What is Seamus Mullins's strike rate?

Seamus Mullins has won 380 of 4,439 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.6% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Seamus Mullins do best at?

Southwell by strike rate: 17 wins from 101 runners (16.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Seamus Mullins?

Daniel Sansom, with 633 runners since 2008 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 54 (8.5%).

What is Seamus Mullins's Fair A/E?

0.98, from 4,426 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Seamus Mullins

4,439 runners in the lifetime window · 439 individual horses

As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 123 days ago 90% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

380–4,439

Wins / Runs

8.6%

Strike rate

n=4,439

1,109 (25%)

Placed

0.98

Fair A/E

n=4,426 · 0.86 incl. margin

−1,082.41

£1 level stake

n=4,439 at SP · −24.4%

£3.55m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

11%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 230 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 9% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.98).

Deterministic profile computed from 4,439 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 12 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Apr–Jun 34.1% when favourite Daniel Sansom: 8.5% from 633 Sends off the favourite in 5% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Southwell (16.8%, n=101), clear of the yard's 8.6% baseline. It is weakest at Cheltenham (0% over 52 runners) — the widest gap in the record. In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 1.9% (n=106, Fair A/E 0.47). Debutants are the standout value angle: 7.8% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.41 and +126.50 to a £1 stake over 270 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The market has consistently overbet a horse in first-time headgear: 5.4% strike, Fair A/E 0.72 and −51.00 to a £1 stake over 130 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Daniel Sansom rides 14% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (8.5%, A/E 0.94). The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (19.4%, n=93). The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 1.7% over 121 runners, 6.9pts below the baseline. 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the United House Gold Cup Handicap Chase at Ascot (Oct 2006, £61,970). The stable star of the record: Tommie Beau (IRE) — 15 wins from 54 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Apr–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.6% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

6.1%−2.5

n=852 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −281.15

New recruits · first run for the yard

3.9%−4.7

n=128 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −74.25

Debutants · first career start

7.8%−0.8

n=270 · A/E 1.41 · £1 +126.50

First-time headgear · true-first definition

5.4%−3.2

n=130 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −51.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

7%−1.6

n=142 · A/E 0.77 · £1 −64.09

When favourite

34.1%

n=205 · A/E 1.20 · £1 +7.78

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

8.3%−0.3

n=2,189 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −512.81

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

1.9%−6.7

n=106 · A/E 0.47 · £1 −78.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 0-7-day break 19.4% vs 8.6% · n=93

On last-time-out winners 15.4% vs 8.6% · n=371

At Southwell 16.8% vs 8.6% · n=101

With Wayne Kavanagh 2.7% vs 8.6% · n=330

At Cheltenham 0% vs 8.6% · n=52

In Class 1 1.7% vs 8.6% · n=121

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 2,228 175 7.9% −676.05

Chase 1,330 145 10.9% −346.99

Flat 463 23 5% −216.37

NH Flat 418 37 8.9% +157.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 1,579 147 9.3% −395.89

Soft 876 65 7.4% −272.76

Good to Soft 842 54 6.4% −338.83

Good to Firm 472 46 9.7% −101.39

Heavy 401 46 11.5% +19.83

Standard (AW) 244 17 7% −10.62

Firm 25 5 20% +17.25

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Fontwell 517 45 8.7% −127.63

Plumpton 470 56 11.9% −101.22

Wincanton 361 22 6.1% −146.37

Newton Abbot 294 29 9.9% −80.62

Exeter 264 20 7.6% −122.49

Worcester 166 19 11.4% −23.46

Stratford 150 17 11.3% +8.33

Chepstow 143 7 4.9% +9.50

Taunton 143 8 5.6% −97.25

Towcester 136 14 10.3% −20.50

Lingfield 130 14 10.8% −9.38

Warwick 117 12 10.3% −36.75

Newbury 110 3 2.7% −48.00

Southwell 101 17 16.8% +36.62

Kempton (AW) 99 6 6.1% −42.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 1,768 160 9% −460.66

Class 5 1,451 127 8.8% −310.07

Class 3 543 50 9.2% −164.39

Class 6 404 32 7.9% −15.37

Class 2 150 9 6% −36.92

Class 1 121 2 1.7% −93.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 253 76 30% 1.10 −21.01

2nd–3rd fav 871 152 17.5% 1.04 −86.90

4th–6th fav 1,624 107 6.6% 0.88 −423.50

7th+ in betting 1,691 45 2.7% 0.90 −551.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

