What is Jeff Pearce's strike rate?

Jeff Pearce has won 99 of 933 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.6% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Jeff Pearce do best at?

Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 27 wins from 182 runners (14.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Jeff Pearce?

Simon Pearce, with 220 runners since 2008 — 24% of the total. That pairing has won 23 (10.5%).

What is Jeff Pearce's Fair A/E?

1.10, from 928 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Jeff Pearce

933 runners in the lifetime window · 78 individual horses

As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Jan 2011 92% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

99–933

Wins / Runs

10.6%

Strike rate

n=933

279 (30%)

Placed

1.10

Fair A/E

n=928 · 0.94 incl. margin

−18.01

£1 level stake

n=933 at SP · −1.9%

£519k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 230 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 11% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.10). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 14% (43 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 933 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 5 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Dec–Jan 27.3% when favourite Simon Pearce: 10.5% from 220 Headgear returns: 14% Claiming riders: 11.6% Sent off the favourite in 7% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Wolverhampton (AW) (14.8%, n=182), clear of the yard's 10.6% baseline. It is weakest at Brighton (3.3% over 30 runners) — the widest gap in the record. A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a positive signal at 14% (n=43, Fair A/E 1.12), but new recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 5.7% (n=35, Fair A/E 0.58). Runners with a claiming rider up are the standout value angle: 11.6% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.27 and +24.99 to a £1 stake over 267 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Simon Pearce rode 24% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (10.5%, A/E 1.11) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also read well off a 0-7-day break (18.7%, n=75) and off a 8-14-day break (14.5%, n=256). The record read poorly on Good going — 6.2% over 130 runners, 4.4pts below the baseline. 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the totesport.com London Mile Handicap at Kempton (AW) (Sep 2007, £46,245). The stable star of the record was Formidable Guest (GB) — 9 wins from 49 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Dec–Jan.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.6% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

7.5%−3.1

n=93 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −29.87

New recruits · first run for the yard

5.7%−4.9

n=35 · A/E 0.58 · £1 −28.87

Debutants · first career start

4.2%−6.4

n=24 · A/E 1.03 · £1 +10.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

4.3%−6.3

n=23 · A/E 0.61 · £1 −19.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

14%+3.4

n=43 · A/E 1.12 · £1 +1.75

When favourite

27.3%

n=66 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −15.01

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

11.6%+1.0

n=267 · A/E 1.27 · £1 +24.99

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

40%+29.4

n=10 · A/E 6.38 · £1 +60.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 19% vs 10.6% · n=100

Off a 0-7-day break 18.7% vs 10.6% · n=75

At Brighton 3.3% vs 10.6% · n=30

At Wolverhampton (AW) 14.8% vs 10.6% · n=182

Off a 8-14-day break 14.5% vs 10.6% · n=256

On Good going 6.2% vs 10.6% · n=130

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 860 91 10.6% −57.89

Hurdle 61 6 9.8% +0.88

NH Flat 10 2 20% +41.00

Chase 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 524 60 11.5% −27.88

Good to Firm 159 17 10.7% −7.51

Good 130 8 6.2% −31.50

Good to Soft 58 6 10.3% +27.00

Soft 46 3 6.5% −27.62

Firm 10 3 30% +17.50

Heavy 6 2 33.3% +32.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 182 27 14.8% +26.83

Kempton (AW) 143 15 10.5% −3.00

Lingfield (AW) 142 15 10.6% −16.00

Yarmouth 71 4 5.6% −35.76

Newmarket 35 4 11.4% −9.00

Southwell (AW) 32 2 6.3% −17.71

Brighton 30 1 3.3% −18.00

Chelmsford (AW) 25 1 4% −18.00

Leicester 24 4 16.7% +7.38

Windsor 21 1 4.8% −16.50

Folkestone 21 4 19% +28.50

Newmarket 20 0 0% −20.00

Doncaster 14 0 0% −14.00

Nottingham 13 2 15.4% +11.00

Warwick 12 2 16.7% +2.25

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 473 51 10.8% +12.11

Class 5 268 29 10.8% −34.50

Class 4 125 9 7.2% −63.50

Class 3 21 3 14.3% +11.38

Class 2 19 1 5.3% −4.00

Class 7 14 2 14.3% +3.00

Class 1 13 4 30.8% +57.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 86 20 23.3% 0.81 −27.51

