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Trainer profile

Ray Craggs

408 runners in the lifetime window · 36 individual horses
As at 2 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 3 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
33–408
Wins / Runs
8.1%
Strike rate
n=408
113 (28%)
Placed
1.03
Fair A/E
n=408 · 0.88 incl. margin
+70.91
£1 level stake
n=408 at SP · +17.4%
£289k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
12.5%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, winning with 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.03).

Deterministic profile computed from 408 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 2 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Mar–Apr Tom Eaves: 12.3% from 57 Claiming riders: 9.1%
The read

The record is strongest at Southwell (AW) (13.8%, n=58), clear of the yard's 8.1% baseline. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 4.3% (n=92, Fair A/E 0.93). Tom Eaves rides 14% of the entries and edges the yard's average (12.3% vs 8.1%, A/E 1.42) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 0% over 50 runners, 8.1pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Ron O (GB) — 8 wins from 31 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Mar–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4.3%−3.8
n=92 · A/E 0.93 · £1 +7.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
4.8%−3.3
n=21 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −11.00
Debutants · first career start
5.3%−2.8
n=19 · A/E 4.60 · £1 +82.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−8.1
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
10.5%+2.4
n=19 · A/E 1.05 · £1 +2.50
When favourite
17.9%
n=28 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −13.17
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
9.1%+1.0
n=88 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −16.75

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 1m5f – 2m 0% vs 8.1% · n=50
With C&D winners 15.1% vs 8.1% · n=73
On Soft going 0% vs 8.1% · n=37
With horses switching code 0% vs 8.1% · n=34
With Connor Beasley 15% vs 8.1% · n=40
At Southwell (AW) 13.8% vs 8.1% · n=58
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 334 31 9.3% +120.91
Hurdle 56 2 3.6% −32.00
NH Flat 14 0 0% −14.00
Chase 4 0 0% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 185 23 12.4% +157.41
Good 84 3 3.6% −34.00
Good to Firm 61 5 8.2% −14.50
Soft 37 0 0% −37.00
Good to Soft 35 1 2.9% −6.00
Heavy 4 0 0% −4.00
Firm 2 1 50% +9.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Newcastle (AW) 104 11 10.6% +2.91
Southwell (AW) 58 8 13.8% +102.00
Sedgefield 41 1 2.4% −26.00
Catterick 38 1 2.6% −30.50
Redcar 33 3 9.1% +8.50
Thirsk 23 0 0% −23.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 22 4 18.2% +53.50
Newcastle 17 1 5.9% −8.00
Musselburgh 14 0 0% −14.00
Beverley 13 2 15.4% −4.50
Carlisle 6 0 0% −6.00
York 5 1 20% +24.00
Kelso 4 0 0% −4.00
Wetherby 4 0 0% −4.00
Ayr 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 199 17 8.5% +131.33
Class 5 93 8 8.6% −42.17
Class 4 88 7 8% −19.25
Class 3 17 0 0% −17.00
Class 2 7 1 14.3% +22.00
Class 7 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 31 6 19.4% 0.78 −12.42
2nd–3rd fav 69 6 8.7% 0.60 −33.17
4th–6th fav 108 11 10.2% 1.34 −7.50
7th+ in betting 200 10 5% 1.67 +124.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Khabib (IRE)from George Scott 55 5 21 6 Oct 26
Amourie (GB) 41 3 14 11 Aug 23
Amelia R (IRE)from K R Burke 33 5 9 18 Apr 23
Ron O (GB)from Les Eyre 31 8 14 7 May 26
Downtown Boy (IRE)from Tom Tate 31 2 6 26 Dec 16
Needwood Park (GB)from David Barron 28 0 5 8 Apr 16
Waterloo Corner (GB) 24 1 9 25 Mar 11
Glasgon (GB)from David Barron 19 2 5 12 Jan 19
Spycracker (GB) 15 0 5 20 Sep 22
Park House (GB) 12 1 3 26 Dec 17
Coramento (GB) 11 2 3 30 Oct 26
Coral Queen (GB)from Peter Niven 11 1 5 17 Jan 20
All 36 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 36 horses listed, 15 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from David Barron (3) and Robert Johnson (2); 21 had their first archived run for this yard.

