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Trainer profile

J A Nash

1,922 runners in the lifetime window · 129 individual horses
As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 4 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
98–1,922
Wins / Runs
5.1%
Strike rate
n=1,922
384 (20%)
Placed
0.75
Fair A/E
n=1,922 · 0.60 incl. margin
−1,075.75
£1 level stake
n=1,922 at SP · −56.0%
£1.71m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 100 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.75).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,922 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 5 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance 23.8% when favourite Gavin Brouder: 5.4% from 297 Sends off the favourite in 4% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Sligo (11.6%, n=43), Galway (10.2%, n=59) and Limerick (9.5%, n=105) — all clear of the yard's 5.1% baseline. Debutants struggle at 1.2% (n=86, Fair A/E 0.35). The market has consistently overbet a horse having headgear put back on after a bare run: 3.2% strike, Fair A/E 0.49 and −96.00 to a £1 stake over 125 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Gavin Brouder rides 15% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (5.4%, A/E 0.88). 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Guinness Kerry National Handicap Chase at Listowel (Sep 2014, £96,350). The stable star of the record: My Manekineko (GB) — 8 wins from 95 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4.4%−0.7
n=296 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −208.64
New recruits · first run for the yard
2.2%−2.9
n=45 · A/E 0.36 · £1 −40.00
Debutants · first career start
1.2%−3.9
n=86 · A/E 0.35 · £1 −80.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
1.5%−3.6
n=66 · A/E 0.26 · £1 −63.25
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
3.2%−1.9
n=125 · A/E 0.49 · £1 −96.00
When favourite
23.8%
n=84 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −17.96
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.8%−0.3
n=925 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −535.67
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
4.1%−1.0
n=98 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −57.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With C&D winners 10.7% vs 5.1% · n=150
At Sligo 11.6% vs 5.1% · n=43
With Joseph O'Brien 11.1% vs 5.1% · n=36
At Galway 10.2% vs 5.1% · n=59
With Kevin Brouder 10.8% vs 5.1% · n=37
At Limerick 9.5% vs 5.1% · n=105
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 881 47 5.3% −459.68
Flat 747 35 4.7% −474.77
Chase 224 15 6.7% −74.05
NH Flat 70 1 1.4% −67.25

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 555 23 4.1% −340.74
Good 540 27 5% −280.44
Standard (AW) 283 15 5.3% −179.40
Heavy 270 15 5.6% −177.17
Good to Soft 160 7 4.4% −64.50
Good to Firm 113 10 8.8% −39.50
Firm 1 1 100% +6.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk 272 15 5.5% −168.40
Fairyhouse 130 5 3.8% −105.75
Naas 111 2 1.8% −102.25
Limerick 105 10 9.5% −55.37
Leopardstown 91 4 4.4% −39.00
Punchestown 87 1 1.1% −66.00
Curragh 87 3 3.4% −65.00
Kilbeggan 66 1 1.5% −62.75
Gowran Park 65 2 3.1% −56.50
Navan 64 3 4.7% −36.00
Killarney 63 4 6.3% +18.50
Cork 61 4 6.6% −37.67
Galway 59 6 10.2% −14.00
Tipperary 58 1 1.7% −45.00
Tramore 58 3 5.2% −20.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 102 4 3.9% −61.50
Class 2 35 1 2.9% −9.00
Class 4 27 4 14.8% −11.64
Class 3 14 2 14.3% +1.20
Class 6 10 1 10% −4.50
Class 5 6 0 0% −6.00
Class 7 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 101 21 20.8% 0.89 −29.96
2nd–3rd fav 271 41 15.1% 1.06 −50.79
4th–6th fav 584 19 3.3% 0.47 −391.00
7th+ in betting 966 17 1.8% 0.59 −604.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
My Manekineko (GB)from J R Jenkins · then Gearoid Patrick Brouder 95 8 30 23 Aug 22
Tsar Paul (IRE)from James M Barrett 87 5 22 29 Jun 16
Your Busy (IRE) 78 8 31 6 May 17
Massini's Trap (IRE) 69 6 16 21 Jun 19
Our Manekineko (GB)then Stephen Michael Hanlon 58 6 13 21 Sep 18
Scheu Time (IRE) 55 4 13 3 Mar 23
Star Of Aragon (IRE) 52 6 10 30 Sep 15
Trans City (IRE)from G M Lyons 51 0 8 8 Aug 16
Luisant (GB)from F Doumen 50 4 20 30 Nov 12
Alohamora (IRE) 47 6 19 16 May 22
Rayhani (USA)from David Nicholls 44 3 6 8 Oct 13
Your Honor (IRE) 41 4 7 14 Jan 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 129 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 9 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 18 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from G M Lyons (2) and James M Barrett (2); 42 had their first archived run for this yard.

