What is Andrew Balding's strike rate?

Andrew Balding has won 2,241 of 14,758 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 15.2% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Andrew Balding do best at?

Chester by strike rate: 136 wins from 628 runners (21.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Andrew Balding?

David Probert, with 3,695 runners since 2008 — 25% of the total. That pairing has won 553 (15%).

Is Andrew Balding in form?

In the last 14 days: 35 runners, 8 winners, a strike rate of 22.9%. That is above the baseline of 15.2% since 2008.

What is Andrew Balding's Fair A/E?

1.04, from 14,669 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Andrew Balding

14,758 runners in the lifetime window · 1,810 individual horses

As at 7 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 5.5% of 1,154 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 7 Nov 2026.

In form — 8 winners last 14 days Runners today 99% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

2,241–14,758

Wins / Runs

15.2%

Strike rate

n=14,758

5,391 (37%)

Placed

1.04

Fair A/E

n=14,669 · 0.90 incl. margin

−1,825.47

£1 level stake

n=14,757 at SP · −12.4%

£59.7m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

18.9%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 780 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 15% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.04). New recruits from other yards win at 18% first time out (100 runs). The yard is in form now — 8 winners in the last fortnight, above its own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 14,758 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 7 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Mar 35.3% when favourite David Probert: 15% from 3,695 New recruits: 18% Sends off the favourite in 16% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Newcastle (AW) (25.9%, n=290), clear of the yard's 15.2% baseline. Debutants struggle at 8.1% (n=1,659, Fair A/E 0.85). New recruits from other stables on their first run are the standout value angle: 18% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.37 and +32.44 to a £1 stake over 100 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The market has consistently overbet a horse having headgear put back on after a bare run: 9.2% strike, Fair A/E 0.72 and −75.21 to a £1 stake over 184 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Right now the yard is firing: 8 winners from 35 runners in the last 14 days (22.9%, 7.7pts above the 15.2% baseline). David Probert rides 25% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (15%, A/E 1.06) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (23.2%, n=280). 237 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the King George Vi And Queen Elizabeth Stakes at Ascot (Jul 2026, £1,134,200). The stable star of the record: Dungannon (GB) — 13 wins from 66 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jan–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 15.2% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

14.4%−0.8

n=2,382 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −568.74

New recruits · first run for the yard

18%+2.8

n=100 · A/E 1.37 · £1 +32.44

Debutants · first career start

8.1%−7.1

n=1,659 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −270.95

First-time headgear · true-first definition

9.9%−5.3

n=705 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −232.10

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

9.2%−6.0

n=184 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −75.21

When favourite

35.3%

n=2,352 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −252.17

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

13.5%−1.7

n=2,023 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −388.96

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

12.3%−2.9

n=1,885 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −345.59

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 15.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Colin Keane 32.4% vs 15.2% · n=68

At Newcastle (AW) 25.9% vs 15.2% · n=290

With debutants 8.1% vs 15.2% · n=1,659

With Kieran Shoemark 3.2% vs 15.2% · n=62

Off a 0-7-day break 23.2% vs 15.2% · n=280

With William Cox 7.1% vs 15.2% · n=211

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 14,666 2227 15.2% −1,807.24

