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Trainer profile

Michael P Hourigan

265 runners in the lifetime window · 43 individual horses
As at 9 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Aug 2024 92% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
13–265
Wins / Runs
4.9%
Strike rate
n=265
41 (16%)
Placed
0.93
Fair A/E
n=265 · 0.72 incl. margin
−164.99
£1 level stake
n=265 at SP · −62.3%
£157k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.93).

Deterministic profile computed from 265 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 9 Nov 2026
The read

Debutants struggle at 0% (n=30, Fair A/E 0.00). The yard also reads well off a 8-14-day break (10.9%, n=46) and in Chase races (10%, n=40). The record reads poorly on Soft going — 1.2% over 83 runners, 3.7pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Clarkson Financial & Property Handicap Chase at Leopardstown (Jan 2008, £29,295).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.1%−2.8
n=48 · A/E 0.56 · £1 −38.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−4.9
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−4.9
n=30 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −30.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.9
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.9
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
When favourite
26.7%
n=15 · A/E 1.19 · £1 +0.26
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.5%−0.4
n=111 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −78.12
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
50%+45.1
n=2 · A/E 3.91 · £1 +2.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 8-14-day break 10.9% vs 4.9% · n=46
In Chase races 10% vs 4.9% · n=40
Over 2m5f – 3m 10% vs 4.9% · n=30
On Good going 8.8% vs 4.9% · n=80
With debutants 0% vs 4.9% · n=30
On Soft going 1.2% vs 4.9% · n=83
This filter uses derived form angles computed for 79.6% of the archive so far (as at 9 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 193 8 4.1% −126.25
Chase 40 4 10% −18.74
Flat 22 1 4.5% −10.00
NH Flat 10 0 0% −10.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 83 1 1.2% −78.50
Good 80 7 8.8% −24.87
Heavy 56 2 3.6% −46.62
Good to Soft 20 1 5% −13.00
Good to Firm 18 1 5.6% −6.00
Standard (AW) 5 1 20% +7.00
Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Limerick 29 1 3.4% −23.00
Cork 24 1 4.2% −21.62
Killarney 23 1 4.3% −11.00
Ballinrobe 22 1 4.5% −11.00
Clonmel 17 0 0% −17.00
Listowel 17 0 0% −17.00
Thurles 16 1 6.3% −9.00
Tipperary 16 0 0% −16.00
Roscommon 12 0 0% −12.00
Kilbeggan 10 1 10% −6.75
Fairyhouse 10 0 0% −10.00
Navan 9 0 0% −9.00
Tramore 8 1 12.5% +9.00
Sligo 7 1 14.3% −1.50
Tralee 6 0 0% −6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 5 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 17 5 29.4% 1.34 +1.51
2nd–3rd fav 22 3 13.6% 1.07 −2.50
4th–6th fav 46 3 6.5% 1.11 −12.00
7th+ in betting 180 2 1.1% 0.42 −152.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
87.1% completed · 233 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 40 82.5% 2 0 3 2 0
Hurdle 193 88.1% 7 1 15 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Fairymount Boy (IRE) 43 3 15 20 Oct 20
Eastern Tornado (IRE) 24 1 6 26 Aug 23
Frosty Night (IRE)from Mark Johnston 20 1 1 23 May 10
The Holmeister (IRE)then Eoin Christopher McCarthy 18 2 4 9 Aug 24
Keep Swinging (IRE)from K J Condon 15 1 1 19 Jul 15
Long House Saint (IRE)from Denis Gerard Hogan 11 1 4 22 Aug 14
Whatsdacraic (IRE) 10 0 1 9 Nov 14
Maire Bhridin (IRE) 10 0 0 5 Jun 10
Willie Bob (IRE) 9 0 0 26 Aug 23
Highheelsnhandbags (GB) 9 0 0 6 Jul 10
Cut The Corner (IRE)then Dr Richard Newland 7 1 2 22 Aug 14
Seaside Shuffle (IRE)then C Byrnes 6 0 0 14 May 10
All 43 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 43 horses listed, 10 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Michael Hourigan (2); 33 had their first archived run for this yard.

