What is Maurice Barnes's strike rate?

Maurice Barnes has won 169 of 2,470 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.8% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Maurice Barnes do best at?

Cartmel by strike rate: 7 wins from 66 runners (10.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Maurice Barnes?

Michael McAlister, with 687 runners since 2008 — 28% of the total. That pairing has won 48 (7%).

What is Maurice Barnes's Fair A/E?

0.98, from 2,465 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Maurice Barnes

2,470 runners in the lifetime window · 188 individual horses

As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 236 days ago 92% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

169–2,470

Wins / Runs

6.8%

Strike rate

n=2,470

530 (22%)

Placed

0.98

Fair A/E

n=2,465 · 0.86 incl. margin

−603.69

£1 level stake

n=2,470 at SP · −24.4%

£1.49m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 130 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 7% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.98). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 10% (62 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,470 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 5 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires May–Jun 34.7% when favourite Michael McAlister: 7% from 687 Headgear returns: 9.7% Claiming riders: 7.4% Sends off the favourite in 3% of races

The read

Debutants struggle at 0% (n=67, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet new recruits from other stables on their first run: 0.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.30 and −82.00 to a £1 stake over 108 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Michael McAlister rides 28% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (7%, A/E 1.12) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Chase races (10.6%, n=785). The record reads poorly in NH Flat races — 0% over 113 runners, 6.8pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Oddsmaker (IRE) — 9 wins from 74 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires May–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.8% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

4.2%−2.6

n=569 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −136.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

0.9%−5.9

n=108 · A/E 0.30 · £1 −82.00

Debutants · first career start

0%−6.8

n=67 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −67.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

2.9%−3.9

n=102 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −47.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

9.7%+2.9

n=62 · A/E 1.94 · £1 +55.00

When favourite

34.7%

n=75 · A/E 1.25 · £1 +10.61

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7.4%+0.6

n=1,591 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −305.55

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−6.8

n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 16.5% vs 6.8% · n=170

In NH Flat races 0% vs 6.8% · n=113

With debutants 0% vs 6.8% · n=67

With new recruits 0.9% vs 6.8% · n=108

With C&D winners 11.6% vs 6.8% · n=250

In Chase races 10.6% vs 6.8% · n=785

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,380 81 5.9% −212.45

Chase 785 83 10.6% −129.99

Flat 192 5 2.6% −148.25

NH Flat 113 0 0% −113.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 1,142 88 7.7% −216.08

Good to Soft 526 35 6.7% −131.22

Soft 390 24 6.2% −143.30

Good to Firm 246 8 3.3% −179.42

Heavy 136 14 10.3% +96.33

Standard (AW) 29 0 0% −29.00

Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Hexham 421 42 10% +33.70

Perth 285 18 6.3% −92.13

Sedgefield 281 17 6% +51.00

Kelso 277 16 5.8% −69.40

Carlisle 198 16 8.1% −79.00

Wetherby 157 12 7.6% −66.90

Musselburgh 146 10 6.8% −41.25

Ayr 144 10 6.9% −62.59

Newcastle 141 10 7.1% −31.00

Catterick 82 2 2.4% −74.25

Market Rasen 76 2 2.6% −61.62

Cartmel 66 7 10.6% +3.00

Bangor-on-Dee 25 3 12% −3.75

Haydock 20 1 5% +6.00

Uttoxeter 17 1 5.9% −13.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 1,261 88 7% −283.48

Class 5 627 35 5.6% −174.42

Class 3 360 40 11.1% +19.46

Class 6 154 5 3.2% −110.25

Class 2 56 1 1.8% −43.00

Class 1 12 0 0% −12.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 92 27 29.3% 1.11 −1.89

2nd–3rd fav 390 62 15.9% 1.02 −53.30

4th–6th fav 875 56 6.4% 0.96 −98.50

7th+ in betting 1,113 24 2.2% 0.84 −450.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

2m1f – 2m4f 895 54 6% −268.03

1m5f – 2m 800 52 6.5% −127.17

2m5f – 3m 507 49 9.7% −68.12

Over 3m 119 10 8.4% −31.12

1m2f – 1m4f 78 4 5.1% −38.25

1m – 1m1f 41 0 0% −41.00

6f – 7f 28 0 0% −28.00

Under 6f 2 0 0% −2.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 170 6 3.5% +30.00

