What is Ed Vaughan's strike rate?

Ed Vaughan has won 183 of 1,589 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 11.5% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Ed Vaughan do best at?

Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 27 wins from 143 runners (18.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Ed Vaughan?

Liam Keniry, with 146 runners since 2008 — 9% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (5.5%).

What is Ed Vaughan's Fair A/E?

1.03, from 1,579 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Ed Vaughan

1,589 runners in the lifetime window · 230 individual horses

As at 2 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Oct 2020 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

183–1,589

Wins / Runs

11.5%

Strike rate

n=1,589

505 (32%)

Placed

1.03

Fair A/E

n=1,579 · 0.88 incl. margin

−337.90

£1 level stake

n=1,589 at SP · −21.3%

£1.87m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

9.5%

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 120 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.03). Horses in first-time headgear strike at 16% (105 runs, true-first definition).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,589 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 2 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Jan–Mar 31.6% when favourite Liam Keniry: 5.5% from 146 Sent off the favourite in 12% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Wolverhampton (AW) (18.9%, n=143), clear of the yard's 11.5% baseline. A horse in first-time headgear has been a positive signal at 16.2% (n=105, Fair A/E 1.59), but new recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 2.4% (n=41, Fair A/E 0.30). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 5.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.55 and −68.00 to a £1 stake over 153 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Liam Keniry rode 9% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (5.5% vs 11.5%, A/E 0.70). 6 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Darley Prix de Pomone at Deauville (FR) (Aug 2019, £66,757). The stable star of the record was Robin Hoods Bay (GB) — 8 wins from 29 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Jan–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.5% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

10.5%−1.0

n=314 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −78.48

New recruits · first run for the yard

2.4%−9.1

n=41 · A/E 0.30 · £1 −30.00

Debutants · first career start

5.6%−5.9

n=179 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −73.50

First-time headgear · true-first definition

16.2%+4.7

n=105 · A/E 1.59 · £1 +29.67

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

2.6%−8.9

n=38 · A/E 0.24 · £1 −33.50

When favourite

31.6%

n=193 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −16.85

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

5.9%−5.6

n=153 · A/E 0.55 · £1 −68.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

6.9%−4.6

n=87 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −47.60

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Frederik Tylicki 27.7% vs 11.5% · n=65

With Adam Beschizza 24.3% vs 11.5% · n=37

At Wolverhampton (AW) 18.9% vs 11.5% · n=143

With Jamie Spencer 19% vs 11.5% · n=105

With Harry Bentley 19.5% vs 11.5% · n=77

On last-time-out winners 18.2% vs 11.5% · n=170

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,586 183 11.5% −334.90

Hurdle 2 0 0% −2.00

NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 724 100 13.8% −70.85

Good to Firm 378 38 10.1% −137.20

Good 259 24 9.3% −52.25

Good to Soft 101 11 10.9% −34.25

Soft 93 6 6.5% −32.25

Firm 22 2 9.1% −9.00

Heavy 12 2 16.7% −2.10

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton 243 38 15.6% −36.59

Lingfield (AW) 197 17 8.6% −83.63

Wolverhampton (AW) 143 27 18.9% +70.13

Yarmouth 99 15 15.2% −34.26

Newmarket 87 10 11.5% −1.13

Chelmsford (AW) 73 8 11% −27.06

Newmarket 66 3 4.5% −18.00

Windsor 62 5 8.1% −32.00

Lingfield 61 8 13.1% −30.43

Southwell (AW) 48 7 14.6% −18.40

Ascot 48 2 4.2% −26.00

Brighton 47 2 4.3% −39.50

Doncaster 47 5 10.6% −16.25

Nottingham 34 2 5.9% −22.00

Newbury 29 2 6.9% −15.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 648 62 9.6% −241.62

Class 6 368 51 13.9% −50.42

Class 4 250 40 16% +41.79

Class 2 121 9 7.4% −48.25

Class 3 108 14 13% +2.50

Class 1 87 6 6.9% −47.60

Class 7 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 224 67 29.9% 1.07 −19.60

2nd–3rd fav 358 61 17% 1.05 −20.50

4th–6th fav 506 44 8.7% 1.11 −33.80

7th+ in betting 501 11 2.2% 0.65 −264.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Dance And Dance (IRE) 54 7 22 2 Oct 15

Whitby Jet (IRE) 49 5 18 8 Sep 14

Flamborough Breeze (GB) 45 4 17 24 Jun 15

Costa Filey (GB) 32 3 11 20 Jan 17

Cosmic Destiny (IRE) 30 1 9 6 Dec 09

Primrose Valley (GB) 29 6 11 5 Dec 16

Redvers (IRE)from Ralph Beckett · then Noel Wilson 29 3 8 26 Sep 15

Robin Hoods Bay (GB) 29 8 14 6 Sep 14

Audemar (IRE) 28 4 11 5 Oct 11

Honorable Endeavor (GB) 25 0 4 10 Oct 10

Olivers Mount (GB) 24 3 10 11 Apr 15

Interconnection (GB) 23 4 13 5 Aug 17

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 230 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 8 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 3 arrived from another yard in our archive; 57 had their first archived run for this yard.

