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Trainer profile

Ross Burdon

184 runners in the lifetime window · 29 individual horses
As at 2 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 2 days ago 99% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2025→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
20–184
Wins / Runs
10.9%
Strike rate
n=184
63 (34%)
Placed
0.95
Fair A/E
n=183 · 0.79 incl. margin
−70.71
£1 level stake
n=184 at SP · −38.4%
£232k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
9.8%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 11% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.95).

Deterministic profile computed from 184 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 2 Nov 2026
The read

It is weakest at Kempton (AW) (6.7% over 30 runners) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. The yard also reads well over 1m2f – 1m4f (25%, n=32). The record reads poorly off a 8-14-day break — 3.2% over 31 runners, 7.7pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 1m – 1m1f: Fair A/E 0.58 across 51 runners (5.9% strike, −38.87 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4.3%−6.6
n=23 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −17.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
4.2%−6.7
n=24 · A/E 0.50 · £1 −21.20
Debutants · first career start
0%−10.9
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−10.9
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−10.9
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
When favourite
40%
n=20 · A/E 1.32 · £1 +4.46
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
7.1%−3.8
n=28 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −18.67

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 1m2f – 1m4f 25% vs 10.9% · n=32
Off a 8-14-day break 3.2% vs 10.9% · n=31
Over 1m – 1m1f 5.9% vs 10.9% · n=51
With Jack Mitchell 15.9% vs 10.9% · n=44
At Kempton (AW) 6.7% vs 10.9% · n=30
Off a 15-30-day break 13.8% vs 10.9% · n=80
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 182 20 11% −68.71
Hurdle 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 111 12 10.8% −53.34
Good to Firm 44 5 11.4% −18.37
Good 15 1 6.7% −12.50
Good to Soft 8 1 12.5% +11.00
Soft 5 1 20% +3.50
Heavy 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Kempton (AW) 30 2 6.7% −22.00
Southwell (AW) 27 3 11.1% −8.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 20 2 10% −12.20
Lingfield (AW) 17 2 11.8% −9.97
Windsor 14 3 21.4% −2.87
Chelmsford City (AW) 13 3 23.1% +2.83
Ascot 9 0 0% −9.00
Yarmouth 8 1 12.5% +0.50
Nottingham 7 1 14.3% +1.50
Newmarket 7 0 0% −7.00
Leicester 5 0 0% −5.00
Newcastle (AW) 4 0 0% −4.00
Doncaster 4 0 0% −4.00
Lingfield 3 0 0% −3.00
Newbury 3 1 33.3% +3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 67 8 11.9% −23.12
Class 5 53 6 11.3% −25.62
Class 4 47 6 12.8% −4.97
Class 2 9 0 0% −9.00
Class 3 8 0 0% −8.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 24 10 41.7% 1.44 +9.79
2nd–3rd fav 43 4 9.3% 0.54 −22.50
4th–6th fav 70 6 8.6% 1.14 −11.00
7th+ in betting 47 0 0% 0.00 −47.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Mesaafi (GB)from Simon Pearce 24 4 9 14 Oct 26
Ernie's Valentine (GB)from Jim Boyle 23 2 9 23 Oct 26
Waistcoat (GB)from Dylan Cunha 14 3 6 14 Oct 26
Dust Cover (GB)from Ralph Beckett 14 3 5 10 Oct 26
Just King High (IRE)from Thomas Faulkner 10 0 1 29 Oct 26
Beauty Generation (IRE)from Mrs John Harrington 9 1 4 2 Oct 26
Seventy (GB)from Richard Hannon 9 3 5 26 Jun 26
High Point (IRE)from Kevin Philippart De Foy · then Iain Jardine 8 2 3 11 Jun 26
Captive Beauty (IRE)from K J Condon 7 0 3 31 Oct 26
Hellcat (GB)from Seb Spencer 7 0 1 6 Oct 26
Northcliff (IRE)from Thomas Faulkner · then Jane Chapple-Hyam 7 0 5 5 Sep 26
Gundogan (GB)from Simon Pearce · then Tony Carroll 7 0 2 8 Sep 25
All 29 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 29 horses listed, 24 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Kevin Philippart De Foy (3) and Simon Pearce (3); 5 had their first archived run for this yard.