11 have since run for another yard; 49 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 3
Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
358543594527
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderGavin Brouder
15% of all rides
5.4% SR · A/E 0.88
RiderRWSR£1
Gavin Brouder 297 16 5.4% −150.42
D J Casey 156 11 7.1% −70.50
Leigh Roche 93 1 1.1% −86.00
Cathal Landers 84 5 6% −38.75
Ana O'Brien 81 4 4.9% −60.50
Pat Smullen 78 7 9% −52.40
R Walsh 54 3 5.6% −39.50
Fran Berry 54 3 5.6% −39.62
Ms K Walsh 47 3 6.4% −13.25
Mr T E Doran 44 3 6.8% −14.25
Paul Townend 38 1 2.6% −12.00
Kevin Brouder 37 4 10.8% −6.25
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2008→
98
Archived wins
4
Pattern / graded wins
£1.71m
Prize money
2014
Best season · 11 wins
Your Busy (IRE) — Guinness Kerry National Handicap Chase (grade A) Listowel · Sep 2014 · Grade A
£96,350
Luisant (GB) — Bar One Racing Mourne Handicap (Premier Handicap) Dundalk (AW) · Aug 2009
£27,668
Luisant (GB) — www.thetote.com Knockaire Stakes (Listed) Leopardstown · Oct 2010 · Listed
£27,625
Notable horses
My Manekineko (GB) Your Busy (IRE) Massini's Trap (IRE) Our Manekineko (GB) Star Of Aragon (IRE) Alohamora (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Authorized (IRE) 8.1% · 8–99
Progeny have won 13.5% of 7,032 runs since 2011 (543 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.3% from 1,044. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 19.8% from 126. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.4% from 267.
Buratino (IRE) 3.4% · 3–87
Progeny have won 7.5% of 1,885 runs since 2020 (118 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.2% from 119.
Xaar (GB) 5.7% · 5–87
Progeny have won 6.1% of 2,429 runs since 2008 (218 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 10.7% from 122.
Anshan (GB) 10.3% · 8–78
Progeny have won 9.6% of 4,216 runs since 2008 (387 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.2% from 520.
Dr Massini (IRE) 8.7% · 6–69
Progeny have won 10.6% of 4,942 runs since 2008 (406 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14% from 421.
Kyllachy (GB) 9.7% · 6–62
Progeny have won 9.9% of 13,847 runs since 2008 (800 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.8% from 468.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,922 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,922 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 12 December 2008 to 1 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
01 Nov 26 Curragh (IRE) Mr Mercury (IRE)J: Leigh Roche Velo Coffee At The Curragh Maiden12f · Yielding · 19 ran 13th 500/1
30 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Caption This (IRE)J: Orla Tynan Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Maiden8f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 200/1
30 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Arizona Storm (IRE)J: Leigh Roche Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden5f · Standard · 13 ran 10th 250/1
15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Arizona Storm (IRE)J: Leigh Roche Irish EBF Median Sires Series Maiden6f · Soft · 12 ran 10th 300/1
12 Oct 26 Roscommon (IRE) Caption This (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Roscommon Racecourse (C & G) Maiden7.5f · Soft · 11 ran 9th 250/1
12 Oct 26 Roscommon (IRE) Mr Mercury (IRE)J: Leigh Roche Roscommon Racecourse (C & G) Maiden7.5f · Soft · 11 ran 8th 250/1
30 Sep 26 Bellewstown (IRE) Mr Mercury (IRE)J: R. P. Whelan Gilna's Of Laytown Optional Claiming Maiden8f · Soft To Heavy · 8 ran 8th 200/1
28 Sep 26 Down Royal (IRE) Folk Warrior (IRE)J: W. J. Lee Pravha Handicap (Div II)11f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 9th 13/2
28 Sep 26 Down Royal (IRE) Caption This (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Madrí Excepcional Maiden7f · Good To Yielding · 9 ran 9th 300/1
19 Sep 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Go Sioux Me (IRE)J: Ben Coen Racing Again October 2nd & 3rd Race7f · Yielding To Soft · 8 ran 8th 80/1
17 Sep 26 Naas (IRE) Arizona Storm (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Irish Stallion Farms EBF (C & G) Maiden6f · Yielding · 12 ran 11th 300/1
09 Sep 26 Cork (IRE) Caption This (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Follow Us On Social Media Maiden8f · Good · 18 ran 17th 250/1
01 Sep 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Mr Mercury (IRE)J: Leigh Roche Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden7f · Yielding · 14 ran 14th 300/1
27 Aug 26 Navan (IRE) Folk Warrior (IRE)J: Declan McDonogh Racing Next At Navan On Saturday September 5th Handicap14f · Good · 22 ran 6th 22/1
25 Aug 26 Bellewstown (IRE) Caption This (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Maiden8f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 10th 80/1
13 Aug 26 Tramore (IRE) Folk Warrior (IRE)J: Daniel King McDonald & Son Builders Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 12 ran 5th 7/2
08 Aug 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Folk Warrior (IRE)J: Daniel King Kieran Kelly Memorial Handicap Hurdle16f · Good · 13 ran 8th 16/1
12 Jul 26 Dundalk (AW) Folk Warrior (IRE)J: Julian Pietropaolo Fairways Hotel Dundalk Apprentice Handicap12f · Standard · 11 ran 5th 7/2F
12 Jul 26 Dundalk (AW) Mr Mercury (IRE)J: Wayne Lordan Anglo Printers - Award Winning Print And Packaging Maiden8f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 100/1
09 Jul 26 Leopardstown Folk Warrior (IRE)J: Ronan Whelan Mervue Equine Handicap (0-60)9f · Good · 22 ran 7th 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is J A Nash's strike rate?
J A Nash has won 98 of 1,922 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.1% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does J A Nash do best at?
Galway by strike rate: 6 wins from 59 runners (10.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for J A Nash?
Gavin Brouder, with 297 runners since 2008 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 16 (5.4%).
Is J A Nash in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is J A Nash's Fair A/E?
0.75, from 1,922 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 5 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).