What is John Flint's strike rate?

John Flint has won 196 of 2,054 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.5% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does John Flint do best at?

Newton Abbot by strike rate: 16 wins from 96 runners (16.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for John Flint?

Rhys Flint, with 340 runners since 2008 — 17% of the total. That pairing has won 35 (10.3%).

What is John Flint's Fair A/E?

1.06, from 2,046 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

John Flint

2,054 runners in the lifetime window · 239 individual horses

As at 1 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Feb 2024

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

196–2,054

Wins / Runs

9.5%

Strike rate

n=2,054

530 (26%)

Placed

1.06

Fair A/E

n=2,046 · 0.91 incl. margin

−423.17

£1 level stake

n=2,054 at SP · −20.6%

£1.32m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 110 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.06). Horses in first-time headgear strike at 16% (57 runs, true-first definition).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,054 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 1 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jul–Sep 34.5% when favourite Rhys Flint: 10.3% from 340 Claiming riders: 11.2% Sends off the favourite in 7% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Leicester (21.2%, n=33) and Newton Abbot (16.7%, n=96) — all clear of the yard's 9.5% baseline. A horse in first-time headgear has been a positive signal at 15.8% (n=57, Fair A/E 2.27), but debutants struggle at 3.4% (n=59, Fair A/E 0.77). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 3.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.58 and −159.67 to a £1 stake over 372 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Rhys Flint rides 17% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (10.3%, A/E 0.96). The record reads poorly on Firm going — 0% over 45 runners, 9.5pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard off a break of 180+ days: Fair A/E 0.34 across 202 runners (2% strike, −168.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the totepool National Spirit Hurdle at Fontwell (Feb 2014, £28,475). The stable star of the record: Urban Space (GB) — 10 wins from 46 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jul–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.5% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

3.8%−5.7

n=372 · A/E 0.58 · £1 −159.67

New recruits · first run for the yard

8.4%−1.1

n=179 · A/E 1.21 · £1 −73.87

Debutants · first career start

3.4%−6.1

n=59 · A/E 0.77 · £1 −1.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

15.8%+6.3

n=57 · A/E 2.27 · £1 +36.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

10%+0.5

n=70 · A/E 1.29 · £1 −12.80

When favourite

34.5%

n=148 · A/E 1.22 · £1 +10.36

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

11.2%+1.7

n=904 · A/E 1.17 · £1 −212.76

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

5.3%−4.2

n=19 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Connor Brace 25.7% vs 9.5% · n=35

At Leicester 21.2% vs 9.5% · n=33

Off a break of 180+ days 2% vs 9.5% · n=202

On Firm going 0% vs 9.5% · n=45

On last-time-out winners 16% vs 9.5% · n=206

At Newton Abbot 16.7% vs 9.5% · n=96

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 968 83 8.6% −240.03

Hurdle 728 79 10.9% −130.76

Chase 257 30 11.7% −20.71

NH Flat 101 4 4% −31.67

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 610 69 11.3% −71.00

Soft 324 30 9.3% −19.43

Good to Firm 318 35 11% −1.41

Good to Soft 300 29 9.7% −67.46

Standard (AW) 296 14 4.7% −184.50

Heavy 161 19 11.8% −34.37

Firm 45 0 0% −45.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Chepstow 224 23 10.3% −79.80

Ffos Las 210 25 11.9% +56.74

Bath 154 21 13.6% +54.16

Wolverhampton (AW) 137 4 2.9% −115.50

Windsor 114 16 14% −15.56

Newton Abbot 96 16 16.7% +31.78

Worcester 70 5 7.1% −40.75

Stratford 66 7 10.6% −29.62

Newbury 65 2 3.1% −50.00

Uttoxeter 62 9 14.5% +6.63

Kempton (AW) 58 3 5.2% −23.00

Fontwell 52 6 11.5% +24.28

Lingfield (AW) 50 2 4% −34.00

Hereford 49 3 6.1% −34.00

Ludlow 47 5 10.6% −5.05

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 694 64 9.2% −120.52

Class 4 587 53 9% −229.60

Class 6 524 54 10.3% −59.63

Class 3 186 17 9.1% −25.75

Class 2 35 6 17.1% +12.33

Class 1 22 1 4.5% −5.00

Class 7 6 1 16.7% +5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 176 58 33% 1.22 +8.49

2nd–3rd fav 344 61 17.7% 1.14 +26.84

4th–6th fav 700 54 7.7% 0.95 −126.50

7th+ in betting 834 23 2.8% 0.85 −332.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

