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Trainer profile

Neil Mechie

187 runners in the lifetime window · 31 individual horses
As at 2 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 33 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
8–187
Wins / Runs
4.3%
Strike rate
n=187
23 (12%)
Placed
1.09
Fair A/E
n=185 · 0.92 incl. margin
−45.17
£1 level stake
n=187 at SP · −24.2%
£51,482
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 4% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.09). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 10% off breaks of two months or more (49 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 187 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 2 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 10.2% Claiming riders: 5.5%
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 10.2% (n=49, Fair A/E 3.72). The yard also reads well off a break of 180+ days (12.9%, n=31) and on Good to Soft going (8.3%, n=36). The market has also underrated the yard over 1m5f – 2m: Fair A/E 2.47 across 55 runners (7.3% strike, +45.00 to a £1 stake). The record reads poorly over 2m1f – 2m4f — 0% over 41 runners, 4.3pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
10.2%+5.9
n=49 · A/E 3.72 · £1 +58.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
18.2%+13.9
n=22 · A/E 4.12 · £1 +72.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−4.3
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.3
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.3
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
When favourite
33.3%
n=3 · A/E 1.15 · £1 −1.17
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
5.5%+1.2
n=91 · A/E 1.23 · £1 −9.17

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a break of 180+ days 12.9% vs 4.3% · n=31
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 0% vs 4.3% · n=41
On Standard (AW) going 0% vs 4.3% · n=35
Over 6f – 7f 0% vs 4.3% · n=32
On Good to Soft going 8.3% vs 4.3% · n=36
Over 1m5f – 2m 7.3% vs 4.3% · n=55
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 89 2 2.2% −43.00
Hurdle 59 2 3.4% −5.00
Chase 27 4 14.8% +14.83
NH Flat 12 0 0% −12.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 62 1 1.6% −21.00
Soft 40 1 2.5% −17.00
Good to Soft 36 3 8.3% +10.00
Standard (AW) 35 0 0% −35.00
Good to Firm 7 0 0% −7.00
Heavy 7 3 42.9% +24.83

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Newcastle (AW) 29 0 0% −29.00
Hexham 21 2 9.5% +21.83
Catterick 17 1 5.9% +6.00
Carlisle 14 1 7.1% +7.00
Market Rasen 12 0 0% −12.00
Sedgefield 11 0 0% −11.00
Doncaster 8 0 0% −8.00
Redcar 8 1 12.5% +15.00
Thirsk 8 0 0% −8.00
Wetherby 8 0 0% −8.00
Cartmel 7 0 0% −7.00
Hamilton 5 0 0% −5.00
Uttoxeter 4 1 25% +9.00
Pontefract 4 0 0% −4.00
Kelso 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 77 3 3.9% −3.00
Class 6 67 3 4.5% −21.17
Class 4 35 1 2.9% −22.00
Class 2 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 3 4 1 25% +5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 3 1 33.3% 1.15 −1.17
2nd–3rd fav 10 0 0% 0.00 −10.00
4th–6th fav 51 4 7.8% 1.29 +2.00
7th+ in betting 123 3 2.4% 1.56 −36.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Monticello (IRE)from Mark Johnston 28 0 2 26 May 25
Gold Ring (GB)from Tracy Waggott 23 2 2 16 Feb 26
Billy Wedge (GB)from Tracy Waggott 18 0 4 8 Jan 24
Charle Brune (FR)from T Shanahan · then T Shanahan 14 0 4 27 Sep 22
Charlemaine (IRE)from Ben Haslam 10 0 1 1 Aug 22
Ockey De Neulliac (FR)from Ferdy Murphy 10 3 4 14 Jun 16
Tommy O'dwyer (IRE)from Patrick Holmes 8 0 1 3 Aug 18
Soham's Roger (GB) 7 0 0 30 Sep 26
Aurora's Doublesix (IRE)from Mark Walford · then Brian Rothwell 6 0 0 11 Sep 25
Coeur De Coeurs (GB)from Jedd O'Keeffe 6 0 0 2 Jun 25
Medicine Wheel (GB) 6 0 0 9 Apr 23
Secrets De Famille (FR)from Peter McCreery 5 0 0 9 Jun 23
All 31 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 31 horses listed, 22 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Tracy Waggott (2); 9 had their first archived run for this yard.