2009 167 12 7.2% +10.25

2010 177 13 7.3% −57.40

2011 193 12 6.2% −92.10

2012 129 11 8.5% +39.50

2013 157 10 6.4% −53.75

2014 157 13 8.3% −56.15

2015 123 14 11.4% −5.50

2016 137 10 7.3% −47.00

2017 138 14 10.1% +20.63

2018 170 9 5.3% −37.75

2019 146 16 11% −28.65

2020 103 4 3.9% −70.50

2021 142 8 5.6% +3.62

2022 110 7 6.4% −65.75

2023 105 6 5.7% −67.72

2024 75 1 1.3% −66.50

2025 63 3 4.8% −50.92

2026 8 0 0% −8.00

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,496 130 8.7% −372.57

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 874 63 7.2% −131.89

11-13 runners 641 26 4.1% −309.65

5-7 runners 602 62 10.3% −51.44

14-16 runners 241 8 3.3% −73.40

2-4 runners 70 10 14.3% +4.69

17+ runners 42 0 0% −42.00

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

80.6% completed · 2,165 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 785 79.4% 24 32 102 2 2

Hurdle 1,380 81.2% 35 35 183 1 5

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

My Idea (GB)from Anabel K Murphy 62 4 15 24 Nov 17

Apache Pilot (GB) 60 5 19 20 Jun 21

Indian Voyage (IRE)from David Carr 60 7 16 19 Apr 21

Quick Brew (GB)from Sue Gardner 57 3 16 5 Nov 20

Oddsmaker (IRE)from Willie Musson 47 5 14 4 Oct 13

Saint Arvans (FR)from Tom Lacey 46 8 18 5 Oct 25

Toledo Gold (IRE)from Eric Alston 45 6 9 21 Aug 17

Soubriquet (IRE)from T G Mills 44 5 12 20 Oct 11

Louloumills (GB) 42 1 9 9 Apr 21

Bafana Blue (GB)from Chris Grant 41 8 16 12 May 22

Desert Island Dusk (GB)from John Bridger 40 4 13 2 Sep 19

Dynamic Drive (IRE)from Linda Perratt 40 5 18 2 Aug 16

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 188 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 13 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 39 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Anthony Carson (2) and Emmet Mullins (2); 21 had their first archived run for this yard.

7 have since run for another yard; 53 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

287798546865

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderMichael McAlister

28% of all rides
7% SR · A/E 1.12

RiderRWSR£1

Michael McAlister 687 48 7% +60.09

Dale Irving 336 26 7.7% −14.65

Stephen Mulqueen 309 15 4.9% −184.75

Daragh Bourke 192 19 9.9% −40.90

Ross Chapman 135 13 9.6% +30.37

Conor Rabbitt 107 5 4.7% −82.72

Thomas Dowson 105 8 7.6% −43.50

Charlie Price 46 3 6.5% −33.92

Miss Angela Barnes 35 0 0% −35.00

Callum Bewley 31 1 3.2% −26.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

190

Archived wins

£1.66m

Prize money

2019

Best season · 16 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Oddsmaker (IRE) — Grolsch Cumberland Plate Handicap Carlisle · Jun 2007 · Class 4

£19,431

Bafana Blue (GB) — Cumberland Handicap Chase Carlisle · Nov 2019 · Class 3

£15,640

Torkinking (IRE) — Ramside Event Catering Handicap Hurdle Hexham · Dec 2006 · Class 3

£13,012

Notable horses

Oddsmaker (IRE) Saint Arvans (FR) Bafana Blue (GB) Torkinking (IRE) Indian Voyage (IRE) Carrigdhoun (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Barathea (IRE) 8% · 7–87

Progeny have won 8.5% of 4,143 runs since 2008 (315 horses).

Motivator (GB) 15.1% · 13–86

Progeny have won 12% of 5,594 runs since 2009 (515 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 16% from 1,090. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.8% from 1,281. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 15.2% from 593. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 8.7% from 574.