2 have since run for another yard; 34 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 2
Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
35151036165210815
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderTom Eaves
14% of all rides
12.3% SR · A/E 1.42
RiderRWSR£1
Tom Eaves 57 7 12.3% −4.75
Connor Beasley 40 6 15% +13.16
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
40
Archived wins
£348k
Prize money
2022
Best season · 9 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Ron O (GB) — Seat Unique Handicap York · Jun 2024 · Class 2
£36,078
Shape Up (IRE) — Handicap Southwell (AW) · Feb 2005 · Class 4
£6,698
Khabib (IRE) — Duralock Handicap Southwell (AW) · Sep 2022 · Class 4
£5,508
Notable horses
Ron O (GB) Khabib (IRE) Amelia R (IRE) Amourie (GB) Shape Up (IRE) Waterloo Corner (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Mehmas (IRE) 9.1% · 5–55
Progeny have won 11.5% of 8,196 runs since 2020 (751 horses).
Haafhd (GB) 7.3% · 3–41
Progeny have won 10.9% of 4,751 runs since 2008 (305 horses).
Zoffany (IRE) 15.2% · 5–33
Progeny have won 9.9% of 10,773 runs since 2015 (799 horses).
Kheleyf (USA) 6.5% · 2–31
Progeny have won 8.7% of 10,548 runs since 2008 (676 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 12.2% from 131. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.6% from 880.
Toronado (IRE) 25.8% · 8–31
Progeny have won 10.5% of 3,884 runs since 2018 (417 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.6% from 198. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 15.4% from 143.
Needwood Blade (GB) 0% · 0–28
Progeny have won 7.9% of 2,746 runs since 2008 (187 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 2 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 555 · newest first

The latest 50 of 555 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 13 January 2005 to 30 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
30 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Coramento (GB)J: Tom Eaves Awc Season 14 Has Begun Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 6/1
24 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Uncle Sam (GB)J: Callum Rodriguez Create Your Bet Builders At Midnite Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 3rd 4/1
06 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Khabib (IRE)J: Cian Horgan bettingsites.co.uk Racing Offers Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 3/1
02 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Coramento (GB)J: Connor Beasley H. Malone Mechanical & Electrical Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 6 ran 1st 100/30
25 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Uncle Sam (GB)J: Cian Horgan Northumbrian Wateraid Sprint Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 2nd 5/1
25 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Khabib (IRE)J: Cian Horgan Selwood Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 8 ran 3rd 4/1
19 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Khabib (IRE)J: Cian Horgan Get Raceday Ready Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 14/1
05 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Coramento (GB)J: Jack Nicholls Free Tips On Attheraces.com Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 5 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 15/2
03 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Khabib (IRE)J: Oisin Orr Follow @attheraces On X Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 8 ran 7th 18/1
03 Sep 26 Newcastle (AW) Uncle Sam (GB)J: Oisin Orr Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 8 ran 3rd 5/2F
01 Aug 26 Thirsk Khabib (IRE)J: Cian Horgan John Joseph Robson Memorial Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good · 9 ran 9th 33/1
31 Jul 26 Newcastle (AW) Coramento (GB)J: Oisin Orr QuinnBet Extra Place Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 9 ran 1st 9/1
01 Jul 26 Thirsk Uncle Sam (GB)J: Tom Eaves Army Benevolent Fund HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 18 ran 6th 11/1
18 Jun 26 Southwell (AW) Uncle Sam (GB)J: Tom Eaves VIP Enhancement Packages At Southwell Racecourse Classified StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 4/1
16 Jun 26 Thirsk Khabib (IRE)J: Jack Nicholls Download The QuinnBet App HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Good · 10 ran 8th 28/1
07 May 26 Redcar Ron O (GB)J: Ryan Sexton Every Race Live On Racing TV HandicapClass 3 · 8f · Good · 9 ran 9th 28/1
14 Feb 25 Newcastle (AW) Coramento (GB)J: James Sullivan BetMGM: It's Showtime Classified StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 9/1
23 Jan 25 Newcastle (AW) Coramento (GB)J: Ryan Sexton Stay Golden With BetMGM Safer Gambling Classified StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 5th 12/1
02 Jan 25 Newcastle (AW) Coramento (GB)J: Ryan Sexton Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Classified Stakes (Div 2)Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 8 ran 3rd 20/1
28 Sep 24 Newmarket Ron O (GB)J: Rossa Ryan bet365 Cambridgeshire (Heritage Handicap)Class 2 · 9f · Soft · 31 ran 23rd 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ray Craggs's strike rate?
Ray Craggs has won 33 of 408 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.1% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Ray Craggs do best at?
Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 8 wins from 58 runners (13.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Ray Craggs?
Tom Eaves, with 57 runners since 2008 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (12.3%).
Is Ray Craggs in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Ray Craggs's Fair A/E?
1.03, from 408 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 2 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).