What is John W Nicholson's strike rate?

John W Nicholson has won 47 of 580 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.1% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does John W Nicholson do best at?

Tramore by strike rate: 9 wins from 42 runners (21.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for John W Nicholson?

Mark Enright, with 114 runners since 2008 — 20% of the total. That pairing has won 14 (12.3%).

What is John W Nicholson's Fair A/E?

1.15, from 580 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

John W Nicholson

580 runners in the lifetime window · 63 individual horses

As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Dec 2019

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

47–580

Wins / Runs

8.1%

Strike rate

n=580

159 (27%)

Placed

1.15

Fair A/E

n=580 · 0.91 incl. margin

−101.22

£1 level stake

n=580 at SP · −17.5%

£560k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

4.4%

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 50 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.15).

Deterministic profile computed from 580 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 4 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Jun–Aug Mark Enright: 12.3% from 114 Claiming riders: 9.2%

The read

The record is strongest at Tramore (21.4%, n=42), clear of the yard's 8.1% baseline. Debutants struggle at 4% (n=50, Fair A/E 1.38). Mark Enright rode 20% of the entries and edges the yard's average (12.3% vs 8.1%, A/E 1.38) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also read well off a 0-7-day break (13.7%, n=51) and on Good to Firm going (13%, n=77). The record read poorly over 6f – 7f — 2.3% over 43 runners, 5.8pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Lombardstown Mares Novice Chase at Cork (Dec 2012, £24,375). The stable star of the record was Knockcroghery (IRE) — 6 wins from 48 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Jun–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.1% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

5.9%−2.2

n=85 · A/E 1.15 · £1 −1.50

New recruits · first run for the yard

15.4%+7.3

n=13 · A/E 4.04 · £1 +47.00

Debutants · first career start

4%−4.1

n=50 · A/E 1.38 · £1 −12.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

5.3%−2.8

n=19 · A/E 1.36 · £1 +2.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0%−8.1

n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00

When favourite

23.5%

n=17 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −6.75

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

9.2%+1.1

n=337 · A/E 1.35 · £1 −42.01

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

5.6%−2.5

n=18 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Tramore 21.4% vs 8.1% · n=42

Off a 0-7-day break 13.7% vs 8.1% · n=51

Over 6f – 7f 2.3% vs 8.1% · n=43

On Good to Firm going 13% vs 8.1% · n=77

On Good to Soft going 2.6% vs 8.1% · n=39

With Mark Enright 12.3% vs 8.1% · n=114

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 263 20 7.6% −68.04

Flat 156 15 9.6% −9.13

NH Flat 106 6 5.7% −24.38

Chase 55 6 10.9% +0.33

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 165 15 9.1% −19.59

Good 162 15 9.3% +1.83

Heavy 100 5 5% −59.34

Good to Firm 77 10 13% +15.00

Good to Soft 39 1 2.6% −5.00

Standard (AW) 29 0 0% −29.00

Firm 8 1 12.5% −5.12

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Tramore 42 9 21.4% +21.79

Limerick 40 4 10% −15.00

Cork 32 3 9.4% +13.33

Fairyhouse 32 1 3.1% −21.00

Downpatrick 31 1 3.2% −28.38

Killarney 29 3 10.3% +16.00

Dundalk (AW) 28 0 0% −28.00

Ballinrobe 28 2 7.1% +15.00

Thurles 26 2 7.7% −5.00

Clonmel 26 0 0% −26.00

Navan 25 2 8% +2.00

Listowel 25 1 4% −17.00

Roscommon 25 4 16% +17.50

Galway 21 0 0% −21.00

Tipperary 21 2 9.5% −8.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 18 1 5.6% −3.00

Class 5 3 0 0% −3.00

Class 6 3 1 33.3% −0.50

Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 22 5 22.7% 0.93 −5.75

2nd–3rd fav 111 21 18.9% 1.41 +10.53

4th–6th fav 171 12 7% 0.98 −26.00

7th+ in betting 276 9 3.3% 1.08 −80.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

89.3% completed · 318 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 55 83.6% 4 0 3 1 1

Hurdle 263 90.5% 1 0 18 1 5

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Knockcroghery (IRE) 48 6 14 29 Jul 13

Swift (IRE) 37 2 9 19 Jul 18

Well Tuned (IRE) 33 3 16 23 Jul 15

Mrs Batt (IRE) 33 2 8 6 Aug 12

Johnny Kilawee (IRE)then Martin Weston 32 1 6 3 Aug 10

Ask Susan (IRE)then W P Mullins 31 5 14 23 Sep 18

Ardilaun (IRE) 29 0 4 30 Jul 10

Nora Batt (IRE) 27 3 8 27 Jul 18

Great Oak (IRE)then Tim Vaughan 27 5 12 26 Dec 12

The Brock Inn (IRE) 24 3 8 13 Aug 16

Turasoir (IRE)from Patrick Tallis 23 2 8 5 Jul 18

Ma Garrett (IRE) 21 2 11 8 Oct 16

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 63 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 9 arrived from another yard in our archive; 51 had their first archived run for this yard.