2m1f – 2m4f 1,428 118 8.3% −394.17

1m5f – 2m 1,210 112 9.3% −54.78

2m5f – 3m 915 67 7.3% −311.77

Over 3m 518 69 13.3% −110.94

1m2f – 1m4f 191 9 4.7% −129.25

1m – 1m1f 78 2 2.6% −29.00

6f – 7f 68 2 2.9% −34.50

Under 6f 31 1 3.2% −18.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 280 8 2.9% −185.50

2009 184 9 4.9% −35.25

2010 205 19 9.3% −74.92

2011 239 23 9.6% −34.04

2012 219 20 9.1% −35.75

2013 250 22 8.8% −52.99

2014 279 30 10.8% −63.00

2015 264 32 12.1% +52.50

2016 236 16 6.8% −34.62

2017 289 26 9% −56.63

2018 358 39 10.9% −84.35

2019 307 24 7.8% −30.55

2020 177 11 6.2% −98.04

2021 238 22 9.2% −64.71

2022 197 25 12.7% −19.39

2023 233 21 9% −62.17

2024 188 10 5.3% −129.79

2025 187 11 5.9% −48.00

2026 109 12 11% −25.21

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 2,850 278 9.8% −719.45

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 1,506 121 8% −439.15

5-7 runners 1,092 146 13.4% −146.42

11-13 runners 1,028 68 6.6% −84.42

14-16 runners 475 17 3.6% −301.75

17+ runners 171 5 2.9% −60.00

2-4 runners 167 23 13.8% −50.67

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

81.9% completed · 3,558 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 1,330 75.9% 62 42 209 0 8

Hurdle 2,228 85.5% 53 35 227 3 5

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Romanor (GB)from Ed Walker 71 9 23 13 Jul 25

Jarlath (GB) 70 11 27 18 Nov 21

Kentford Heiress (GB) 63 10 19 21 Jun 21

I See You Well (FR)from John Joseph Hanlon 58 9 14 10 Mar 25

Kentford Mallard (GB) 58 6 17 8 Mar 25

Tommie Beau (IRE)then Jeff Mullins 54 15 25 25 May 26

Flugzeug (GB)then L Humphrey 54 5 17 24 Oct 18

Wilderness (GB)from J P Murtagh 46 2 8 20 Oct 25

Mogestic (IRE) 45 6 15 5 Nov 21

Kastani Beach (IRE)from A K Wyse 43 4 13 22 Apr 19

Sheldon (IRE)then Seamus Mullins 41 6 18 14 Apr 26

Romeo Americo (IRE) 41 4 10 7 Jul 17

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 439 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 22 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 17 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from J P Murtagh (2); 43 had their first archived run for this yard.

13 have since run for another yard, most often for Jeff Mullins (3); 47 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

8691012149105767

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderDaniel Sansom

14% of all rides
8.5% SR · A/E 0.94

RiderRWSR£1

Daniel Sansom 633 54 8.5% −208.65

Andrew Thornton 622 68 10.9% −59.83

Kevin Jones 573 52 9.1% −32.66

Micheal Nolan 341 36 10.6% −137.01

Wayne Kavanagh 330 9 2.7% −182.50

Jimmy Derham 318 37 11.6% −3.37

Jeremiah McGrath 255 21 8.2% −31.25

James Best 123 18 14.6% +92.66

George Downing 96 5 5.2% −34.50

Ryan Mahon 67 6 9% −24.25

Sean Houlihan 59 4 6.8% −35.05

Steve Drowne 58 7 12.1% +16.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

452

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£4.23m

Prize money

2018

Best season · 39 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

See You Sometime (GB) — United House Gold Cup Handicap Chase Ascot · Oct 2006 · Class 2

£61,970

Chesterfield (IRE) — QTS Scottish Champion Hurdle (Grade 2 Limited Handicap) Ayr · Apr 2017 · Grade 2

£59,798

Moroder (IRE) — Virgin Bet Grimthorpe Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Doncaster · Mar 2023 · Class 2

£36,421

Notable horses

Tommie Beau (IRE) Jarlath (GB) Kentford Heiress (GB) Romanor (GB) I See You Well (FR) Moroder (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Midnight Legend (GB) 14.5% · 25–172

Progeny have won 14.2% of 8,311 runs since 2008 (494 horses).

Alderbrook (GB) 13.3% · 15–113

Progeny have won 9.7% of 3,293 runs since 2008 (299 horses).

