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Trainer profile

Chris Timmons

421 runners in the lifetime window · 52 individual horses
As at 7 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 3 days ago 92% of runners on the flat
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
22–421
Wins / Runs
5.2%
Strike rate
n=421
80 (19%)
Placed
0.96
n=421 · 0.77 incl. margin
−182.50
£1 level stake
n=421 at SP · −43.3%
£278k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.96).

Deterministic profile computed from 421 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 7 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Robbie Colgan: 3.4% from 87
The read

The record is strongest at Navan (11.4%, n=70), clear of the yard's 5.2% baseline. It is weakest at Leopardstown (0% over 33 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 0% (n=35, Fair A/E 0.00). Robbie Colgan rides 21% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (3.4%, A/E 0.72). The yard also reads well off a 15-30-day break (9.3%, n=118) and over 1m2f – 1m4f (8.3%, n=96).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.2% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
1.3%−3.9
n=78 · A/E 0.28 · £1 −69.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
11.8%+6.6
n=17 · A/E 1.58 · £1 −3.50
Debutants · first career start
0%−5.2
n=35 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −35.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
3%−2.2
n=33 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −14.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
12.5%+7.3
n=16 · A/E 3.53 · £1 +46.00
When favourite
5.3%
n=19 · A/E 0.26 · £1 −15.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.6%−0.6
n=108 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −48.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−5.2
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With horses switching code 14.7% vs 5.2% · n=34
At Navan 11.4% vs 5.2% · n=70
Off a 15-30-day break 9.3% vs 5.2% · n=118
With debutants 0% vs 5.2% · n=35
At Leopardstown 0% vs 5.2% · n=33
Over 1m2f – 1m4f 8.3% vs 5.2% · n=96
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 389 21 5.4% −154.25
Hurdle 26 1 3.8% −22.25
NH Flat 6 0 0% −6.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 115 6 5.2% −31.50
Good 111 6 5.4% −46.25
Standard (AW) 107 7 6.5% −57.25
Heavy 46 1 2.2% −37.50
Good to Soft 34 1 2.9% −13.00
Good to Firm 8 1 12.5% +3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 105 7 6.7% −55.25
Navan 70 8 11.4% +40.50
Curragh 46 2 4.3% −26.50
Leopardstown 33 0 0% −33.00
Cork 24 1 4.2% −13.00
Naas 24 1 4.2% −3.00
Fairyhouse 18 1 5.6% +1.00
Galway 17 0 0% −17.00
Gowran Park 11 0 0% −11.00
Bellewstown 9 0 0% −9.00
Killarney 9 1 11.1% −5.00
Ballinrobe 8 0 0% −8.00
Down Royal 6 0 0% −6.00
Roscommon 6 0 0% −6.00
Punchestown 6 0 0% −6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 4 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 21 1 4.8% 0.24 −17.00
2nd–3rd fav 39 8 20.5% 1.48 +9.50
4th–6th fav 94 8 8.5% 1.15 −9.00
7th+ in betting 267 5 1.9% 0.80 −166.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Step Back In Time (IRE) 46 4 10 21 Oct 26
Razdan (IRE)from Matthew J Smith · then Sarah-Jayne Davies 30 3 11 19 Oct 25
Promo Queen (IRE) 21 1 1 20 Jan 26
Mr Mills (IRE)then M G Quinn 21 2 6 9 Oct 24
Pearl Jewel (IRE) 19 1 4 27 Feb 26
Royal Cave (IRE)then Tom Fife 19 0 2 22 Oct 25
Kayamite (IRE) 15 0 1 29 Oct 26
Auburn Avenue (IRE)then John & Rhys Flint 15 0 6 29 Oct 25
Una Matata (IRE)then Adrian McGuinness 15 1 3 29 Oct 25
Chicago Storm (GB)from Peter Fahey · then Daisy Hitchins 13 2 3 11 Dec 24
All 52 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 52 horses listed, 17 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Thomas Coyle (4) and Ms Sheila Lavery (2); 35 had their first archived run for this yard.

17 have since run for another yard, most often for Ross O'Sullivan (3) and Terence O'Brien (2); 35 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 8
Only 8 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
09710045492417
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderRobbie Colgan
21% of all rides
3.4% SR · A/E 0.72
RiderRWSR£1
Robbie Colgan 87 3 3.4% −66.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2021→
22
Archived wins
£278k
Prize money
2024
Best season · 8 wins
Razdan (IRE) — Westgrove Hotel Handicap Curragh · Mar 2023
£8,850
Promo Queen (IRE) — Fitzpatrick's Garage Group Nursery Handicap Curragh · Sep 2023
£8,850
Una Matata (IRE) — Kilminfoyle House Stud Fillies Maiden Fairyhouse · Sep 2024
£7,375

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Footstepsinthesand (GB) 8.7% · 4–46
Progeny have won 10.2% of 12,811 runs since 2009 (938 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.9% from 320.
Zoffany (IRE) 10% · 3–30
Progeny have won 9.9% of 10,779 runs since 2015 (799 horses).
Dandy Man (IRE) 0% · 0–27
Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,983 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.
Gutaifan (IRE) 15.4% · 4–26
Progeny have won 8.9% of 3,768 runs since 2019 (302 horses).
Dark Angel (IRE) 0% · 0–22
Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,948 runs since 2011 (1,596 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.
Advertise (GB) 4.8% · 1–21
Progeny have won 9.8% of 1,564 runs since 2023 (153 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 7 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 421 · newest first

The latest 50 of 421 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 21 June 2021 to 4 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
26 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Toristar (IRE)J: R. P. Whelan Grá Chocolates Maiden10f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 10th 100/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 7 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 2 runs (won 0, 1 did not run) · to 21 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Chris Timmons's strike rate?
Chris Timmons has won 22 of 421 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.2% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Chris Timmons do best at?
Navan by strike rate: 8 wins from 70 runners (11.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Chris Timmons?
Robbie Colgan, with 87 runners since 2008 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 3 (3.4%).
Is Chris Timmons in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 8 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Chris Timmons's Fair A/E?
0.96, from 421 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 7 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).