Indian Danehill (IRE) 6.6% · 5–76

Progeny have won 8.6% of 2,742 runs since 2008 (216 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 11.9% from 143.

Rob Roy (USA) 2.9% · 2–70

Progeny have won 4.5% of 269 runs since 2012 (27 horses).

Golan (IRE) 6.3% · 4–63

Progeny have won 8.7% of 3,151 runs since 2008 (288 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.4% from 258.

Denounce (GB) 5% · 3–60

Progeny have won 7.2% of 405 runs since 2010 (34 horses). Strongest on Good going: 11.1% from 108.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,811 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,811 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 10 January 2005 to 14 March 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

14 Mar 26 Newcastle Halfway House Lad (GB)J: Charlie Price Tanqueray At Say When Ponteland Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 6th 5/1

14 Mar 26 Newcastle Spartan Warrior (IRE)J: Peter Kavanagh Smirnoff At The Apartment Grand Wedding Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20.5f · Good To Soft · 15 ran PU 66/1

14 Mar 26 Newcastle Delayed Charm (GB)J: Nathan Moscrop Guinness Draught Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good To Soft · 9 ran PU 150/1

26 Feb 26 Wetherby Halfway House Lad (GB)J: Charlie Maggs Bet Now At racingtv.com Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Soft · 8 ran 6th 9/2

13 Feb 26 Kelso Halfway House Lad (GB)J: Charlie Maggs Damian Toshi McDougall Memorial Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 26f · Heavy · 7 ran 3rd 10/1

03 Feb 26 Carlisle Spartan Warrior (IRE)J: Peter Kavanagh Watch Racing TV Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 17f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 10th 33/1

03 Feb 26 Carlisle Delayed Charm (GB)J: Ross Chapman Racing TV Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 10th 150/1

25 Jan 26 Sedgefield Delayed Charm (GB)J: Ross Chapman Fairlight Studio Happy New Year Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 17f · Good To Soft · 7 ran F 40/1

28 Dec 25 Catterick Halfway House Lad (GB)J: Ross Chapman Sky Bet Club Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 25f · Good · 14 ran 5th 16/1

28 Dec 25 Catterick Conquer The Breeze (IRE)J: Ross Chapman Sky Bet Acca Freeze Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 15.5f · Good · 4 ran PU 14/1

22 Dec 25 Musselburgh Dreamings Free (IRE)J: Charlie Maggs Virgin Bet Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 12th 33/1

22 Dec 25 Musselburgh Spartan Warrior (IRE)J: Ross Chapman LiveScore Bet Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 15.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 9th 50/1

22 Dec 25 Musselburgh Masterminding (IRE)J: Ross Chapman LiveScore Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 6th 200/1

08 Dec 25 Musselburgh Halfway House Lad (GB)J: Ross Chapman 2blokesgoracing.com Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 23.5f · Soft · 11 ran 5th 12/1

14 Nov 25 Newcastle Dreamings Free (IRE)J: Charlie Price Newcastle Flooring Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 8th 150/1

13 Nov 25 Sedgefield Halfway House Lad (GB)J: Charlie Price Resolve Group UK Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 26.5f · Soft · 6 ran 3rd 10/3

13 Nov 25 Sedgefield Conquer The Breeze (IRE)J: Charlie Price Fairlight Studios Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Soft · 6 ran 4th 7/2

07 Nov 25 Hexham Tommie Gun (IRE)J: Charlie Price Unibet More Extra Places Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Good To Soft · 12 ran UR 22/1

07 Nov 25 Hexham Conquer The Breeze (IRE)J: Charlie Price Sidgwick Memorial Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 15.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 4th 9/2

01 Nov 25 Ayr Halfway House Lad (GB)J: Charlie Price ATS Roofing Alex Sneddon Stagdoo Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Soft · 12 ran 4th 10/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Maurice Barnes's strike rate?: Maurice Barnes has won 169 of 2,470 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.8% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Maurice Barnes do best at?: Cartmel by strike rate: 7 wins from 66 runners (10.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Maurice Barnes?: Michael McAlister, with 687 runners since 2008 — 28% of the total. That pairing has won 48 (7%).
What is Maurice Barnes's Fair A/E?: 0.98, from 2,465 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.