Hurdle 48 6 12.5% −16.48

Chase 23 4 17.4% −7.00

NH Flat 21 4 19% +5.25

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 4,534 738 16.3% −722.66

Good 3,417 492 14.4% −237.87

Good to Firm 3,233 484 15% −404.07

Good to Soft 1,660 223 13.4% −279.44

Soft 1,392 207 14.9% −136.83

Heavy 382 70 18.3% −7.73

Firm 140 27 19.3% −36.87

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 1,753 267 15.2% −209.26

Ascot 948 88 9.3% −295.27

Lingfield 933 164 17.6% −91.20

Newmarket 841 100 11.9% −6.16

Goodwood 799 100 12.5% −231.92

Newbury 777 92 11.8% −23.04

Sandown 662 85 12.8% −118.83

Chester 628 136 21.7% +114.12

Wolverhampton (AW) 625 94 15% −204.61

Salisbury 615 101 16.4% −84.90

Windsor 547 93 17% −76.00

York 495 75 15.2% +65.39

Chelmsford (AW) 473 57 12.1% −177.38

Southwell (AW) 455 80 17.6% −117.03

Newmarket 439 67 15.3% −15.38

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 3,964 701 17.7% −234.60

Class 4 3,442 559 16.2% −373.56

Class 2 2,677 348 13% −192.12

Class 1 1,891 232 12.3% −351.59

Class 3 1,702 236 13.9% −403.24

Class 6 1,059 162 15.3% −260.61

Class 7 13 2 15.4% −6.25

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 2,665 905 34% 1.04 −264.69

2nd–3rd fav 4,601 847 18.4% 1.06 −394.61

4th–6th fav 4,535 375 8.3% 1.02 −649.57

7th+ in betting 2,956 114 3.9% 1.03 −516.60

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 4,952 739 14.9% −441.52

1m2f – 1m4f 4,106 636 15.5% −669.58

1m – 1m1f 3,549 541 15.2% −424.65

1m5f – 2m 1,201 180 15% −141.47

Under 6f 771 127 16.5% −94.52

2m1f – 2m4f 157 16 10.2% −45.23

2m5f – 3m 22 2 9.1% −8.50

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 460 71 15.4% +13.32

2009 514 70 13.6% −38.42

2010 520 78 15% −20.82

2011 548 71 13% −61.06

2012 717 93 13% −160.53

2013 720 100 13.9% −11.34

2014 670 120 17.9% −29.57

2015 762 95 12.5% −275.41

2016 735 107 14.6% −106.73

2017 685 94 13.7% −68.87

2018 778 124 15.9% −57.32

2019 858 127 14.8% −158.96

2020 738 109 14.8% −49.07

2021 925 150 16.2% +55.28

2022 935 133 14.2% −222.23

2023 982 146 14.9% −201.47

2024 1,090 164 15% −252.78

2025 1,077 192 17.8% −91.67

2026 1,044 197 18.9% −87.82

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 7,390 1077 14.6% −1,044.29

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 4,982 760 15.3% −577.73

5-7 runners 3,615 751 20.8% −286.21

11-13 runners 3,553 411 11.6% −484.99

14-16 runners 1,334 114 8.5% −316.03

17+ runners 841 58 6.9% −199.42

2-4 runners 433 147 33.9% +38.91

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Intransigent (GB) 77 9 29 28 Jun 19

Dungannon (GB) 66 13 21 16 Nov 17

Highland Colori (IRE)from Tom Dascombe 63 9 22 4 Nov 17

Breakheart (IRE) 57 8 22 27 Aug 17

King's Lynn (GB) 54 5 25 18 Nov 25

Spirit Mixer (GB) 46 9 16 24 Sep 26

Chiberta King (GB) 45 7 14 7 Jun 15

Stone Of Destiny (GB)from David Simcock · then Michael Appleby 43 2 6 15 Sep 22

Perfect Mission (GB) 43 5 11 20 Jun 15

My Learned Friend (IRE) 43 3 8 19 Feb 14

Teumessias Fox (IRE) 39 5 9 20 Oct 26

Angelic Upstart (IRE) 39 6 17 10 Sep 15

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 1,810 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 23 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 11 arrived from another yard in our archive; 49 had their first archived run for this yard.

13 have since run for another yard; 47 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

In form

8 from 35 22.9% · +7.7pts vs baseline

Last 14 days22.9%

Lifetime base15.2%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

182224151415171615121212

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderDavid Probert

25% of all rides
15% SR · A/E 1.06

RiderRWSR£1

David Probert 3,695 553 15% −225.63

Oisin Murphy 2,699 527 19.5% −130.13

Rob Hornby 832 98 11.8% −206.12

Liam Keniry 765 93 12.2% −162.29

Jimmy Fortune 737 92 12.5% −187.94

Jason Watson 593 101 17% −56.89

William Buick 473 84 17.8% +5.51

Callum Hutchinson 466 69 14.8% −125.39

P J McDonald 392 75 19.1% −14.97

Joshua Bryan 331 45 13.6% −74.65

Silvestre De Sousa 305 57 18.7% −63.04

Hayley Turner 254 30 11.8% −67.14

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

2,379

Archived wins

237

Pattern / graded wins

£61.5m

Prize money

2026

Best season · 197 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Kalpana (GB) — King George Vi And Queen Elizabeth Stakes (Group 1) Ascot · Jul 2026 · Group 1

£1,134,200

Item (GB) — Juddmonte International Stakes (Group 1) York · Aug 2026 · Group 1

£850,650

Alcohol Free (IRE) — Qatar Sussex Stakes (Group 1) (British Champions Series) Goodwood · Jul 2021 · Group 1

£567,100

Notable horses

Dungannon (GB) Coltrane (IRE) Intransigent (GB) Highland Colori (IRE) Spirit Mixer (GB) Hatton Flight (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dark Angel (IRE) 15% · 50–334

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,948 runs since 2011 (1,596 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Passing Glance (GB) 16.1% · 50–311

Progeny have won 12.4% of 3,571 runs since 2008 (295 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15.8% from 222. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.2% from 290. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 8.8% from 171.