1m5f – 2m 516 52 10.1% −158.89

2m1f – 2m4f 407 40 9.8% −139.20

1m2f – 1m4f 351 33 9.4% −135.44

2m5f – 3m 248 26 10.5% +45.60

6f – 7f 247 20 8.1% −24.40

1m – 1m1f 208 15 7.2% −68.17

Over 3m 55 7 12.7% +28.00

Under 6f 22 3 13.6% +29.33

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 58 4 6.9% −37.00

2009 74 13 17.6% +36.10

2010 132 23 17.4% −7.13

2011 145 12 8.3% +13.63

2012 172 18 10.5% −25.54

2013 105 3 2.9% −78.00

2014 68 10 14.7% −4.25

2015 86 6 7% −31.25

2016 151 21 13.9% +23.25

2017 198 13 6.6% −114.96

2018 202 16 7.9% −64.62

2019 163 13 8% −27.71

2020 108 5 4.6% −60.40

2021 143 9 6.3% −33.00

2022 130 18 13.8% +47.91

2023 117 12 10.3% −58.20

2024 2 0 0% −2.00

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,588 156 9.8% −333.10

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 717 65 9.1% −208.68

11-13 runners 635 44 6.9% −283.73

5-7 runners 323 47 14.6% +1.36

14-16 runners 285 29 10.2% −0.82

17+ runners 63 5 7.9% +43.50

2-4 runners 31 6 19.4% +25.20

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Carp Kid (IRE)from Jamie Osborne · then John & Rhys Flint 56 7 20 5 Sep 23

Lac Sacre (FR)from Tony Carroll 56 6 23 1 Mar 21

Bernisdale (GB)from George Moore 52 9 14 31 Oct 16

With Pleasure (GB)from David O'Meara 50 1 19 21 Oct 22

Eddiemaurice (IRE)from Richard Guest 48 7 17 27 Dec 21

Urban Space (GB)from Dai Burchell 46 10 21 16 Jun 17

Air Of York (IRE)from David Evans · then Grace Harris 45 6 12 3 Sep 19

Ayla's Emperor (GB)from Mick Channon 39 7 13 21 Nov 18

The Wire Flyer (GB)from Amy Murphy · then Christian Williams 33 1 7 27 Feb 23

Winklemann (IRE)from Marco Botti 32 2 5 20 Sep 21

Field of Vision (IRE)from Joseph Tuite 32 1 10 7 Nov 20

Lilandra (FR)from Ross O'Sullivan · then John & Rhys Flint 31 4 9 16 Sep 23

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 239 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 9 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 51 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from David Evans (5) and Tony Carroll (4); 9 had their first archived run for this yard.

23 have since run for another yard, most often for John & Rhys Flint (8); 37 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

581271110141111967

Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderRhys Flint

17% of all rides
10.3% SR · A/E 0.96

RiderRWSR£1

Rhys Flint 340 35 10.3% +30.36

William Cox 216 18 8.3% −51.84

Thomas Flint 130 16 12.3% −39.79

Daniel Muscutt 100 12 12% +19.25

Tom O'Brien 83 13 15.7% −23.00

Robert Dunne 82 6 7.3% −36.50

Miss Imogen Mathias 59 3 5.1% −44.25

Charlie Price 44 2 4.5% −31.50

Connor Brace 35 9 25.7% +62.66

D P Fahy 33 1 3% −18.00

Ian Popham 31 2 6.5% −11.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

206

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.37m

Prize money

2010

Best season · 23 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Kayf Moss (GB) — totepool National Spirit Hurdle (Grade 2) Fontwell · Feb 2014 · Grade 2

£28,475

Eddiemaurice (IRE) — First Days Charity Novices' Handicap Chase Ascot · Mar 2019 · Class 2

£25,024

Eddiemaurice (IRE) — Canaccord Genuity Handicap Hurdle Ascot · Nov 2016 · Class 2

£18,768

Notable horses

Urban Space (GB) Bernisdale (GB) Carp Kid (IRE) Eddiemaurice (IRE) Ayla's Emperor (GB) Lac Sacre (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Sulamani (IRE) 17.3% · 13–75

Progeny have won 11.5% of 4,246 runs since 2008 (278 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.1% from 479. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.4% from 240.

Holy Roman Emperor (IRE) 13.1% · 8–61

Progeny have won 10.3% of 11,881 runs since 2010 (949 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.9% from 305.

