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Trainer profile

Alex French

113 runners in the lifetime window · 20 individual horses
As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Oct 2024 98% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2021→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
12–113
Wins / Runs
10.6%
Strike rate
n=113
30 (27%)
Placed
1.00
Fair A/E
n=111 · 0.94 incl. margin
+32.58
£1 level stake
n=113 at SP · +28.8%
£83,710
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
15%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 11% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.00). With a claiming rider up the record reads 13% (46 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 113 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 12 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 13%
The read

The yard also reads well over 1m2f – 1m4f (16.7%, n=30) and in Class 6 (14%, n=57). The record reads poorly off a 15-30-day break — 5.3% over 38 runners, 5.3pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
12%+1.4
n=25 · A/E 1.42 · £1 +71.33
New recruits · first run for the yard
25%+14.4
n=8 · A/E 1.82 · £1 +37.33
Debutants · first career start
0%−10.6
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−10.6
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−10.6
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
When favourite
33.3%
n=6 · A/E 1.16 · £1 +0.25
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
13%+2.4
n=46 · A/E 0.91 · £1 +67.08

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 1m2f – 1m4f 16.7% vs 10.6% · n=30
Off a 15-30-day break 5.3% vs 10.6% · n=38
Over 1m – 1m1f 5.4% vs 10.6% · n=37
In Class 6 14% vs 10.6% · n=57
With claiming riders up 13% vs 10.6% · n=46
With a new jockey booking 8.5% vs 10.6% · n=71
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 111 12 10.8% +34.58
NH Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 64 7 10.9% +57.50
Good to Firm 16 1 6.3% −9.00
Good 16 2 12.5% −5.17
Soft 10 2 20% −3.75
Good to Soft 7 0 0% −7.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Southwell (AW) 17 2 11.8% +38.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 17 3 17.6% +35.00
Newcastle (AW) 12 1 8.3% −4.00
Beverley 8 2 25% +2.00
Kempton (AW) 7 0 0% −7.00
Lingfield (AW) 6 0 0% −6.00
Nottingham 5 0 0% −5.00
Chelmsford City (AW) 5 1 20% +1.50
Pontefract 4 0 0% −4.00
Thirsk 4 1 25% +0.33
Lingfield 3 1 33.3% +0.25
Leicester 3 1 33.3% +3.50
Catterick 3 0 0% −3.00
Carlisle 3 0 0% −3.00
Yarmouth 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 57 8 14% +30.08
Class 5 44 4 9.1% +14.50
Class 4 8 0 0% −8.00
Class 3 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 9 2 22.2% 0.82 −2.75
2nd–3rd fav 23 5 21.7% 1.33 +3.33
4th–6th fav 49 3 6.1% 0.75 −28.00
7th+ in betting 32 2 6.3% 1.26 +60.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Tea Garden (GB) 19 2 5 2 Sep 23
Lawmans Blis (IRE)from Harry Dunlop · then Jennie Candlish 17 2 4 26 Sep 23
Out Of Sight (IRE) 15 2 6 10 Jul 24
Spells At Dawn (IRE) 8 1 2 8 Sep 23
Dash Gordon (IRE)then Michael Appleby 7 1 1 1 Oct 24
Karatayka (IRE)from M Halford 7 0 1 5 Oct 23
Grangeclare View (IRE)from Richard Fahey 7 0 1 8 Aug 23
War Of Words (IRE) 6 1 3 11 May 24
Desert Swirl (IRE)from Archie Watson 4 1 2 15 Feb 24
Flying Instructor (IRE) 4 1 1 13 Feb 22
Spellbinding (IRE) 3 0 0 31 Jul 24
Tio Mio (IRE)from Gary Hanmer · then Michael Chapman 3 1 2 4 Feb 24
All 20 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 20 horses listed, 8 arrived from another yard in our archive; 12 had their first archived run for this yard.

