What is Kevin Ryan's strike rate?

Kevin Ryan has won 1,576 of 12,839 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 12.3% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Kevin Ryan do best at?

Hamilton by strike rate: 117 wins from 561 runners (20.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Kevin Ryan?

Tom Eaves, with 2,091 runners since 2008 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 216 (10.3%).

Is Kevin Ryan in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 8 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Kevin Ryan's Fair A/E?

1.02, from 12,774 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Kevin Ryan

12,839 runners in the lifetime window · 1,351 individual horses

As at 7 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 5.4% of 560 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 7 Nov 2026.

Last runner yesterday 99% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

1,576–12,839

Wins / Runs

12.3%

Strike rate

n=12,839

4,130 (32%)

Placed

1.02

Fair A/E

n=12,774 · 0.88 incl. margin

−2,149.74

£1 level stake

n=12,838 at SP · −16.7%

£29.0m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

9.7%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 680 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 12% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.02).

Deterministic profile computed from 12,839 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 7 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Dec–Mar 33.9% when favourite Tom Eaves: 10.3% from 2,091 Claiming riders: 12.9% Sends off the favourite in 11% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Hamilton (20.9%, n=561), clear of the yard's 12.3% baseline. It is weakest at Newbury (3.2% over 95 runners) — the widest gap in the record. In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 8.5% (n=1,047, Fair A/E 0.95). Tom Eaves rides 16% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (10.3% vs 12.3%, A/E 1.01) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well over 2m1f – 2m4f (22.5%, n=40). 104 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix du Jockey Club at Chantilly (FR) (Jun 2014, £714,250). The stable star of the record: Le Toreador (GB) — 13 wins from 65 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Dec–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.3% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

11%−1.3

n=1,775 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −374.90

New recruits · first run for the yard

10.4%−1.9

n=163 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −67.30

Debutants · first career start

11.6%−0.7

n=1,116 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −229.28

First-time headgear · true-first definition

9.3%−3.0

n=583 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −2.38

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

9.6%−2.7

n=376 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −55.85

When favourite

33.9%

n=1,447 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −103.60

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

12.9%+0.6

n=1,668 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −127.94

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

8.5%−3.8

n=1,047 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −189.99

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Hamilton 20.9% vs 12.3% · n=561

With Brian Hughes 23.4% vs 12.3% · n=77

At Newbury 3.2% vs 12.3% · n=95

At Goodwood 4.8% vs 12.3% · n=168

On last-time-out winners 17.5% vs 12.3% · n=1,501

Over 2m1f – 2m4f 22.5% vs 12.3% · n=40

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 12,708 1551 12.2% −2,147.79

Hurdle 102 20 19.6% −3.86

NH Flat 28 5 17.9% +2.91

Chase 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 3,375 379 11.2% −551.13

Good to Firm 3,049 356 11.7% −627.79

Standard (AW) 2,973 436 14.7% −499.64

Good to Soft 1,752 214 12.2% −121.44

Soft 1,303 149 11.4% −246.92

Heavy 328 35 10.7% −102.77

Firm 59 7 11.9% −0.05

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

York 1,036 82 7.9% −281.43

Wolverhampton (AW) 836 115 13.8% −143.22

Doncaster 704 49 7% −124.76

Thirsk 701 85 12.1% −103.46

Southwell (AW) 694 112 16.1% −91.93

Ayr 675 63 9.3% −285.43

Newcastle (AW) 648 89 13.7% −69.03

Haydock 630 67 10.6% −50.35

Beverley 584 82 14% −39.97

Hamilton 561 117 20.9% +81.59

Redcar 502 56 11.2% −183.77

Pontefract 455 61 13.4% −33.69

Ripon 429 46 10.7% −129.68

Musselburgh 379 58 15.3% −75.78

Catterick 347 54 15.6% −14.93

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 3,964 519 13.1% −826.27

Class 4 2,734 378 13.8% −368.85

Class 2 1,939 149 7.7% −408.20

Class 6 1,673 261 15.6% −169.81

Class 3 1,407 168 11.9% −188.47

Class 1 1,045 89 8.5% −187.99

Class 7 8 2 25% −0.75

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 1,725 545 31.6% 1.05 −154.39