Oasis Dream (GB) 15.7% · 48–306

Progeny have won 11.7% of 18,044 runs since 2008 (1,511 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.3% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 8.5% from 484. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.1% from 792.

Acclamation (GB) 14% · 39–279

Progeny have won 10% of 19,714 runs since 2008 (1,327 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 195.

Lope De Vega (IRE) 17.3% · 48–278

Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,223 runs since 2014 (1,109 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.4% from 960.

Frankel (GB) 19.2% · 50–260

Progeny have won 18% of 7,543 runs since 2016 (882 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 12.8% from 329. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.2% from 270.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 7 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 16,211 · newest first

The latest 50 of 16,211 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 January 2005 to 7 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

07 Nov 26 Doncaster Zgharta (IRE)J: Oisin Murphy Virgin Bet Daily Price Boosts Irish EBF Gillies Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race)Class 1 · 10f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 5th 14/1

07 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) Berkshire Tango (IRE)J: Rob Hornby AWC Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 11th 33/1

07 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) Abrouq (GB)J: P. J. McDonald AWC Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 7th 25/1

07 Nov 26 Doncaster Copacabana Sands (IRE)J: Oisin Murphy Virgin Bet Every Saturday Money Back Wentworth Stakes (Listed Race)Class 1 · 6f · Good To Soft · 20 ran 8th 12/1

06 Nov 26 Newcastle (AW) Moonlight Warrior (IRE)J: Marco Ghiani Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 10f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 20/1

06 Nov 26 Newcastle (AW) Black Chiffon (GB)J: Callum Hutchinson Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 10f · Standard · 14 ran 8th 11/2J

05 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Berkshire Dream (GB)J: Jason Watson Juddmonte EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 7.5f · Standard · 12 ran 1st 28/1

04 Nov 26 Kempton (AW) Berkshire Whisper (IRE)J: Alfie Redman Bet £20 Get £20 With Unibet Handicap StakesClass 2 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 9 ran 9th 28/1

04 Nov 26 Kempton (AW) Ghost Fire (GB)J: William Carver British EBF Future Stayers Maiden Stakes (Sire And Dam Restricted Race) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 9th 80/1

04 Nov 26 Kempton (AW) Noble Archer (GB)J: Jason Watson British EBF Future Stayers Maiden Stakes (Sire And Dam Restricted Race) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 8th 50/1

04 Nov 26 Kempton (AW) Imperial Soldier (FR)J: Callum Hutchinson British EBF Future Stayers Maiden Stakes (Sire And Dam Restricted Race) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 6th 66/1

04 Nov 26 Kempton (AW) Almanueva (GB)J: Jason Watson Unibet/British EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (Div I) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 5th 50/1

04 Nov 26 Nottingham Marquetry (IRE)J: P. J. McDonald Experience Hospitality At Nottingham Racecourse Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 14f · Soft · 10 ran 6th 14/1

31 Oct 26 Newmarket Pacific Mission (GB)J: Rob Hornby German Group One Racecourses James Seymour Stakes (Listed Race)Class 1 · 10f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 3rd 11/2

31 Oct 26 Newmarket Nakila Sun (GER)J: Jason Watson Hurworth Blooodstock Horris Hill Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 7f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 7th 18/1

30 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Pequenita (GB)J: P. J. McDonald Awc Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 5 ran 5th 13/8F

30 Oct 26 Newmarket Royal Playwright (GB)J: Jason Watson St Simon Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 12f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 2nd 6/1

30 Oct 26 Newmarket Jeremys Icon (GB)J: Callum Hutchinson German G1 Racecourses Thank World Pool British Ebf Novice Stakes (Colts And Geldings Only) (Div II)Class 3 · 7f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 9th 12/1

29 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Kashooda (GB)J: P. J. McDonald Midnite: Built For 2026 Not 2006 Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 11f · Standard · 7 ran 4th 5/1

29 Oct 26 Bath Consortium (GB)J: Callum Hutchinson David Cole Memorial EBF Novice Stakes (Div II) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Soft · 10 ran 9th 9/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 11 runs (won 3) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 15 runs (won 4) · fastest on KTB Speed in 9 runs (won 1) · to 31 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Andrew Balding's strike rate?: Andrew Balding has won 2,241 of 14,758 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 15.2% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Andrew Balding do best at?: Chester by strike rate: 136 wins from 628 runners (21.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Andrew Balding?: David Probert, with 3,695 runners since 2008 — 25% of the total. That pairing has won 553 (15%).
Is Andrew Balding in form?: In the last 14 days: 35 runners, 8 winners, a strike rate of 22.9%. That is above the baseline of 15.2% since 2008.
What is Andrew Balding's Fair A/E?: 1.04, from 14,669 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.