4 have since run for another yard, most often for Mark Fahey (2); 27 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
07524010000000
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderAndrew Breslin
19% of all rides
5.6% SR · A/E 1.47
RiderRWSR£1
Andrew Breslin 36 2 5.6% +10.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→
8
Archived wins
£51,482
Prize money
2023
Best season · 2 wins
Ockey De Neulliac (FR) — Cga Foxhunter Trial Walrus Open Hunters' Chase Haydock · Feb 2014 · Class 3
£6,239
Gold Ring (GB) — Millbry Hill Handicap Catterick · Apr 2022 · Class 5
£4,536
Largy Gift (IRE) — Download Fitzdares For Free Race Streaming 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) Uttoxeter · Jun 2023 · Class 4
£4,357
Notable horses
Ockey De Neulliac (FR) Gold Ring (GB) Largy Gift (IRE) Coolnacritta (IRE) Kildonnan (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Teofilo (IRE) 0% · 0–28
Progeny have won 12.5% of 10,082 runs since 2011 (908 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7% from 625.
Golden Horn (GB) 8.7% · 2–23
Progeny have won 13.9% of 3,751 runs since 2019 (346 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 9.2% from 163. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 8.2% from 233.
Arabian Gleam (GB) 0% · 0–18
Progeny have won 7.6% of 524 runs since 2014 (39 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 12.7% from 237.
Myboycharlie (IRE) 0% · 0–14
Progeny have won 7.8% of 3,305 runs since 2013 (315 horses). Weakest on Good to Firm going: 4% from 225. Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 4.1% from 195.
Cyborg (FR) 30% · 3–10
Progeny have won 8.9% of 470 runs since 2008 (45 horses). Weakest on Good going: 4.9% from 102.
War Command (USA) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 9.6% of 2,276 runs since 2018 (200 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 4.6% from 285.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 2 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 187 · newest first

The latest 50 of 187 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 17 March 2013 to 30 September 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
30 Sep 26 Catterick Soham's Roger (GB)J: Rowan Scott Watch All Races Live On Racingtv Handicap StakesClass 6 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 7th 250/1
22 Sep 26 Beverley Soham's Roger (GB)J: Isobelle Chalmers Churchill Tyres Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Good · 12 ran 11th 100/1
02 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Soham's Roger (GB)J: Andrew Elliott Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 100/1
16 Feb 26 Carlisle Gold Ring (GB)J: Charlie Maggs Carlisle Conditional Jockeys' Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19.5f · Soft · 9 ran 7th 50/1
26 Dec 25 Wetherby Gold Ring (GB)J: Peter Kavanagh William Hill Daily Bet Boosts Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Soft · 11 ran 11th 50/1
27 Oct 25 Redcar Soham's Roger (GB)J: Andrew Elliott Market Cross Jewellers Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 10f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 11th 66/1
11 Sep 25 Newcastle (AW) Aurora's Doublesix (IRE)J: Andrew Elliott At The Races App Expert Tips Handicap (Div 2)Class 5 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 200/1
12 Aug 25 Hamilton Aurora's Doublesix (IRE)J: Andrew Elliott Follow Us On X At HamiltonParkRC HandicapClass 6 · 8.5f · Good · 5 ran 5th 200/1
12 Aug 25 Hamilton Soham's Roger (GB)J: Andrew Elliott David & William McHarg Memorial Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 8.5f · Good · 5 ran 4th 250/1
02 Aug 25 Thirsk Soham's Roger (GB)J: Andrew Elliott Theakston Nowt Peculier 0.0% EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 8f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 7th 200/1
15 Jul 25 Thirsk Aurora's Doublesix (IRE)J: Andrew Elliott Don't Miss Summer Family Days At thirskraces Classified Stakes (Div 1)Class 6 · 8f · Good · 12 ran 8th 400/1
02 Jul 25 Thirsk Soham's Roger (GB)J: Andrew Elliott Racing TV Club EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1)Class 5 · 8f · Good · 10 ran 10th 300/1
01 Jul 25 Musselburgh Aurora's Doublesix (IRE)J: Andrew Elliott Alan Steel For Inheritance Tax Advice HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good · 8 ran 8th 150/1
18 Jun 25 Ripon Aurora's Doublesix (IRE)J: Aiden Brookes We're Back For Ladies Day Tomorrow HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good · 10 ran 8th 150/1
02 Jun 25 Market Rasen Coeur De Coeurs (GB)J: William Maggs Equisign Tack And Feed Mares' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 18.5f · Good · 7 ran UR 200/1
26 May 25 Cartmel Monticello (IRE)J: Miss Imogen Mathias Fraser Cup Maiden Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 8th 100/1
19 May 25 Redcar Aurora's Doublesix (IRE)J: Joe Fanning Join Racing TV Now HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 8th 80/1
26 Feb 25 Wetherby Monticello (IRE)J: Edward Austin Bet Now At racingtv.com Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Soft · 8 ran PU 150/1
17 Feb 25 Carlisle Gold Ring (GB)J: Joshua Thompson Carlisle Conditional Jockeys' Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran PU 18/1
23 Jan 25 Wetherby Gold Ring (GB)J: William Maggs William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19.5f · Soft · 16 ran 10th 80/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Neil Mechie's strike rate?
Neil Mechie has won 8 of 187 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.3% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Neil Mechie's Fair A/E?
1.09, from 185 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 2 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).