18 have since run for another yard, most often for W P Mullins (2); 42 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

5058412131359215

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderMark Enright

20% of all rides
12.3% SR · A/E 1.38

RiderRWSR£1

Mark Enright 114 14 12.3% +42.08

John Cullen 33 2 6.1% −13.12

Rachael Blackmore 33 2 6.1% −14.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£563k

Prize money

2017

Best season · 8 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Great Oak (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Lombardstown Mares Novice Chase (grade 3) Cork · Dec 2012 · Grade 3

£24,375

Ask Susan (IRE) — Ey Chase Tramore · Aug 2018

£12,320

Ask Susan (IRE) — www.thetote.com Mares Hurdle Down Royal · Jun 2017

£10,780

Notable horses

Knockcroghery (IRE) Ask Susan (IRE) Great Oak (IRE) Well Tuned (IRE) Nora Batt (IRE) The Brock Inn (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Pelder (IRE) 12.2% · 6–49

Progeny have won 10.8% of 249 runs since 2008 (24 horses).

Beneficial (GB) 6.8% · 3–44

Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,045 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).

Darnay (GB) 2.4% · 1–42

Progeny have won 4.1% of 666 runs since 2008 (97 horses).

Daggers Drawn (USA) 2.8% · 1–36

Progeny have won 8.3% of 1,030 runs since 2008 (97 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 2.3% from 132.

Flemensfirth (USA) 9.1% · 3–33

Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,287 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).

Medecis (GB) 6.1% · 2–33

Progeny have won 7.1% of 1,595 runs since 2008 (112 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 4 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 608 · newest first

The latest 50 of 608 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 June 2006 to 28 December 2019.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

28 Dec 19 Leopardstown Pat Coyne (IRE)J: Mark Enright Irish Daily Star Christmas Handicap Hurdle (80-116)20.5f · Soft · 23 ran PU 40/1

27 Dec 19 Limerick Annual Flavour (IRE)J: Mr P J Cawley Roches Feeds Mares Maiden Hurdle20f · Heavy · 15 ran 9th 100/1

21 Nov 19 Thurles Annual Flavour (IRE)J: Mark Enright Thurles Racecourse Supporters Club Mares Maiden Hurdle23f · Soft · 18 ran 11th 100/1

03 Nov 19 Cork Annual Flavour (IRE)J: Mark Enright Paddy Power Onside App Mares Maiden Hurdle20f · Soft To Heavy · 12 ran 6th 50/1

07 Oct 19 Tipperary Annual Flavour (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Follow Tipperary Races On Facebook Mares Maiden Hurdle20f · Yielding · 17 ran 7th 66/1

28 Sep 19 Navan Annual Flavour (IRE)J: Mr P J Cawley Navan Racecourse (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Good · 18 ran 12th 20/1

06 Sep 19 Kilbeggan Annual Flavour (IRE)J: Paul Cawley September 6th Celebration Race Meeting (Pro/Am) Flat Race19.5f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran 4th 12/1

30 Aug 19 Down Royal Olympic Honour (FR)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Allied Bakeries 3-Y-O Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good · 13 ran 3rd 4/1

27 Aug 19 Ballinrobe Pat Coyne (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe David Heneghan Memorial Handicap Hurdle (80-102)18.5f · Soft · 14 ran 8th 9/1

16 Aug 19 Tramore Pat Coyne (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Assembly Techniques Handicap Hurdle (80-109)20.5f · Yielding To Soft · 13 ran 9th 11/2

12 Aug 19 Ballinrobe Brexit Briefcase (GER)J: Darragh O'Keeffe J.j. Burke 3-y-o Maiden Hurdle17f · Yielding · 8 ran PU 9/2

10 Aug 19 Kilbeggan Pat Coyne (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Follow Kilbeggan Races On Facebook (c & G) Maiden Hurdle20f · Yielding To Soft · 9 ran 1st 8/1

06 Aug 19 Roscommon Brexit Briefcase (GER)J: Jody McGarvey Railway Bar 3-Y-O Maiden Hurdle15.5f · Soft · 16 ran 6th 7/1

19 Jul 19 Killarney Brexit Briefcase (GER)J: Conor Hoban Tote Maiden14f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 5th 12/1

14 Jul 19 Sligo Hourie (IRE)J: Mark Enright Durkin Bros Electrical Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 10 ran 8th 10/1

09 Jul 19 Roscommon Seo Sceal Eile (IRE)J: Miss L A Hourigan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Ladies Pro/Am) Flat Race16.5f · Good · 11 ran 11th 66/1

08 Jul 19 Roscommon Lyfka (GB)J: Conor Hoban Property Partners Earley Auctioneers Fillies Handicap7f · Good · 8 ran 7th 25/1

27 Jun 19 Curragh Olympic Honour (FR)J: Andrew Slattery Curragh Supporting County Kildare Twinning Apprentice Derby12f · Good · 19 ran 6th 8/1

23 Jun 19 Tipperary (IRE) Brexit Briefcase (GER)J: Conor Hoban Tipperary Maiden12.5f · Yielding · 17 ran 3rd 50/1

18 Jun 19 Sligo Johnny Batt (IRE)J: Conor Hoban Tote Goes Twilight At Sligo Maiden10.5f · Good · 7 ran 5th 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is John W Nicholson's strike rate?: John W Nicholson has won 47 of 580 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.1% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does John W Nicholson do best at?: Tramore by strike rate: 9 wins from 42 runners (21.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for John W Nicholson?: Mark Enright, with 114 runners since 2008 — 20% of the total. That pairing has won 14 (12.3%).
What is John W Nicholson's Fair A/E?: 1.15, from 580 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.