2nd–3rd fav 198 36 18.2% 1.22 +2.50

4th–6th fav 294 21 7.1% 0.91 −62.00

7th+ in betting 355 22 6.2% 1.67 +69.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Dazzling Begum (GB)then D Donovan 48 7 18 1 Oct 10

Quince (IRE)from Andrew Balding 47 2 17 26 Oct 10

Formidable Guest (GB)then Jamie Poulton 41 8 21 1 Sep 10

Mymateeric (GB)then Lydia Pearce 34 1 7 1 Jan 11

Equinity (GB) 33 3 7 3 Jan 11

Hits Only Cash (GB)from P A Blockley · then Lydia Pearce 31 2 7 28 Dec 10

Teasing (GB) 30 3 10 30 May 09

Space Pirate (GB)from Michael Bell 29 1 5 15 Mar 10

Fantasy Ride (GB) 29 2 10 19 Feb 10

Sonny Parkin (GB)from G A Huffer 26 3 5 13 Aug 10

Zalkani (IRE)from Jim Boyle 26 4 6 10 May 10

Nicky Nutjob (GER)from Peter Chapple-Hyam · then John O'Shea 25 1 4 31 May 10

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 78 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 34 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Michael Bell (4) and Conor Dore (2); 26 had their first archived run for this yard.

23 have since run for another yard, most often for Lydia Pearce (15); 37 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

1712159410127115917

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderSimon Pearce

24% of all rides
10.5% SR · A/E 1.11

RiderRWSR£1

Simon Pearce 220 23 10.5% +12.62

Saleem Golam 92 9 9.8% +2.75

Jimmy Quinn 87 8 9.2% −35.88

Jerry O'Dwyer 82 9 11% −32.50

Robert Havlin 53 8 15.1% +10.75

Chris Catlin 31 5 16.1% −4.75

Micky Fenton 30 2 6.7% −4.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

168

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£945k

Prize money

2009

Best season · 38 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Magical Music (GB) — totesport.com London Mile Handicap Kempton (AW) · Sep 2007 · Class 2

£46,245

Dayia (IRE) — Prix Denisy () (3yo+) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · Nov 2010 · Listed

£23,009

Tamagin (USA) — Starlit Stakes (Listed) Goodwood · Sep 2009 · Listed

£22,708

Notable horses

Formidable Guest (GB) Zalkani (IRE) Magical Music (GB) Dazzling Begum (GB) Granary Girl (GB) Teasing (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Okawango (USA) 14.6% · 7–48

Progeny have won 9.4% of 936 runs since 2008 (80 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 13.4% from 134.

Fruits Of Love (USA) 4.3% · 2–47

Progeny have won 8.7% of 2,777 runs since 2008 (221 horses). Strongest on Good going: 11.8% from 944. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.4% from 182. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 4% from 150.

Dilshaan (GB) 19.5% · 8–41

Progeny have won 9.9% of 756 runs since 2008 (52 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.5% from 104. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 13.3% from 105. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.3% from 144.

Trans Island (GB) 2.7% · 1–37

Progeny have won 9% of 4,741 runs since 2008 (295 horses).

Reset (AUS) 2.9% · 1–34

Progeny have won 8.4% of 1,388 runs since 2008 (99 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 12% from 208.

