Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,756 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.

Mountain High (IRE) 7.4% · 4–54

Progeny have won 9.5% of 2,245 runs since 2011 (184 horses).

Stowaway (GB) 0% · 0–44

Progeny have won 11.3% of 7,190 runs since 2008 (561 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.1% from 124.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,605 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,605 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 19 January 2005 to 30 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

30 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Alliteration (IRE)J: Mark Walsh Irish Stallion Farms EBF Feathard Lady Mares Novice Hurdle (Grade 3)Class 1 · 17f · Good To Yielding · 7 ran 7th 16/1

25 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Clonbury Bridge (IRE)J: Keith Donoghue Brasserie On The Corner Handicap Steeplechase18f · Soft To Heavy · 13 ran 11th 40/1

23 Oct 26 Sligo (IRE) Clonbury Court (IRE)J: Danny Gilligan End Of An Era Handicap Hurdle20.5f · Yielding To Soft · 12 ran 7th 40/1

23 Oct 26 Sligo (IRE) The Flying Rambler (IRE)J: Keith Donoghue Callan Tansey Handicap Hurdle (Div II)17.5f · Yielding · 13 ran 4th 4/1

12 Oct 26 Roscommon (IRE) Matt Connor (IRE)J: Colin Keane On-Course Vets Handicap12f · Soft · 16 ran 7th 15/2

10 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Missus Beeton (IRE)J: Keith Donoghue Powerscreen New England Supporting Louth GAA Handicap Hurdle16f · Good · 9 ran 9th 33/1

10 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Clonbury Bridge (IRE)J: Keith Donoghue Malone Windows Supporting Louth GAA Handicap Steeplechase24.5f · Good · 9 ran 5th 28/1

08 Oct 26 Tramore (IRE) Jacko Star (IRE)J: Keith Donoghue Tramore Racecourse On Instagram Handicap Hurdle20.5f · Yielding · 7 ran F 3/1

06 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Way With Words (IRE)J: Mr Derek O'Connor Race In Pink On October 25th Flat Race16.5f · Yielding To Soft · 8 ran 2nd 10/11F

28 Sep 26 Roscommon (IRE) Hill Of Berries (IRE)J: Jordan Gainford Athleague Maiden Hurdle15.5f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 13th 80/1

28 Sep 26 Roscommon (IRE) The Flying Rambler (IRE)J: Daniel King Athleague Maiden Hurdle15.5f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 4th 20/1

26 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Matt Connor (IRE)J: Jordan Gainford M.J. Carroll ARRO Handicap Hurdle20f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 9th 16/1

23 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Missus Beeton (IRE)J: Jordan Gainford Ballygarry Estate Hotel & Spa Mares Novice Steeplechase19.5f · Good · 6 ran 6th 12/1

23 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Clonbury Court (IRE)J: Jordan Gainford Brandon Hotel Handicap Hurdle18f · Good · 18 ran 14th 80/1

19 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Simple Things (IRE)J: Peter Smithers SIS, Supporting Irish Racing Handicap Hurdle16f · Good · 13 ran 3rd 3/1F

03 Sep 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Circus Act (IRE)J: Conor Stone-Walsh Midland Breeders Mares Handicap Hurdle19f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 9th 14/1

14 Aug 26 Tramore (IRE) Simple Things (IRE)J: Peter Smithers Majestic Hotel Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good · 11 ran 1st 6/4F

13 Aug 26 Tramore (IRE) Missus Beeton (IRE)J: Donagh Meyler Bar 1 Betting Rated Novice Steeplechase15.5f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 9/1

01 Aug 26 Galway (IRE) Matt Connor (IRE)J: Josh Williamson BOYLE Sports Galway Tribes Handicap Hurdle17f · Good To Yielding · 20 ran 5th 16/1

01 Aug 26 Galway (IRE) The Flying Rambler (IRE)J: Keith Donoghue BOYLE Sports Best Odds Guaranteed Maiden Hurdle17f · Good To Yielding · 19 ran 13th 150/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 6 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 2 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 25 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is J P Dempsey's strike rate?: J P Dempsey has won 134 of 1,532 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.7% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does J P Dempsey do best at?: Limerick by strike rate: 9 wins from 55 runners (16.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for J P Dempsey?: L P Dempsey, with 614 runners since 2008 — 40% of the total. That pairing has won 57 (9.3%).
Is J P Dempsey in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is J P Dempsey's Fair A/E?: 1.13, from 1,532 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.