11 have since run for another yard; 32 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
17000314575450
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
A P Heskin 21 2 9.5% −0.75
Tom Doyle 20 1 5% −8.00
G B Noonan 15 0 0% −15.00
Sean McDermott 12 0 0% −12.00
Jack Foley 11 1 9.1% +0.00
Stephen Gray 10 0 0% −10.00
Adam Short 9 1 11.1% −6.62
A E Lynch 9 0 0% −9.00
Michael Darcy 8 0 0% −8.00
B M Cash 7 1 14.3% +3.00
Michael O'Sullivan 7 1 14.3% −1.00
M P Fogarty 7 0 0% −7.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
17
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£216k
Prize money
2022
Best season · 3 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
The Budgee (GB) — Clarkson Financial & Property Handicap Chase (0-140) Leopardstown · Jan 2008 · Grade C
£29,295
The Budgee (GB) — McCarthy Insurance Group Handicap Chase (0-130) Cork · Jan 2008
£13,129
Lemagurut (GB) — Visit The Panoramic Restaurant Handicap Hurdle (81-123) Punchestown · Oct 2006
£12,093
Notable horses
The Budgee (GB) Fairymount Boy (IRE) The Holmeister (IRE) Fantastic Star (GB) Eastern Tornado (IRE) Frosty Night (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Beneficial (GB) 7% · 3–43
Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,046 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).
Canford Cliffs (IRE) 4.2% · 1–24
Progeny have won 9.8% of 5,091 runs since 2015 (314 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.8% from 263.
Night Shift (USA) 5% · 1–20
Progeny have won 8.7% of 2,176 runs since 2008 (140 horses).
Rule Of Law (USA) 11.1% · 2–18
Progeny have won 5.8% of 312 runs since 2016 (35 horses).
Vinnie Roe (IRE) 5.9% · 1–17
Progeny have won 11.3% of 3,061 runs since 2010 (236 horses). Weakest on Good to Firm going: 7.8% from 166.
Oasis Dream (GB) 6.7% · 1–15
Progeny have won 11.8% of 18,047 runs since 2008 (1,511 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.3% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 8.5% from 485. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.1% from 792.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 9 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 402 · newest first

The latest 50 of 402 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 9 August 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
09 Aug 24 Wexford The Holmeister (IRE)J: Michael O'Sullivan Pat Farrell Memorial Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 2)24f · Good · 14 ran PU 11/1
18 Jul 24 Killarney The Holmeister (IRE)J: Michael O'Sullivan Kerry Drain Services Handicap Hurdle (80-95)20.5f · Good · 15 ran 5th 33/1
26 Aug 23 Killarney No Logic (IRE)J: G B Noonan Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 2)20f · Yielding To Soft · 15 ran 13th 66/1
26 Aug 23 Killarney Willie Bob (IRE)J: James O'Sullivan Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 2)20f · Yielding To Soft · 15 ran 12th 22/1
26 Aug 23 Killarney Eastern Tornado (IRE)J: G B Noonan Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 1)20f · Yielding To Soft · 13 ran 12th 16/1
27 Jul 23 Limerick No Logic (IRE)J: Ambrose McCurtin Racing Again October 21st Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 1)22f · Yielding To Soft · 17 ran PU 50/1
20 Jul 23 Killarney Willie Bob (IRE)J: G B Noonan Ivo O'Sullivan Snr Memorial Handicap Hurdle (80-95)20f · Good · 16 ran 14th 40/1
20 Jul 23 Killarney Eastern Tornado (IRE)J: Michael O'Sullivan Ivo O'Sullivan Snr Memorial Handicap Hurdle (80-95)20f · Good · 16 ran 10th 28/1
15 Feb 23 Dundalk (AW) Eastern Tornado (IRE)J: Jack Enright Dundalk Winter Series Leading Trainer & Jockey Championship Handicap (47-70)16f · Standard · 13 ran 12th 11/1
20 Jan 23 Dundalk (AW) Eastern Tornado (IRE)J: Jack Enright DundalkStadium.com Handicap (47-65) (Div 2)12f · Standard · 13 ran 5th 11/2
04 Jan 23 Dundalk (AW) Eastern Tornado (IRE)J: Jack Enright View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (47-65) (Div 2)12f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 11/1
23 Nov 22 Dundalk (AW) Eastern Tornado (IRE)J: Mark Enright Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Handicap (47-65) (Div 2)10.5f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 16/1
11 Nov 22 Dundalk (AW) Eastern Tornado (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)12f · Standard · 12 ran 1st 11/1
16 Oct 22 Cork Eastern Tornado (IRE)J: G B Noonan Fermoy Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 2)19f · Yielding · 16 ran 3rd 25/1
16 Oct 22 Cork Willie Bob (IRE)J: G B Noonan Fermoy Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 1)19f · Yielding · 17 ran F 33/1
16 Oct 22 Cork The Holmeister (IRE)J: Michael O'Sullivan Fermoy Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 1)19f · Yielding · 17 ran 13th 12/1
02 Oct 22 Killarney Eastern Tornado (IRE)J: Richard Deegan Play The Tote Exacta On Every Race Handicap Hurdle (80-102)23f · Good · 12 ran 10th 40/1
02 Oct 22 Killarney The Holmeister (IRE)J: Michael O'Sullivan Play The Tote Exacta On Every Race Handicap Hurdle (80-102)23f · Good · 12 ran 6th 8/1
02 Oct 22 Killarney Willie Bob (IRE)J: G B Noonan Vincent Casey Life & Pensions Handicap Hurdle (80-102)17f · Good · 14 ran 10th 25/1
26 Sep 22 Roscommon The Holmeister (IRE)J: Jack Foley Class Grass Handicap Hurdle (80-116)24f · Good · 12 ran 11th 6/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Michael P Hourigan's strike rate?
Michael P Hourigan has won 13 of 265 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.9% (as at 9 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Michael P Hourigan's Fair A/E?
0.93, from 265 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 9 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).