Ishiguru (USA) 9.1% · 3–33

Progeny have won 10.4% of 3,199 runs since 2008 (156 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.5% from 155.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,721 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,721 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 January 2005 to 12 January 2011.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

12 Jan 11 Kempton (AW) Spoof Master (IRE)J: Robert Winston Great Sale Offers Daily At Williamhill.com HandicapClass 7 · 5f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 9/2

12 Jan 11 Lingfield (AW) Olimamu (IRE)J: Micky Fenton Play Free Bingo At Bluesq.com Maiden StakesClass 5 · 10f · Standard · 5 ran 3rd 14/1

07 Jan 11 Lingfield (AW) Ensnare (GB)J: Stevie Donohoe Exclusive Live Shows At Bluesq.com HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 16/1

06 Jan 11 Wolverhampton (AW) Kanace (GB)J: Stevie Donohoe Play Free Bingo At bluesq.com HandicapClass 7 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 2nd 9/1

06 Jan 11 Wolverhampton (AW) Djalalabad (FR)J: Micky Fenton Horizons Restaurant, The Place To Dine HandicapClass 7 · 8.5f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran 9th 18/1

06 Jan 11 Huntingdon Pearl Mountain (IRE)J: Gerard Tumelty williamhill.com Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 13.5f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 9th 33/1

03 Jan 11 Wolverhampton (AW) Equinity (GB)J: Micky Fenton Sponsor A Race By Calling 01902 390000 Selling StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 6 ran 5th 8/1

01 Jan 11 Fakenham Mymateeric (GB)J: Gerard Tumelty Happy New Year Selling HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Soft · 7 ran 6th 15/2

28 Dec 10 Lingfield (AW) Hits Only Cash (GB)J: Micky Fenton Bet On Live Cricket At totesport.com Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 10f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 33/1

28 Dec 10 Lingfield (AW) Bizarrely (IRE)J: Micky Fenton Bet On Live Cricket At totesport.com Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 10f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 8/1

22 Dec 10 Kempton (AW) Djalalabad (FR)J: Billy Cray Skysports.com Racing HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 25/1

22 Dec 10 Kempton (AW) Sabatini (IRE)J: Micky Fenton Digibet Claiming StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 7/2F

22 Dec 10 Kempton (AW) Holcombe Boy (GB)J: Stevie Donohoe Digibet.com Median Auction Maiden StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 8/1

22 Dec 10 Lingfield (AW) Spoof Master (IRE)J: Micky Fenton totepool A Better Way To Bet Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 11/1

22 Dec 10 Lingfield (AW) Motirani (GB)J: Micky Fenton Bet totepool To Support Your Sport HandicapClass 6 · 16f · Standard · 12 ran 2nd 11/4F

17 Dec 10 Wolverhampton (AW) Hits Only Cash (GB)J: Micky Fenton Bet On Live Cricket At totesport.com Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 9.5f · Standard To Slow · 6 ran 6th 12/1

16 Dec 10 Kempton (AW) Black Iceman (GB)J: Micky Fenton Asian Football Betting Explained NurseryClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 33/1

15 Dec 10 Kempton (AW) Holcombe Boy (GB)J: Stevie Donohoe European Breeders' Fund Kia Sportage Maiden StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 12/1

15 Dec 10 Newbury Pearl Mountain (IRE)J: Sam Twiston-Davies E.B.F. Kentford Racing Fillies' 'Junior' Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 5 · 12.5f · Good · 13 ran 4th 18/1

15 Dec 10 Newbury Dr Finley (IRE)J: Gerard Tumelty Blackmore Building Juvenile HurdleClass 4 · 16.5f · Good · 16 ran 10th 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Jeff Pearce's strike rate?: Jeff Pearce has won 99 of 933 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.6% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Jeff Pearce do best at?: Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 27 wins from 182 runners (14.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Jeff Pearce?: Simon Pearce, with 220 runners since 2008 — 24% of the total. That pairing has won 23 (10.5%).
What is Jeff Pearce's Fair A/E?: 1.10, from 928 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.