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Trainer profile

Harry Charlton

743 runners in the lifetime window · 146 individual horses
As at 10 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Non-runners: 7.5% of 255 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 10 Nov 2026.
Last runner 5 days ago 100% of runners on the flat
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
111–743
Wins / Runs
14.9%
Strike rate
n=743
280 (38%)
Placed
0.94
n=738 · 0.81 incl. margin
−156.83
£1 level stake
n=743 at SP · −21.1%
£2.37m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
17%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 40 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 15% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.94).

Deterministic profile computed from 743 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 10 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Apr–May 35.4% when favourite Trevor Whelan: 14.7% from 156 New recruits: 15.8% Sends off the favourite in 22% of races
The read

A horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 3.8% (n=53, Fair A/E 0.29). The market has consistently overbet debutants: 5.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.61 and −78.12 to a £1 stake over 108 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Trevor Whelan rides 21% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (14.7%, A/E 1.24) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Class 6 (30%, n=30) and over 1m5f – 2m (25.8%, n=31). 5 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Highclere Thoroughbred Racing Geoffrey Freer Stakes at Newbury (Aug 2026, £56,710). The stable star of the record: Ten Pounds (IRE) — 5 wins from 10 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Apr–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 14.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
12.9%−2.0
n=132 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −24.01
New recruits · first run for the yard
15.8%+0.9
n=38 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −19.92
Debutants · first career start
5.6%−9.3
n=108 · A/E 0.61 · £1 −78.12
First-time headgear · true-first definition
3.8%−11.1
n=53 · A/E 0.29 · £1 −46.87
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
50%+35.1
n=6 · A/E 2.94 · £1 +45.62
When favourite
35.4%
n=164 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −17.96
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.5%−10.4
n=44 · A/E 0.63 · £1 −37.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
9.6%−5.3
n=52 · A/E 0.62 · £1 −36.05

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 14.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On last-time-out winners 27.4% vs 14.9% · n=95
In Class 6 30% vs 14.9% · n=30
With first-time headgear 3.8% vs 14.9% · n=53
With debutants 5.6% vs 14.9% · n=108
With claiming riders up 4.5% vs 14.9% · n=44
Over 1m5f – 2m 25.8% vs 14.9% · n=31
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 273 38 13.9% −117.81
Good to Firm 181 30 16.6% −17.20
Good 169 24 14.2% +9.52
Soft 51 5 9.8% −16.92
Good to Soft 50 12 24% −3.50
Heavy 15 2 13.3% −6.92
Firm 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Kempton (AW) 112 11 9.8% −62.25
Newbury 63 5 7.9% −36.00
Southwell (AW) 50 10 20% −15.92
Newcastle (AW) 43 7 16.3% −19.99
Ascot 40 4 10% +7.75
Salisbury 37 4 10.8% −25.94
Newmarket 32 8 25% +13.12
Wolverhampton (AW) 30 3 10% −17.12
Yarmouth 28 4 14.3% −15.08
Sandown 26 5 19.2% −8.92
Doncaster 25 3 12% −13.30
Lingfield (AW) 23 6 26.1% +3.97
Haydock 21 2 9.5% +62.25
Newmarket 19 2 10.5% −12.75
Windsor 19 4 21.1% +19.25

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 247 32 13% −14.64
Class 5 207 36 17.4% −52.24
Class 2 106 13 12.3% −35.42
Class 3 101 16 15.8% −20.62
Class 1 52 5 9.6% −36.05
Class 6 30 9 30% +2.14

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 177 62 35% 1.01 −15.21
2nd–3rd fav 195 33 16.9% 0.93 −37.62
4th–6th fav 223 10 4.5% 0.59 −134.00
7th+ in betting 148 6 4.1% 1.29 +30.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Mighty Quiet (GB) 15 2 4 28 Oct 26
Tryfan (GB)from Brian Ellison 15 3 7 14 Oct 26
Madjid (GB) 12 2 4 12 Oct 26
Opening Bat (GB) 12 1 3 8 Jul 26
Kiniro (GB)then Dan Horsford 12 2 7 14 Oct 25
Navid (GB) 12 1 3 30 Sep 25
So Quiet (GB) 12 1 4 13 Mar 25
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 146 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 18 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Harry & Roger Charlton (15); 42 had their first archived run for this yard.

18 have since run for another yard, most often for Donald McCain (2); 42 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
3 from 6
Only 6 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
14018181712151417151115
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderTrevor Whelan
21% of all rides
14.7% SR · A/E 1.24
RiderRWSR£1
Trevor Whelan 156 23 14.7% −27.89
Lewis Edmunds 121 20 16.5% −29.96
Callum Rodriguez 48 11 22.9% −13.66
Oisin Murphy 41 9 22% −18.00
Millie Wonnacott 41 2 4.9% −34.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2024→
111
Archived wins
5
Pattern / graded wins
£2.37m
Prize money
2026
Best season · 38 wins
Wine Dark Sea (GB) — Highclere Thoroughbred Racing Geoffrey Freer Stakes (Group 3) Newbury · Aug 2026 · Group 3
£56,710
Hand Of God (GB) — Golden Gates Stakes (Handicap) Ascot · Jun 2024 · Class 2
£56,694
King's Gambit (IRE) — Trade Nation London Gold Cup Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Newbury · May 2024 · Class 2
£51,540

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Kingman (GB) 19% · 11–58
Progeny have won 14.5% of 7,533 runs since 2018 (779 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11% from 970. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 8.9% from 123.
Frankel (GB) 23.8% · 10–42
Progeny have won 18% of 7,544 runs since 2016 (882 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 12.8% from 329. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.2% from 270.
Bated Breath (GB) 18.2% · 6–33
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,177 runs since 2016 (670 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 7.6% from 855.
Kodiac (GB) 3.1% · 1–32
Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,604 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.
Sea The Stars (IRE) 9.7% · 3–31
Progeny have won 15.7% of 9,988 runs since 2013 (1,119 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 18.9% from 1,503. Weakest on Heavy going: 9.4% from 459. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 11.5% from 139.
Ulysses (IRE) 23.3% · 7–30
Progeny have won 10.5% of 3,000 runs since 2021 (295 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 10 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 743 · newest first

The latest 50 of 743 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 1 January 2024 to 5 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
13 Oct 26 Leicester That's Random (GB)J: Lewis Edmunds Join Racing TV Now Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 18 ran 8th 9/2J
12 Oct 26 Yarmouth Madjid (GB)J: Lewis Edmunds Aks Skip Hire Services Handicap StakesClass 5 · 11.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 9th 7/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 7 runs (won 1, 1 did not run) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 4 runs (won 3) · fastest on KTB Speed in 2 runs (won 1) · to 5 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Harry Charlton's strike rate?
Harry Charlton has won 111 of 743 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 14.9% (as at 10 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Harry Charlton do best at?
Newmarket by strike rate: 8 wins from 32 runners (25%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Harry Charlton?
Trevor Whelan, with 156 runners since 2008 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 23 (14.7%).
Is Harry Charlton in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 6 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Harry Charlton's Fair A/E?
0.94, from 738 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 10 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).