2nd–3rd fav 3,348 564 16.8% 1.03 −376.98

4th–6th fav 4,082 342 8.4% 1.01 −509.77

7th+ in betting 3,683 125 3.4% 0.90 −1,108.60

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 6,749 794 11.8% −1,075.55

Under 6f 2,905 429 14.8% −446.12

1m – 1m1f 1,900 213 11.2% −290.94

1m2f – 1m4f 1,015 100 9.9% −302.38

1m5f – 2m 228 31 13.6% −53.35

2m1f – 2m4f 40 9 22.5% +20.60

2m5f – 3m 2 0 0% −2.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 916 110 12% −264.31

2009 899 101 11.2% −315.80

2010 841 110 13.1% −157.59

2011 833 140 16.8% +57.59

2012 817 99 12.1% +15.11

2013 805 96 11.9% −116.91

2014 652 80 12.3% −167.77

2015 678 78 11.5% −56.94

2016 748 95 12.7% −111.15

2017 680 82 12.1% −213.56

2018 634 82 12.9% −80.36

2019 554 70 12.6% −94.01

2020 455 54 11.9% −19.91

2021 626 81 12.9% −114.70

2022 613 66 10.8% −194.14

2023 492 57 11.6% +52.59

2024 564 74 13.1% +4.55

2025 517 51 9.9% −212.50

2026 515 50 9.7% −159.93

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 7,668 864 11.3% −1,316.57

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 4,220 559 13.2% −404.48

11-13 runners 3,408 344 10.1% −660.22

5-7 runners 2,350 441 18.8% −314.05

14-16 runners 1,419 113 8% −320.97

17+ runners 1,232 51 4.1% −483.39

2-4 runners 210 68 32.4% +33.37

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Advanced (GB)from Roger Charlton 68 3 16 18 Apr 13

Le Toreador (GB) 62 13 22 23 Feb 13

Bergerac (IRE) 61 8 22 27 Aug 26

Bogart (GB) 59 4 17 30 Jun 18

Arganil (USA) 58 12 16 22 Sep 12

Brando (GB) 53 9 25 16 Oct 21

Everymanforhimself (IRE)from James Given 53 6 22 16 Nov 11

Trail Blaze (IRE) 51 7 20 16 Jun 16

Dark Moon Rising (IRE) 50 6 17 20 Oct 26

Shifting Gold (IRE) 50 9 21 3 Oct 12

Rathbone (GB)then Michael Herrington 49 6 18 18 Oct 22

Major Jumbo (GB) 48 7 27 16 Oct 21

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 1,351 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 31 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 11 arrived from another yard in our archive; 49 had their first archived run for this yard.

16 have since run for another yard; 44 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 8

Only 8 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

21171412121112131191214

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderTom Eaves

16% of all rides
10.3% SR · A/E 1.01

RiderRWSR£1

Tom Eaves 2,091 216 10.3% −551.66

Kevin Stott 1,680 254 15.1% −226.62

Shane Gray 1,156 128 11.1% −118.26

Phillip Makin 874 125 14.3% −136.96

Neil Callan 861 125 14.5% −73.12

Amy Ryan 649 78 12% −103.32

Jamie Spencer 621 92 14.8% −103.69

Paul Mulrennan 323 46 14.2% +61.10

Graham Lee 322 38 11.8% −92.22

Julie Burke 195 24 12.3% −31.79

Oisin McSweeney 176 24 13.6% −4.39

Franny Norton 149 19 12.8% +26.37

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

1,871

Archived wins

104

Pattern / graded wins

£32.9m

Prize money

2011

Best season · 140 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

The Grey Gatsby (IRE) — Prix du Jockey Club (3yo Colts & Fillies) (Turf) Chantilly (FR) · Jun 2014 · Group 1

£714,250

The Grey Gatsby (IRE) — Qipco Irish Champion Stakes (Group 1) Leopardstown · Sep 2014 · Group 1

£580,000

Triple Time (IRE) — Queen Anne Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) (Str) Ascot · Jun 2023 · Group 1

£425,325

Notable horses

Le Toreador (GB) Arganil (USA) Harry Up (GB) Mutamared (USA) Brando (GB) Shifting Gold (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Piccolo (GB) 16.8% · 54–322

Progeny have won 7.8% of 6,904 runs since 2008 (393 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 11.6% from 164. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.5% from 258.