11 have since run for another yard; 49 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

18161331191215815119

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderLiam Keniry

9% of all rides
5.5% SR · A/E 0.70

RiderRWSR£1

Liam Keniry 146 8 5.5% −71.07

Jamie Spencer 105 20 19% +15.02

Luke Morris 100 15 15% +26.25

Stevie Donohoe 82 13 15.9% +3.19

Harry Bentley 77 15 19.5% +2.37

Frederik Tylicki 65 18 27.7% +18.48

Oisin Murphy 45 8 17.8% +1.07

Jimmy Quinn 40 2 5% −6.50

George Baker 39 5 12.8% −14.33

Ted Durcan 39 2 5.1% −25.50

Adam Beschizza 37 9 24.3% +18.92

Andrea Atzeni 36 2 5.6% −24.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

212

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.09m

Prize money

2014

Best season · 19 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Dame Malliot (GB) — Darley Prix de Pomone (3yo+ Fillies & Mares) (Round Course) (Turf) Deauville (FR) · Aug 2019 · Group 2

£66,757

Robin Hoods Bay (GB) — coral.co.uk Winter Derby (Fast Track Qualifier) (Group 3) Lingfield (AW) · Mar 2014 · Group 3

£56,710

Redvers (IRE) — Fly London Southend Airport Handicap Ascot · Sep 2013 · Class 2

£51,752

Notable horses

Robin Hoods Bay (GB) Dance And Dance (IRE) Cosmic Destiny (IRE) Primrose Valley (GB) Staintondale Lass (IRE) Mehronissa (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Pastoral Pursuits (GB) 12% · 9–75

Progeny have won 9.5% of 7,219 runs since 2009 (437 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.4% from 109. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 1.5% from 133.

Royal Applause (GB) 9.6% · 7–73

Progeny have won 8.6% of 12,434 runs since 2008 (774 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.4% from 323.

Exceed and Excel (AUS) 14.1% · 9–64

Progeny have won 11.9% of 16,032 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.

Mujadil (USA) 10.2% · 5–49

Progeny have won 8.2% of 2,379 runs since 2008 (132 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 11.7% from 111.

Mount Nelson (GB) 14.9% · 7–47

Progeny have won 9.9% of 6,274 runs since 2012 (538 horses).

Ad Valorem (USA) 8.9% · 4–45

Progeny have won 9.1% of 1,585 runs since 2010 (101 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 12.3% from 618. Weakest on Good to Firm going: 5.2% from 248.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 2 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,859 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,859 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 March 2005 to 28 October 2020.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

28 Oct 20 Kempton (AW) Hackness Harry (GB)J: Luke Morris Unibet Extra Place Offers Every Day Nursery (Div 1)Class 5 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 1st 18/1

17 Oct 20 Ascot Dame Malliot (GB)J: Hollie Doyle Qipco British Champions Fillies & Mares Stakes (Group 1)Class 1 · 12f · Soft · 12 ran 2nd 5/1

13 Oct 20 Wolverhampton (AW) Inhalation (GB)J: Hollie Doyle attheraces.com HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 7/1

12 Oct 20 Wolverhampton (AW) Love Explodes (GB)J: Cieren Fallon attheraces.com HandicapClass 5 · 12f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 20/1

12 Oct 20 Yarmouth Hackness Harry (GB)J: Stevie Donohoe attheraces.com NurseryClass 5 · 7f · Soft · 8 ran 5th 28/1

08 Oct 20 Chelmsford City (AW) Solomons Judgement (IRE)J: Hollie Doyle tote Placepot Your First Bet Claiming StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 3rd 18/1

06 Oct 20 Lingfield (AW) Scarborough Castle (GB)J: David Probert Play 4 To Win At Betway Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 10f · Standard · 13 ran 9th 10/1

06 Oct 20 Lingfield (AW) Book of Secrets (IRE)J: Hollie Doyle Betway NurseryClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 16/1

29 Sep 20 Wolverhampton (AW) Hackness Harry (GB)J: Kieran Shoemark Visit attheraces.com Novice Stakes (Div 1)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 8 ran 5th 14/1

16 Sep 20 Yarmouth Inhalation (GB)J: Martin Harley Moulton Nurseries HandicapClass 4 · 8f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 4th 6/1

15 Sep 20 Kempton (AW) Scarborough Castle (GB)J: Luke Morris Try Our New Runner Boost At Unibet HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard To Slow · 11 ran 5th 8/1

14 Sep 20 Lingfield Coto Donana (GB)J: Robert Havlin Betway Casino HandicapClass 5 · 7.5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 9th 12/1

13 Sep 20 Longchamp (FR) Dame Malliot (GB)J: Frankie Dettori Qatar Prix Vermeille (3yo+ Fillies & Mares) (Grande Course) (Turf)12f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 14/1

09 Sep 20 Kempton (AW) Book of Secrets (IRE)J: Stevie Donohoe Unibet/British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Auction StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 14 ran 3rd 14/1

07 Sep 20 Lingfield Hackness Harry (GB)J: Stevie Donohoe Betway/EBF Novice StakesClass 5 · 7f · Good · 7 ran 6th 12/1

07 Sep 20 Lingfield Forge Valley Lad (GB)J: Stevie Donohoe Heed Your Hunch At Betway HandicapClass 6 · 11.5f · Good · 12 ran 6th 15/2

07 Sep 20 Lingfield Love Explodes (GB)J: William Carson Betway HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good · 10 ran 8th 14/1

05 Sep 20 Ascot Solomons Judgement (IRE)J: Hayley Turner Stella Artois British EBF Novice Stakes (Plus 10)Class 4 · 7f · Good · 10 ran 10th 125/1

04 Sep 20 Ascot Inhalation (GB)J: Martin Harley Jim Barry Wines HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Good · 11 ran 9th 5/1

02 Sep 20 Wolverhampton (AW) War Cross (USA)J: Paul Mulrennan Free Daily Tips On attheraces.com Novice StakesClass 5 · 9.5f · Standard · 13 ran 2nd 9/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ed Vaughan's strike rate?: Ed Vaughan has won 183 of 1,589 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 11.5% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Ed Vaughan do best at?: Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 27 wins from 143 runners (18.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Ed Vaughan?: Liam Keniry, with 146 runners since 2008 — 9% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (5.5%).
What is Ed Vaughan's Fair A/E?: 1.03, from 1,579 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.