Norse Dancer (IRE) 13.3% · 12–90

Progeny have won 9.4% of 1,801 runs since 2010 (157 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 14.7% from 278. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.3% from 207.

Morozov (USA) 16.3% · 14–86

Progeny have won 10.8% of 2,316 runs since 2009 (155 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 434.

Sulamani (IRE) 9% · 7–78

Progeny have won 11.5% of 4,247 runs since 2008 (278 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.1% from 479. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.4% from 240.

Silver Patriarch (IRE) 6.7% · 5–75

Progeny have won 7.8% of 2,609 runs since 2008 (262 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.3% from 274. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 11.3% from 300.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 5,311 · newest first

The latest 50 of 5,311 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 12 July 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

12 Jul 26 Stratford Basilette (IRE)J: Daniel Sansom Sun Racing The Favourite Pullout Every Day Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 18.5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 1st 7/2

03 Jul 26 Newton Abbot Hurst Hill (IRE)J: Daniel Sansom St. Austell Brewery Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21.5f · Good · 6 ran 4th 5/1

30 Jun 26 Stratford Western Soldier (GER)J: Callum Pritchard Davisons Law Moving You Forward Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 18.5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran PU 15/2

30 Jun 26 Stratford Balboa (GB)J: Callum Pritchard SolidCAM UK Partner Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 22f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 3rd 15/2

29 Jun 26 Kempton (AW) Balgowan (IRE)J: George Downing Bet 20 Get 20 With Unibet HandicapClass 6 · 16f · Standard To Slow · 7 ran 2nd 7/4F

29 Jun 26 Stratford Basilette (IRE)J: Daniel Sansom Racing Again Tomorrow Evening Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16.5f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 4th 15/2

28 Jun 26 Cartmel Path Of Stars (FR)J: Benjamin Macey Burlington Stone Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 22f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 8/1

26 Jun 26 Cartmel Masonbrook Meadow (IRE)J: Benjamin Macey Hadwins Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 22f · Good · 9 ran 6th 10/1

21 Jun 26 Brighton Skyolaire (GB)J: George Downing fairplaybet.co.uk Bet 20 Pound Get 20 Pound Free Bets Classified StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 7th 22/1

21 Jun 26 Brighton West Hill Rosie (GB)J: George Downing Watch Live Racing On fairplaybet.co.uk HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Good To Firm · 4 ran 3rd 33/1

13 Jun 26 Bath Basilette (IRE)J: George Downing Support Ben Saunders Foundation HandicapClass 6 · 11.5f · Good · 13 ran 6th 5/2F

12 Jun 26 Newton Abbot Hurst Hill (IRE)J: Daniel Sansom William Hill Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 26.5f · Good · 5 ran 4th 5/1

11 Jun 26 Worcester Western Soldier (GER)J: Callum Pritchard Step Into Luxury With Purple Granite Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 5th 11/2

05 Jun 26 Bath Skyolaire (GB)J: George Downing Bath University HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Good · 13 ran 6th 20/1

30 May 26 Stratford Masonbrook Meadow (IRE)J: Benjamin Macey Sun Racing Summer Jumps Championship Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 22f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 7th 9/2

27 May 26 Newton Abbot Moroder (IRE)J: James Best Hugh Michelmore Memorial Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 26f · Good · 4 ran PU 9/1

25 May 26 Cartmel Tommie Beau (IRE)J: Benjamin Macey Hugh Cavendish Veterans' Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 29.5f · Good · 5 ran 2nd 13/8F

25 May 26 Cartmel Path Of Stars (FR)J: Benjamin Macey Johnny & Tony Connell Memorial Handicap Hurdle (Div 2)Class 5 · 22f · Good · 10 ran 1st 7/2

24 May 26 Fontwell Kentford Legacy (GB)J: Daniel Sansom Land & Power Mares' Open Maiden NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 17.5f · Good · 6 ran 1st 22/1

24 May 26 Fontwell Chartwell Jock (GB)J: Daniel Sansom V2 Radio Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 17.5f · Good · 7 ran 4th 3/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Seamus Mullins's strike rate?: Seamus Mullins has won 380 of 4,439 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.6% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Seamus Mullins do best at?: Southwell by strike rate: 17 wins from 101 runners (16.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Seamus Mullins?: Daniel Sansom, with 633 runners since 2008 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 54 (8.5%).
What is Seamus Mullins's Fair A/E?: 0.98, from 4,426 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.