7 have since run for another yard; 22 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 9
Only 9 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
183300628114147400
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderJack Mitchell
24% of all rides
15.9% SR · A/E 1.24
RiderRWSR£1
Jack Mitchell 44 7 15.9% −6.37
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2025→
20
Archived wins
£232k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 12 wins
Mesaafi (GB) — Enter ITV7 For Free Apprentice Handicap Chelmsford City (AW) · Jun 2025 · Class 4
£15,702
Waistcoat (GB) — Betfred Best Odds All Races Handicap Chelmsford City (AW) · Jan 2026 · Class 5
£7,851
Mesaafi (GB) — Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap Stakes (London Sprint Series Qualifier) (Div II) Kempton (AW) · Oct 2026 · Class 4
£6,281
Notable horses
Mesaafi (GB) Waistcoat (GB) Dust Cover (GB) Seventy (GB) Ernie's Valentine (GB) High Point (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Exceed and Excel (AUS) 16.7% · 4–24
Progeny have won 11.9% of 16,031 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.
Havana Gold (IRE) 8.7% · 2–23
Progeny have won 9.5% of 5,060 runs since 2017 (402 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.3% from 117. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13% from 523. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.2% from 177.
Showcasing (GB) 14.3% · 3–21
Progeny have won 10.2% of 11,633 runs since 2014 (998 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 109.
Kodiac (GB) 0% · 0–14
Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,582 runs since 2010 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.
Sea The Stars (IRE) 21.4% · 3–14
Progeny have won 15.7% of 9,969 runs since 2013 (1,115 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 18.9% from 1,503. Weakest on Heavy going: 9.2% from 456. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 11.5% from 139.
Ulysses (IRE) 8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 10.5% of 2,993 runs since 2021 (295 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 2 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 184 · newest first

The latest 50 of 184 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 17 April 2025 to 31 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
31 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Captive Beauty (IRE)J: Jason Hart ARC All Weather Bonus Is Back Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 5th 14/1
30 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Director's Cut (IRE)J: Jason Hart Awc Season 14 Has Begun Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 7/1
29 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Wild Rock (IRE)J: Paddy Bradley AWC Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 8f · Standard · 8 ran 7th 66/1
29 Oct 26 Bath Just King High (IRE)J: Sean Dylan Bowen Bristol Motor Club Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5.5f · Soft · 16 ran 14th 8/1
28 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Loaded Dice (GB)J: Josephine Gordon Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 9 ran 9th 150/1
28 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Acechaser (GB)J: Alexandra Egan Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 9 ran 8th 66/1
28 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Insuspense (GB)J: Alexandra Egan Bet £20 Get £20 With Unibet Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 2nd 7/4F
23 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Ernie's Valentine (GB)J: Alexandra Egan Aw Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd January 2027 Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 7/2F
20 Oct 26 Yarmouth Just King High (IRE)J: Saffie Osborne Brandford Restaurants & Bar Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 6f · Soft · 9 ran 2nd 11/1
19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Mr Baloo (IRE)J: Paddy Bradley bettingsites.co.uk Find Your New Bookmaker Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 20/1
14 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Mesaafi (GB)J: Jack Mitchell Unibet London Sprint Series Final Handicap Stakes (Series Final - Qualified Horses Only)Class 2 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 2nd 10/1
14 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Waistcoat (GB)J: Jack Mitchell Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 12 ran 7th 20/1
13 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Gifts Differing (GB)J: Josephine Gordon Race & Rest - Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 25/1
10 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Dust Cover (GB)J: Jack Mitchell Beerly A Winner Handicap StakesClass 5 · 14f · Standard · 7 ran 5th 3/1
09 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Captive Beauty (IRE)J: Kaiya Fraser Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 2nd 4/1
08 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Ernie's Valentine (GB)J: Alexandra Egan Download The Raceday Ready App Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 100/30
06 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Hellcat (GB)J: William Carver bettingsites.co.uk Racing Offers Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 14/1
06 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Insuspense (GB)J: William Carver bettingsites.co.uk Bet Smarter Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 11/4
05 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Mesaafi (GB)J: Jack Mitchell Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap Stakes (London Sprint Series Qualifier) (Div II)Class 4 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 9 ran 1st 5/2F
05 Oct 26 Yarmouth Nightspell (GB)J: Alexandra Egan Origin Amenity Solutions Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 7th 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 6 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 3 runs (won 0, 1 did not run) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 4 runs (won 0, 1 did not run) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 28 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Ross Burdon's strike rate?
Ross Burdon has won 20 of 184 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.9% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Ross Burdon do best at?
Kempton (AW) by strike rate: 2 wins from 30 runners (6.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Ross Burdon in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 9 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Ross Burdon's Fair A/E?
0.95, from 183 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 2 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).