Sleeping Indian (GB) 13.3% · 37–279

Progeny have won 8.9% of 3,715 runs since 2010 (238 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 0.9% from 108.

Kodiac (GB) 10.1% · 28–276

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,601 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.

Invincible Spirit (IRE) 13.6% · 32–235

Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,865 runs since 2008 (1,574 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 844.

Tagula (IRE) 12.4% · 29–234

Progeny have won 9.1% of 5,561 runs since 2008 (382 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.1% from 909.

Exceed and Excel (AUS) 14.5% · 32–221

Progeny have won 11.9% of 16,038 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 7 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 15,323 · newest first

The latest 50 of 15,323 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 January 2005 to 6 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

06 Nov 26 Newcastle (AW) Lizzie Bennet (GB)J: Kevin Stott AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)Class 3 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 3/1

06 Nov 26 Newcastle (AW) March Lilly (GB)J: Tom Eaves AWC Season 14 Has Begun Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 5 ran 4th 6/1

05 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) Knightbolt (IRE)J: Shane Gray AWC Season 14 Has Begun EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 3 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 28/1

31 Oct 26 Newmarket Venture Capital (GB)J: Shane Gray Prestige Vehicles Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 4 · 6f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 8th 7/1

30 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Against The Wind (GB)J: Kevin Stott Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap StakesClass 3 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 8th 100/30

30 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Hill O Rue (GB)J: Kevin Stott Midnite: Built For 2026 Not 2006 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 12/1

30 Oct 26 Newmarket Silesia (GB)J: Neil Callan Irish Stallion Farms Ebf 'bosra Sham' Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race)Class 1 · 6f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 4th 8/1

27 Oct 26 Catterick Belsito (GER)J: Tom Eaves Remembering Kevin Lumb AKA Burnley Kevin Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Soft · 8 ran 6th 7/1

24 Oct 26 Doncaster Territorial Knight (GB)J: Tom Eaves Rfj And Bee Jays Electrical Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 4 · 7f · Heavy · 13 ran 9th 14/1

24 Oct 26 Doncaster Angels Passing (IRE)J: Oisin Murphy William Hill Remembering Sue Wright Prospect Stakes (registered As The Doncaster Stakes) (Listed Race)Class 1 · 6f · Heavy · 7 ran 4th 15/2

23 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Ain't Nobody (IRE)J: Dylan Browne McMonagle BAR 1 Betting Mercury Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 5f · Standard · 13 ran 2nd 7/1

23 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Washington Heights (GB)J: Shane Gray BAR 1 Betting Mercury Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 5f · Standard · 13 ran 1st 5/2F

23 Oct 26 Doncaster Rikki Tiki Tavi (IRE)J: Kevin Stott William Hill Price Boosts Every Day Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 4 · 6f · Heavy · 12 ran 12th 40/1

23 Oct 26 Doncaster Inishbeg (IRE)J: Ray Dawson William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap StakesClass 2 · 7f · Heavy · 9 ran 3rd 9/2

22 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Silesia (GB)J: Kevin Stott AWC Season 14 Has Begun EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 8 ran 1st 11/10F

22 Oct 26 Newmarket Mo Of Cairo (GB)J: Toby Moore CopyBet Follow Us On X Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Soft · 12 ran 4th 5/1

20 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Lucius Aurelius (GB)J: Shane Gray Make The Move To Midnite Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 13 ran 3rd 13/2

20 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Dark Moon Rising (IRE)J: Tom Eaves Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 3 · 12.5f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 28/1

19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Miss Havisham (IRE)J: Sam James bettingsites.co.uk Free Bets Offers Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 2nd 25/1

19 Oct 26 Pontefract Vantheman (IRE)J: Tom Eaves William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap StakesClass 4 · 5f · Heavy · 9 ran 3rd 3/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 8 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 4 runs (won 1) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 5 runs (won 1) · fastest on KTB Speed in 9 runs (won 2, 1 did not run) · to 30 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Kevin Ryan's strike rate?: Kevin Ryan has won 1,576 of 12,839 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 12.3% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Kevin Ryan do best at?: Hamilton by strike rate: 117 wins from 561 runners (20.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Kevin Ryan?: Tom Eaves, with 2,091 runners since 2008 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 216 (10.3%).
Is Kevin Ryan in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 8 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Kevin Ryan's Fair A/E?: 1.02, from 12,774 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.