Bering (GB) 10.7% · 6–56

Progeny have won 8.8% of 701 runs since 2008 (69 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 13.9% from 108. Weakest on Heavy going: 4.6% from 109. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.8% from 156.

Lope De Vega (IRE) 12.5% · 7–56

Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,208 runs since 2014 (1,107 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.4% from 960.

Bertolini (USA) 17.3% · 9–52

Progeny have won 8% of 7,851 runs since 2008 (518 horses).

Poet's Voice (GB) 2% · 1–50

Progeny have won 10% of 6,045 runs since 2015 (384 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.3% from 264. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13% from 494. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.3% from 142.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 1 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,140 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,140 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 15 January 2005 to 7 February 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

07 Feb 24 Kempton (AW) Glad Hope (GB)J: George Rooke Unibet Supports Safe Gambling Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran 12th 250/1

03 Jan 24 Kempton (AW) Vape (GB)J: William Cox Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Handicap (Div 1)Class 5 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 8 ran 7th 11/2

27 Dec 23 Chepstow Amateur (IRE)J: Connor Brace Coral Welsh Grand National Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (Run In Memory Of Kim Gingell) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 30.5f · Heavy · 19 ran PU 50/1

18 Nov 23 Wolverhampton (AW) Alyara (GB)J: Joe Leavy Use Safer Gambling Tools At BetMGM HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 8th 9/2

17 Nov 23 Wolverhampton (AW) Ourdefence (IRE)J: Joe Leavy Stay In Control At BetUK Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 80/1

06 Nov 23 Wolverhampton (AW) Vape (GB)J: William Cox Find More Big Deals At BetUK HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 28/1

06 Nov 23 Wolverhampton (AW) Jade Country (GB)J: William Cox Boost Your Acca With BetMGM Handicap (Div 2)Class 5 · 8.5f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 100/1

06 Nov 23 Wolverhampton (AW) Flame Of Kodiac (IRE)J: William Cox Boost Your Acca With BetMGM Handicap (Div 1)Class 5 · 8.5f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 100/1

23 Oct 23 Windsor Ourdefence (IRE)J: Callum Hutchinson Sri Lanka, The Teardrop Island Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 8f · Heavy · 9 ran 4th 50/1

23 Oct 23 Windsor Rival (GB)J: Callum Shepherd Sri Lanka Awaits You HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Heavy · 14 ran 12th 12/1

21 Oct 23 Wolverhampton (AW) Alyara (GB)J: Joe Leavy Win 2,000,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 11 ran 5th 15/2

11 Oct 23 Kempton (AW) Jade Country (GB)J: Charles Bishop Unibet Horserace Betting-Operator Of The Year HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 10th 40/1

09 Oct 23 Wolverhampton (AW) Alyara (GB)J: Joe Leavy At The Races App Form Study HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 8/1

09 Oct 23 Wolverhampton (AW) Flame Of Kodiac (IRE)J: Miss Amy Tucker Free Tips Daily On attheraces.com Amateur Jockeys' Handicap (Div 1)Class 5 · 9.5f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 80/1

07 Oct 23 Wolverhampton (AW) Iconic Knight (IRE)J: William Carson Each Way Extra At bet365 HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 28/1

25 Sep 23 Warwick Blaze A Trail (IRE)J: Sean Bowen Paul Fergusons Jumpers To Follow Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 20f · Good · 10 ran PU 22/1

18 Sep 23 Brighton Iconic Knight (IRE)J: William Cox At The Races App Expert Tips HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Soft · 7 ran 5th 3/1J

16 Sep 23 Bath Alyara (GB)J: Joe Leavy In Loving Memory Of Lorraine Webb Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 3rd 4/1

16 Sep 23 Bath Lilandra (FR)J: Joe Leavy In Loving Memory Of Lorraine Webb Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 1st 7/2

16 Sep 23 Bath Lusaka (IRE)J: Taylor Fisher Thorn Baker Allianz Xenia Bath Summer Stayers' Series Final HandicapClass 2 · 14f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 1st 10/3F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is John Flint's strike rate?: John Flint has won 196 of 2,054 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.5% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does John Flint do best at?: Newton Abbot by strike rate: 16 wins from 96 runners (16.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for John Flint?: Rhys Flint, with 340 runners since 2008 — 17% of the total. That pairing has won 35 (10.3%).
What is John Flint's Fair A/E?: 1.06, from 2,046 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.