3 have since run for another yard; 17 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
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A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Stefano Cherchi 21 3 14.3% −6.42
Dylan Hogan 12 1 8.3% −8.00
George Wood 11 2 18.2% +0.00
Christian Howarth 10 2 20% +47.50
Luke Morris 6 0 0% −6.00
Connor Beasley 6 1 16.7% +0.50
Kevin Stott 5 0 0% −5.00
Alistair Rawlinson 3 1 33.3% +0.00
Gina Mangan 3 1 33.3% +38.00
Jason Hart 2 0 0% −2.00
Daniel Muscutt 2 0 0% −2.00
Joey Haynes 2 0 0% −2.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2021→
12
Archived wins
£83,710
Prize money
2023
Best season · 4 wins
Tea Garden (GB) — At The Races App Expert Tips Handicap Wolverhampton (AW) · Jul 2023 · Class 6
£5,234
Spells At Dawn (IRE) — bet365 Very British Raceday Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) Beverley · May 2022 · Class 5
£4,158
Out Of Sight (IRE) — Connexin Smart Infrastructure Handicap Beverley · Jun 2023 · Class 6
£4,004
Notable horses
Tea Garden (GB) Lawmans Blis (IRE) Out Of Sight (IRE) Spells At Dawn (IRE) Dash Gordon (IRE) War Of Words (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Helmet (AUS) 9.5% · 2–21
Progeny have won 9.4% of 4,852 runs since 2016 (351 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 12.8% from 148.
Lawman (FR) 11.8% · 2–17
Progeny have won 8.9% of 9,431 runs since 2011 (730 horses).
Outstrip (GB) 13.3% · 2–15
Progeny have won 8.8% of 3,290 runs since 2019 (240 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 12.8% from 635. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.7% from 265.
Dawn Approach (IRE) 12.5% · 1–8
Progeny have won 8% of 3,581 runs since 2017 (359 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 12.6% from 333. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 125. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5% from 181.
Ajaya (GB) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 10.8% of 268 runs since 2020 (17 horses).
Dariyan (FR) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 5.9% of 1,141 runs since 2020 (143 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 113 · newest first

The latest 50 of 113 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 9 January 2021 to 1 October 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
01 Oct 24 Newcastle (AW) Dash Gordon (IRE)J: Lewis Edmunds Get Raceday Ready HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 1st 7/1
30 Aug 24 Thirsk Dash Gordon (IRE)J: Cieren Fallon Anderson Barrowcliff Chartered Accountants Classified Stakes (Div 2)Class 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 7th 15/2
06 Aug 24 Catterick Dash Gordon (IRE)J: Jason Hart Racing Again 19th August HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 5th 7/2J
31 Jul 24 Leicester Spellbinding (IRE)J: Dylan Hogan Big Roar Property Investment Champions Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 6th 100/1
30 Jul 24 Yarmouth Dash Gordon (IRE)J: Alistair Rawlinson Join Moulton Racing Syndicate Classified StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 3rd 12/1
11 Jul 24 Doncaster Spellbinding (IRE)J: Phil Dennis PPM Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Soft · 9 ran 8th 150/1
10 Jul 24 Ffos Las Out Of Sight (IRE)J: Hayley Turner Connolly Red Mills HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 9th 25/1
01 Jul 24 Wolverhampton (AW) Spellbinding (IRE)J: Dylan Hogan Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 5f · Standard · 5 ran 5th 22/1
29 Jun 24 Doncaster Dash Gordon (IRE)J: Alistair Rawlinson Harrison College- Your Future Your Choice Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 10th 125/1
11 Jun 24 Wetherby Dash Gordon (IRE)J: Darragh Keenan Jm Finn Wealth Management Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 7f · Good · 16 ran 12th 200/1
23 May 24 Chelmsford City (AW) Dash Gordon (IRE)J: Dylan Hogan Hugo, The Son Of Wilson, Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 5f · Standard · 7 ran 6th 25/1
11 May 24 Leicester War Of Words (IRE)J: Connor Beasley Judy Robinson Big Birthday HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Good · 8 ran 1st 11/2
09 Apr 24 Southwell (AW) Mutaad (IRE)J: George Wood Read Harry Cobden's Blog At PlanetSportBet Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 66/1
20 Mar 24 Southwell (AW) War Of Words (IRE)J: George Wood Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM HandicapClass 4 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 12/1
15 Feb 24 Chelmsford City (AW) Desert Swirl (IRE)J: George Wood chelmsfordcityracecourse.com Classified StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 6 ran 1st 11/2
04 Feb 24 Newcastle (AW) Desert Swirl (IRE)J: George Wood Find More Big Deals At BetUK Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 125/1
04 Feb 24 Newcastle (AW) Tio Mio (IRE)J: Brandon Wilkie Win 2,000,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 16/1
22 Jan 24 Kempton (AW) Desert Swirl (IRE)J: Christian Howarth Racingtv.Com HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 8th 22/1
20 Jan 24 Wolverhampton (AW) Tio Mio (IRE)J: Gina Mangan Boost Your Acca At BetMGM HandicapClass 5 · 8.5f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 17/2
02 Jan 24 Wolverhampton (AW) Desert Swirl (IRE)J: Gina Mangan Win 2,000,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals Classified StakesClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 80/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Alex French's strike rate?
Alex French has won 12 of 113 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.6% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Alex French's Fair A/E?
1.00, from 111 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 12 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).