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Trainer profile

Caroline Fryer

407 runners in the lifetime window · 55 individual horses
As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 171 days ago 100% of runners over jumps
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
40–407
Wins / Runs
9.8%
Strike rate
n=407
98 (24%)
Placed
1.13
n=407 · 0.99 incl. margin
−97.34
£1 level stake
n=407 at SP · −23.9%
£274k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
8.3%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.13).

Deterministic profile computed from 407 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 12 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Mar–May Bridget Andrews: 10% from 80 Claiming riders: 9.9%
The read

The record is strongest at Towcester (18.6%, n=43), clear of the yard's 9.8% baseline. New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 2.3% (n=44, Fair A/E 0.43). Bridget Andrews rides 20% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (10%, A/E 1.27) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 8-14-day break (20.2%, n=94). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 3.4% over 59 runners, 6.4pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Riddlestown (IRE) — 15 wins from 87 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Mar–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.4%−7.4
n=85 · A/E 0.38 · £1 −73.25
New recruits · first run for the yard
2.3%−7.5
n=44 · A/E 0.43 · £1 −37.50
Debutants · first career start
0%−9.8
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−9.8
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
18.5%+8.7
n=27 · A/E 2.18 · £1 +25.75
When favourite
30.4%
n=23 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −2.47
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
9.9%+0.1
n=243 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −62.34
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−9.8
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 8-14-day break 20.2% vs 9.8% · n=94
At Towcester 18.6% vs 9.8% · n=43
With new recruits 2.3% vs 9.8% · n=44
Off a break of 180+ days 3.4% vs 9.8% · n=59
With C&D winners 15.5% vs 9.8% · n=97
On last-time-out winners 16.3% vs 9.8% · n=43
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 227 18 7.9% −34.60
Chase 170 22 12.9% −52.74
NH Flat 10 0 0% −10.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 187 23 12.3% +25.75
Soft 92 7 7.6% −47.72
Good to Soft 89 5 5.6% −55.50
Good to Firm 20 5 25% −0.87
Heavy 16 0 0% −16.00
Standard (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Fakenham 96 8 8.3% −51.00
Southwell 76 9 11.8% +9.78
Huntingdon 65 5 7.7% −29.00
Towcester 43 8 18.6% +40.13
Warwick 30 3 10% −7.25
Market Rasen 16 2 12.5% −5.00
Uttoxeter 13 0 0% −13.00
Plumpton 11 1 9.1% −5.50
Leicester 11 0 0% −11.00
Stratford 8 0 0% −8.00
Fontwell 7 2 28.6% +4.50
Doncaster 5 0 0% −5.00
Kempton 5 0 0% −5.00
Folkestone 4 1 25% −1.50
Kempton (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 216 21 9.7% −19.25
Class 4 155 16 10.3% −59.09
Class 3 19 2 10.5% −4.50
Class 6 16 1 6.3% −13.50
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 33 11 33.3% 1.21 +2.66
2nd–3rd fav 68 14 20.6% 1.25 +12.50
4th–6th fav 139 13 9.4% 1.25 −25.50
7th+ in betting 167 2 1.2% 0.42 −87.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
71.5% completed · 397 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 170 70.6% 5 0 45 0 0
Hurdle 227 72.2% 1 3 59 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Riddlestown (IRE)from Michael Hourigan 87 15 33 30 Jul 20
Goodnight Charlie (GB) 47 7 16 22 May 22
Ratoute Yutty (GB)from Dan Skelton 23 3 4 29 May 23
Schap (GB)from David Loder 13 0 1 5 Jan 20
Midnight Bliss (GB) 13 3 4 5 Apr 19
County Zen (FR)from Philip Hobbs 13 1 3 21 Apr 14
The Blue Bomber (GB)from Mick Channon 11 1 3 22 May 18
Ballochmyle (IRE)from Alan King 9 0 2 26 Feb 16
Storm To Pass (GB)from Chris Grant 9 1 4 17 Jun 15
High Wheeler (IRE)from Lucy Wadham 8 0 1 9 Jun 18
Meridiem (GB)from Sean Regan 8 0 2 24 May 13
All 55 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 55 horses listed, 44 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Dan Skelton (5) and Neil King (4); 11 had their first archived run for this yard.

9 have since run for another yard, most often for Louise Allan (2); 46 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
42151315180001302
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderBridget Andrews
20% of all rides
10% SR · A/E 1.27
RiderRWSR£1
Bridget Andrews 80 8 10% +20.50
Lewis Stones 61 9 14.8% +13.75
Harry Skelton 59 6 10.2% −15.75
Mr Jack Andrews 40 6 15% −3.97
Fergus Gregory 33 1 3% −27.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2011→
40
Archived wins
£274k
Prize money
2017
Best season · 8 wins
Goodnight Charlie (GB) — My Dream Boat Handicap Chase Warwick · Mar 2019 · Class 3
£15,640
Goodnight Charlie (GB) — Jrl Group Mares' Handicap Chase Cheltenham · Apr 2019 · Class 3
£12,461
Riddlestown (IRE) — Bet Totetrifecta At Totesport.com Handicap Chase Towcester · May 2018 · Class 4
£5,588

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Cloudings (IRE) 15.7% · 20–127
Progeny have won 10.5% of 3,888 runs since 2008 (310 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 14.6% from 411. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.5% from 816.
Midnight Legend (GB) 15.7% · 13–83
Progeny have won 14.2% of 8,311 runs since 2008 (494 horses).
Lost World (IRE) 7.7% · 1–13
Progeny have won 9.8% of 880 runs since 2008 (88 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 13.6% from 140.
Schiaparelli (GER) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 12.1% of 1,844 runs since 2015 (203 horses).
Stimulation (IRE) 9.1% · 1–11
Progeny have won 8.2% of 1,725 runs since 2014 (100 horses). Strongest on Good going: 11.4% from 368. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 12.3% from 146.
Oscar (IRE) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 407 · newest first

The latest 50 of 407 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 18 February 2011 to 25 May 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
13 Apr 26 Fakenham Raby Mere (FR)J: Lewis Stones Racing TV Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 23.5f · Good · 8 ran 4th 8/1
06 Apr 26 Fakenham Cloudy Wednesday (IRE)J: Lewis Stones Aldiss Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 4 ran PU 15/8F
21 Apr 25 Fakenham Cloudy Wednesday (IRE)J: Lewis Stones Aldiss Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 6 ran 1st 9/4F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Caroline Fryer's strike rate?
Caroline Fryer has won 40 of 407 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.8% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Caroline Fryer do best at?
Towcester by strike rate: 8 wins from 43 runners (18.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Caroline Fryer?
Bridget Andrews, with 80 runners since 2008 — 20% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (10%).
What is Caroline Fryer's Fair A/E?
1.13, from 407 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 12 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).